• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사용수명예측

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Accelerated Life Test Design of Bladder Type Accumulator Assembly for Helicopter (헬기용 블래더형 축압기 조립체의 가속수명시험 설계)

  • Kim, Dae-Yu;Hur, Jang-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.239-245
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    • 2018
  • The importance of reliability in the development of weapons systems and reliability tests has been emphasized recently. Therefore, this study evaluated a reliability test design method of a bladder type accumulator and proposed a process for reliability test design. To design the reliability test of the accumulator, the main failure modes and failure mechanisms were investigated, and the main stress factors were analyzed to select the appropriate acceleration model. A steady - state reliability test was designed according to the number of samples, and the reliability level and accelerated life test time were calculated according to the acceleration factor computed using the selected acceleration model.

Failure Mechanism and Long-Term Hydrostatic Behavior of Linear Low Density Polyethylene Tubing (선형저밀도 폴리에틸렌 튜빙의 파손 메커니즘과 장기 정수압 거동)

  • Weon, Jong-Il;Chung, Yu-Kyoung;Shin, Sei-Moon;Choi, Kil-Yeong
    • Polymer(Korea)
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.440-445
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    • 2008
  • The failure mechanism and failure morphology of linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) tubing under hydrostatic pressure were investigated. Microscopic observations using video microscope and scanning electron microscope indicate that the failure mode is a brittle fracture including cracks propagated from inner wall to outer wall. In addition, oxidation induction time and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy results show the presence of exothermic peak and the increase in carbonyl index on the surface of fractured LLDPE tubing, due to thermal-degradation. An accelerated life test methodology and testing system for LLDPE tubing are developed using the relationship between stresses and life characteristics by means of thermal acceleration. Statistical approaches using the Arrhenius model and Weibull distribution are implemented to estimate the long-term life time of LLDPE tubing under hydrostatic pressure. Consequently, the long-term life time of LLDPE tubing at the operating temperature of $25^{\circ}C$ could be predicted and also be analyzed.

Mortality Forecasting for Population Projection (장래인구추계를 위한 사망률 예측)

  • Kim, Tai-Hun
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.27-51
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, I have tested various kinds of methods for mortality projection and chose Lee-Carter method for projection of Korean mortality by age and sex. I reviewed the trends of life tables and life expectancies by age and sex from 2005 to 2050 projected by Lee-Carter method and found that the method was very applicable for Korean mortality projection. The differences between reported and estimated data for the period of 1971-2003 were small enough for both sexes and for all of the age groups. The projected life expectancies in 2051 were 82.73 years for males and 89.41 for females, and the differences decreased from 7.06 years in 2005 to 6.68 years. Because of the limitation of Korean infant mortality rate, I adopted the Japanese estimated IMR in 2050 as Korean object level in 2051. When the time series of IMR become long enough, we can use Korean IMR directly for the mortality projection. In addition, if we can estimate the changes of the main cause of death correctly in future, the mortality projection will be more correct and reliable. This will be available when we can produce a long series of life tables by cause of deaths.

Probability-Based Durability Analysis of Concrete Structures under Chloride Attack Environments (염해를 받는 콘크리트 구조물의 확률론적 내구성 해석)

  • Kim, Jee-Sang;Jung, Sang-Hwa;Kim, Joo-Hyung;Lee, Kwang-Myong;Bae, Su-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.18 no.2 s.92
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    • pp.239-248
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    • 2006
  • Recently, a variety of researches has been carried out to obtain a more controlled durability and long-term performance of concrete structures under chloride attack environments. In particular, new procedures for probability-based durability analysis/design have been noticed to be very valuable for the enhancement of service life of concrete structures. Although there is still a lack of relevant data, this approach has been successfully applied to some new concrete structures. In this paper, the diffusion equation based on Fick's second law has been solved with a time dependent diffusion coefficient and the probabilistic analysis of the durability performance has been carried out by using a Monte Carlo Simulation. From the results, the influence of each parameter on the durability of concrete structures was investigated and the new procedure for durability analysis was demonstrated in terms of chloride penetration data from various concrete structures. The new procedure might be very useful in designing important concrete structures and help to predict the remaining service life of existing concrete structures under chloride attack environments.

Prediction of Rheological Properties of Asphalt Binders Through Transfer Learning of EfficientNet (EfficientNet의 전이학습을 통한 아스팔트 바인더의 레올로지적 특성 예측)

  • Ji, Bongjun
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.348-355
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    • 2021
  • Asphalt, widely used for road pavement, has different required physical properties depending on the environment to which the road is exposed. Therefore, it is essential to maximize the life of asphalt roads by evaluating the physical properties of asphalt according to additives and selecting an appropriate formulation considering road traffic and climatic environment. Dynamic shear rheometer(DSR) test is mainly used to measure resistance to rutting among various physical properties of asphalt. However, the DSR test has limitations in that the results are different depending on the experimental setting and can only be measured within a specific temperature range. Therefore, in this study, to overcome the limitations of the DSR test, the rheological characteristics were predicted by learning the images collected from atomic force microscopy. Images and rheology properties were trained through EfficientNet, one of the deep learning architectures, and transfer learning was used to overcome the limitation of the deep learning model, which require many data. The trained model predicted the rheological properties of the asphalt binder with high accuracy even though different types of additives were used. In particular, it was possible to train faster than when transfer learning was not used.

Life-time Prediction of a FKM O-ring using Intermittent Compression Stress Relaxation (CSR) and Time-temperature Superposition (TTS) Principle (간헐 압축응력 완화와 시간-온도 중첩 원리를 이용한 FKM 오링의 수명 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Hyok;Bae, Jong-Woo;Kim, Jung-Su;Hwang, Tae-Jun;Park, Sung-Doo;Park, Sung-Han;Min, Yeo-Tae;Kim, Won-Ho;Jo, Nam-Ju
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.263-271
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    • 2010
  • Intermittent CSR testing was used to investigate the degradation of an FKM O-ring, also the prediction of its life-time. An intermittent CSR jig was designed taking into consideration the O-ring's environment under use. The testing allowed observation of the effects of friction, heat loss, and stress relaxation by the Mullins effect. Degradation of O-rings by thermal aging was observed between 60 and $160^{\circ}C$. In the high temperature of range ($100-160^{\circ}C$) O-rings showed linear degradation behavior and satisfied the Arrhenius relationship. The activation energy was about 60.2 kJ/mol. From Arrhenius plots, predicted life-times were 43.3 years and 69.9 years for 50% and 40% failure conditions, respectively. Based on TTS (time-temperature superposition) principle, degradation was observed at $60^{\circ}C$, and could save testing time. Between 60 and $100^{\circ}C$ the activation energy decreased to 48.3 kJ/mol. WLF(William-Landel-Ferry) plot confirmed that O-rings show non-linear degradation behavior under $80^{\circ}C$. The life-time of O-rings predicted by TTS principle was 19.1 years and 25.2 years for each failure condition. The life-time predicted by TTS principle is more conservative than that from the Arrhenius relationship.

Case study of design and construction for cutter change in EPB TBM tunneling (EPB 쉴드 TBM 커터 교체 설계 및 시공 사례 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-won;Kang, Sung-wook;Jung, Jae-hoon;Kang, Han-byul;Shin, Young Jin
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.553-581
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    • 2022
  • Shortly after tunnel boring machine (TBM) was introduced in the tunneling industry, the use of TBM has surprisingly increased worldwide due to its performance together with the benefit of being safely and environmentally friendly. One of the main cost items in the TBM tunneling in rock and soil is changing damaged or worn cutters. It is because that the cutter change is a time-consuming and costly activity that can significantly reduce the TBM utilization and advance rate and has a major effect on the total time and cost of TBM tunneling projects. Therefore, the importance of accurately evaluating the cutter life can never be overemphasized. However, the prediction of cutter wear in soil, rock including mixed face is very complex and not yet fully clarified, subsequently keeping engineers busy around the world. Various prediction models for cutter wear have been developed and introduced, but these models almost usually produce highly variable results due to inherent uncertainties in the models. In this study, a case study of design and construction of disc cutter change is introduced and analyzed, rather than proposing a prediction model of cutter wear. As the disc cutter is strongly affected by the geological condition, TBM machine characteristic and operation, authors believe it is very hard to suggest a generalized prediction model given the uncertainties and limitations therefore it would be more practical to analyze a real case and provide a detailed discussion of the difference between prediction and result for the cutter change. By doing so, up-to-date idea about planning and execution of cutter change in practice can be promoted.

Estimation of Cerchar abrasivity index based on rock strength and petrological characteristics using linear regression and machine learning (선형회귀분석과 머신러닝을 이용한 암석의 강도 및 암석학적 특징 기반 세르샤 마모지수 추정)

  • Ju-Pyo Hong;Yun Seong Kang;Tae Young Ko
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.39-58
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    • 2024
  • Tunnel Boring Machines (TBM) use multiple disc cutters to excavate tunnels through rock. These cutters wear out due to continuous contact and friction with the rock, leading to decreased cutting efficiency and reduced excavation performance. The rock's abrasivity significantly affects cutter wear, with highly abrasive rocks causing more wear and reducing the cutter's lifespan. The Cerchar Abrasivity Index (CAI) is a key indicator for assessing rock abrasivity, essential for predicting disc cutter life and performance. This study aims to develop a new method for effectively estimating CAI using rock strength, petrological characteristics, linear regression, and machine learning. A database including CAI, uniaxial compressive strength, Brazilian tensile strength, and equivalent quartz content was created, with additional derived variables. Variables for multiple linear regression were selected considering statistical significance and multicollinearity, while machine learning model inputs were chosen based on variable importance. Among the machine learning prediction models, the Gradient Boosting model showed the highest predictive performance. Finally, the predictive performance of the multiple linear regression analysis and the Gradient Boosting model derived in this study were compared with the CAI prediction models of previous studies to validate the results of this research.

A patent application filing forecasting method based on the bidirectional LSTM (양방향 LSTM기반 시계열 특허 동향 예측 연구)

  • Seungwan, Choi;Kwangsoo, Kim;Sooyeong, Kwak
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.545-552
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    • 2022
  • The number of patent application filing for a specific technology has a good relation with the technology's life cycle and future industry development on that area. So industry and governments are highly interested in forecasting the number of patent application filing in order to take appropriate preparations in advance. In this paper, a new method based on the bidirectional long short-term memory(LSTM), a kind of recurrent neural network(RNN), is proposed to improve the forecasting accuracy compared to related methods. Compared with the Bass model which is one of conventional diffusion modeling methods, the proposed method shows the 16% higher performance with the Korean patent filing data on the five selected technology areas.

Accelerated Life Prediction on Tensile Strength of Oil Resistance HNBR (내유성 HNBR 고무의 인장강도 성능에 대한 가속수명예측)

  • Kim, Kyung Pil;Lee, Yong Seok;Yeo, Yong Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.233-238
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    • 2020
  • Although the interest in NBR has been increasing due to the recent developments of the aerospace sector, there are few reports on HNBR's aeronautical oil, particularly evaluations of the accelerated life of harsh factors. In this study, the tensile strength was adopted as a performance evaluation factor to evaluate the accelerated life of HNBR used in the aviation field. The accelerated stress factor affecting the performance-aging characteristics was defined as temperature. The acceleration stress factor was determined to be temperature, and the result of measuring the tensile strength change over time. The sample for the acceleration condition was taken out of the oven for a certain period and left at room temperature for 24 hours. The dumbbell type 3 specimens were manufactured according to the standard specified in KS M 6518 and were measured the tensile strength, a factor in accelerated life evaluations. The activation energy was 0.895, and the shape parameter was 1.152 using the Arrhenius model. The characteristic life obtained from the tensile strength of the HNBR specimen immersed in aviation oil at 20℃ was 272,256 hours; the average life was 258,965 hours, and the B10 life was 38,624 hours.