• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수명예측모델

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The Monitoring System for Prediction Life-time and Visualization scheme of Coverage on WSN (무선 센서네트워크에서 coverage 가시화 기법 및 수명예측 모니터링 시스템)

  • Park, Sun-mi;Baek, Sung-jin;Yang, Su-Hyun;Kim, Kwon-Hwan;Song, Eun-Ha;Park, Doo-Soon;Jeong, Young-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.1718-1720
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    • 2010
  • 저 전력 무선 센서 네트워크와 마이크로 센서를 결합하여 환경이나 상황을 인지하고 모니터링을 통해 수집된 정보를 사람에게 전하는 WSN(Wireless Sensor Network) 기술에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되고 있다. 본 논문은 바이너리 모델을 사용하여 단순 탐지 확률을 표현하는 기존 시뮬레이터들의 Coverage 표현의 한계를 극복하기 위해 Heat-map을 이용한 시뮬레이터를 개발했다. 이 시스템은 기존 바이너리 모델을 확장하고, GIS를 사용하여 지형정보를 함께 가시화함으로써 서비스 지형에 대한 센서 네트워크 구성뿐만 아니라 수명예측 메커니즘을 이용한 에너지 소모에 따른 노드의 수명을 가시화 한다.

Service Life Prediction of R.C. Structures Considering Chloride Binding (염화물 고정화를 고려한 철근 콘크리트 구조물의 내구수명 예측)

  • Lee, Chang-Soo;Park, Jong-Hyok;Kim, Young-Ook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2010
  • Chloride-induced corrosion of steel bars in concrete exposed to marine environments has become one of the major causes of deterioration in many important facilities made of reinforced concrete. A study on chloride penetration in concrete has developed through long period exposure test along seawater, assesment of chloride ion diffusion by electrochemical techniques and so on. However, reasonable and exclusive chloride penetration model considering concrete material properties with mixture, degree of hydration, binding capacity has not been established. Therefore, in this paper, chloride penetration analysis of non-steady state is accomplished with material properties of concrete. Comparing with the results of analysis and chloride ponding test, we could accept the effect of binding capacity on chloride penetration in concrete and these results could be applied to a service life prediction of R.C. structures submerged in seawater. Therefore, there are 20~40% differences of service life to SHRP prediction.

Service Life Prediction for Steel Bridge Coatings with Type of Coating Systems (도장계 종류에 따른 강교 도장의 공용수명 예측)

  • Lee, Chan Young;Chang, Taesun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.325-335
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    • 2016
  • To predict service life of coating systems registered in Korean specifications for steel bridge coatings, field deterioration evaluation and accelerated weatherproof test were carried out, and deterioration models were drawn through regression analysis for evaluation results. For the coating systems that have not been used in field, regression analyses were carried out for the virtual evaluation results drawn by applying coordination factor to the field evaluation results for chlorinated rubber and urethane topcoat system. Service life prediction results showed that application of thermal sprayed coating (TSC) could extend service life of coatings to more than twice of general coatings.

Estimation of Fatigue Crack Growth using Gamma Process Model (감마과정 모델을 적용한 피로균열 진전거동의 예측)

  • Park, Sung Ho;Kim, Jae Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.38 no.11
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    • pp.1245-1256
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    • 2014
  • The physical nature of fatigue shows the considerable amount of scatter from intrinsic and extrinsic factors. In this study, some degradation models, such as the gamma process model, were reviewed in terms of uncertainties associated with the continuous, gradual, and monotonic nature of fatigue crack growth. Statistically varying fatigue crack growth data obtained from Lu and Meeker were used as an example to demonstrate the use of the gamma process model. This model can describe the condition and lifetime as statistical distribution curves whose shapes vary with cycles. From the skewness of the statistical distribution curves, it was confirmed that the median is suitable for being considered as the expected life. The use of the gamma process model enables the optimum replacement period and percentile life to be employed as criteria for preventive maintenance policy.

A Study for Lifespan Prediction of Expansion by Temperature Status (온도상태에 따른 신축관 이음의 수명예측에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jung-Soo;Lee, Bong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.424-429
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    • 2018
  • In this study, an expansion joint that is susceptible to waterhammer was tested for its vibration durability. The operation data for the hydraulic actuator was the expansion length of the expansion joint when the waterhammer occurred. In the case of the vibration durability test, the internal temperature status of the expansion joint was assumed to be a stress factor and a lifespan prediction model was assumed to follow the Arrhenius model. A test was carried out by increasing the internal temperature status at $30^{\circ}C$, $50^{\circ}C$, and $65^{\circ}C$. By a linear transformation of the lifespan data for each temperature, a constant value and activation energy coefficient was induced for the Arrhenius equation and verified by comparing the value of a lifetime prediction model with the experimental value at $85^{\circ}C$. The failure modes of the ongoing or finished test were leakage, bellows separation, and internal deformation. In the future, a composite lifespan prediction model, including two more stress factors, will be developed.

Structural Reliability Evaluation on Solder Joint of BGA and TSSOP Components under Random Vibration using Reliability and Life Prediction Tool of Sherlock (신뢰성 수명예측 도구 Sherlock을 활용한 랜덤진동에서의 BGA 및 TSSOP 솔더 접합부의 구조 신뢰성 평가)

  • Park, Tae-Yong;Park, Jong-Chan;Park, Hoon;Oh, Hyun-Ung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.45 no.12
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    • pp.1048-1058
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    • 2017
  • One of the failure mechanism of spaceborne electronics is a fatigue fracture on solder joint under launch random vibration. Thus, a necessity of early diagnosis through the fatigue life evaluation on solder joint arises to prevent such potential risk of failure. The conventional life prediction methods cannot assure the accuracy of life estimation results if the packaging type changes, and also requires much time and effort to construct the analysis model of highly integrated PCB with various packaging types. In this study, we performed life prediction of PCB based on a reliability and life prediction tool of sherlock as a new approach for evaluating the structural reliability on solder joint, and those prediction results were validated by fatigue tests. In addition, we also investigated an influence of solder height on the fatigue life of solder joint. These results indicated that the Sherlock is applicable tool for evaluating the structural reliability of spaceborne electronic.

Composites Fatigue Life Evaluation based on non-linear fatigue damage model (비선형 피로손상 모델을 이용한 복합재 피로수명 평가)

  • 김성준;황인희
    • Composites Research
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2003
  • Prediction of composite fatigue life is not a straightforward matter, depending on various failure modes and their interactions. In this paper, a methodology is presented to predict fatigue life and residual strength of composite materials based on Phenomenological Model(non-linear fatigue damage model). It is assumed that the residual strength is a monotonically decreasing function of the number of loading cycles and applied fatigue stress ratio and the model parameters(strength degradation parameter and fatigue shape parameter) are assumed as function of fatigue life. Then S-N curve is used to extract model parameters that are required to characterize the stress levels comprising a randomly-ordered load spectrum. Different stress ratios (${\sigma}_{min}/{\;}{\sigma}_{max}$) are handled with Goodman correction approach(fatigue envelope) and the residual strength after an arbitrary load cycles is represented by two parameter weibull functions.

Degradation Quantification Method and Degradation and Creep Life Prediction Method for Nickel-Based Superalloys Based on Bayesian Inference (베이지안 추론 기반 니켈기 초합금의 열화도 정량화 방법과 열화도 및 크리프 수명 예측의 방법)

  • Junsang, Yu;Hayoung, Oh
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to determine the artificial intelligence-based degradation index from the image of the cross-section of the microstructure taken with a scanning electron microscope of the specimen obtained by the creep test of DA-5161 SX, a nickel-based superalloy used as a material for high-temperature parts. It proposes a new method of quantification and proposes a model that predicts degradation based on Bayesian inference without destroying components of high-temperature parts of operating equipment and a creep life prediction model that predicts Larson-Miller Parameter (LMP). It is proposed that the new degradation indexing method that infers a consistent representative value from a small amount of images based on the geometrical characteristics of the gamma prime phase, a nickel-base superalloy microstructure, and the prediction method of degradation index and LMP with information on the environmental conditions of the material without destroying high-temperature parts.

Modeling to Estimate the Cycle Life of a Lithium-ion Battery (리튬이온전지의 사이클 수명 모델링)

  • Lee, Jaewoo;Lee, Dongcheul;Shin, Chee Burm;Lee, So-Yeon;Oh, Seung-Mi;Woo, Jung-Je;Jang, Il-Chan
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.59 no.3
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    • pp.393-398
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    • 2021
  • In order to optimize the performance of a lithium-ion battery, a performance prediction modeling technique that considers various degradation factors is required. In this work, mathematical modeling was carried-out to predict the change in discharging behavior and cycle life, taking into account the cycle aging of lithium-ion batteries. In order to validate the modeling, a cycling test was performed at the charge/discharge rate of 0.25C, and discharging behavior was measured through RPT (Reference Performance Test) performed at 30 cycle intervals. The accuracy of cycle life prediction was improved by considering the break-in mechanism, one of the phenomena occurring in the BOL (beginning of life), in the model for predicting the cycle life of lithium-ion batteries. The predicted change in cycle life based on the model was in good agreement with the experimental results.

A Study on the Forecasting Model of Technology Life Cycles by Analysis of US Patent Citation (특허인용 분석을 통한 기술수명예측모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Sun-Hi
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.93-112
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    • 2004
  • This study is intend to analyze the cited patent life time of US patent data via more objective way. It is based on exploratory approach which is one of various methods for technology forecasting. The life spans of cited patents of specific technological field are deduced from using informetric analysis of USPA database of KISTI, which is composed of US patent data covered from 1972 to present. The statistics of the results may help to estimate the economic life span of the specific technological area for technology valuation.