• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사용수명 예측

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A Study for Prediction of Fatigue Life in Membranes of LNG Storage Tanks (LNG 저장탱크용 멤브레인의 피로수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon I.S.;Kim J.K.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.9 no.2 s.27
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    • pp.34-37
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    • 2005
  • The membrane for LNG storage tank behaves linearly in macroscopic view, but behaves elasto-plastically in some local areas, and has the structure undergoing both tension and bending. That is, the membrane is not able to be evaluated with the fatigue characteristics of the material, and it is so difficult to evaluate the membrane with a real big model because of the difficulty of imposing complex loads. Therefore, a prediction formula fur the fatigue life of the membrane is proposed to use for the design of LNG storage tank.

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A Fracture Mechanic Study on Life Prediction of Surface Cracks at Elevated Temperature (고온화 표면균열의 수명예측에 관한 파괴역학적 연구)

  • Chang-Min,Suh;Young-Ho,Kim;Bung-Ho,Son;Sang-Yeub,Oh
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.100-106
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    • 1990
  • Microcracking of type 304 stainless steel at $593^{\circ}C(1,100^{\circ}F)$ has been studied, in particular, initiation, growth, and coalescence of fatigue and creep microcracks on smooth specimens and small notch specimens via surface replicas and photomicrographs. Quantitative information, such as, initiation period, growth, and coalescence behavior, statistical distributions of crack length, density of cracks, distribution patterns and crack growth properties, were obtained. From this study, the fracture process, fatigue life, and creep life prediction characterized by the growth of surface microcracks have been analysed by a new approach unifying the conventional approaches based on the final fracture of materials with the fracture mechanics approach. Knowledge of these parameters is critical for the application of fracture mechanics to fatigue and creep life assessment, and the damage evaluation of structures at elevated temperature.

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Effects of Thermal Aging on Properties and Life-time Prediction of NBR and EPDM Vulcanizates (열 노화에 따른 NBR과 EPDM 가황물의 물성변화 및 노화수명 예측)

  • Woo, C.S.;Choi, S.S.
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2005
  • Material characteristics and lifetime evaluation are very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability of the rubber components. In this paper, the material test and accelerated heat aging test were carried out to predict the useful life of NBR and EPDM rubber mount for a compression motor which is used in a refrigerator. In order to investigate the effects of heat-aging on the material properties, crosslink density, modulus at 100% strain, stress-strain curves were obtained from uniaxial and equi-biaxial tensile tests. The change of compression set were used for assessment of the useful life and the time to threshold value were plotted against the reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot. The useful life at variable temperatures are obtained in the Arrhenius relationship.

Remaining Fatigue Life Evaluation of Steel Railroad Bridge (강철도교의 잔존피로수명 평가)

  • Kim, Sang Hyo;Lee, Sang Woo;Mha, Ho Seong;Kim, Jong Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.11 no.4 s.41
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    • pp.329-338
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    • 1999
  • A systematic procedure to evaluate fatigue damages and to predict remaining fatigue lives is introduced for a steel railway bridge. Fatigue damages are evaluated by using the currently available fatigue damage theory. Fatigue lives with the condition of fatigue crack initiation are estimated by the probabilistic approach based on the reliability theory as well as the simplified procedure. A equivalent deterministic procedure is also suggested to assess the remaining fatigue life under various traffic conditions. Numerical simulations are used to assess dynamic stress histories with correction factors. Loading models are obtained from the passenger volume data. Train coincidences are also considered. Based on the results, the fatigue life is found to be underestimated by without considering the coincidence of trains on the bridge. The simplified method proposed in this study are found to yield approximately the same results as the systematic procedure.

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Prediction of patent lifespan and analysis of influencing factors using machine learning (기계학습을 활용한 특허수명 예측 및 영향요인 분석)

  • Kim, Yongwoo;Kim, Min Gu;Kim, Young-Min
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.147-170
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    • 2022
  • Although the number of patent which is one of the core outputs of technological innovation continues to increase, the number of low-value patents also hugely increased. Therefore, efficient evaluation of patents has become important. Estimation of patent lifespan which represents private value of a patent, has been studied for a long time, but in most cases it relied on a linear model. Even if machine learning methods were used, interpretation or explanation of the relationship between explanatory variables and patent lifespan was insufficient. In this study, patent lifespan (number of renewals) is predicted based on the idea that patent lifespan represents the value of the patent. For the research, 4,033,414 patents applied between 1996 and 2017 and finally granted were collected from USPTO (US Patent and Trademark Office). To predict the patent lifespan, we use variables that can reflect the characteristics of the patent, the patent owner's characteristics, and the inventor's characteristics. We build four different models (Ridge Regression, Random Forest, Feed Forward Neural Network, Gradient Boosting Models) and perform hyperparameter tuning through 5-fold Cross Validation. Then, the performance of the generated models are evaluated, and the relative importance of predictors is also presented. In addition, based on the Gradient Boosting Model which have excellent performance, Accumulated Local Effects Plot is presented to visualize the relationship between predictors and patent lifespan. Finally, we apply Kernal SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) to present the evaluation reason of individual patents, and discuss applicability to the patent evaluation system. This study has academic significance in that it cumulatively contributes to the existing patent life estimation research and supplements the limitations of existing patent life estimation studies based on linearity. It is academically meaningful that this study contributes cumulatively to the existing studies which estimate patent lifespan, and that it supplements the limitations of linear models. Also, it is practically meaningful to suggest a method for deriving the evaluation basis for individual patent value and examine the applicability to patent evaluation systems.

Prediction of Cover Concrete Cracking due to Chloride Induced Corrosion in Concrete Structures (콘크리트 구조물의 염해부식에 따른 덮개콘크리트의 균열예측)

  • Lim, Dong-Woo;Lee, Chang-Hong;Song, Ha-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.291-292
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    • 2009
  • In this study, an analysis of cover concrete cracking exposed to the chloride attack was performed based on newly defined durability limit states. Using the methodology in this paper, the prediction of cover concrete cracking and subsequent spalling can be used for the prediction of corrosion induced serviceability degradation of concrete structures subjected chloride attack.

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Life Time Prediction and Physical Properties of Chloroprene Rubber Aged by Seawater (클로로프렌 고무의 해수에 의한 물성 변화 및 노화 수명 예측)

  • Lee, Chan Koo;Yun, Ju Ho;Kim, Il;Shim, Sang Eun
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2012
  • Herein, life time prediction based on the deterioration of physical properties of chloroprene rubber (CR)aged by heat and seawater was performed. CR samples were experienced an accelerated test at $80^{\circ}C$, $100^{\circ}C$, $120^{\circ}C$ for heat aging, and $40^{\circ}C$, $60^{\circ}C$, $80^{\circ}C$ for seawater aging for 20,000 hrs. The change in tensile strength, maximum elongation,hardness was measured. As a result, the decrease in elongation was a major factor causing failure. The life time estimated using an Arrhenius model was 125 years at $23^{\circ}C$ for thermal aging and 9 years at $23^{\circ}C$ for seawater aging. SEM and elemental analysis reveal that cracks were generated and the content of oxygen was increased for CR agined by seawater. FT-IR spectrum shows the new C-O and C = O bonds were generated by the chemical reaction with seawater. Also, the glass transtion temperature was increased and the thermal decomposition was decreased by seawater aging.

$RT_{NDT}$ 결정과 K 곡선 도출을 위한 통계적방법

  • 강성식;지세환;홍준화
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1995.05b
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    • pp.667-673
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    • 1995
  • 원자력 발전소의 안전성과 향후 수명연장에 있어 중요한 파괴인성 평가기준으로 사용되는 연성-취성 천이온도인 RT$_{NDT}$ 의 중요성과 값 결정에 있어서의 문제점을 살펴보고, 천이온도 영역에서 파괴인성의 통계적 분포를 이용한 RT$_{NDT}$ 예측과 충격시험결과로부터 K곡선을 유도하는 방법에 대한 가능성 등을 논의하였다.

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반도전층내 불순물이 전력케이블의 신뢰도에 미치는 영향

  • 한재흥;김상준;권오형;강희태;서광석
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 1997
  • 본 고는 전력연구원 연구과제인 "배전케이블 수명예측 기준결정 및 열화진단 시스템 구축"의 연구 수행중 전력케이블의 반도전층내에 들어 있는 불순물 또는 외부로부터 침투된 불순물이 전력케이블의 수명에 미치는 영향에 관한 총설로서, 그 동안 문헌조사 및 해외출장을 통하여 수집한 자료를 정리한 원고이다. 본 총설은 전력케이블에 사용되는 반도전층 재료의 변천, 반도전층의 역할 및 반도전층내에 들어 있는 불순물의 역할 등에 관한 내용이 정리되어 있다. 본 고를 통하여 반도전층내에 들어 있는 불순물은 전력케이블의 수명에 심각한 영향을 미칠 수 있다는 점을 강조하여 국내 지중배전 케이블에서도 불순물이 제거된 반도전 컴파운드를 사용해야 한다는 점을 강조하였다. 최근 반도전 재료의 개선을 통하여 전력케이블의 성능을 크게 개선시킬 수 있다는 연구결과 및 실용화 연구가 이루어지고 있는데, 이 새로운 개선방법은 반도전층으로부터 불순물을 제거한다는 단순한 방법이 아니라 반도전층을 이루는 반도전 컴파운드의 조성을 변화시키는 방법이다. 이는 단순히 전도성 카본블랙의 종류만을 바꾸는 것이 아니라 반도전 컴파운드에 사용하는 고분자 수지를 개질하거나 또는 일정 종류의 첨가제를 첨가하는 방법으로서, 본 고에서는 이들 방법에 대하여 간략하게 소개하였다. 이와 같은 고찰을 통하여 본 고에서는 전력케이블에 있어서 절연재료에 관한 연구도 물론 중요하지만 반도전층도 매우 중요한 역할을 하며, 나아가서 전력케이블의 성능을 현저히 향상시키기 위해서는 절연재료 뿐만 아니라 반도전층 재료에 관한 연구도 필요하다는 점을 강조하고자 한다. 본 고를 통하여 전력케이블에서의 반도전층의 역할 및 중요성에 과하여 좀 더 정확하게 인식되었으면 한다.

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Accelerated Life Evaluation of Propeller Shaft for Forklift Truck (지게차용 추진축의 가속 수명 평가)

  • Kim, Do-Sik;Sung, Baek-Ju
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.38 no.11
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    • pp.1221-1229
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes an approach for predicting the fatigue life of a propeller shaft of a forklift truck by an accelerated life test method. The accelerated life test method adopted in this study is the calibrated accelerated life test, which is highly effective in the prediction of the lifetime and enables significant reduction of the test time as well as a quantification of reliability in the case of small sample sizes. First, the fatigue test was performed under two high stress levels, and then, it was performed by setting low stress levels in consideration of the available test time and extrapolation. Major reliability parameters such as the lifetime, accelerated power index, and shape parameter were obtained experimentally, and the experimentally predicted lifetime of the propeller shaft was verified through comparison with results of an analysis of load spectrum data under actual operating conditions.