• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.34-44
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• 2016

This study was initiated to evaluate the performance of methodologies to estimate the space mean speed(SMS) using the time mean speed(TMS) which was collected from the vehicle detection system(VDS) in expressways. To this end, the methodologies presented in prior studies were firstly summarized. It is very hard to achieve exact SMSs and TMSs due to mechanical and communication errors in the field. Thus, a microscopic traffic simulation model was utilized to evaluated the performance. As a result, the harmonic mean and volume-distance weighted harmonic mean were close to the SMS in the case in which the TMSs of individual vehicles were used. However, when the 30-second-interval aggregated TMS were used, the volume-distance weighted harmonic mean was outstanding. In this study, a radar detector was installed in the Joongbu expressway to collect the SMS. The trajectory of individual vehicles collected from the detector were used to calculate the SMS, which was compared with the estimates using other methodologies selected in this study. As a result, the volume-distance weighted mean was turned out to be close to the SMS. However, as the congestion becomes severe. the deviation between the two speed becomes bigger.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.2 s.88
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• pp.139-145
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• 2006

This paper develops pedestrian fatality models capable of producing the probability of pedestrian fatality in collision between vehicles and pedestrians. Probabilistic neural network (PNN) and binary logistic regression (BLR) ave employed in modeling pedestrian fatality pedestrian age, vehicle type, and collision speed obtained from reconstructing collected accidents are used as independent variables in fatality models. One of the nice features of this study is that an iterative sampling technique is used to construct various training and test datasets for the purpose of better performance comparison Statistical comparison considering the variation of model Performances is conducted. The results show that the PNN-based fatality model outperforms the BLR-based model. The models developed in this study that allow us to predict the pedestrian fatality would be useful tools for supporting the derivation of various safety Policies and technologies to enhance Pedestrian safety.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.26-36
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• 2008

Currently, the pedestrian signal timing model has no consideration on the characteristics of different land use patterns and pedestrian behaviors during pedestrian signal timing calculation. This study intended to propose pedestrian signal timing models that could reflect the inherent characteristics of pedestrian and land use patterns. For this study, three major variables affecting the length of signal timing were identified: walking speed, perception-reaction time, and density-delay time. Then, the representative values of each variable were estimated through the field studies. By combining this information, several pedestrian signal timing models were developed. The data in this paper can be used for future references, and the walking environments for pedestrians could be improved by applying the models suggested in this paper.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.180-188
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• 2006

수리 전도도는 hydraulic gradient에 대한 flux의 비율 또는, flux-hydraulic gradient 직선의 기울기를 나타내며, 포화된 토양에서의 물의 이동이 포화수리 전도도이고 불포화된 토양에서의 이동이 불포화수리전도도이다. 일반적인 밭 상태에서의 토양수분 조건은 불포화수리 전도도로 표시하는 것이 적절하나 그 상태를 표현하기가 쉽지 않다. 토양의 불포화 상태를 나타내는데 가장 많이 쓰이고 있는 VGM(van Genuchten Mualem) 모형은 토양수분 포텐셜과 수분함량의 함수로 구성된 모형이며 몇 가지 매개변수가 필요하다. VGM 모형의 매개변수를 얻기 위해 본 연구에서는 VGM 모형의 매개변수를 계산해주는 프로그램인 Rosetta를 사용하였다. Rosetta 모형은 신경그물 얼개(neural network)를 이용하여 토양의 물리적 자료들인 토성이나 모래, 미사, 점토 함량 또는 용적밀도나 33kPa, 1500kPa에서의 토양수분 함량 자료를 가지고 VGM의 매개변수인 Ko(effective saturated hydraulic conductivity), ${\theta}r$(residual soil water content), ${\theta}s$(saturated soil water content), L, n, m(=1-1/n)을 예측하는 모형으로 미국 농무성(USDA-ARS)에서 개발한 프로그램이다. Rosetta를 이용하여 10kPa에서의 불포화수리 전도도를 예측하였다. 또한 Gardner(1958)와 Wooding (1968)의 모형을 기반으로 하여 만들어진 tension infiltrometer의 포화수리 전도도 값을 Gardner 식에 적용하여 1, 3, 5, 7kPa에서의 불포화수리 전도도 값을 17개 토양통을 대상으로 하여 구했다. 토양수분 potential이 3kPa에서는 물의 이동이 거의 없는 토양들이 있었는데 반해 남계통을 비롯한 학곡통, 회곡통, 백산통, 상주통, 석천통, 예산통 등 7개의 토양은 3kPa에서도 약간의 물의 이동이 있었다. 이는 모암이 화강 편마암인 관계로 토양 내에 물의 이동에 영향을 미치는 자갈의 함량이 높았기 때문일 것으로 생각되고 추후의 연구에서는 이 부분에 대한 내용도 검토되어야 할 것이다. 또한, 1kPa에서 물의 이동은 삼각통에서 35.21 cm/day로 이동 속도가 가장 컸으며 그 뒤로 예산통, 화봉통, 학곡통, 백산통 등이 토양에서 빠른 속도로 이동하였다. 가천통이나 석천통 및 우곡통은 1kPa에서의 이동 속도가 아주 느린 토양으로 판단되었다. 또한, 포화되지 않은 상태인 1kPa에서 물의 이동 속도를 VGM 모형에 의해 예측된 값과 측정된 값으로 비교하였을 때 불포화 수리 전도도가 예측되지 않은 토양(석천통, 지곡통, 풍천통)이 존재하여 불포화 수리 전도도 특성평가에 대한 VGM 모형의 적용성에 문제를 보였다. 이는 결과적으로 논이라는 영농형태가 존재하는 우리나라에서 토양의 수리적 특성해석을 위한 VGM 모형의 적용성에 한계가 있을 것으로 판단되었다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.61-74
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• 2010

ITS (Intelligent transportation systems) collects real-time traffic data, and accumulates vest historical data. But tremendous historical data has not been managed and employed efficiently. With the introduction of data management systems like ADMS (Archived Data Management System), the potentiality of huge historical data dramatically surfs up. However, traffic data in any data management system includes missing values in nature, and one of major obstacles in applying these data has been the missing data because it makes an entire dataset useless every so often. For these reasons, imputation techniques take a key role in data management systems. To address these limitations, this paper presents a promising imputation technique which could be mounted in data management systems and robustly generates the estimations for missing values included in historical data. The developed model, based on NPR (Non-Parametric Regression) approach, employs various traffic data patterns in historical data and is designated for practical requirements such as the minimization of parameters, computational speed, the imputation of various types of missing data, and multiple imputation. The model was tested under the conditions of various missing data types. The results showed that the model outperforms reported existing approaches in the side of prediction accuracy, and meets the computational speed required to be mounted in traffic data management systems.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.11-20
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• 1998

정적 통행배분모형은 도로 건설 등 공급부문에의 적용은 가능하나 통행량 및 혼잡의 시간적 공간적 변화를 고려하지 못하여 수요관리에서는 교통량 및 비용에 대한 관측치와 모형의 결과치가 상이한 문제가 있다. 이에 동적배분모형의 다양한 접근방법이 시도되고 있는데 그 중 Simulation기법을 개발하고자 하였다. 모형은 개별차량의 시공간상 움직임을 포현하고자 절대시간이 가장 이른 차량순으로 시뮬레이션을 함으로써 선입선출(FIFO)을 가능하게 하였다. 각 차량별 지체시간의 계산은 대기행렬 이론을 기초로 한 누적곡선법을 적용하여 도출하였다. 개별차량 Simulation은 시간축으로 확장된 연속류 Network상에서 각 차량의 도착 및 출발할 노드와 시간대를 결정하면 모든 지점에서 누적도착, 출발곡선을 그릴 수 있으며 이를 통해 도로구간에 있어 시간대별 통행시간, 밀도, 속도 등을 파악할 수 있다. 또한 합류부의 용량와 와해현상과 분류부의 용량변화현상 제약 및 Queue길이 제약이 이루어지도록 하였다. 개발된 모형의 검증은 영동대교 북단 강변도로 진출입부 자료를 실측하여 사용하였다. 모형은 합류부 용량와해의 적용 전과 후의 결과를 각각 실측치와 비교하였다. 용량와해현상을 적용한 모형에서 MAPE 10%미만의 우수한 예측력을 보였다. 이는 누적곡선을 이용한 Simulation모형이 현실에 가까움을 의미하는 것이며, 합류부 용량와해현상의 관계식을 보다 정교하게 도출하고 분류부에도 이를 적용한다면 모형의 예측력은 더욱 향상될 것으로 보인다.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.129-137
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• 2007

An algorithm is proposed for estimating axle loads of trucks moving over a bridge by measuring dynamic responses. The bridge was modeled by a beam structure in the current applications of the proposed algorithm. Among the state vectors, measured acceleration was used and displacement was computed from measured strain at the same location. Nodal force vectors were computed by using a ready-made database of equivalent nodal force transformation matrix. The algorithm was examined through simulation studies and laboratory experiments. The effects of measurement noise and velocity error were investigated through simulation studies.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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• v.16 no.9
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• pp.1788-1795
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• 1992

Numerical simulations have been performed to investigate various spectral estimators used in LDV signal processing. In order to simulate a particle arrival time statistics known as the doubly stochastic poisson process, an autoregressive vector model was adopted to construct a primary velocity field. The conditional Poisson process with a random rate parameter was generated through the rescaling time process using the mean value function. The direct transform based on random sampling sequences and the standard periodogram using periodically resampled data by the sample and hold interpolation were applied to obtain power spectral density functions. For low turbulent intensity flows, the direct transform with a constant Poisson intensity is in good agreement with the theoretical spectrum. The periodogram using the sample and hold sequences is better than the direct transform in the view of the stability and the weighting of the velocity bias for high data density flows. The high Reynolds stress and high fluctuation of the transverse velocity component affects the velocity bias which increases the distortion of spectral components in the direct transform.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.7-17
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• 1999

The expressway network includes a total of about 1,899 km in our country The only 1,016 km of that is being managed by the closed Toll Collection System(TCS) which is composed of 74 tollgates. We obtain inter-tollgate O-D matrices from that system everyday. But, they are not traffic-zonal O-D matrices. So they have not been used for the expressway traffic analysis and the traffic demand estimation despite of their accuracy. If we could estimate the traffic-zonal O-D matrices from TCS O-D ones, we could perform expressway traffic analysis more efficiently. Moreover we could obtain more precise expressway O-D matrices and traffic-zonal O/D ones by this approach than by the conventional ones. In this paper. we proposed the model estimating traffic-zonal O/D matrices from TCS O-D ones. The assigned volumes with the estimated traffic-zonal O-D matrices produced the only 17.9% error all over the TCS expressway section when compared to the real traffic volumes. So, the proposed model enables for us to estimate more accurate O/D matrics than any other existing methods.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.6
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• pp.19-31
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• 2007

When estimating the benefits from an investment project in the transportation sector, errors caused by many factors may exist. This study focuses on user equilibrium traffic assignment methods and stopping criteria. According to previous studies, when using a user equilibrium assignment model, the benefits of travel time savings can be effected by the relative gap value. As the stopping criteria decreases, the time needed for traffic assignment increases, so that lowering the criteria cannot be the best solution. Therefore, an effort is necessary to reduce this change rate and thus improve reliability. This paper considers three methods: reducing the links subject to benefit calculation, extracting sub-area O/D tables and networks, and applying the mean value of successive traffic assignment results. The results of the analysis show that the method using the mean value of five results is more proper than the other methods. Using the sub-area analysis method, if the study area is small the benefits of a project might be over- or under-estimated. This paper used a nationwide O/D table and network at peak time as a case study. The resulting patterns can differ according to basic data to be used in analysis. So further analysis using the data from metropolitan areas are needed.