• Title/Summary/Keyword: 산불 발생빈도

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Developing of Forest Fire Occurrence Danger Index Using Fuel and Topographical Characteristics on the Condition of Ignition Point in Korea (산불발화지점의 임상 및 지형특성을 이용한 산불발생위험지수 개발)

  • Lee Si-Young;Won Myoung-Soo;Han Sang-Yoel
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.19 no.4 s.60
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    • pp.75-79
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    • 2005
  • This study has developed Forest Fire Occurrence Danger Index (FFODI) using fuel and topographical characteristics for the practical purposes of forecasting forest fire occurrence danger rating. This was made on the basis of the 126 forest fire site according to field survey. The result of fire frequency analysis showed 87 sites on conifer $(69\%)$, 21 on mixed $(16.7\%)$ and 18 $(14.3\%)$ on non-conifer. The scale for Fuel Model Index(FMI) ranges from 1 to 10 and Topography Model Index(TMI) from 1 to 5. FMI is 10 on the conifer, 3 on the mixed and 2 on the non-conifer. In case of topographical analysis, it was estimated that 90 site $(71.4\%)$ of ignition point was bottom foot hill and 22 site $(17.5\%)$ was on the southwest. TMI in southwest direction is 5.0, 4.5 in the northwest and the northeast, 4.0 in the southeast and the south, 2.5 in the north and the west and 1.5 in the east. TMI in the bottom foot hill is 5 in the bottom foot hill, 1.5 in the upper foot hill, 1.0 in the bottom middle slope and 0.5 in the upper middle slope and bottom ridge.

Spatial Patterns and Temporal Variability of the Haines Index related to the Wildland Fire Growth Potential over the Korean Peninsula (한반도 산불 확장 잠재도와 관련된 Haines Index의 시.공간적 특징)

  • Choi Cwang-Yong;Kim Jun-Su;Won Myoung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.41 no.2 s.113
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    • pp.168-187
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    • 2006
  • Windy meteorological conditions and dried fire fuels due to higher atmospheric instability and dryness in the lower troposphere can exacerbate fire controls and result in more losses of forest resources and residential properties due to enhanced large wildland fires. Long-term (1979-2005) climatology of the Haines Index reconstructed in this study reveals that spatial patterns and intra-annual variability of the atmospheric instability and dryness in the lower troposphere affect the frequency of wildland fire incidences over the Korean Peninsula. Exponential regression models verify that daily high Haines Index and its monthly frequency has statistically significant correlations with the frequency of the wildland fire occurrences during the fire season (December-April) in South Korea. According to the climatic maps of the Haines Index created by the Geographic Information System (GIS) using the Digital Elevation Model (DEM), the lowlands below 500m from the mean sea level in the northwestern regions of the Korean Peninsula demonstrates the high frequency of the Haines Index equal to or greater than five in April and May. The annual frequency of the high Haines Index represents an increasing trend across the Korean Peninsula since the mid-1990s, particularly in Gyeongsangbuk-do and along the eastern coastal areas. The composite of synoptic weather maps at 500hPa for extreme events, in which the high Haines Index lasted for several days consecutively, illustrates that the cold low pressure system developed around the Sea of Okhotsk in the extreme event period enhances the pressure gradient and westerly wind speed over the Korean Peninsula. These results demonstrate the need for further consideration of the spatial-temporal characteristics of vertical atmospheric components, such as atmospheric instability and dryness, in the current Korean fire prediction system.

The prediction of fine fuel moisture code in future climate change condition (기후변화에 따른 미세연료수분지수의 변화예측)

  • Park, Houng-Sek;Lee, Si-Young;Kwon, Chun-Geun;Lee, Hae-Pyeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 2010.10a
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    • pp.370-374
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    • 2010
  • 기후변화는 우리생활에서 많은 영향을 줄 것으로 예측되고 있다. 산불 또한, 발생 빈도와 강도 면에서 상당한 영향을 받을 것으로 예측된다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화모형(GCM)과 캐나다 산불 기상 지수의 미세연료 수분지수를 활용하여, 우리나라에서 기후변화 후 예측 되는 산불 발생의 가능성과 산불 계절의 변화를 예측하여, 향후 산불 방제 정책의 기본 자료로 삼고자 하였다. 밸런스형 사회가 유지될 경우의 미세 연료 수분 지수의 분석 결과, 산불 계절이 현재 보다 변화하는 것으로 나타나 이에 대한 사전 대비가 필요한 것으로 분석되었다.

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Analysis of Forest Fire Occurrence in Korea (한국의 산불발생 실태분석)

  • Lee, Si-Young;Lee, Hae-Pyeong
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.20 no.2 s.62
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    • pp.54-63
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    • 2006
  • The number of forest fire under various conditions such as year, month, time, day of the week, region, damaged species, cause, and damaged area are checked, and the statistics of the forest fire causing materials in recent 14 years ('91-'04) are analyzed. The result shows that the year majority of forest fires had happened in last 14 year was 2001 and most of forest fire occurred in April, Sunday, around 14:00 to 15:00. The most damaged region is Gyeongsangbuk-Do, followed by Gangwon-Do, Jeollabuk-Do, and Gyeonggi-Do. The most damaged species is pine tree. The main causes of forest fires are accidental fire and incineration of a field boundary; however, recently, incendiarism is increased. The result of analysis on the damaged area shows that small fires under 5 ha occurred most frequently and large fires (over 30 ha) occurred mostly in Kangwon province (44.2%). The result also shows that the large forest fires (1,113 minutes) require 7.5 time more than the small forest fires (148 minutes). Especially, since average damaged area caused by large forest fire was about 470 ha per incident.

Safety Evaluation of Mountain Slopes Considering the Effect of Forest Fire (산불의 영향을 고려한 산지사면의 안정성 평가)

  • Kim, Jong-Min;Chung, Bong-Hoon;Choi, Joon-Sung;Park, Duk-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.4 no.1 s.12
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2004
  • Recent abnormal weather condition and accompanying increase in forest fire require more study on the effect of forest fire on the stability of mountain slopes. The aims of this paper are to investigate how destroy of trees caused by forest fire influences the stability of mountain slopes and to propose a safety evaluation method for mountain slopes considering the effect of forest fire, in order to minimize the expected damage due to forest fire. To accomplish this aim, the effects of forest fire on the stability of mountain slopes are analyzed in quantitative way, and a slope stability chart is proposed as a result.

Development of Forest Fire Occurrence Probability Model Using Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 산불발생확률모형 개발)

  • Lee, Byungdoo;Ryu, Gyesun;Kim, Seonyoung;Kim, Kyongha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2012
  • To achieve the forest fire management goals such as early detection and quick suppression, fire resources should be allocated at high probability area where forest fires occur. The objective of this study was to develop and validate models to estimate spatially distributed probabilities of occurrence of forest fire. The models were builded by exploring relationships between fire ignition location and forest, terrain and anthropogenic factors using logistic regression. Distance to forest, cemetery, fire history, forest type, elevation, slope were chosen as the significant factors to the model. The model constructed had a good fit and classification accuracy of the model was 63%. This model and map can support the allocation optimization of forest fire resources and increase effectiveness in fire prevention and planning.

농촌 인근림에서 산불에 의한 식생의 변화

  • Yeo, Ji-Seon;Kim, Gi-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Environmental Sciences Society Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.425-426
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    • 2006
  • 청원군 소재 한국 교원대 내부 산과 인근 산에 발생한 산불에 의한 식생의 변화를 1년10개월 지난 뒤 조사 연구하였다. 조사 방법은 대상법을 사용하여 종 조사와 건중량을 조사하였다. 우점종은 방향구에서 발견된 종 빈도를 바탕으로 산출하였다. 산불이 일어난 지역은 식물상 조사 결과, 졸참나무, 산딸기, 그늘사초가 우점종으로 나왔다.

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Development of Satellite-based Drought Indices for Assessing Wildfire Risk (산불발생위험 추정을 위한 위성기반 가뭄지수 개발)

  • Park, Sumin;Son, Bokyung;Im, Jungho;Lee, Jaese;Lee, Byungdoo;Kwon, ChunGeun
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.6_3
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    • pp.1285-1298
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    • 2019
  • Drought is one of the factors that can cause wildfires. Drought is related to not only the occurrence of wildfires but also their frequency, extent and severity. In South Korea, most wildfires occur in dry seasons (i.e. spring and autumn), which are highly correlated to drought events. In this study, we examined the relationship between wildfire occurrence and drought factors, and developed satellite-based new drought indices for assessing wildfire risk over South Korea. Drought factors used in this study were high-resolution downscaled soil moisture, Normalized Different Water Index (NDWI), Normalized Multi-band Drought Index (NMDI), Normalized Different Drought Index (NDDI), Temperature Condition Index (TCI), Precipitation Condition Index (PCI) and Vegetation Condition Index (VCI). Drought indices were then proposed through weighted linear combination and one-class support vector machine (One-class SVM) using the drought factors. We found that most drought factors, in particular, soil moisture, NDWI, and PCI were linked well to wildfire occurrence. The validation results using wildfire cases in 2018 showed that all five linear combinations produced consistently good performance (> 88% in occurrence match). In particular, the combination of soil moisture and NDWI, and the combination of soil moisture, NDWI, and precipitation were found to be appropriate for representing wildfire risk.

Developing Forest Fire Occurrence Probability Model Using Meteorological Characteristics (기상자료(氣象資料)를 이용(利用)한 산불발생확률모형(發生確率模型)의 개발(開發))

  • Choi, Kwan;Han, Sang Yoel
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.85 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 1996
  • Preparing the era of forest resources management requires studies on forest fire. This study attempted to develop forest fire occurrence model using meteorological characteristics for the practical purposes of forecasting forest fire danger rate. To accomplish this goal, the relationships between forest fire occurrence and meteorological characteristics are estimated. In the process, the forest fire occurrence pattern of the study region(Taegu-Kyungpook) is categorized by employing qualification IV method. The study region was divided into three areas such as, Taegu, Andong and Pohang area. The meteorological variables emerged as affective to forest fire occurrence are relative humidity, longitude of sunshine, and duration of precipitation. To estimate the probability of forest fire danger, forest fire occurrence of three areas are regressed on the time series data of affective meteorological variables using logistic and probit model. The effectiveness of the models estimated are tested and showed acceptable degree of goodness. Those models developed would be helpful to increase the efficiency of forest fire management such as detection of forest fire occurrence and effective disposition of forest fire fight equipments.

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Implementation of IoT Application using Geofencing Technology for Mountain Management (산악 관리를 위한 지오펜싱 기술을 이용한 IoT 응용 구현)

  • Hyeok-jun Kweon;Eun-Gyu An;Hoon Kim
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.300-305
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we confirmed that an efficient sensor network can be established at a low cost by applying Geofencing technology to a LoRa-based sensor network and verified its effectiveness in disaster management such as forest fires. We detected changes through GPS, gyro sensors, and combustion detection sensors, and defined the validity size of the Geofencing cell accurately. We proposed a LoRa Payload Frame Structure that has a flexible size according to the size of the sensor information.