• Title/Summary/Keyword: 선형 회귀식

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Assessment and Verification of Prediction Model(NIER('99)) for Road Traffic Noise in the Apartment Complex (아파트단지에서 국립환경과학원 도로교통소음 예측식('99)에 대한 통계학적 평가 및 검증)

  • Cho, Il-Hyoung;SunWoo, Young;Lee, Nae-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.1198-1206
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    • 2006
  • We have carried out highway traffic noise prediction and measurement for 10 sites with representative road shapes and structures. A road traffic noise prediction model(NIER('99)) has been developed for environmental impact assessment in Korea. With the fitted regression analysis, the distribution ratio($R^2$) and Pearson correction coefficient(r) was 92.4% and 0.96 in $1^{st}$ floor, 38.7% and 0.66 in $3^{rd}$ floor, 42% and 0.65 in $5^{th}$ floor, 7.5% and 0.27 in $7^{th}$ floor, 28.4% and 0.53 in 10th floor, 35.6% and 0.60 in $13^{th}$ floor, 52.7% and 0.73 in $15^{th}$ floor, respectively. The measured values of the noise level except the 1st floor did not show a good agreement with the predicted noise level in the NIER('99) formula. Also, the NIER('99) formula demonstrated that the measured values weren't reasonably close to the predicted values, indicating the validity and adequacy of the predicted models with the fitted vs residual analysis in the 95% of confidence interval and 95% of predict interval. Using the equal variation on the basis of the residual vs fitted value, there was the significant difference for variation between $3^{rd}$ floor and $15^{th}$ floor except $1^{st}$ floor. The results suggested that the NIER('99) model obtained by the results according to the apartment floor must be improved and developed on the road traffic noise.

Analysis of AI interview data using unified non-crossing multiple quantile regression tree model (통합 비교차 다중 분위수회귀나무 모형을 활용한 AI 면접체계 자료 분석)

  • Kim, Jaeoh;Bang, Sungwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.753-762
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    • 2020
  • With an increasing interest in integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into interview processes, the Republic of Korea (ROK) army is trying to lead and analyze AI-powered interview platform. This study is to analyze the AI interview data using a unified non-crossing multiple quantile tree (UNQRT) model. Compared to the UNQRT, the existing models, such as quantile regression and quantile regression tree model (QRT), are inadequate for the analysis of AI interview data. Specially, the linearity assumption of the quantile regression is overly strong for the aforementioned application. While the QRT model seems to be applicable by relaxing the linearity assumption, it suffers from crossing problems among estimated quantile functions and leads to an uninterpretable model. The UNQRT circumvents the crossing problem of quantile functions by simultaneously estimating multiple quantile functions with a non-crossing constraint and is robust from extreme quantiles. Furthermore, the single tree construction from the UNQRT leads to an interpretable model compared to the QRT model. In this study, by using the UNQRT, we explored the relationship between the results of the Army AI interview system and the existing personnel data to derive meaningful results.

A study on the relationship between initial and final convergence in NATM tunnels (NATM 터널 굴착시 초기 내공변위와 최종 내공변위의 상관관계 연구)

  • Kim, Bum-Joo;Hwang, Young-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.233-243
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    • 2008
  • A tunnel behavior predicted in the investigation and design stage is often different from its actual behavior due to mainly the complexity of ground conditions. In a tunnel construction, therefore, it is necessary to ensure the stability of the tunnel by predicting the behaviors of the ground and the supports through observations and measurements, and modifying immediately excavation and reinforcing methods when necessary. To do so, it is important to be able to predict the final tunnel behavior based on the initial tunnel behavior as early as possible. In this study, the correlations were obtained between the initial and the final convergence by analyzing statistically the convergence measurement data, collected from two domestic road tunnels under construction using NATM. In order to estimate the unknown displacements, occurred during the period between the excavation and the first measurement, two methods were used - one is the method by means of regression analysis using a modified exponential function and the other the method by a simple linear regression analysis using the data measured within the distance from tunnel face equal to the tunnel diameter (D). Finally, the relationships were obtained between the initial and final convergence, including the non-measured displacements estimated from the two different methods, by performing linear regression analyses. The regression analysis results showed that there are clear linear relationships between the initial and final convegence and the difference between the two linear regression equations was not that large for when using the exponential function and the simple linear function to estimate the non-measured displacements.

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Applicability evaluation of aerodynamic approaches for evaporation estimation using pan evaporation data (증발접시 증발량자료를 이용한 공기동력학적 증발량 산정 방법의 적용성 평가)

  • Rim, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.11
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    • pp.781-793
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    • 2017
  • In this study, applicabilities of aerodynamic approaches for the estimation of pan evaporation were evaluated on 56 study stations in South Korea. To accomplish this study purpose, previous researchers' evaporation estimation equations based on aerodynamic approaches were grouped into seven generalized evaporation models. Furthermore, four multiple linear regression (MLR) models were developed and tested. The independent variables of MLR models are meteorological variables such as wind speed, vapor pressure deficit, air temperature, and atmospheric pressure. These meteorological variables are required for the application of aerodynamic approaches. In order to consider the effect of autocorrelation, MLR models were developed after differencing variables. The applicability of MLR models with differenced variables was compared with that of MLR models with undifferenced variables and the comparison results showed no significant difference between the two methods. The study results have indicated that there is strong correlation between estimated pan evaporation (using aerodynamic models and MLR models) and measured pan evaporation. However, pan evaporation are overestimated during August, September, October, November, and December. Most of meteorological variables that are used for MLR models show statistical significance in the estimation of pan evaporation. Vapor pressure deficit was turned out to be the most significant meteorological variable. The second most significant variable was air temperature; wind speed was the third most significant variable, followed by atmospheric pressure.

Bedside Estimation of the Length of Nares-Vocal Cord in Children (소아에서의 비공 - 성대간 거리에 관한 예측공식의 유도)

  • Lee, Young-Eun;Shin, Teo-Jeon;Kim, Chong-Chul;Lee, Sang-Hoon;Jang, Ki-Taeg;Kim, Jung-Wook;Kim, Youmg-Jae;Hyun, Hong-Keun;Han, Hyo-Jo;Kim, Hyun-Jeong;Seo, Kwang-Suk
    • Journal of The Korean Dental Society of Anesthesiology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.141-145
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    • 2011
  • 배경: 협조가 불가능하거나 진정법 하 치과치료가 여의치 않을 경우 전신마취 하 치료를 계획하게 된다. 하지만 전신마취 하 치료시 기관내 삽관이 여의치 않은 경우를 종종 경험하게 된다. 이와같은 경우 기관지경을 이용한 기관내 삽관을 시행한다. 기관지 내시경을 환자의 성문에 근접하게 전진시킬 경우 기관지 내시경 하 시야확보가 용이한 점을 감안 시 비공 - 성대간 거리를 예측하는 것은 매우 유용할 것으로 생각된다. 또한 비공 - 성대간 거리를 추정하게 되면 맹목적 비강내 기관내 삽관을 하는데도 도움이 된다. 방법: 본 연구는 전신마취하 치과치료가 예정되어 있는 62명의 소아환자들을 대상으로 하여 신체변수와 비공 - 성대거리와의 관계를 확인해보고자 하였다. 선형회귀분석을 시행하여 다음과 같은 결론을 도출하였다. 결과: 소아환자들에 있어 비공 - 성대간 거리는 환아의 신장, 체중, 연령 등과 상관관계를 나타내었다. 비공 - 성대간 거리와 상관관계를 보인 변수들 중 에서 신장과의 상관계수가 가장 높았다. 선형회귀분석을 통해 비공 - 성대간 거리를 예측하는 다음과 같은 회귀식을 구하였다. 비공 - 성대간 거리 = (4.8 + 신장(cm)) ${\times}$ 0.07 고찰: 본 연구에서 구해진 회귀식을 이용하여 기도유지가 어려운 소아의 기도유지 하는데 큰 도움이 될 것으로 생각된다.

Trip Generation Model based on Geographically Weighted Regression (공간가중회귀분석을 이용한 통행발생모형)

  • Kim, Jin-Hui;Park, Il-Seop;Jeong, Jin-Hyeok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2011
  • In most of the urbanized cities, socio-economic attributes tend to cluster as patterns of similarity in space, namely spatial autocorrelation, by agglomeration forces. The classical linear regression model, the most frequently adopted in the trip generation step, cannot sufficiently represent this effect. In order to take into account the effect properly, we need a model which adequately deals with the spatial dependence patterns. In this study, the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model is adopted as an alternative method for the local analysis of relationships in multivariate data sets; that is GWR extends this traditional regression framework by estimating local rather than global parameters. This study shows the existence of spatial effects in the production and attraction of home base/non-home based trips through the GWR model using travel data collected in Daegu metropolitan area. Furthermore, LISA is employed to verify the fact that the local spatial autocorrelation exists.

A Heuristic Model for Appropriation of Voyage Allocation under Specific Port Condition Using Regression Analyses - With a Case Analysis on POSCO-owned Port - (휴리스틱 회귀모델을 이용한 특정항만 조건하에서의 선형별 적정 항차배분에 관한 연구 - 포항제철(주) 전용항만 사례를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Weonjae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.159-174
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    • 2013
  • This paper mainly deals with the appropriation of ship voyage allocation, using a heuristic regression model, in order to reduce total costs incurred in port, yard and at sea under the specific port condition. Because of different behavior of costs incurred in port, yard and at sea, an effort to minimize these costs by adjusting the number of voyages for three ship classes(50,000, 100,000, and 150,000-ton) should be made. For instance, if the port managers attempt to reduce the sea transport cost by increasing the annual allocated number of ship voyages classed 150,000-ton for economies of scale, they have no choice but to suffer a significant increase in queueing cost due to port congestion. To put it differently, there are trade-off relationships among the costs incurred in port, yard, and at sea. We utilized a computer simulation result to perform a couple of regression analyses in order to figure out the appropriate range of allocated number of voyages of each ship class using a heuristic approach. The detailed analytical results will be shown at the main paper. We also suggested a net present value(NPV) model to make a proper investment decision for an additional berth of 200,000-ton class that alleviates port congestion and reduces transport cost incurred both in port and at sea.

Divide and conquer kernel quantile regression for massive dataset (대용량 자료의 분석을 위한 분할정복 커널 분위수 회귀모형)

  • Bang, Sungwan;Kim, Jaeoh
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.569-578
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    • 2020
  • By estimating conditional quantile functions of the response, quantile regression (QR) can provide comprehensive information of the relationship between the response and the predictors. In addition, kernel quantile regression (KQR) estimates a nonlinear conditional quantile function in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces generated by a positive definite kernel function. However, it is infeasible to use the KQR in analysing a massive data due to the limitations of computer primary memory. We propose a divide and conquer based KQR (DC-KQR) method to overcome such a limitation. The proposed DC-KQR divides the entire data into a few subsets, then applies the KQR onto each subsets and derives a final estimator by aggregating all results from subsets. Simulation studies are presented to demonstrate the satisfactory performance of the proposed method.

Prediction of Shear Strength in High-Strength Concrete Beams without Web Reinforcement Considering Size Effect (크기효과를 고려한 복부보강이 없는 고강도 콘크리트 보의 전단강도 예측식의 제안)

  • Bae, Young-Hoon;Yoon, Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.820-828
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    • 2003
  • Recent research has indicated that the current ACI shear provision provides unconservative predictions for large slender beams and beams with low level of longitudinal reinforcement, and conservative results for deep beams. To modify some problems of ACI shear provision, ultimate shear strength equation considering size effect and arch action to compute shear strength in high-strength concrete beams without stirrups is presented in this research. Three basic equations, namely size reduction factor, rho factor, and arch action factor, are derived from crack band model of fracture mechanics, analysis of previous some shear equations for longitudinal reinforcement ratio, and concrete strut described as linear prism in strut-tie model deep beams. Constants of basic equations are determined using statistical analysis of previous shear testing data. To verify proposed shear equation for each variable, effective depth, longitudinal reinforcement ratio, concrete compressive strength and shear span-to-depth ratio, about 300 experimental data are used and proposed shear equation is compared with ACI 318-99 code, CEB-FIP Model code, Kim &Park's equation and Zsutty's equation. The proposed shear equation is not only simpler than other shear equations, it is but also shown to be economical predictions and reasonable safety margin. Hence proposed shear strength equation is expected to be applied to practical shear design.

Recommended Practice for Demand Factor using Regression Analysis Theory depending on Power Consumption Characteristics in Commercial Buildings (업무용빌딩의 전력소비 특성을 고려한 회귀분석이론을 이용한 수용률 기준 설정)

  • Kim, Se-Dong;Shin, Hyo-Seop;Kim, Soo-Gil;Oh, Kie-Bong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.217-222
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    • 2004
  • 고도 정보화 사회의 진전으로 전기에너지의 소비는 급격히 증가하고 있다. 특히 업무용 빌딩과 같은 전력다소비 건물에서는 전력의 효율적 이용에 의한 에너지절감은 물론 설계 단계에서의 합리적인 전기설비 설계가 요청되고 있다. 현재 우리나라의 기후 특성과 전력소비 특성을 고려한 합리적인 전기설비 설계를 위한 기초 자료가 매우 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 합리적인 수용률 기준을 설정하기 위하여 사무소용 빌딩의 전력 소비 특성을 조사 분석하였고, 아울러 전기설비설계사무소에서 적용하고 있는 수용률을 조사 분석하였다. 조사된 자료 전체의 특징과 중심적인 경향을 알아내기 위해서 평균값, 중앙값, 표준편차, 최대 값, 최소 값, 회귀모형식, 최소제곱 평균오차 등의 확률 통계적 파라미터들을 수용률 기준 설정을 위한 특징 파라미터로 선택하였다. 그리고, 데이터의 신뢰성을 비교 분석하기 위하여 선형적인 방법과 비선형적인 방법으로 그 경향을 추정하여 곡선으로 나타내었다. 이러한 방법에 의하여 얻어진 분석 자료를 이용하여 적정 변압기 용량 설정을 위하여 데이터베이스화하였고, 변전설비용량의 합리적인 설계를 위하여 수용률 기준 적용시에 필요한 자료로 활용할 수 있으리라 사료된다.

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