• Title/Summary/Keyword: 산업생산지수

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A Drought Outlook Study Using Climate Information in Korea (국내 기상정보를 이용한 가뭄전망기법 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Oh;Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Ko, Yang-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1590-1596
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    • 2009
  • 최근 기후변화의 영향으로 인한 기상이변으로 인해 세계적으로 많은 피해가 발생하고 있으며, 규모도 점점 커지고 있다. 특히 가뭄에 대한 피해는 더욱 더 심화되는 현상으로 보이고 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내에 적합한 월단위와 주단위 가뭄전망을 제시하였다. 월단위 전망에서는 앙상블 기법을 기반으로 기상청에서 제공하는 월간산업기상정보의 적용에 따른 가뭄전망 정확성을 비교하였다. 주단위 전망에서는 기상청에서 제공하는 GDAPS를 이용하여 확정론적 가뭄전망을 하였다. 가뭄지수로서는 강수, 유량, 지하수위를 인자로 하는 MSWSI(Modified Surface Water Supply Index)를 가뭄지수로 사용하였으며, MSWSI는 5개 구간으로 나누었다. 월단위 가뭄전망에서는 물수지모형인 abcd모형에 과거 강수와 잠재증발산량 시나리오를 입력변수로 하여 최종적으로 유량과 지하수위 시나리오를 생산하여, 확률 가뭄전망을 위해 각 구간의 발생확률을 산정하고 실측자료로부터 산정한 MSWSI와 비교하였다. 정확성 평가를 위해서 RPS(Ranked Probability Score)를 이용하였다. 금강유역에 적용한 결과, 이수기(10월-이듬해 6월)에는 4개 달이 초보전망보다 높았으나 전체 RPS는 1.87로서 초보전망의 1.84보다 높아 현재 월단위 가뭄전망기법에는 많은 불확실성이 존재하였다. 또한 월간산업기상정보를 이용한 월단위 가뭄전망에서도 초보전망보다 정확성이 낮아, 현재 중장기 기상정보를 이용하기에는 어려운 것으로 나타났다. 주단위 가뭄전망에서는 abcd모형에 GDAPS를 입력변수로 하여 확정론적 MSWSI를 산정하여 실측자료로부터 산정한 MSWSI와 비교하였으며, Hit ratio를 이용하여 그 정확성을 평가하였다. 주단위 가뭄전망 결과, 주단위 가뭄전망의 Hit ratio가 0.480으로서 초보전망보다 높아 주단위 가뭄전망은 효용성이 있음을 입증하였다. 본 연구에서 적용기간이 짧아 가뭄전망의 정확성을 판단하기는 이르나, 월단위 가뭄전망에서는 기상정보의 정확성이 향상에 따라 가뭄전망의 정확성도 향상될 것으로 판단된다. 장기적으로 본 연구 결과를 토대로 단기와 중장기 가뭄전망을 수행하고 평가한다면, 가뭄전망에 대한 신뢰도가 더 높아질 것으로 사료된다.

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A Study on the Development Prospects of Building Construction Productivity through Construction Status Analysis (건설업 실태분석을 통한 건설업생산성의 발전전망에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hong Tae;Jeon, Jun Tai;Lee, Yang Kyu
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.242-257
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    • 2012
  • Korea's population change trend is the aging and feminization as Reduction in mortality, average life extension. and is further increased Reduction of birth rate and aging population. if Our country concluded FTA(Free Trade Agreement) with the United States, Europe and China etc. labor-intensive industries will be the decline. Then, the construction workers' jobs are continually reduced. This is critical to the nation's economic, social and environmental influences due to Shortage of construction workforce and increasing labor costs. Eventually this is a major factor in reduced construction productivity. Therefore, this study is presented as a construction productivity development prospects on the value-added analysis per Labour productivity employee from Construction market trends, industry-specific productivity index, industry trends Employed, age tiered workforce trends, women's workforce trends, labor time trend, foreign workers, workforce trends, analysis of trends in construction contract, awarded by Company Size trends, construction management analysis index.

A Study on the Characteristics of Local Energy Consumption by Using Index Decomposition Analysis (지수분해분석을 이용한 지자체의 에너지 소비특성에 관한 연구)

  • Jin, Sang Hyeon;Hwang, In Chang
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.557-586
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    • 2009
  • Although energy demand management policy attracts attention internationally and domestically, the importance of local government in this policy is not so much as central government. But local government can do a role with regard to this policy because it is close to energy consumers not like central government. So local energy plan should be based on the understanding local energy consumption characteristics to activate local energy demand management policy. This paper tries to analyze energy characteristics of 16 local governments by decomposing energy consumption into population, production and intensity factors. The result of index decomposition analysis shows that energy intensity improvement has offset the increase of energy consumption caused by economic growth in the metropolitan cities, while it couldn't offset in the other provinces because of industrialization based on the manufacturing. In conclusion, this paper suggests that it will be necessary to switch to low energy society by carrying out concrete energy efficiency improvement projects in the metropolitan cities while it will be helpful to make a local development plan for low energy intensive industrialization in the other provinces.

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Seasonal Adjustment on Chain-Linking (연쇄가중법 도입에 따른 계절변동조정)

  • Jeon, Gyeong-Bae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2009
  • Chain-linking is a method for aggregating volume measures which would improve the quality of estimates of economic growth over the present fixed base in Korea. There is a risk that choice of chain-linking techniques such annual overlap, one-quarter overlap or over-the-year overlap may create an artificial seasonality to the volume series. The empirical results on Korean GDP suggest that the use of the annual overlap is recommended. And conducting seasonal adjustment after chain-linking to produce the chain-linked seasonally adjusted GDP is more appropriated in Korea.

Emotion Extraction of Multimedia Contents based on Specific Sound Frequency Bands (소리 주파수대역 기반 멀티미디어 콘텐츠의 감성 추출)

  • Kwon, Young-Hun;Chang, Jae-Khun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.381-387
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    • 2013
  • Recently, emotional contents that induce emotions and respond to emotions are given attention in the field of cultural industries, and extracting emotion caused by multimedia contents is being noted. Furthermore, since multimedia contents have been quickly produced and distributed these days, researches automatically to extract the feeling of multimedia contents are being accelerated. In this paper, we will study the method of emotional value extraction in the multimedia contents using the volume value of the multimedia contents in a certain frequency among sound informations. This study allows to extract the emotion of multimedia contents automatically, and the extracted information will be used to provide user's current emotion, weather, etc. for the users.

주식(株式)의 가격결정요인(價格決定要因)에 관한 실증적(實證的) 연구(硏究)

  • Gam, Hyeong-Gyu
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.131-164
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    • 1991
  • 주식시장에 체계적으로 영향을 미칠 수 있는 거시경제변수(巨視經濟變數)들과 국민경제의 중요한 한 부분인 주식시장(株式市場)의 관계를 구체적으로 규명하는 것은 투자자에게 유용한 정보를 제공하는 동시에 주식시장이 건전한 방향으로 발전할 수 있도록 유도하는 의미 있는 일이다. 본 연구의 목적은 주식수익률의 횡단면적 차이를 설명할 수 있는 경제적으로 유의적인, 즉 '가격화(價格化)'된 거시경제변수(巨視經濟變數)를 발견하는데 있다. 이를 위하여 주식평가모형과 기존의 연구결과를 토대로 주식수익률에 체계적으로 영향을 미칠 수 있는 31개의 거시경제변수를 선정한 후, 실증적 연구방법을 사용하여 우리나라 주식시장에서 '가격화(價格化)'된 거시경제변수가 무엇인지를 확인하였다. 먼저 주식수익률(株式收益率)에 체계적으로 영향을 미칠 수 있는 31개의 거시경제변수(巨視經濟變數)들을 요인분석하여 6개의 공통적 특성으로 압축 요약한 후, 각 차원(요인)을 가장 잘 대표하는 6개의 거시경제변수(대용변수)(巨視經濟變數(代用變數))를 추출하였다. 그리고 요인분석에 의해서 추출된 6개의 거시 경제변수와 주식수익률로 Fama & MacBeth(1973) 방법과 유사한 2단계회귀분석을 실시하여 주식수익률에 유의적인 영향을 미치는 '가격화'된 거시경제변수를 발견하였다. 그 결과, 6개의 거시경제변수 중 산업생산지수증가률(産業生産指數增加率), 회사채류통수익율(會社債流通收益率) 그리고 종합주가지수수익률(綜合株價指數收釜率)등 3개의 거시경제변수가 주식수익률의 횡단면적 차이를 설명할 수 있는 유의적인 또는 '가격화'된 경제변수임을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Fecal Microbiota Profiling of Holstein and Jersey, in South Korea : A Comparative Study (국내에서 사육되는 Holstein 젖소과 Jersey 젖소의 대변 미생물 분석 : 비교연구)

  • Gwangsu Ha;Ji-Won Seo;Hee Gun Yang;Se Won Park;Soo-Young Lee;Young Kyoung Park;RanHee Lee;Do-Youn Jeong;Hee-Jong Yang
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.565-573
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    • 2023
  • In light of the complex interactions between the host animal and its resident gut microbiomes, studies of these microbial communities as a means to improve cattle production are important. This study was conducted to analyze the intestinal microorganisms of Holstein (HT) and Jersey (JS), raised in Korea and to clarify the differences in microbial structures according to cattle species through next-generation sequencing. The alpha-diversity analysis revealed that most species richness and diversity indices were significantly higher in JS than in HT whereas phylogenetic diversity, which is the sum of taxonomic distances, is not significant. Microbial composition analysis showed that the intestinal microbial community structure of the two groups differed. In the both groups, a significant correlation was observed among the distribution of several microbes at the family level. In particular, a highly significant correlation (p<0.0001) among a variety of microbial distributions was found in JS. Beta-diversity analyis was to performed to statistically verify whether a difference exists in the intestinal microbial community structure of the two groups. Principal coordinate analysis and unweighted pair group method with arithmetic mean (UPGMA) clustering analysis showed separation between the HT and JS clusters. Meanwhile, permutational multivariate analysis of variance (PERMANOVA) revealed that their microbial structures are significantly different (p<0.0001). LEfSe biomarker analysis was performed to discover the differenc microbial features between the two groups. We found that several microbes, such as Firmicutes, Bacilli, Moraxellaceae and Pseudomonadales account for most of the difference in intestinal microbial community structure between the two groups.

A Web-based Decision Support System for the Research and Development of Construction Automation (건설자동화 연구개발을 위한 웹기반의사결정 지원시스템 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Won Young-Ho;Kim Hyun-Chul;Oh Se-Wook;Kim Young-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2001
  • Domestic construction industry has faced with many problems in productivity, quality, safety and skilled-labor availability because of the national economic depression, insufficient supply of skilled labors and so on. There is a growing need for improving productivity and quality, and savings in cost. In the case of advanced countries, they have made a number of research efforts to solve these problems with construction automation and robotics. Recently, there are growing interests in construction automation and robotics but such interests have not been further increased due to the difficulties in gathering or accessing valuable information on the research and development of construction automation and robotics. The main purpose of this study is to provide a web-based research database and decision support system for an effective research and development of automated construction system and robots. It is expected that this system would be able to provide a framework for the successful research, development and implementation of the construction automation and robotics in domestic construction industry

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Characteristics of the Flower Industry in Gyeongnam Province (경남지역 화훼산업의 현황과 특징)

  • Shim, In-Sun;Kim, Yun-Shik
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2009
  • The flower industry in Gyeongnam Province is the second largest flower producing area after Gyeonggi Province in Korea. Gyeongnam Province is also one of the provinces where flower industry was first introduced, which has started in the middle of 1960s. The share of Gyeongnam Province was 16.2% in area and 14.3% in sales in 2006. The most outstanding feature of Gyeongnam's flower industry is that it has been particularly specialized in cut-flower industry, the share of which was 77.6% of Gyeongnam Province in area. Another feature is that the industry continued to be shrunk in size due to the expansion of urban area. For Gyeongnam's floral industry to be competitive not only in domestic market but in international market, its competitiveness in quality and price is kept being promoted. In addition, the availability of land is essential to the growth of the flower industry of Gyeongnam Province.

The Impact of Changes in Market Shares among Retailing Types on the Price Index (소매업태간 시장점유율 변화가 물가에 미친 영향)

  • Moon, Youn-Hee;Choi, Sung-Ho;Choi, Ji-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.93-115
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    • 2012
  • This study empirically examines the impact of changes in market shares among retailing types on the price index. The retailing type is classified into 6 groups: department store, big mart, super market, convenient store, specialty merchant, and on-line store. The market shares of retailing types are calculated by the ratio of each retailing type monthly sales to total monthly retailing sales in which total retailing sales is the sum of each retailing type sales. We employed several price indices: consumer price index (CPI), CPI for living necessaries, and fresh food price index. In addition, this study used fundamental price indices based on 25 product families as well as 42 representative products. The empirical model also included several variables in order to control for the macroeconomic effects and those variables are the exchange rate, M1, an oil price, and the industrial production index. The data is monthly time-series data spanning over the period from January 2000 to December 2010. In order to test for the stability of data series, we conducted ADF test and PP test in which the model and length of lag were determined by the relevant previous literature and based on the AIC. The empirical results indicate that changes in market shares among retailing types have impacts on the price index. Table A shows that impacts differ as to which price index to use and which product families and products to use. For department store, it lowers the price of food and non-alcoholic beverages, home appliances, fresh food, fresh and vegetables, but it keeps the price high for fresh fruit. The big mart retailing type has a positive impact on the price of food, nut has a negative effect on clothing and foot wear, non-food, and fresh fruit. For super market, it has a positive impact on food and non-alcoholic beverages, fresh food, fresh shellfishes, but increases the price of CPI for living necessaries and non-food. The specialty merchant retailing type increases the price level of CPI for living necessaries and fresh fruit. For on-line store type, it keeps the price high for CPI for living necessaries and non-food as well as fresh fruit. For the analysis based on 25 product families shows that changes in market shares among retailing types also have different effects on the price index. Table B summarizes the different results. The 42 representative product level analysis is summerized in Table C and it indicates that changes in market shares among retailing types have different effects on the price index. The study offers the theoretical and practical implication to these findings and also suggests the direction for the further analysis.

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