• Title/Summary/Keyword: 성장예측

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Performance estimation for Software Reliability Growth Model that Use Plot of Failure Data (고장 데이터의 플롯을 이용한 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장 모델의 성능평가)

  • Jung, Hye-Jung;Yang, Hae-Sool;Park, In-Soo
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.10D no.5
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    • pp.829-836
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    • 2003
  • Software Reliability Growth Model that have been studied variously. But measurement of correct parameter of this model is not easy. Specially, estimation of correct model about failure data must be establish and estimation of parameter can consist exactly. To get correct testing, we calculate the normal score and describe the normal probability plot. Use the normal probability plot, we estimate the distribution for failure data. In this paper, we estimate the software reliability growth model for through the normal probability plot. In this research, we applies software reliability growth model through distribution characteristics of failure data. If we see plot, we determine the software reliability growth model, we can make sure superior in model's performance estimation.

의사결정트리 기법을 이용한 인천시 도시성장 예측 모델링

  • 김정엽;이성규;박수홍
    • Proceedings of the KGS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2003
  • 일반적으로 도시화(urbanization)란 도시지역으로 인구가 집중되어 결과적으로 국가 전체인구 중 도시지역에 거주하는 인구의 비율이 증가되는 과정이라고 정의될 수 있다. 이러한 도시화는 환경문제를 비롯하여 실업, 질병 둥의 여러 문제를 야기 시키고 있다. 따라서, 도시화가 미치는 영향을 고려해 볼 때, 지속 가능한 도시성장을 위해 도시가 어떻게 성장해 왔는가를 분석하고, 도시성장을 예측하며, 이에 대한 적절한 대안을 모색하는 것은 도시관리를 위해 매우 중요한 문제이다(강영옥ㆍ박수홍, 2000). (중략)

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공간 연관규칙을 이용한 도시성장 확률모형의 구현

  • 조성휘;박수홍
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2003
  • GIS는 공간과 관련된 문제를 해결하는데 있어 좋은 도구가 되며 도시성장 예측과 같은 문제에 사용될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 수도권 내에 위치한 수원지역을 대상으로 1960년대부터 1990년대까지의 도시성장에 관한 데이터베이스를 구축하고 도시의 물리적인 확산에 초점을 맞추어 모형의 핵심이 되는 공간 연관규칙을 추출하였다. 공간 연관규칙의 추출을 위해 GIS 공간 분석 기능과 데이터마이닝 기법을 이용하였으며, 규칙을 기반으로 모형을 작성하여 도시성장을 분석 및 예측하고 UGM(Urban Growth Model)과 비교하였다.

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10대 광학기술과 R&D 전략

  • HwangBo, Chang-Gwon
    • The Optical Journal
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    • s.137
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    • pp.19-21
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    • 2012
  • 2012년 임진년을 맞이하여 정부가 예상하는 경제 성장률은 3.7%이며 2011년의 3.8%에 이어 계속 낮은 경제 성장을 예측하고 있다. 과거 80, 90년대의 높은 경제 성장률 시대는 이미 지나갔고 앞으로는 고용 없는 낮은 성장을 예상하고 있다. 특히 유럽의 재정위기 때문에 2012년에는 불확실성이 증가하고 이에 따라 경제가 더욱 어려울 것으로 예상하고 있으므로 광학산업도 이에 따른 영향을 받을 것으로 예측할 수 있다. 그러면 각 회사들은 이 위기를 어떻게 헤쳐 나가야 하는가? 아마도 현실에 안주하지 않는 도전정신으로 다가 올 경제 위기를 새로운 발전의 기회로 만들기 위해 각 사업체들은 미래를 대비한 다양한 준비를 R&D를 통하여 진행하고 있을 것으로 보인다.

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BSI를 이용한 경제성장률 예측

  • Kim, Jong-Uk;Lee, Dong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2005
  • 설문조사방식인 기업경기조사는 간편하고 신속하게 경기를 파악할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 전통적인 경제통계로는 포착하기 어려운 기업의 경제활동에 대한 평가와 전망을 지수화할 수 있다는 이점이 있다. 본고에서는 전국경제인연합회의 전망BSI를 이용하여 다음 분기 경제성장률을 예측하는 데 도움이 되는지 살펴보았다. 예측력 검정 결과 전망BSI는 1${\sim}$2분기 이후의 경제성장률과 높은 상관관계를 보이고 있으나 기간에 따라서는 오히려 예측오차를 크게 할 수도 있는 것으로 나타났다. 우리나라를 포함하여 각국에서 서베이 자료의 활용도가 점차 커지고 있는 만큼 조사방식 개선, 합성지수 개발 등 기업경기조사의 정확도 제고를 위해 많은 노력을 기울일 필요가 있다.

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A Study on Modeling for Urban Growth Management using GIS -The Case of Pa-Ju City- (GIS를 활용한 도시성장관리모델의 구축에 관한 연구 -파주시 사례를 중심으로-)

  • Chung, II-Hoon;Cho, Kyu-Young;Chung, Won-Mo
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2010
  • Many cities have provided growth management measure for preventing urban sprawl and disordered development by rapid urbanization. Many Korean cities also, have been pressed by development issues as well as the Seoul Metropolitan Area. This study aims to predict urban growth and develop Urban Growth Management Model with Geographic Information System and quantitative method. Especially, this study provides reasonable management method by presenting prediction scenario considered institutional-oriented and demand-oriented. This study also, provides a scientific basis using GIS and quantitative analysis, and present decision making of planning and implementation process through simulation.

Predictive Growth Model of Native Isolated Listeria monocytogenes on raw pork as a Function of Temperature and Time (온도와 시간을 주요 변수로 한 냉장 돈육에서의 native isolated Listeria monocytogenes에 대한 성장예측모델)

  • Hong, Chong-Hae;Sim, Woo-Chang;Chun, Seok-Jo;Kim, Young-Su;Oh, Deog-Hwan;Ha, Sang-Do;Choi, Weon-Sang;Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.850-855
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    • 2005
  • Model was developed to predict the growth of Listeria monocytogenes in raw pork. Experiment condition for model development was full 5-by-7 factorial arrangements of temperature (0, 5, 10, 15, and $20^{\circ}C$) and time (0, 1, 2, 3, 18, 48, and 120 hr). Gompertz values A, C, B, and M, and growth kinetics, exponential growth rate (EGR), generation time (GT), lag phase duration (LPD), and maximum population density (MPD) were calculated based on growth increased data. GT and LPD values gradually decreased, whereas EGR value gradually increased with increasing temperature. Response surface analysis (RSA) was carried out using Gompertz B and M values, to formulate equation with temperature being main control factor. This equation was applied to Gompertz equation. Experimental and predictive values for GT, LPD, and EGR, compared using the model, showed no significant differences (p<0.01). Proposed model could be used to predict growth of microorganisms for exposure assessment of MRA, thereby allowing more informed decision-making on potential regulatory actions of microorganisms in raw pork.

Implementation of the Linear Regression Equation for Gestational Age Prediction in the 3D Ultrasonography (3차원초음파에서 임신주수 예측을 위한 선형회귀방정식의 구현)

  • Yang, SungHee;Lee, Jin-Soo;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Changsoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.276-282
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    • 2015
  • Fetal cerebellum is grow depending on the gestational age, measurement of transverse cerebellar diameter(TCD) is being used import indicator of fetal growth prediction in clinical. In this study, the subjects were normal pregnant women 20~37 week of gestation, and the volume scan was conducted on the 340 subjects. The research reports was indicated by regression curve the growth of fetal TCD in accordance with the gestational age. It got to the value of the results from a linear regression equation. Measurement fetal TCD using 3D US was statistically significant(p<0.001) and useful in the prediction of gestational age. TCD increases with gestational age can also distinguish between the normal fetal and prediction of accurate gestational age of fetal growth retardation. If the basic data of the present study, ongoing research is performed, the TCD using by 3D US are expected to be usefully applied in the correct prediction gestational age.

FGRS(Fish Growth Regression System), Which predicts the growth of fish (물고기의 성장도를 예측하는 FGRS(Fish Growth Regression System))

  • Sung-Kwon Won;Yong-Bo Sim;Su-Rak Son;Yi-Na Jung
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.347-353
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    • 2023
  • Measuring the growth of fish in fish farms still uses a laborious method. This method requires a lot of labor and causes stress to the fish, which has a negative impact on mortality. To solve this problem, we propose the Fish Growth Regression System (FGRS), a system to automate the growth of fish. FGRS consists of two modules. The first is a module that detects fish based on Yolo v8, and the second consists of a module that predicts the growth of fish using fish image data and a CNN-based neural network model. As a result of the simulation, the average prediction error before learning was 134.2 days, but after learning, the average error decreased to 39.8 days. It is expected that the system proposed in this paper can be used to predict the growing date and use the growth prediction of fish to contribute to automation in fish farms, resulting in a significant reduction in labor and cost savings.

A Study on Effects of the Residual Stresses Around Cold Working Hole of the Aircraft Structure (항공기 구조물의 체결용 HOLE을 COLD WORKING 할때 생성되는 잔류응력의 영향연구)

  • 강수준;최청호
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 1999
  • The objective of this research is to study effects of the residual stresses on the crack growth and the life of the structure, caused by cold working around the hole of the aircraft structure which will be jointed by rivets and bolts, etc. The compensated Morrow's equation, by experimental data from the materials AL7075-T6 and AL2024-T3, is suggested to calculate the values of the fatigue life prediction of the structure. Also, the compensated Forman's equation, by experimental data from a material AL7075-T6, is suggested to calculate the values of the crack growth prediction of the structure. It is founded that the calculated values from the suggested equations are almost close to the known values of the fatigue life prediction and the crack growth prediction. It is shown that this paper, associated with an initial research on the effects of residual stresses around hole, gives a direction to study the problem at the aircraft maintenance field.

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