• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시뮬레이션모형

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Estimation of Vegetation Carbon Budget in South Korea using Ecosystem Model and Spatio-temporal Environmental Information (생태계 모형과 시공간 환경정보를 이용한 우리나라 식생 탄소 수지 추정)

  • Yoo, Seong-Jin;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Son, Yo-Whan;Ito, Akihiko
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.145-157
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    • 2012
  • In this study, we simulated a carbon flux model, so called Vegetation Integrated Simulator for Trace gases (VISIT) using Spatio-temporal Environmental Information, to estimate carbon budgets of vegetation ecosystem in South Korea. As results of the simulation, the model estimated that the annual-average gross primary production (GPP), net primary production (NPP) for 10 years were $91.89Tg\;C\;year^{-1}$, and $40.16Tg\;C\;year^{-1}$, respectively. The model also estimated the vegetation ecosystems in South Korea as a net carbon sink, with a value of $3.51Tg\;C\;year^{-1}$ during the simulation period. Comparing with the anthropogenic emission of South Korea, vegetation ecosystems offsets 3.3% of human emissions as a net carbon sink in 2007. To estimate the carbon budget more accurately, it is important to prepare reliable input datasets. And also, model parameters should be calibrated through comparing with various independent method. The result of this study, however, would be helpful for devising ecosystem management strategies that may help to mitigate global climate change.

Study of the Operation of Actuated signal control Based on Vehicle Queue Length estimated by Deep Learning (딥러닝으로 추정한 차량대기길이 기반의 감응신호 연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Ju;Sim, Min-Gyeong;Kim, Yong-Man;Lee, Sang-Su;Lee, Cheol-Gi
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.54-62
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    • 2018
  • As a part of realization of artificial intelligence signal(AI Signal), this study proposed an actuated signal algorithm based on vehicle queue length that estimates in real time by deep learning. In order to implement the algorithm, we built an API(COM Interface) to control the micro traffic simulator Vissim in the tensorflow that implements the deep learning model. In Vissim, when the link travel time and the traffic volume collected by signal cycle are transferred to the tensorflow, the vehicle queue length is estimated by the deep learning model. The signal time is calculated based on the vehicle queue length, and the simulation is performed by adjusting the signaling inside Vissim. The algorithm developed in this study is analyzed that the vehicle delay is reduced by about 5% compared to the current TOD mode. It is applied to only one intersection in the network and its effect is limited. Future study is proposed to expand the space such as corridor control or network control using this algorithm.

Design and Performance Analysis of a Parallel Optimal Branch-and-Bound Algorithm for MIN-based Multiprocessors (MIN-based 다중 처리 시스템을 위한 효율적인 병렬 Branch-and-Bound 알고리즘 설계 및 성능 분석)

  • Yang, Myung-Kook
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.1 no.1 s.1
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    • pp.31-46
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, a parallel Optimal Best-First search Branch-and-Bound(B&B) algorithm(pobs) is designed and evaluated for MIN-based multiprocessor systems. The proposed algorithm decomposes a problem into G subproblems, where each subproblem is processed on a group of P processors. Each processor group uses tile sub-Global Best-First search technique to find a local solution. The local solutions are broadcasted through the network to compute the global solution. This broadcast provides not only the comparison of G local solutions but also the load balancing among the processor groups. A performance analysis is then conducted to estimate the speed-up of the proposed parallel B&B algorithm. The analytical model is developed based on the probabilistic properties of the B&B algorithm. It considers both the computation time and communication overheads to evaluate the realistic performance of the algorithm under the parallel processing environment. In order to validate the proposed evaluation model, the simulation of the parallel B&B algorithm on a MIN-based system is carried out at the same time. The results from both analysis and simulation match closely. It is also shown that the proposed Optimal Best-First search B&B algorithm performs better than other reported schemes with its various advantageous features such as: less subproblem evaluations, prefer load balancing, and limited scope of remote communication.

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A Test for Nonlinear Causality and Its Application to Money, Production and Prices (통화(通貨)·생산(生産)·물가(物價)의 비선형인과관계(非線型因果關係) 검정(檢定))

  • Baek, Ehung-gi
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.117-140
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    • 1991
  • The purpose of this paper is primarily to introduce a nonparametric statistical tool developed by Baek and Brock to detect a unidirectional causal ordering between two economic variables and apply it to interesting macroeconomic relationships among money, production and prices. It can be applied to any other causal structure, for instance, defense spending and economic performance, stock market index and market interest rates etc. A key building block of the test for nonlinear Granger causality used in this paper is the correlation. The main emphasis is put on nonlinear causal structure rather than a linear one because the conventional F-test provides high power against the linear causal relationship. Based on asymptotic normality of our test statistic, the nonlinear causality test is finally derived. Size of the test is reported for some parameters. When it is applied to a money, production and prices model, some evidences of nonlinear causality are found by the corrected size of the test. For instance, nonlinear causal relationships between production and prices are demonstrated in both directions, however, these results were ignored by the conventional F-test. A similar results between money and prices are obtained at high lag variables.

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Study on Improvement of Target Tracking Performance for RASIT(RAdar of Surveillance for Intermediate Terrain) Using Active Kalman filter (능동형 Kalman filter를 이용한 지상감시레이더의 표적탐지능력 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Myung, Sun-Yang;Chun, Soon-Yong
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2009
  • If a moving target has a linear characteristics, the Kalman filter can estimate relatively accurate the location of a target, but this performance depends on how the dynamic status characteristics of the target is accurately modeled. In many practical problems of tracking a maneuvering target, a simple kinematic model can fairly accurately describe the target dynamics for a wide class of maneuvers. However, since the target can exhibit a wide range of dynamic characteristics, no fixed SKF(Simple Kalman filter) can be matched to estimate, to the required accuracy, the states of the target for every specific maneuver. In this paper, a new AKF(Active Kalman filter) is proposed to solve this problem The process noise covariance level of the Kalman filter is adjusted at each time step according to the study result which uses the neural network algorithm. It is demonstrated by means of a computer simulation that the tracking capability of the proposed AKF(Active Kalman filter) is better than that of the SKF(Simple Kalman Filter).

Transaction Costs in an Emission Trading Scheme: Application of a Simple Autonomous Trading Agent Model

  • Lee, Kangil;Han, Taek-Whan;Cho, Yongsung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.27-67
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    • 2012
  • This paper analyzed the effect of transaction costs on the prices and trading volumes at the initial stage of emission markets and also examined how the size of the effect differs depending on the characteristics of the transactions. We built trading protocols modeling a recursive process to search the trading partner and make transactions with several behavioral assumptions considering the situations of early markets. The simulations results show that adding transaction costs resulted in reduction of trading volumes. Furthermore, the speed of reduction in trading volume to the increase of transaction costs is higher when there is scale economy. With a certain level of scale economy, the trading volumes abruptly fall down to almost zero as the transaction cost gets over a certain level. This suggests the possibility of a failed market. Since the scale economy is thought to be significant in the early stage of emission trading market, it is desirable to design a trading system that maximizes trading volumes and minimizes unit transaction costs at the outset. One of the alternatives to meet these conditions is to establish a centralized exchange and take measures to increase trading volumes.

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Potential Welfare Loss from Using Imperfect Environmental Taxes (불완전한 환경세 사용에 따른 잠재적 후생 손실)

  • Hong, Inkee
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-53
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    • 2015
  • In environmental policy areas, a greater use of economic instruments (EIs) has recently been observed in many countries. However, EIs are heterogeneous policy tools. The textbook case of a Pigouvian tax is far from widely used, mainly due to the information requirements and other structural and institutional constraints. The successful implementation of EIs might heavily depend on pre-existing structural and institutional conditions. Moreover, these institutional conditions are particularly unfavorable in developing countries. Using a simple analytical general equilibrium model, this paper examines how these constraints affect the welfare gain from the introduction of environmental taxes in developing countries. First, this paper solves for the second-best optimal Pigouvian tax and output tax in the presence of a distortionary tax on market use of labor. The result confirms that an environmental output tax achieves a socially-efficient level of emissions in the least-cost manner only if the nature of the linkage between the tax base and the environmental damage is fixed. Second, incorporating structural and institutional constraints into the model through a set of parameter values from China and the US, this paper calculates the net welfare effects of either using the ideal Pigouvian tax or instead using an output tax. The numerical simulation results show that the net welfare gain from the use of an ideal Pigouvian tax could be more than six times larger than that of an output tax in developing countries. On the other hand, the welfare gain is only 50 percent in developed countries. This means that the potential welfare disadvantage from using output taxes instead emissions tax for environmental purposes could be much greater in the case of developing countries.

Reduced-scale Model Experiment for Examination of Natural Vent and Fire Curtain Effects in Fire of Theater Stage (공연장 무대부 화재 시 자연배출구 및 방화막 영향 검토를 위한 축소모형 실험)

  • Baek, Seon A;Yang, Ji Hyun;Jeong, Chan Seok;Lee, Chi Young;Kim, Duncan
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2019
  • In the present experimental study, based on a real-scale theater, a 1/14 reduced-scale model was constructed, and the effects of natural vent and fire curtain in fire of a theater stage were investigated. The case without fire curtain under the opened natural vent showed lower temperatures in the stage, whereas the case with fire curtain under the opened natural vent showed lower temperatures in the auditorium. On the other hand, through analyzing the starting time of the temperature rise at the point near the proscenium opening in the auditorium, it was found that the opened natural vent condition can delay the starting time of smoke spread from the stage to the auditorium and suppress the temperature rise in the auditorium. Under the present experimental conditions, the fire curtain installation did not affect significantly the velocity and mass flow rate of the outflow through the natural vent of the stage, which might be due to openings in the stage. The present results can be used to examine the effects of natural vent and fire curtain in a real-scale fire of a theater and to check the accuracy of the numerical simulation code.

A study on the improvement of work flow and productivity in complex manufacturing line by employing the effective process control methods (복잡한 생산라인에서 효율적 공정관리 기법 도입에 따른 공정흐름 및 생산성 개선 연구)

  • Park, Kyungmin;Jeong, Sukjae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.305-315
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    • 2016
  • Due to the change from small volume production to small quantity batch production systems, individual companies have been attempting to produce a wide range of operating strategies, maximize their productivity, and minimize their WIP level by operating with the proper cycle time to defend their market share. In particular, using a complex workflow and process sequence in the manufacturing line has some drawbacks when it comes to designing the production strategy by applying analytical models, such as mathematical models and queueing theory. For this purpose, this paper uses three heuristic algorithms to solve the job release problem at the bottleneck workstation, product mix problem in multi-purpose machine(s), and batch size and sequence in batch machine(s). To verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods, a simulation analysis was performed. The experimental results demonstrated that the combined application of the proposed methods showed positive effects on the reduction of the cycle time and WIP level, and improvement of the throughput.

A Markov Chain Model for Population Distribution Prediction Considering Spatio-Temporal Characteristics by Migration Factors (이동요인별 시·공간적 인구이동 특성을 고려한 인구분포 예측: 마르코프 연쇄 모형을 활용하여)

  • Park, So Hyun;Lee, Keumsook
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.351-365
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to predict the changes in population distribution in Korea by considering spatio-temporal characteristics of major migration reasons. For the purpose, we analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics of each major migration reason(such as job, family, housing, and education) and estimate the transition probability, respectively. By appling Markov chain model processes with the ChapmanKolmogorov equation based on the transition probability, we predict the changes in the population distribution for the next six years. As the results, we found that there were differences of population changes by regions, while there were geographic movements into metropolitan areas and cities in general. The methodologies and the results presented in this study can be utilized for the provision of customized planning policies. In the long run, it can be used as a basis for planning and enforcing regionally tailored policies that strengthen inflow factors and improve outflow factors based on the trends of population inflow and outflow by region by movement factors as well as identify the patterns of population inflow and outflow in each region and predict future population volatility.