• Title/Summary/Keyword: 소지역 추정

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HGLM and EB Estimation Methods for Disease Mapping (HGLM과 EB 추정법을 이용한 질병지도의 작성)

  • 김영원;조나경
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.431-443
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    • 2004
  • For the purpose of disease mapping, we consider the four small area estimation techniques to estimate the mortality rate of small areas; direct, Empirical estimation with total moment estimator and local moment estimator, Estimation based on hierarchial generalized linear model. The estimators are compared by empirical study based on lung cancer mortality data from 2000 Annual Reports on the Cause of Death Statistics in Gyeongsang-Do and Jeonla-Do published by Korean National Statistical Office. Also he stability and efficiency of these estimators are investigated in terms of mean square deviation as well as variation of estimates.

Flooding and Drainage Characteristics on Retention Area (파제부에 의한 저류역의 홍수범람과 배수특성)

  • Choi Eun Hyuk;Ryu Shi Kwang;Jee Hong Kee;Lee SoonTak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.345-350
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 하천연안에 위치한 소지류 하구부의 제방파괴로 인하여 외수위의 영향을 받는 제내지가 본류하도의 배수(back water)영향과 내수유입으로 침수역이 발생하게 되며, 이때에 홍수범람역의 범위와 배수시간을 분석$\cdot$검토하여 침수피해를 저감시키는 방법을 모색하고자 하였다. 소하천유역의 침수상태해석을 위해 제내지측 침수역을 지류하도로 취급하여 두 개의 하천이 합류하는 조건으로 분석을 실시하였다. 이때 HEC-RAS를 이용하여 침수구역의 부정류 해석을 실시하였으며, 제내지의 침수 및 배수특성을 파악하기 위하여 본류하도의 홍수규모 즉, 홍수량(위)에 따른 제내지 침수역의 배수영향 범위를 추정하였고 파제부의 내수배제 시간을 해석하여 침수피해를 경감시킬 수 있는 파제부의 구조적인 개선방안을 분석$\cdot$검토하였다. 그 결과 파제로 인하여 제내지가 본류하도의 외수위에 영향을 받으면서 제내지에 침수가 발생하는 소하천유역에서는 파제부의 범위에 따라 내수배제 능력과 배수영향을 동시에 분석하여 제내지에서 효과적인 내수배제능력을 가지면서 배수영향을 최소화하는 최적의 조건을 얻을 수 있었다.

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A Method of Masking Based on Multiplicative Noise (잡음을 이용한 가계조사자료의 정보노출제한방법)

  • Jeong, Dong-Myeong;Kim, Jay-J.;Kim, Kyung-Mi
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.141-151
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    • 2009
  • According to the type of microdata, the various methods have been in use for masking microdata. Multiplicative noise is the one of popular schemes for masking continuous variables. In this paper, we introduce the method of masking based on multiplicative noise and show some results of the application on the 2006 Householder Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES) data. To create the multiplicative noise factor, we used the triangular distribution. truncated triangular distribution, trapezoidal distribution, and double triangular distribution. Also, formulas for the domain estimation for the data masked by the multiplicative noise are developed.

Directional conditionally autoregressive models (방향성을 고려한 공간적 조건부 자기회귀 모형)

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.835-847
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    • 2016
  • To analyze lattice or areal data, a conditionally autoregressive (CAR) model has been widely used in the eld of spatial analysis. The spatial neighborhoods within CAR model are generally formed using only inter-distance or boundaries between regions. Kyung and Ghosh (2010) proposed a new class of models to accommodate spatial variations that may depend on directions. The proposed model, a directional conditionally autoregressive (DCAR) model, generalized the usual CAR model by accounting for spatial anisotropy. Properties of maximum likelihood estimators of a Gaussian DCAR are discussed. The method is illustrated using a data set of median property prices across Greater Glasgow, Scotland, in 2008.

Inundation/Drainage Simulation Technique on Frequently Flooded Area (상습침수지역의 침수/배수 Simulation기법)

  • Choi, Eun-Hyuk;An, Shan-Fu;Ko, Jin-Seok;Jee, Hong-Kee;Lee, Soon-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.834-839
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 하천연안에 위치한 소지류 하구부의 제방파괴로 인하여 외수위의 영향을 받는 제내지가 본류하도의 배수(back water)영향과 내수유입으로 침수역이 발생하게 되며, 이때에 홍수범람역의 범위와 배수시간을 분석.검토하여 침수피해를 저감시키는 방법을 모색하고자 하였다. 소하천유역의 침수상태해석을 위해 제내지측 침수역을 지류하도로 취급하여 두 개의 하천이 합류하는 조건으로 분석을 실시하였다. 이때 HEC-RAS를 이용하여 침수구역의 부정류 해석을 실시하였으며, 제내지의 침수 및 배수특성을 파악하기 위하여 본류하도의 홍수규모 즉, 홍수량(위)에 따른 제내지 침수역의 배수영향범위를 추정하였고 파제부의 내수배제 시간을 해석하여 침수피해를 경감시킬 수 있는 파제부의 구조적인 개선방안을 분석.검토하였다. 그 결과 파제로 인하여 제내지가 본류하도의 외수위에 영향을 받으면서 제내지에 침수가 발생하는 소하천유역에서는 파제부의 범위에 따라 내수배제 능력과 배수영향을 동시에 분석하여 제내지에서 효과적인 내수배제능력을 가지면서 배수영향을 최소화하는 최적의 조건을 얻을 수 있었다.

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Redesigning KNSO s Household Survey Sample (통계청 가구부문 조사의 표본설계)

  • 윤연옥;김규영;이명호
    • Survey Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.103-130
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    • 2004
  • Main monthly household surveys conducted by Korea National Statistical Office are economically active population survey(EAPS) and household income and expenditure survey(HIES). Samples of these two surveys are redesigned every 5 years based on Census. This paper is about sample redesign of household survey conducted in 2002 based on 2000 Census. Main improvements of 2002 sample redesign are the introduction of rotation sampling system, the expansion of HIES survey area from urban to whole country and the foundation of basement to make small area estimation for the unemployment statistics. Also the number of sample households within a enumeration district(ED) is reduced from 24 to 20. That makes it possible to select more ED samples which provides better precision for EAPS and HIES. To select representative samples for the population, different classification index is used for each metropolitan area and provinces.

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Impact of Tourism Development on the Regional Economy : Adopting the Tourist Money Flow Analysis (관광개발의 지역경제 파급효과: $\mathbb{\ulcorner}$관광지출흐름분석$\mathbb{\lrcorner}$ 방법론의 모색)

  • 주성재
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.113-135
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    • 1998
  • There have been several research methodologies to measure the impacts of tourism development on the regional economy, which include input-output analysis, income multiplier analysis, labor creation effect analysis, etc. Most of these are based on regional economic indices using secondary data for medium to large regional units. This study tests the possibility of adopting tourist money now analysis, which encompasses a series of money flows beginning with tourists'payment for room, board and shopping, followed by tourist companies'expenditure for material and service purchase, wage, utilities, rent, tax and so forth, and by tourism workers'expenses for living and savings. This method makes it possible to reveal the amount and geographical extent of tourist money flow and draws some meaningful regional economic figures. Case studies of three torist developing areas show that it is utilized for impact studies for small scale areas.

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Bayesian Analysis and Mapping of Elderly Korean Suicide Rates (베이지안 모형을 활용한 국내 노인 자살률 질병지도)

  • Lee, Jayoun;Kim, Dal Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.325-334
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    • 2015
  • Elderly suicide rates tend to be high in Korea. Suicide by the elderly is no longer a personal problem; consequently, further research on risk and regional factors is necessary. Disease mapping in epidemiology estimates spatial patterns for disease risk over a geographical region. In this study, we use a simultaneous conditional autoregressive model for spatial correlations between neighboring areas to estimate standard mortality ratios and mapping. The method is illustrated with cause of death data from 2006 and 2010 to analyze regional patterns of elderly suicide in Korea. By considering spatial correlations, the Bayesian spatial models, mean educational attainment and percentage of the elderly who live alone was the significant regional characteristic for elderly suicide. Gibbs sampling and grid method are used for computation.

Report on an Outbreak of the Onion Thrips, Thrips tabaci, Infesting Welsh Onion during Winter Season (동절기 대파 재배지 파총채벌레 발생 보고)

  • Kim, Chulyoung;Choi, Dooyeol;Kim, Yonggyun
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.60 no.2
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 2021
  • An outbreak of the onion thrips, Thrips tabaci, was observed in welsh onion cultured in greenhouse during winter season (Jan ~ Feb). The thrips was identified using DNA barcode. Weekly occurrence was around 240 ~ 700 adults per trap. Trap color gave significant influence on the capture efficiency with a preference on yellow compared to blue sticky trap. Subsequently, most (> 90%) onions exhibited a damage symptom induced by the thrips. This outbreak was observed only in a specific area but not in nearby greenhouses. This discontinuous occurrence pattern was further investigated by analyzing flight behavior through in- and out- door tests. About 1.5 mm-body length adults could jump up to about 5 cm and fly up to 2 m in altitude, which was the top of the greenhouse. This suggested their migrating potential to nearby (< 2 m) greenhouses. However, few were detected in the neighboring places probably due to physical hindrance with low temperatures between greenhouses. This is reasoned why the onion thrips forms a patch distribution among greenhouses during winter season.

The Correlations between the Employment and Industrial Structure and Poverty of the Regions (지역의 고용 및 산업 구조와 빈곤의 관계)

  • Baek, Hakyoung
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.57-92
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    • 2016
  • The Correlations Between the Labour Market Structure and Poverty of the Regions The main objectives of this study are to make an investigation into the spatial characteristics of poverty and to analyze the effects of regional labour market structure. Most previous studies on poverty were more likely to examine internal factors like the characteristics of poor households or family structures than external factors in terms of the regional environments. In order to achieve these goals, this study used the Small Area Estimation designed to estimate the income of each household and then calculate the poverty rate of each local area in order to examine the spatial characteristics of poverty. The poverty distribution in Korea showed the local labour market structures effect on the region poverty rate. The Korean economy now exhibits a big gap between the haves and the have-nots and between urban areas and rural areas. The poverty rate of particular regions will increase and those in the areas will face deteriorated circumstances falling into poverty traps. This study reflects this stern reality and empirically proved the strong need for consideration of regional characteristics in conducting studies on poverty and related policy amendments.