• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
• /
• v.16 no.4
• /
• pp.2401-2406
• /
• 2015

Pipelines are used by large heavy industries to deliver various types of fluids. Since this is important to maintain the performance of large systems, it is necessary to accurately predict remaining life of the corroded pipeline. However, predicting the remaining life is difficult due to uncertainties in the associated variables, such as geometries, material properties, corrosion rate, etc. In this paper, a statistical method for predicting corrosion remaining life is proposed using Bayesian inference. To accomplish this, pipeline failure probability was calculated using prior information about pipeline failure pressure according to elapsed time, and the given experimental data based on Bayes' rule. The corrosion remaining life was calculated as the elapsed time with 10 % failure probability. Using 10 and 50 samples generated from random variables affecting the corrosion of the pipe, the pipeline failure probability was estimated, after which the estimated remaining useful life was compared with the assumed true remaining useful life.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
• /
• v.34 no.10
• /
• pp.1403-1409
• /
• 2010

For many years, high-strength nickel-base superalloys have been used to manufacture turbine blades because of their excellent performance at high temperatures. The prediction of fatigue life of superalloys is important for improving the efficiency of the turbine blades. In this study, low cycle fatigue tests are performed for different values of total strain and temperature. The relations between strain energy density and number of cycles before failure occurs are examined in order to predict the low cycle fatigue life of IN738LC super alloy. The results of low cycle fatigue lives predicted by strain energy methods are found to coincide with experimental data and with the results obtained by the Coffin-Manson method.

• Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
• /
• v.4 no.1
• /
• pp.3-6
• /
• 2005

The failure of geogrids can be defined as an excessive creep strain which causes the collapse of slopes and embankments. In this study, the lifetime of knitted polyester geogrids was predicted by using SIM(Stepped Isothermal Methods using TTS principal) and statistical data analysis techniques. The results indicate that the creep strain was 8.74, 8.79, 8.80% with 2.16~2.20% of CV% at 75, 100, 114 years, respectively and the creep strain reaches 9.3% after 100 years of usage at $27^{\circ}C$ which meets the required lifetime(creep strain less than 10% after 100 years of usage) in the fields. The SIM method is shown to be effective in reduction of uncertainty associated with inherent variability of multi-specimen tests and shorter test times than conventional TTS(Time-Temperature Superposition).

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
• /
• 2004.11a
• /
• pp.25-30
• /
• 2004

This paper gives an assessment criteria and average failure lifetime prediction for power supply of electrodeless fluorescent lamp. The paper present electric appliance safety standard and performance standard for power supply of electrodeless fluorescent lamp. also, It presents the Failure Rate or Mean Time To Failure(MTTF) for power supply of electrodeless fluorescent lamp. We suggest the assessment criteria and improve methods of the reliability on the design basis for the electrodeless fluorescent system.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
• /
• v.16 no.5
• /
• pp.3633-3642
• /
• 2015

Single-base propellants contain a single energetic component: nitrocellulose. Accurate predictions of propellant shelf-life should result in cost savings in terms of human and material resources. This study derived an optimized kinetic model reaction order that described stabilizer consumption and estimated propellant shelf-life. High temperature accelerated aging tests gave an optimum reaction order value of 1.15481, from which the minimum standard error of a linear regression estimate of 16.284 was obtained. At normal storage temperature of $21-30^{\circ}C$, propellants should have a safe shelf-life of 140 years, and a minimum of 35 years. It is necessary to consider the temperature range in ammunition storage areas to predict propellant shelf-life more accurately.

• Journal of Digital Contents Society
• /
• v.15 no.2
• /
• pp.301-308
• /
• 2014

The mass storage of data and the importance of storage capacity lately has emerged. In this paper, we suggest the new method which estimate life cycle from acceleration life test about 2.5 inch hard disk driver as mass storage, which minimize the difference between real market annual failure rate and estimated failure rate. we obtain market transfer capacity per hours from returned 2.5inch hard disk drives about 309 numbers and accelerating transfer capacity per hours from acceleration life test. we calculate acceleration factor about duty cycle and estimate annual failure rate from failure rate and acceleration factors: temperature acceleration factor, duty cycle acceleration factor, the transfer capacity per hour represent the 93.4 % of user is 5.8 GB/hour, the transfer capacity per hour from acceleration life test is 81.4 GB/hour. the acceleration factor of duty cycle is 14.1. annual failure rate is stabilized at market one year after, annual failure rate is between 0.3 and 0.378. estimated annual failure rate is 0.4, so it is matched at 75~94 % between estimate annual failure rate and market annual failure rate. This study influence the estimate method of annual failure rate by the result of acceleration life cycle of manufacture.

• Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
• /
• v.13 no.1
• /
• pp.62-67
• /
• 1998

This study was undertaken to find out distribution and contamination sources of microbes on the processing steps and to estimate quality index and shelf life of fried bean curd. It was necessary that the sanitation for water, processing environment and instruments at digestion, formation, cutting and processes after frying must be controlled and microbial growth at digestion and formation must be inhibited, to process efficiently and to improve shelf life of fried bean curd. It was evaluated that quality indexes as to sensory evaluation, especially texture, mold generation and total viable cell counts will be useful to estimate shelf life of fried bean curd and that shelf life of fried bean curd was 6 days.

• Composites Research
• /
• v.12 no.4
• /
• pp.1-7
• /
• 1999

Fatigue life prediction of matrix dominated composite laminates, which have a nonlinear stress/strain response, was studied analytically and experimentally. A stress function describing the relation of initial fatigue modulus and elastic modulus was used in order to consider the material nonlinearty. New modified fatigue life prediction equation was suggested based on the fatigue modulus and reference modulus concept as a function of applied stress. The prediction was verified by torsional fatigue test using crossply carbon/epoxy laminate tubes. It was shown that the proposed equation has wide applicability and good agreement with experimental data.

• Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
• /
• v.15 no.4
• /
• pp.529-540
• /
• 2003

Recently, the researches on the durability design of concrete structures have been studied. As the examples, models to evaluate the service life prediction of the structure have been developed. The purpose of this article is to develop the model for predicting remaining service life. The final aim is to provide the user time for repairing the concrete structures. In addition, it makes possible to maintain the concrete structure economically. 70 reservoirs out of the inland concrete structures were selected and concrete structures of their components were surveyed. Two methods were used for measuring carbonation; TG/DTA method and Phenolphtalein indicator and, the value of pH was measured by the pH meter, After deriving correlations of calcium carbonate and used year, duration from completion year to 2002, pH value, and concrete cover depth the model was developed for predicting remaining service life by measuring data as small as possible. The conventional models had been developed on the basis of experiment data obtained from the restricted lab environment like as carbon gas exposure. On the other hand this model was developed on the basis of measuring data obtained from the real field that the complex deterioration actions are occurred such as freezing and thawing, carbonation, steel corrosion, and so on. The reliability of the developed model will be evaluated high in this point and this model can help to maintain concrete structures economically by providing the manager time to repair the deteriorated concrete structures in site of facility management.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
• /
• 2004.05a
• /
• pp.117-117
• /
• 2004

일반적으로 접촉 피로 마멸은 구름 또는 미끄럼 접촉시 작용하는 반복 응력에 의해 표면과 표면 아래에 균열이 형성되고 성장 및 합체의 과정을 거쳐 표면의 일부가 떨어져 나가는 손상으로 기어나 캠-롤러, 구름 베어링과 같이 구름-미끄럼 접촉상태로 운전하는 기계요소에서 가장 중요하게 고려되어야 할 파손 메커니즘이다. 특히 기어나 구름 베어링 같이 고주기 접촉 피로 특성을 지니는 기계요소의 수명은 피로수명 실험과 통계적 기법을 이용한 Weibull 이론을 기초로 한 수명식을 대부분 사용하고 있다.(중략)