• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시계열 군집분석

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Comparison of Time Series of Alluvial Groundwater Levels before and after Barrage Construction on the Lower Nakdong River (낙동강 하류 하천구조물 건설 전후의 충적층 지하수위 시계열 특성 비교)

  • Kim, Gyoo-Bum;Cha, Eun-Jee;Jeong, Hae-Geun;Shin, Kyung-Hee
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2013
  • Increasing the river cross-section by barrage construction causes rises in the average river water levels and discharge rates in the rainy season. The time series patterns for groundwater levels measured at 23 riverside monitoring wells along the lower Nakdong River are compared for two cases: before and after water-filling at the Changnyeong-Haman Barrage. Monthly average groundwater levels indicate a distinct increase in groundwater levels in the upstream riverside close to the barrage. River-water level management by barrage gate control in August, during the rainy season, resulted in a 0.1 m decrease in groundwater levels, while water-filling at the barrage in December caused a 1.3 m increase in groundwater levels. The results of hierarchical cluster analysis indicate that seven groundwater monitoring wells and river water levels were in the same group before barrage construction, but that this number increased to 14 after barrage construction. Principal component analysis revealed that the explanation power of two principal components corresponding to river fluctuation, PC1 and PC2, was approximately 82% before barrage construction but decreased to 45% after construction. This finding indicates that the effect of the river level component that contributes to change in groundwater level, decreases after barrage construction; consequently, other factors, including groundwater pumping, become more important. Continuous surveying and monitoring is essential for understanding change in the hydrological environment. Water policy that takes groundwater-surface water interaction into consideration should be established for riverside areas.

Simulation of synthetic snow depth time-series using stochastic weather generation model (추계 일기 생성 모형을 활용한 합성 적설심 시계열 모의)

  • Park, Jeongha;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.99-99
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 기상 자료와 적설 특성 자료의 관계를 도출하고, 이와 추계 일기 생성 모형을 활용하여 합성 적설심 시계열을 모의하는 방법에 대하여 제안한다. 추계 일기 생성 모형에서는 적설량을 직접 모의하지 않기 때문에 강수량을 적설량으로 변환해야한다. 이를 위해 도입한 관계식은 다음과 같다. 첫째로 기상청 적설 예보의 적설 유무 판단 기준을 이용하였다. 이 기준에서는 상대습도와 지상기온에 따라 강수의 형태를 비, 눈, 진눈깨비로 구분한다. 둘째로 강수가 적설로 판단되었을 때 강수량을 신적설심으로 환산하는 수상당량비를 지상기온과 회귀 분석하였다. 선행 연구에 따라 3시간 1 mm 이상 5 mm 이하 강수와 3시간 5 mm 이상 강수 사상에 대하여 나누어 sigmoid형 곡선을 이용하여 회귀 분석하였다. 마지막으로 융설에 의한 적설심 감소량을 지상기온과 복사량의 함수로 표현하였으며, 각 변수의 계수는 입자 군집 최적화 방법을 통하여 보정하였다. 추계 일기 생성 모형으로는 AWE-GEN 모형을 활용하였으며, 시험 자료로 강릉(105) 종관기상관측소의 24년 기간(1982-2005) 자료를 활용하여 합성 적설심 시계열을 생성하였다. 합성 적설심 시계열 모의 과정은 다음과 같다. (1) 추계 일기 생성 모형으로 합성 일기 자료 생성, (2) 강수 발생 시 적설 유무 판단, (3) 적설로 판단 시 수상당량비를 계산하여 신적설심 추정, (4) 기존 적설심에 신적설심을 더하고, 적설심 감소량만큼 감소. 위와 같은 과정으로 200년 길이 합성 적설심 시계열을 모의한 결과 극한 사상을 과소 추정하는 경향이 나타나 추가적인 개선이 필요한 것으로 판단된다.

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Daily Behavior Pattern Extraction using Time-Series Behavioral Data of Dairy Cows and k-Means Clustering (행동 시계열 데이터와 k-평균 군집화를 통한 젖소의 일일 행동패턴 검출)

  • Lee, Seonghun;Park, Gicheol;Park, Jaehwa
    • Journal of Software Assessment and Valuation
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2021
  • There are continuous and tremendous attempts to apply various sensor systems and ICTs into the dairy science for data accumulation and improvement of dairy productivity. However, these only concerns the fields which directly affect to the dairy productivity such as the number of individuals and the milk production amount, while researches on the physiology aspects of dairy cows are not enough which are fundamentally involved in the dairy productivity. This paper proposes the basic approach for extraction of daily behavior pattern from hourly behavioral data of dairy cows to identify the health status and stress. Total four clusters were grouped by k-means clustering and the reasonability was proved by visualization of the data in each groups and the representatives of each groups. We hope that provided results should lead to the further researches on catching abnormalities and disease signs of dairy cows.

Clustering Korean Stock Return Data Based on GARCH Model (이분산 시계열모형을 이용한 국내주식자료의 군집분석)

  • Park, Man-Sik;Kim, Na-Young;Kim, Hee-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.925-937
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we considered the clustering analysis for stock return traded in the stock market. Most of financial time-series data, for instance, stock price and exchange rate have conditional heterogeneous variability depending on time, and, hence, are not properly applied to the autoregressive moving-average(ARMA) model with assumption of constant variance. Moreover, the variability is font and center for stock investors as well as academic researchers. So, this paper focuses on the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic(GARCH) model which is known as a solution for capturing the conditional variance(or volatility). We define the metrics for similarity of unconditional volatility and for homogeneity of model structure, and, then, evaluate the performances of the metrics. In real application, we do clustering analysis in terms of volatility and structure with stock return of the 11 Korean companies measured for the latest three years.

A spectrum based evaluation algorithm for micro scale weather analysis module with application to time series cluster analysis (스펙트럼분석 기반의 미기상해석모듈 평가알고리즘 제안 및 시계열 군집분석에의 응용)

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Kwak, Hwa-Ryun;Kim, Yu-Na;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2015
  • In meteorological field, many researchers have tried to develop micro scale weather analysis modules for providing real-time weather information service in the metropolitan area. This effort enables us to cope with various economic and social harms coming from serious change in the micro meteorology of a metropolitan area due to rapid urbanization such as quantitative expansions in its urban activity, growth of population, and building concentration. The accuracy of the micro scale weather analysis modules (MSWAM) directly related to usefulness and quality of the real-time weather information service in the metropolitan area. This paper design a evaluation system along with verification tools that sufficiently accommodate spatio-temporal characteristics of the outputs of the MSWAM. For this we proposes a test for the equality of mean vectors of the output series of the MSWAM and corresponding observed time series by using a spectral analysis technique. As a byproduct, a time series cluster analysis method, using a function of the test statistic as the distance measure, is developed. A real data application is given to demonstrate the utility of the method.

Functional clustering for electricity demand data: A case study (시간단위 전력수요자료의 함수적 군집분석: 사례연구)

  • Yoon, Sanghoo;Choi, Youngjean
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.885-894
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    • 2015
  • It is necessary to forecast the electricity demand for reliable and effective operation of the power system. In this study, we try to categorize a functional data, the mean curve in accordance with the time of daily power demand pattern. The data were collected between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2011. And it were converted to time series data consisting of seasonal components and error component through log transformation and removing trend. Functional clustering by Ma et al. (2006) are applied and parameters are estimated using EM algorithm and generalized cross validation. The number of clusters is determined by classifying holidays or weekdays. Monday, weekday (Tuesday to Friday), Saturday, Sunday or holiday and season are described the mean curve of daily power demand pattern.

A Reexamination on the Influence of Fine-particle between Districts in Seoul from the Perspective of Information Theory (정보이론 관점에서 본 서울시 지역구간의 미세먼지 영향력 재조명)

  • Lee, Jaekoo;Lee, Taehoon;Yoon, Sungroh
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a computational model on the transfer of airborne fine particles to analyze the similarities and influences among the 25 districts in Seoul by quantifying a time series data collected from each district. The properties of each district are driven with the model of a time series of the fine particle concentrations, and the calculation of edge-based weights are carried out with the transfer entropies between all pairs of the districts. We applied a modularity-based graph clustering technique to detect the communities among the 25 districts. The result indicates the discovered clusters correspond to a high transfer-entropy group among the communities with geographical adjacency or high in-between traffic volumes. We believe that this approach can be further extended to the discovery of significant flows of other indicators causing environmental pollution.

A Direction of Politic Support for Infectious Disease in Busan Using Time-series Clustering: Focusing on COVID-19 Cases (시계열 군집을 활용한 부산시 감염병 지원 정책 방향: COVID-19 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kwun, Hyeon-Ho;Kim, Do-Hee;Park, Chan-Ho;Lee, Eun-Ju;Cho, KiHaing;Bae, Hye-Rim
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.125-138
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    • 2020
  • After the spread of COVID-19 in 2020, the country's Crisis Alert Level went up to the highest level, Level 4. Respond of COVID-19 pandemic, Governments, and cities secured each province's duty for the citizens. The government provided health assistance first and stepped forward to support the necessary resources for the citizens. Busan City proposed policy response to prepare and implement the Corona support for each county as well. The high occupant rate of self-business owners lost basic incomes, and the effect varies on industries. In our paper, to avoid any crisis in such an epidemic, we propose a clustering analysis for the guidance of policy support for Busan City. By analyzing patterns and clustering on districts and Sectors, we would like to provide reference materials for determining the direction of support and guiding preemptive response in the event of a similar epidemic.

Gene Screening and Clustering of Yeast Microarray Gene Expression Data (효모 마이크로어레이 유전자 발현 데이터에 대한 유전자 선별 및 군집분석)

  • Lee, Kyung-A;Kim, Tae-Houn;Kim, Jae-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1077-1094
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    • 2011
  • We accomplish clustering analyses for yeast cell cycle microarray expression data. To reflect the characteristics of a time-course data, we screen the genes using the test statistics with Fourier coefficients applying a FDR procedure. We compare the results done by model-based clustering, K-means, PAM, SOM, hierarchical Ward method and Fuzzy method with the yeast data. As the validity measure for clustering results, connectivity, Dunn index and silhouette values are computed and compared. A biological interpretation with GO analysis is also included.

Keyword Analysis of Two SCI Journals on Rock Engineering by using Text Mining (텍스트 마이닝을 이용한 암반공학분야 SCI논문의 주제어 분석)

  • Jung, Yong-Bok;Park, Eui-Seob
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.303-319
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    • 2015
  • Text mining is one of the branches of data mining and is used to find any meaningful information from the large amount of text. In this study, we analyzed titles and keywords of two SCI journals on rock engineering by using text mining to find major research area, trend and associations of research fields. Visualization of the results was also included for the intuitive understanding of the results. Two journals showed similar research fields but different patterns in the associations among research fields. IJRMMS showed simple network, that is one big group based on the keyword 'rock' with a few small groups. On the other hand, RMRE showed a complex network among various medium groups. Trend analysis by clustering and linear regression of keyword - year frequency matrix provided that most of the keywords increased in number as time goes by except a few descending keywords.