• Title/Summary/Keyword: 순환이용

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Trend/Cycle Decomposition Using DSGE Models (DSGE 모형을 이용한 추세와 경기순환변동분의 분해)

  • Hwang, Youngjin
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.117-156
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    • 2012
  • This paper decomposes and estimates trend/cyclical components of some key macro variables-GDP, inflation, and interest rate, using a simple DSGE model along with flexible trend specification. The extracted cyclical components of output and interest rate are similar to HP-filtered counterparts, despite some differences in persistence and volatility, while inflation resembles that from BK filtering. This implies that the usual practice of applying a single filtering method to the data of interest may be problematic. When the baseline model is extended to incorporate consumption habit and price indexation, habit turns out to be important in explaining the persistence of business cycles. Comparison of several alternative models shows that the usual practice of estimation of DSGE model using filtered data leads to biased results. Finally, various sensitivity analyses illustrate that (1) allowing for correlation between structural cyclical shocks and trend shocks and (2) including irregular components (in inflation rate) may deliver interesting/important implication for gap estimates.

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Analysis of change in hydrological cycles of South Korea, China and Japan due to the change of their vegetation since 1950 (1950년 이후 한국, 중국, 일본의 식생변화 및 이에 따른 수문순환 변화 분석)

  • Song, Sung-uk;Cho, Eunsaem;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.470-483
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    • 2017
  • Changes in land cover or land use, such as changes in forest area, can cause changes in water and energy circulation, ultimately affecting overall hydrological cycle including stream flow, evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and base flow. In this study, the changes of the hydrological processes over the past long period were simulated by using large-scale surface hydrologic model along with various soil, land use, vegetation, and meteorological data. For this purpose, this study simulated and evaluated the changes in the hydrological cycle for the past 50 years (1955-2010) in East Asia including China, Japan and South Korea. In particular, this study used the land cover maps which can properly reflect the vegetation condition for each simulation period. As results, the mean runoff ratio of China was estimated to be 47.0% over the entiree period, 62.7% in Japan and 49.4% in South Korea. The mean soil moisture of China was estimated to be 22.2%, 35.6% in Japan and 23.9% in South Korea. Finally, the mean evapotranspiration rate was estimated to be 52.7% in China, 37.3% in Japan and 50.4% in South Korea. Especially, in China, the hydrological cycle was found to be changed very much for the entire simulation period. However, in Japan, the hydrological cycle was found to be very stable for the entire simulation period. The hydrological cycle was also found to become stable mainly due to the stabilization of the vegetation.

A Study on the Combustion Flow Characteristic and NOx Reduction of the Exhaust Gas Recurculation Burner using Coanda Nozzles (코안다 노즐을 이용한 배기가스 재순환 버너의 연소 유동 특성 및 NOx 저감에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Ji Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2017
  • Various researches have been conducted for the reduction of NOx at the combustion furnace and exhaust gas recirculation method is commonly used technology for NOx reduction. The present research adopted coanda nozzles at the outside pipes of furnace to entrain the exhaust gas for the exhaust gas recirculation and the mixed gas was ejected to the tangential direction to cause the swirl flow in the furnace. The combustion flow characteristics in the exhaust gas recirculation burner with coanda nozzle has been elucidated by analyzing the swirl flow streamlines, temepraure and reaction rate distribution in the furnace. The exhaust gas entrained flow rate has been investigated by changing the excess air factor and coanda nozzle gap and the exhaust gas entrained flow rate increased with the increase of excess air factor and it decreased with the increase of coanda nozzle gap. The mean temperature at the exit plane of exhaust gas decreased with the excess air factor and it was little affected by the increase of coanda nozzle gap. The NOx mass fraction at the exhaust gas exit plane remarkably decreased with the excess air factor and it was also little affected by the increase of coanda nozzle gap.

Development and application of improving techniques for watershed water cycle to adapt climate change - Lam Takhong reservoir in Thailand (기후변화 적응 유역 물순환 개선기술 개발 및 적용 - Lam Takhong Reservoir (Thailand))

  • Jang, Cheol Hee;Kim, Hyeon Jun;Cho, Jae Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.395-395
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    • 2018
  • 기후변화 및 토지이용변화에 따라 강우량 및 증발산량 등과 같은 물순환계 구성요소가 변화하면 유역에서의 물순환계가 영향을 받게 된다. 이렇게 변화된 유역의 물순환계를 종합적으로 관리하기 위해서는 물순환 개선 기술을 통한 지속가능하고 건전한 물순환체계의 구축이 필요하다. 유역 물순환 개선 기술은 기후변화가 진행 중에 있거나 예상되는 지역에 대하여 강우-유출수를 지연, 저류, 침투시켜 지속가능한 물순환체계를 유지 회복하도록 하는 기술이라 할 수 있다. 한국건설기술연구원에서는 기후변화 대비 수자원 적응기술 개발 연구단(CCAW, Climate Change Adaptation for Water resources)의 연구비 지원을 받아 유역 건전성 및 취약성을 평가 하고 취약한 유역에 대한 물순환 개선기술을 확보하기 위한 연구를 수행 중에 있다. 특히, 수년간 국가연구개발사업을 통해 개발되고 사업화에 성공한바 있는 유역 물순환 평가 모형인 CAT(Catchment hydrologic cycle Assessment Tool)을 수정 개선하여 수요자 중심의 활발한 현장 적용을 도모하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 개발된 유역 물순환 개선 및 평가시스템의 적용성 평가를 위하여 대상유역으로 태국의 Lam Takhong 저수지 유역을 선정하였다. Lam Takhong 저수지 유역은 유역면적은 $1,423km^2$이며 저류량은 약 $440{\times}106m^3$이다. 입력자료인 DEM, Land Cover 자료는 USGS Hydro1K (https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/), 하천망 및 유역경계 자료는 USGS HydroSHEDS (https://hydrosheds.cr.usgs.gov/dataavail.php), 기상 및 관측 유입량, 저수지 제원 등의 자료는 APEC 기후센터의 협조를 받아 1976년부터 2016년까지의 일단위 자료를 이용하였다. 모의결과는 저수지 월별 관측 유입량과 상류 유역의 모의 유출량을 이용하여 비교-분석 하였다. Lam Takhong 저수지 상류 유역은 APEC 기후센터에서 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 저수지 유입량 분석을 수행한 바 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 결과를 SWAT 모의결과와 비교하여 그 적용성을 검증하였다. 월별 관측 유입량과 저수지 상류 유역 모의 유출량을 비교한 결과 CAT의 경우 결정계수(R2) 값이 0.86, SWAT은 0.76으로 나타나 CAT의 적용 결과가 좀 더 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 모의 결과는 매개변수 최적화 과정을 거치지 않은 결과이며 SWAT 모형과의 결과 비교를 위하여 매개변수는 동일하게 적용하였다. 향후 매개변수 최적화 모듈을 통해 검 보정 단계를 거친다면 정밀한 분석이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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Development of a Large-Scale Hot Water Production System Using a Natural Circulation Loop (자연순환회로를 이용한 대형 온수생산 시스템의 개발)

  • 반태곤;이주동;이상천;김영길
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.233-241
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    • 1999
  • A large-scale hot water production system using a natural circulation loop was developed. A computer simulation program was developed to design and evaluate thermal performance of the natural circulation system for hot water production. An experimental apparatus was set up and was tested against various conditions to exhibit a stable operating region of the natural circulation loop. When the system was a stable state for heating rate (695 ㎾) and feed water was circulated at 0.3 $\ell$/s constantly. A unstable state was checked by experiment and that time flow rate was oscillated with 0.4∼0.6 $\ell$/s. The result showed that the program can predict the thermal performance of the large-scale hot water system using the natural circulation loop and can be utilized to design the system.

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Radiocarbon for Studies of Organic Matter Cycling in the Ocean (방사성탄소를 이용한 해양 유기탄소 순환 연구 동향)

  • Hwang, Jeomshik
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.189-201
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    • 2012
  • Radiocarbon is a powerful tool for studies of carbon cycling in the ocean. Development of measurement technology of accelerator mass spectrometry has enabled researchers to measure radiocarbon even in specific compounds. In this paper, a brief introduction on radiocarbon measurement and reporting of radiocarbon data is provided. Researches that used radiocarbon measurements on bulk organic matter, organic compound classes, and specific organic compounds are reviewed. Examples include works to understand the cycling of particulate and dissolved organic matter, biochemical composition of particulate organic matter, post-depositional transport of sedimentary organic matter, selective incorporation of fresh organic matter by benthic organisms, chemoautotrophy by archaea, and sources of halogenated chemical compounds found in marine mammals.