• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.89-97
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• 1989

본고(本稿)의 목적(目的)은 현재 우리나라 신규(新規)아파트분양시장(分讓市場)에서 실시되고 있는 가격규제(價格規制), 특히 최고가격제(最高價格制) 채권입찰제(債券入札制) 아래서 수요(需要)의 가격탄성치(價格彈性値)를 계측(計測)해 보는 데 있다. 계측결과(計測結果) 중 흥미로운 것은, 첫째 분양가를 기준으로 계측한 평형별(坪型別) 가격탄성치(價格彈性値)가 대부분이고 2.5~3.5 사이의 수치(數値)를 일관성있게 보여 신규아파트 분양수요가 가격에 대단히 탄력적이고, 둘째 평형별(坪型別) 군별(群別) 신규(新規)아파트 수요(需要)의 가격탄성치(價格彈性値)는 2군(群)이 1군(群)보다 절대값에서 작은 수치를 보여주었으며, 셋째 아파트 가격이 상승함에 따라 절대값으로 표시한 가격탄성치(價格彈性値)가 처음에는 커져다가 점점 작아지는 것으로 보아 수요곡선이 완만한 L형을 나타낼 것이라는 점이다.

• 전기의세계
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• v.9
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• pp.59-71
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• 1962

전력사업은 시설산업으로서 타기업에 비해 장기간의 공기와 막대한 자금이 소유되며 광대한 고정시설을 보유한다. 따라서 전기사업에 있어서의 장기계획은 장기간의 수요동향을 파악하여 이 수요에 맞는 시설계획 및 자금계획을 수립하여 장래수합 및 수지균형을 도모해야한다. 따라서 전원개발계획수립에 있어서 가장 핵심적인 역할을 하는 것은 수요상정이라 할 수 있을 것이다. 단, 이 수요상정을 그릇치면 중대한 결과가 초래되는것이니 적극적인 상정에 기인하는 수요를 상회하는 발전시설은 자금의 사장을 의미하는 것이며 소극적인 상정은 반대로 부가제한을 가져올 것이다. 수요상정에 따라 개발순위 및 건설공사계획표가 작성되어 가동일자가 결정되며 이에 기준하여 연료수급계획이 작성된다. 일면 이 전력을 반송하고 수용에 반응하기 위한 송변배전시설계획이 병행작성 수립되어야 한다. 최종적으로 자금계획이 성안되어 이와같은 계획을 경제적으로 뒷받침하여야 함은 물론이다. 개발계획수립에 있어서 고려해야 할 점은 이외에도 예비출력 및 단위기용량의 결정, 개발순위에 관련되는 수화력개발의 우위성에 관한 검토, 부가곡선을 통한 부가율 및 용량율의 결정, 등 실로 광범하며 이와 같은 제반요소를 집대성한 것이 전원개발계획이다. 본고에서는 우리나라 5개년전원개발계획을 설명하고 전원개발계획에 관련된 제반문제중 및가지 문제점에 한정하여 이를 약술하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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• 2003.02a
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• pp.173-190
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• 2003

Demand forecasting is essential in establishing national and corporate strategy as well as the management of their resource. We forecast demand for multi-generation product using discrete choice model combining diffusion model The discrete choice model generally captures consumers'valuation of the product's qualify in the framework of a cross-sectional analysis. We incorporate diffusion effects into a discrete choice model in order to capture the dynamics of demand for multi-generation products. As an empirical application, we forecast demand for worldwide DRAM (dynamic random access memory) and each of its generations from 1999 to 2005. In so doing, we use the method of 'Technological Forecasting'for DRAM Density and Price of the generations based on the Moore's law and learning by doing, respectively. Since we perform our analysis at the market level, we adopt the inversion routine in using the discrete choice model and find that our model performs well in explaining the current market situation, and also in forecasting new product diffusion in multi-generation product markets.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.319-342
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• 2022

This study analyzed the effect of pay-as-you-throw bag prices on domestic waste through the natural experiment difference in difference with synthetic control method using cases of price cuts in some districts in Busan in 2019. In order to consider the endogenous problem when estimating demand and price elasticity, the price-invariant district was set as a synthetic control group and the price-cutting district was set as a treatment group. As a result of the analysis, the price elasticity of demand was 0.05~0.11, and the price of the pay-as-you-throw bag had little effect in sales. This seems to be because pay-as-you-throw bag is necessities and account for a very small proportion of household income. This suggests that a policy that can shift the demand curve will be more effective than a price policy to achieve the waste reduction goal because the demand curve is almost vertical.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.519-547
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• 2005

The aim of this study is to analysis how economic welfare lost happens within the present korea seasonal and time period electricity pricing system and find out reasonable electricity price system acceptable during the transitional period of korea electricity industry restructuring To analyze economic welfare lost in the electricity industry, in advance seasonal and time periodic 9 demand curves(summer, spring ＆fall, winter/peak-load time, middle-load time, low-load time) and one market supply curve are made and then using these demand and supply curve, seasonal and time periodic market equilibrium prices is calculated. Finally, comparing these market equilibrium prices with present regulated classified seasonal and time periodic prices, the whole economic welfare lost in the electricity industry is calculated. The result of this study shows that in 2002, the total economic welfare lost in electricity industry is 137,770 million Won and under present price system, the worst welfare lost is happening seasonally in spring ＆ fall, time periodically in the middle-load time. Specifically analyzing the characteristics of welfare lost, especially on the industry customers and service customers which are applied in seasonal and time periodic pricing, for the industry customers, the welfare lost calculated in this class occupies 51% of the total welfare lost in the whole electricity industry and the worst welfare lost is happening seasonally in spring ＆ fall, time periodically in the middle-load time. For service customers, the welfare lost calculated in this class occupies 13% of the total welfare lost in the whole electricity industry and the worst welfare lost is happening seasonally in summer, time periodically in the peak time Finally, this study was made based on the year of 2002 and KEPCO has practiced two times of rate change until now. The result of rate change was positively analyzed in the direction of economic welfare improvement(welfare improvement achieved by 16.3% compared to 2002 result).

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.49-69
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• 1999

본 연구는 1983년부터 1996년까지의 월별 자료를 이용하여, 전력 수요의 장기 탄력성을 추정하였다. 공적분모형인 Stock-Watson(1993)의 동태적 OLS(Dynamic OLS) 모형을 이용하여, 전력수요의 장기가격탄력성과 소득탄력성을 추정하였다. 장기균형식을 이용한 결과를 살펴보면, 실질국내총생산의 장기탄력성은 0.23으로 나타났으며, 실질전력요금의 장기탄력성은 -0.12로 추정되었다. 이와 같은 결과는 가격과 소득이 전력수요에 직접적 영향을 미치는 것을 의미한다. 단기오차수정모형에서 오차수정항의 계수는 -0.23으로 추정되었으며, 이는 단기적으로 장기수요곡선을 이탈하였을 경우 단기적 불안정이 새로운 균형을 찾아가는 기간이 약 4.4 개월 걸리는 것을 의미한다.

• 주택과사람들
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• s.193
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• pp.66-69
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• 2006

지난해 하반기부터 최근까지 양천구 목동 신시가지 단지를 중심으로 집값이 크게 올랐다. 지난 8 · 31 대책의 후폭풍으로 강남을 비롯해 전국의 아파트 시장이 꽁꽁 얼어붙었던 가운데 유독 목동의 집값만 상승 곡선을 그렸다. 그동안 목동의 아파트 값이 강세를 보인 이유와 수요자들의 선호도가 높은 이유등을 분석해보았다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.7 s.93
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• pp.91-100
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• 2006

Travel Demand Forecasting (TDF) is an essential and critical process in the evaluation of the highway improvement Project. The four-step TDF Process has generally been used to forecast travel demand and analyze the effects of diverted travel demand based on the given Origin-Destination trips in the future. Transportation system improvements, however, generate more travel, Induced Travel Demand (ITD) or latent travel demand, which has not been considered in the project evaluation. The Purpose of this study Is to develop a model which can forecast the ITD applied theory of economics and the Program(I.D.A) which can be widely applied to project evaluation analysis. The Kang-Byun-Book-Ro expansion scenario is used to apply and analyze a real-world situation. The result highlights that as much as 15% of diverted travel demand is generated as ITD. The results of this study are expected to improve reliability of the project evaluation of the highway improvement Project.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2002.04b
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• pp.861-864
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• 2002

인터넷 이용 확산과 휴대용 단말기 사용자의 증가로 무선 인터넷 서비스의 수요가 증대되고 있는 가운데 많은 응용 서비스들이 제공되고 있다. 이러한 서비스의 제공에 있어 특히, 기밀성과 인증성 그리고 안전성이 보장되어야 하며, 계산량 및 통신량에 있어 효율성이 높아야 할 것이다. 본 논문에서는 무선인터넷 서비스 제공을 고려하여 사용자 요구에 빠른 응답을 제공하고 휴대용 단말기의 계산 부담을 줄일 수 있는 타원곡선을 이용한 proxy-signcryption 방식을 제안한다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.7 s.78
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• pp.25-32
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• 2004

It is implicated in the current road design manual that design speed is well representing the operating speed of drivers. On the contrary, the disparity between the design speed and operating speed means that current road design cannot guarantee the safety and comfort of driving. In this context, operating speed was observed at the two lane rural roadways to find out the relation of operating speed and design speed. In addition to this, the friction factor from supply and demand which was derived from the operating speed was compared in terms of the dynamics in driving safety factor. It was concluded that the actual speed was consistently exceeding the design speed at the horizontal curves having the radius less than or equal to 200 m. Similarly, the demanded side friction was also consistently exceeding the supplied side friction at the horizontal curves having the radius less than or equal to 200 m and the amount of difference was also inversely proportional to the radius of the horizontal curves.