• 제목/요약/키워드: 수요평가모델

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A Study for CT Technology Valuation Methods (CT기술 가치평가에 관한 연구)

  • Ham, Hyung-Bum;Lee, Yang-Sun;Kim, Ki-Hoon;Jung, Woo-Chai
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.9 no.8
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    • pp.1086-1094
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    • 2006
  • The CT is all relation knowledge and technology which are applied to make the culture contents. Recently demand regarding the CT is increasing rapidly with a great growth and high technology of culture contents industry. In this paper we suggest a CT technology valuation model for promoting R & D results and technical diffusion of the CT. Also, It is shown how to derive a value of the CT using simulation. For it, we study a classification and distinctive characteristics of the CT. And this paper reviews the methods of technology valuation that have been developed by valuation specialists.

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Double Encoder-Decoder Model for Improving the Accuracy of the Electricity Consumption Prediction in Manufacturing (제조업 전력량 예측 정확성 향상을 위한 Double Encoder-Decoder 모델)

  • Cho, Yeongchang;Go, Byung Gill;Sung, Jong Hoon;Cho, Yeong Sik
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.9 no.12
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    • pp.419-430
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigated methods to improve the forecasting accuracy of the electricity consumption prediction model. Currently, the demand for electricity has continuously been rising more than ever. Since the industrial sector uses more electricity than any other sectors, the importance of a more precise forecasting model for manufacturing sites has been highlighted to lower the excess energy production. We propose a double encoder-decoder model, which uses two separate encoders and one decoder, in order to adapt both long-term and short-term data for better forecasts. We evaluated our proposed model on our electricity power consumption dataset, which was collected in a manufacturing site of Sehong from January 1st, 2019 to June 30th, 2019 with 1 minute time interval. From the experiment, the double encoder-decoder model marked about 10% reduction in mean absolute error percentage compared to a conventional encoder-decoder model. This result indicates that the proposed model forecasts electricity consumption more accurately on manufacturing sites compared to an encoder-decoder model.

3D Model Generation and Accuracy Evaluation using Unmanned Aerial Oblique Image (무인항공 경사사진을 이용한 3차원 모델 생성 및 정확도 평가)

  • Park, Joon-Kyu;Jung, Kap-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.587-593
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    • 2019
  • The field of geospatial information is rapidly changing due to the development of sensor and data processing technology that can acquire location information. And demand is increasing in various related industries and social activities. The construction and utilization of three dimensional geospatial information that is easy to understand and easy to understand can be an essential element to improve the quality and reliability of related services. In recent years, 3D laser scanners are widely used as 3D geospatial information construction technology. However, 3D laser scanners may cause shadow areas where data acquisition is not possible when objects are large in size or complex in shape. In this study, 3D model of an object has been created by acquiring oblique images using an unmanned aerial vehicle and processing the data. The study area was selected, oblique images were acquired using an unmanned aerial vehicle, and point cloud type 3D model with 0.02 m spacing was created through data processing. The accuracy of the 3D model was 0.19m and the average was 0.11m. In the future, if accuracy is evaluated according to shooting and data processing methods, and 3D model construction and accuracy evaluation and analysis according to camera types are performed, the accuracy of the 3D model will be improved. In the point cloud type 3D model, Cross section generation, drawing of objects, and so on, it is possible to improve work efficiency of spatial information service and related work.

Development of Ground Motion Models within Rock Based on Ground Motion Data Measured at Borehole Seismic Stations (시추공 관측소 계측 자료에 기반한 암반의 지반운동 모델 개발)

  • Sinhang Kang
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.301-311
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    • 2024
  • In South Korea, following the 2016 Gyeongju and 2017 Pohang earthquakes, the need for earthquake disaster prevention has been increasing. Reliable techniques for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and ground motion models are required for quantifying earthquake damage. Recently, there has been growing demand for deep underground facilities, necessitating accurate quantification techniques for earthquake damage in deep underground. In this study, ground motion models within rock were proposed using ground motion data measured at borehole seismic stations. A regression analysis, a type of empirical technique, was applied to 17 periods selected in a range from 0.01 to 10 s of spectral accelerations to develop the ground motion models. Residual analysis was performed to evaluate and improve the prediction performance of the ground motion model, with correction factors added to the model equation. When applying the proposed model, the group means of residuals approached zero, and the standard deviation of total residuals, similar to existing models proposed in other countries, confirmed the reliability of the proposed model.

Service Evaluation Models from Transit Users' Perspectives (대중교통 이용자 관점의 서비스 평가 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Won-Gil;Roh, Chang-Gyun;Son, Bong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 2012
  • The evaluation of public transit service quality is more complicated than evaluating other aspects of transportation service. Although various measures of effectiveness [MOEs] for transit service have been studied and applied, a more comprehensive and accurate MOE is still required. In the past, either data from user surveys or the experience of bus agency administrators and/or engineers used to measure the quality of service. However, recently, with reliable and accurate real time data from BMS(Bus Management System) and BIS(Bus Information System), more reliable and accurate MOEs are available. This study develops a service evaluation model from users' perspectives, which is based on user' cost models that consider passenger access time, riding time, waiting time, and discomfort due to in-vehicle overcrowding, violation of traffic laws, and accident rate. For validating proposed model, data from the BMS and transit-fare cards (T-Money Card) for Seoul's No. 472 main bus line were used. Models developed in this study provided reliable results.

Assessment of Hydrological Drought Risk Considering Regional Water Supply Capacity (지역적 용수공급능력을 고려한 수문학적 가뭄 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, Ji Eun;Yu, Jisoo;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.152-152
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    • 2020
  • 가뭄은 장기간에 걸쳐 광범위하게 발생하는 특징으로 인해 자연재해뿐만 아니라 사회·경제적으로도 큰 피해를 야기한다. 즉, 가뭄으로 인한 댐의 용수 공급 부족은 공업·농업뿐만 아니라 국민들의 생활에도 상당한 피해를 미친다. 하지만, 가뭄으로 인한 지역의 피해정도는 해당 지역의 특성 또는 가뭄에 대한 지역의 대처 능력에 따라 매우 상이하게 나타난다. 따라서, 가뭄에 의한 피해를 저감시키고 안전한 용수공급이 이루어질 수 있도록 지역의 특성 및 용수 공급 체계를 고려한 위험 정도를 분석하는 것이 필요하며, 사람들과 직접적인 연관성이 높은 물수급 관련 인자들을 고려하여 가뭄의 잠재적 영향 및 피해정도를 파악할 수 있는 가뭄 위험도 평가가 수행되어야 한다. 그러나 용수공급 및 수요 현황을 반영한 가뭄 노출성 및 취약성 평가는 아직 부족한 실정이며, 각 인자에 대한 가중치를 산정하는데 설문조사 또는 단순평균방법이 많이 이용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 용수공급 체계 및 지역적 특성을 고려하고 객관적인 가중치 산정방안이 적용된 확률·통계적 가뭄 위험도를 평가방법을 제시하였다. 먼저, 용수공급 실패 사상의 발생 확률이 적용된 결합가뭄관리지수(Joint Drought Management Index, JDMI)를 통해 가뭄노출성지수(Drought Hazard Index, DHI)를 산정하고, 각 인자에 대한 영향정도를 객관적으로 판단할 수 있는 가우스 혼합 모델을 활용하여 가뭄취약성지수(Drought Vulnerability Index, DVI)를 산정하였다. 이 두 지수를 결합하여 가뭄위험도지수(Drought Risk Index, DRI)를 계산하고 위험도 평가를 수행하였다. 충청지역에 적용한 결과, DHI는 용수공급 실패 사상의 발생확률이 큰 보령시가 가장 높게 나타났으며, DVI는 농업적 요소의 가중치가 크게 산정됨에 따라 청주시가 가장 높게 산정되었다. DHI와 DVI가 결합된 DRI의 경우는 청주시가 가장 위험한 것으로 나타났다. 따라서, DRI가 가장 높은 청주시는 충정 지역의 가뭄 위험 경감을 위한 대응 수립시 우선적으로 고려되어야 한다.

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A Integrated Model of Land/Transportation System

  • 이상용
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 1995.12a
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    • pp.45-73
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    • 1995
  • The current paper presents a system dynamics model which can generate the land use anq transportation system performance simultaneously is proposed. The model system consists of 7 submodels (population, migration of population, household, job growth-employment-land availability, housing development, travel demand, and traffic congestion level), and each of them is designed based on the causality functions and feedback loop structure between a large number of physical, socio-economic, and policy variables. The important advantages of the system dynamics model are as follows. First, the model can address the complex interactions between land use and transportation system performance dynamically. Therefore, it can be an effective tool for evaluating the time-by-time effect of a policy over time horizons. Secondly, the system dynamics model is not relied on the assumption of equilibrium state of urban systems as in conventional models since it determines the state of model components directly through dynamic system simulation. Thirdly, the system dynamics model is very flexible in reflecting new features, such as a policy, a new phenomenon which has not existed in the past, a special event, or a useful concept from other methodology, since it consists of a lots of separated equations. In Chapter I, II, and III, overall approach and structure of the model system are discussed with causal-loop diagrams and major equations. In Chapter V _, the performance of the developed model is applied to the analysis of the impact of highway capacity expansion on land use for the area of Montgomery County, MD. The year-by-year impacts of highway capacity expansion on congestion level and land use are analyzed with some possible scenarios for the highway capacity expansion. This is a first comprehensive attempt to use dynamic system simulation modeling in simultaneous treatment of land use and transportation system interactions. The model structure is not very elaborate mainly due to the problem of the availability of behavioral data, but the model performance results indicate that the proposed approach can be a promising one in dealing comprehensively with complicated urban land use/transportation system.

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A Study on Systematic Risk Assessment Method for LNG Storage Facilities (LNG 저장설비에 대한 체계적인 위험성평가 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Mee-Jin;Lee, Young-Soon;Lee, Seung-Rim
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2009
  • As the consumption of LNG has increased, the capacity and number of LNG facilities are getting bigger and bigger. Such circumstances supports the need for a dedicated risk analysis model to help review and check major issues of the safer construction and operation of LNG storage facilities systematically. Therefore this study suggests an appropriate risk analysis model that enables us to evaluate hazards of LNG storage facilities more easily and systematically, and then to use its result in siting, design and construction stages of the facilities. ill order to develop the model, lots of existing studies and domestic and foreign codes and standards were fully reviewed and a series of case studies also were carried out. The suggested model consists of 4-stage evaluations: in selecting a site, in determining a layout, in designing and constructing the facilities, and in operating them. This model also suggests the weather condition necessary for estimating the consequence of accident-scenarios, and the easy, systematic approach to the analysis of their probability. We expect that the model may help secure LNG storage facilities' inherent safety in determining their site and layout.

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Model-Based Approach to Flight Test System Development to Cope with Demand for Simultaneous Guided Missile Flight Tests (동시다발적인 유도무기 비행시험 수요에 대응하기 위한 모델기반 비행시험 시스템 개발)

  • Park, Woong;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.268-277
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    • 2019
  • Flight test systems should monitor various conditions in real time during flight tests and take safety measures in an emergency. The importance of ensuring test safety increases in more complicated and wider test environments. Also, due to the transition of wartime operational authority, many guided missile systems must be developed simultaneously. Early deployment and budget reduction by shortening the development and T&E periods are also necessary. Consequently, the risk of flight tests under the circumstance of inefficient test resources is increasing. To address this deficiency, a flight test system model using SysML was proposed in this study. The method of designing and verifying the test system is based on the agile shift left testing methodology of advanced T&E labs and utilizing a system reference model in the aerospace field. Through modeling and simulation analysis, early identification and correction of faults resulting from inconsistent test requirements can mitigate the risk of delays during the T&E phase of flight tests. Also, because the flight test system model was constructed using SysML, it can be applied to test various guided missile systems.

A Study of the Activation Plan for the Hinterland of Gwangyang Port using Delphi/Fuzzy-AHP (Delphi/Fuzzy-AHP를 이용한 광양항 배후단지 활성화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seon-Gu;Choi, Yong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2012.06a
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    • pp.240-241
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to propose a development strategy and an activation plan of port hinterland. To do this, we design a Delphi/Fuzzy-AHP model using Delphi and Fuzzy-AHP.

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