• International Area Studies Review
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.175-196
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• 2011

The developing countries have a lot of dormant resources, attempting the take-off of economic growth. The theory of 'vent for surplus' and Lewis model provide a good cornerstones to analyze the effect of export, FDI and domestic production on employment. This paper attempts to do empirical test to figure out what factor is significant as the determinant of Chinese employment. For this test, the estimation equations are derived from the Cobb-Douglas production function. The results are that the domestic production affects the most positive employment, compared to FDI and export. Unlikely general expectation, export doesn't have an substantial effect on employment in China. It is also found that the absorption of technology through export is lower than that of FDI in terms of the effect of technology on employment. So it is suggested that the employment policy should be shifted toward the increase of domestic production by using FDI rather than by promoting export industry. to reduce the internal imbalance.

• Korea Trade Review
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• v.48 no.2
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• pp.129-151
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• 2023

This study explores whether market share matters for ERPT and also for the effects of FTA on ERPT among exporting countries in the four major fishery import markets - frozen pollock, frozen mackerel, frozen tuna, and frozen spawn in South Korea. In addition, I investigate whether market share matters for price competition among exporting countries. For this, I estimate the export price equation based on the maximum likelihood method by utilizing data on export price in terms of Korean currency, and the cross rate between South Korea and the exporting countries from 2010:M1 to 2019:M12 for the four major fishery import markets. According to the findings, the market share of exporting countries in the import markets matters for the positive effects of FTA on ERPT; however, it is hard to find the relation between the market share of exporting counties and ERPT. In addition, I find little evidence on the effects of market share on price competition structures among exporting countries. I believe that this study helps domestic fishery producers to understand that ERPT, the effect of FTA on ERPT, and price competition structures among exporting countries would be affected by the market share of each exporting country in the major fishery import markets in South Korea. Also, this study would help domestic fishery producers to think about how to deal with the effects of the change in the exchange rate on fishery markets for each FTA partner according to its market share after FTA is effective.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.157-184
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• 1995

본 연구는 한국 제조업의 기업별 <패널>자료를 이용하여 확율 적 생산함수를 추정한 다음, 우리 나라의 주종 수출산업인 섬유산업과 전자산업의 기술적 효율성이 1980년대에 하락한 이유를 규명하기 위하여 동종산업내의 각 기업들의 기술적 효율성의 결정요인을 계량분석을 통해 분석하였다. 성장산업인 전자산업과 사양산업인 섬유산업의 산업 내 (intra-industry) 기술적 효율성의 결정요인은 상하였다. 성장산업인 전자산업의 경우, 상대적인 기업의 크기와 노동비용의 상대적 크기는 기술적 효율성과 각각 정의 관계를 보이고 있는데 비해, 사양산업인 섬유산업의 경우, 총 매출액에서 수출이 차지하는 비중과 기술적 효율성과 반의 관계를 보였다. 즉 1980년대 섬유산업의 기술적 효율성이 하락한 중요한 요인은 동 산업의 수출부진과 상대적인 노동비용의 상승을 들 수 있으며, 성장산업인 전자산업의 경우는 일부 대기업의 집중도 심화가 동 산업의 평균적 기술적 효율성의 하락요인이 되었음을 알 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 경쟁의 촉진과 기업 집중도의 완화가 기술적 효율성을 향상시키는 데 중요하다는 점을 보여주고 있다.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.35-46
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• 2016

This study investigates the export behavior of Busan, Gwangyang and Incheon Port. The monthly data cover the period from January 2000 to December 2015. We employ six export functions composed of various exchange rates and industrial production index. This paper finds that the nominal effective exchange rate is more appropriate for explaining the export behaviors of the three ports, regardless of the narrow and wide indices which comprise 26 and 61 economies for the nominal and real indices respectively. This paper tests whether exchange rate and industrial production are stationary or not, rejecting the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration at the 5 percent significance level. The error-correction model is estimated to find that both Gwangyang and Incheon ports are much slower than Busan port in adjusting the short-run disequilibrium and Gwangyang port is a little slower than Incheon port. The rolling regressions show that the influence of exchange rate as well as industrial production tends to decrease in all of three ports. The variance decomposition, however, shows that the export variables are very exogenous and the export of Busan Port is the least exogenous and that of Gwangyang Port the most. This result indicates that the economic variables such as exchange rate and economic activity affect the export of Busan Port more strongly than that of Gwangyang and Incheon Port.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.517-541
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• 2012

Since the Korea-Chile FTA in 2003, eight FTAs are now in force including Korea-EU and Korea-US FTA. The government anticipate that FTAs increase the GDP of Korea. Government-related research institutes officially reports the positive economic impact in Korea. However, the report does not show that how much Busan economy is affected by the FTAs. For this reason, we study the economic effects of FTAs in Busan. We compare the trade statistics before and after the time each FTA is in force. The resulting figures show that the exports and trades of Busan with the FTA nations increased significantly after the enforcement. For example, the exports to Chile increased by 273% when we compare the three-year average trade. We also construct an econometrics model to estimate the price elasticity. The estimated elasticity of exports for manufactured goods is 1.38 while that of imports is 0.83. Among the manufacturing industry, machinery has the highest price elasticity, 1.8. The average tariff for manufactured goods is 3.9% for FTA nations, while that is 5.8% for Busan. This higher price fall in Busan is offset by the lower price elasticity to make Busan's export increase be greater than Busan's import increase. Busan's export increases by 4.8% while import increases by 3.7%. So, it is expected to be added to the annual trade surplus of approximately $107million.

• Economic Analysis
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.72-113
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• 2020

This study investigates the relationship between mineral exports to China, North Korea's most important source of foreign currency acquisition, and its imports of various items from China from the first quarter of 1995 through to the third quarter of 2019. The results from a cointegration analysis suggest that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between mineral exports and imports of food, fuel, and some intermediate goods, such as industrial supplies, parts, and accessories. The results from a vector autoregression using first-differenced variables indicate that the short-run relationship between mineral exports and imports is different between the period before and after the third quarter of 2010. Prior to structural changes, i.e., before the third quarter of 2010, import shocks affected mineral exports. However, after the third quarter of 2010, an increase in mineral exports led to an increase in the import of vehicles, intermediate goods, and luxury goods. This paper shows both the possibilities and the limits that mineral exports can contribute to North Korea's economic growth. The results, which show that mineral exports have a long-run relationship with intermediate goods, such as industrial supplies, parts and accessories, imply that mineral exports to China could have a positive effect on the North Korean economy. However, the fact that mineral exports do not have any significant effect on the import of machinery and equipment, which helps the accumulation of capital formation, shows that mineral exports have a limited effect on inducing long-term growth in the North Korean economy.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.3-54
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• 1995

외환(外換) 및 자본자유화(資本自由化)의 진전에 따라 환율(換率)의 변동폭이 커지면서 환율(換率)이 국제수지(國際收支)에 미치는 영향에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 환율(換率)이 국제수지(國際收支)에 미치는 효과는 일차적으로 우리나라 수출입함수(輸出入函數)의 가격탄력성(價格彈力性)에 의해 결정되므로 정확한 탄성치(彈性値)를 추정하는 일은 이론적으로나 정책적으로 매우 중요한 의미를 갖는다. 본고에서는 우리나라 수입함수(輸入函數)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄성치(價格彈性値) 추정에 있어서 사용 가능한 두가지의 가격지수(價格指數), 즉 수입단가(輸入單價)와 수입물가(輸入物價) 중 어느 것을 사용하는 것이 바람직한 것인지를 살펴보고 이중 이론적으로 우월한 지수를 이용하여 수입함수(輸入函數)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄성치(價格彈性値)를 추정하고자 하였다. 분석으로부터 얻는 중요한 결론(結論)은, 우리나라의 경우 수입함수(輸入函數)의 분석에 있어서 수입단가(輸入單價)보다는 수입물가(輸入物價)를 이용하는 것이 더 적합하리라는 점이다. 이는 또한 우리나라 실질(實質)GNP의 추계에 있어서 현재의 수입단가(輸入單價) 이용방식에서 수입물가(輸入物價) 이용방식으로 편제방법을 바꾸는 것이 바람직하다는 것을 의미한다. 이같은 결론은 이론적, 실증적인 변에서 아래와 같은 네가지 이유에 근거한다. 먼저 이론적인 면에서는 첫째, 수입단가(輸入單價)가 물가지수(物價指數)로서 갖추어야 할 통계적 일관성을 갖추지 못하고 있다는 점을 지적할 수 있다. 즉 수입단가(輸入單價)는 어느 일정 규격조건(規格條件)의 상품가격(商品價格)을 일관성 있게 추적하는 것이 아니므로 잡다한 품질규격의 평균가격(平均價格)으로 나타날 가능성이 높으며 이러한 변에서 가격변화(價格變化)를 정확히 반영하지 못한다. 둘째, 수입단가지수(輸入單價指數)는 가격변화(價格變化)가 전혀 없을 때에도 총수입(總輸入)의 품목별 구성(構成)이 바뀌면 변동하는 속성을 지니고 있어 가격변동(價格變動) 상황(狀況)을 오도할 가능성을 지니고 있다. 다음으로 실증적인 면에서는 첫째, 수입단가(輸入單價)를 이용한 수입함수(輸入函數)에서는 가격변수(價格變數)의 계수(係數)가 이론상 기대되는 것과는 반대되는 부호를 가짐으로써 수입함수(輸入函數))로서의 기본적인 요건을 만족시키지 못하는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 둘째, 단가지수(單價指數)를 이용한 경우 소득(所得)과 상대가격(相對價格)을 회귀변수로 하는 수입함수(輸入函數)에서 장기안정적인 균충관계(均衝關係)가 존재하지 않은 것으로 판명되었다. 반면 수입물가(輸入物價)를 이용한 수입함수(輸入函數)에서는 각 변수의 계수(係數)가 이론적 기대치에 부합하였으며 장기안정적인 균충관계(均衝關係)가 성립하는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 한편 미국에서는 수출입단가지수(輸出入單價指數)의 문제점에 대한 오랜 연구 결과, 1989년부터 단가지수(單價指數)의 편제를 아예 중단하는 조치를 취한 바 있으며, GNP추계에 있어서도 종래의 수출입단가(輸出入單價) 대신 수출입물가(輸出入物價)를 이용하는 방식으로 그 편제방법을 변경한 바 있다.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.291-336
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• 2005

This paper investigates how oil price changes have an impact on the Korean manufacturing production activities. For this investigation, we use a structural VAR motel to estimate impulse response functions of industrial production, producer price and export price to an oil price increase over manufacturing industries. It finds that in most manufacturing industries, an oil price increase leads to decreases in industrial productions and domestic prices except energy intensive industries, but to increases in industrial export prices except non-metallic (26), computers and offic machinery (30), electronic components, radio, television and communication (32) industries. This result explains that an oil price increase makes negative impacts on the manufacturing production activities not only through demand slowdown in the domestic markets but also through supply contraction in the export markets.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.411-433
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• 2015

This paper decomposed energy productivity changes across 14 Korean manufacturing industries into 5 components, technological catch-up(EC), technological progress(TC), and changes in labor-energy ratio(LC), capital-energy ratio(KC) and energy mix(EMC). Then we also figured out the possible relationship between energy productivity change and export growth rate across the industries. It is found that (1) technological progress, changes in capital-energy ratio and energy mix contribute to energy productivity growth in Korea during the sample period, (2) technological progress is the primary driving forces for energy productivity growth, (3) increase in export growth rate had a positive impact on energy productivity growth excepting a part of energy-intensive industries.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.759-780
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• 2009

The purpose of this paper is to analyse the effect of Korean FDI(1990-2008) in China by industries on exports and imports between two countries. We use time series regression, Vector Error Correction Model and Impulse Response Function as methodologies. Our findings through empirical tests are as follows. First Korean FDI in China increases Korean exports with China but shows a tendency to decrease due to the local content of China. Second Korean FDI in China increases Korean imports in SITC 8 with China. Finally Korean trade surplus caused by Korean FDI in China shrinks due to the decreasing of exports and increasing of imports in Korea. Korean FDI in China should be oriented host country's market oriented rather than production efficiency oriented because of unfriendly foreign investment environments in China.