• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.17 no.6
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• pp.767-777
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• 2010

This paper investigates the relationship between the passenger car demand and business activities in the OECD. The positively linear relationships changed suddenly since 1990 and the reason was thought to be the polarized economic development of USA and Japan. The cases of other countries supports this conclusion. According to the conclusion, we modeled and estimated the car demand function of Korea.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1998.10b
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• pp.261-261
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• 1998

교통계획의 목적은 교통체계를 분석하여 교통과 활동간의 상호작용을 효율화시켜 도시 및 지역사회의 목표를 달성하는데 있으며, 합리적인 교통계획을 수립하여 한정된 투자재원을 효율적으로 배분하기 위해서는 교통수요에 대한 합리적 접근이 필요하다. 교통수요예측의 접근방법은 미시적인 개별적 접근방법과 거시적인 집단적 접근방법으로 구분되며, 다시 모형화 기법이 결정적인가 확률적인가에 따라 개별결정적, 개별활률적, 그리고 집단결정적, 집단확률적 모형의 4가지로 구분될 수 있다. 이 중에서 일반적으로 관심의 대상이 되는 2가지 형태는 집단결정적, 개발확률적 모형이다. 집단결정적모형은 전통적 교통수요예측모형에 해당되며, 개별확률적모형은 1970년대 Mc Fadden을 시작으로 Ben-Akiva, Manheim을 중심으로 한 소비자 행동선택 이론에 근거한 개별행태모형이 이에 해당된다. 개별행태모형은 개개인의 통행행태를 다른 모든 조건이 동일할 때 개개인은 비용의 최소화를 추구하고, 비용과 관련한 통행행태는 거시적 수준에서의 주어진 제약 조건과 관계가 있으며, 의사결정은 확률분포에 의해서 결정되는 효용원칙(Efficiency Principle)에 입각하여 해석한다. 도시내와 도시간, 취업자와 비취업자, 출퇴근 시, 목적별 등의 여러 가지 통행에 있어서 다양한 변수들을 사용하여 교통수단 선택모형의 파라메카 값을 추정하고 통행패턴을 분석해 왔다. 본 논문에서는 개별행태모형인 로짓모형 중에서 집단다항로짓모형을 이용하여 여러 통행 중 공항시설의 접근에 필요한 교통수단 효용함수의 파라메타 값 추정 시, 일반적으로 사용되는 통행시간, 통행비용이라는 변수를 공통으로 두고, 대중교통의 경우에만 해당하는 환승이라는 특정대안변수(Specific alternative variable)를 첨가하여 그것이 수단선택에 미치는 영향을 분석한다. 또한, 대중교통의 속성을 가지고 있는 지하철과 버스를 하나의 대안으로 묶어서 효용함수를 구한 다음 다시 승용차, 택시, 대중교통을 독립된 대안으로 두고 모형을 정립하는 NESTED LOGIT모형으로 파라메타를 추정하여 대중교통의 효용에 관해 분석·비교하였다. 본 논문에 이용된 자료는 공항을 이용하는 이용객들을 대상으로 직접 설문·면접조사한 자료이며 대상 교통수단은 승용차, 택시, 지하철, 버스로 설정하였다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.77-88
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• 2001

Until now, though most of the studies related to demand estimation method using traffic counts use methods based on singleclass, travel demands or flows are made by mixing various vehicles in real networks. In general, existing demand estimation methods based on traffic counts estimate O/D by converting a multiclass O/D matrix and traffic counts into a singleclass O/D matrix and traffic counts through PCE conversion, and analyze a O/D matrix by dividing into a multiclass O/D matrix and traffic counts after multiplying an estimated O/D matrix by the fixed ratio of a singleclass O/D matrix and traffic counts before PCE conversion. However, the merits of a demand estimation method based on multiclass calculate each route choice ratio about multiclass O/D, and maximize the estimation capability of multiclass by calculating each gradient, the reduction direction of objective function. Therefore, this study aims to establish a demand estimation method which considers congestion between vehicle and vehicle by using multiclass instead of singleclass.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.23 no.3 s.81
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• pp.35-47
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• 2005

This paper is to review a literature concerning Bus Transit Route Network Design(BTRNDP), to describe a future study direction for a systematic application for the BTRNDP. Since a bus transit uses a fixed route, schedule, stop, therefore an approach methodology is different from that of auto network design problem. An approach methodology for BTRNDP is classified by 8 categories: manual & guideline, market analysis, system analytic model. heuristic model. hybrid model. experienced-based model. simulation-based model. mathematical optimization model. In most previous BTRNDP, objective function is to minimize user and operator costs, and constraints on the total operator cost, fleet size and service frequency are common to several previous approach. Transit trip assignment mostly use multi-path trip assignment. Since the search for optimal solution from a large search space of BTRNDP made up by all possible solutions, the mixed combinatorial problem are usually NP-hard. Therefore, previous researches for the BTRNDP use a sequential design process, which is composed of several design steps as follows: the generation of a candidate route set, the route analysis and evaluation process, the selection process of a optimal route set Future study will focus on a development of detailed OD trip table based on bus stop, systematic transit route network evaluation model. updated transit trip assignment technique and advanced solution search algorithm for BTRNDP.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.33 no.6
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• pp.520-530
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• 2015

This paper formulates the methodologies to estimate optimal congestion tolls from long-run and short-run perspectives and applies them to the highways of Seoul. An optimal long-run congestion toll is estimated with an optimal volume-capacity-ratio to minimize the total costs which consist of two components: road construction and maintenance costs and traveler costs. By contrast, an optimal short-run congestion toll is estimated with a supply-demand equilibrium which is determined by using a speed-flow function and a disaggregate modal choice model. The results of a long-run analysis for the Seobu urban expressway suggest the optimal volume-capacity-ratio of 1.35 and the optimal congestion toll of 503 Won per automobile kilometer. By contrast, those of a short-run analysis for the Mia-ro urban arterial suggest 1.31 and 420 Won, respectively. Although our results are to some degree dependent on the interest rate and time value assumed, one basic conclusion holds up: the congestions toll tested could generate substantial gains in social welfare if applied to Seoul.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.1525-1534
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• 2014

In recent years, the passengers are likely to decide their route on impulse due to the development of the integrated public transport system, and real-time information system. Especially, public transport fare integration in Seoul Metropolitan area, 2004 makes them not to have resistance about changing the modes or routes and their route choice is most effected by the degree of congestion. Assignment model have limitations to describe route changes by congestion. In this study, the concept of a link cost function used in road assignment and Effective frequency is introduced to describe the passengers' behavior when the capacity of public transport is over and the waiting time variation. Two situations, new transit line operation and accident, are set up to validate the model, as a result of the transit assignment by this model, the traffic on networks is not over the capacity. It is expected that this study will be of help to reflect the various behaviors in transit assignments.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.32 no.6D
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• pp.679-686
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• 2012

KTX step 1 April 2004, after the opening, the second phase of the project was opened in November 2010. High-speed rail after the opening and continue to increase the demand of high-speed rail, Have the speed of competitive advantage compared too the means of transportation. The opening of these high-speed rail has led to changes of the move, the company's position, and the spatial structure of the population of reorganization, such as the social, economic, transportation. In this study, survey data using the High Speed Rail Station EMME/2 of the program to take advantage of the 2-Dimentional Blancing trip distribution to investigate the passage through the trip distribution by the estimation of the parameters of the model to estimate the distribution of the means of access and high-speed rail station to reproduce and Analysis of the results by means of access parameters (${\theta}$) autos 0.0395, buses 0.0390, subway 0.0650, taxi 0.0415, the frequency distribution (Trip Length Frequency Distribution: TLFD) were analyzed survey data value model with the results of comparing $R^2$ cars analysis and model values similar survey data 0.909 bus 0.923, subway 0.745 to 0.922, taxi, F test P value analysis is smaller than 0.05 at the 95% confidence level as a note that was judged to have been. Trip frequency distribution analysis, but in the future, set the unit to 5km-trip frequency distribution middle zone Units from small zone units (administrative district) segmentation research is needed, and can reflect the trip distance 0~5 km interval combined function to take advantage of the gravity model and the 3-Dimentional Blancing applied research is needed to be considered.