• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사용수명예측

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Effect of conductor temperature rise generated by load current on the cable life (운전전류에 의한 도체온도 상승이 케이블 수명에 미치는 영향)

  • Yun, Jea-Hun;Lim, Seong-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07c
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    • pp.1445-1447
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    • 2003
  • 산업공장에서 저압케이블이 지중에 집중 매설되어 있는 경우 운전전류에 의한 케이블 도체온도가 도체허용온도를 초과할 수 있다. 또한 절연재질의 활성화 에너지와 환경온도로 표현되는 아레니우스 모델의 환경온도 대신 운전전류에 의해 계산된 도체온도를 사용하여 케이블의 수명을 예측하여 보았다.

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Studies on the Forest Management Planning in Non-national Forests -The Prediction of Wood Production in a District Forest Planning- (민유림(民有林) 경영계획(經營計劃)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) -지역삼림계획(地域森林計劃)에 있어서 목재생산예측(木材生産豫測)-)

  • Choi, Jong Cheon;Nagumo, Hidejiro
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.76 no.4
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    • pp.390-396
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    • 1987
  • The model and its example were provided to predict wood production for a district forest planning. The method of Gentan probability is widely accepted for the prediction of wood production. The suggested model is different in the decision of cutting age distribution from that of Prof. Suzuki; the former can use either Weibull distribution or Gamma distribution, but the latter is possible only by Gamma distribution. This developed system can be used not only for establishing a district forest planning, but also for providing forest management information, such as periodic harvest volume, growing stock, labor requirement, and so forth.

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The high temperature oxidation behavior of X20CrMoV12.1 high-chromium steel (X20CrMoV12.1 고크롬강의 고온산화거동)

  • 정진성;김두수;김범수;김의현;하정수
    • Proceedings of the Materials Research Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.46-46
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    • 2003
  • 고크롬강은 산업용 발전설비의 효율적인 열교환을 위해 수천개의 튜브로 구성된 보일러에 적용되고 있다. 이러한 보일러 튜브는 고온에 노출되어 있으며, 튜브 내면에는 고온의 증기가 고압으로 존재하고 있다. 따라서 보일러 튜브는 장기간 고온의 환경에서 사용되기 때문에 고온강도와 고온내산화 및 내부식 특성이 요구된다. 보일러 튜브의 열화는 이세조직 변화에 따른 고온강도의 저하를 재료내부의 열화와 고온산화 및 부식 등 외부환경에 의 한 열화로 크게 두 가지로 대별된다. 이러한 보일러 튜브의 수명평가는 튜브의 수명을 미리 예측하여 적절한 시점에 교체함으로서 운전 중 손상에 따른 발전정지 등을 방지하여 막대한 비용을 절감할 수 있기 때문에 현장에서는 중요한 의미를 갖는다. 본 연구에서는 보일러 튜브의 여러 가지 수명평가 방법 중 현재 산업용 발전설비의 보일러에 적용되고 있는 X-20 고크롬강의 고온산화 거동을 조사하여 향후 보일러 튜브의 수명평가 방법 중 산화스케일을 이용한 방법에 활용하는데 있어 기초 자료로 이용하고자 한다.

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Comparison of the Machine Learning Models Predicting Lithium-ion Battery Capacity for Remaining Useful Life Estimation (리튬이온 배터리 수명추정을 위한 용량예측 머신러닝 모델의 성능 비교)

  • Yoo, Sangwoo;Shin, Yongbeom;Shin, Dongil
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2020
  • Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) have a longer lifespan, higher energy density, and lower self-discharge rates than other batteries, therefore, they are preferred as an Energy Storage System (ESS). However, during years 2017-2019, 28 ESS fire accidents occurred in Korea, and accurate capacity estimation of LIB is essential to ensure safety and reliability during operations. In this study, data-driven modeling that predicts capacity changes according to the charging cycle of LIB was conducted, and developed models were compared their performance for the selection of the optimal machine learning model, which includes the Decision Tree, Ensemble Learning Method, Support Vector Regression, and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). For model training, lithium battery test data provided by NASA was used, and GPR showed the best prediction performance. Based on this study, we will develop an enhanced LIB capacity prediction and remaining useful life estimation model through additional data training, and improve the performance of anomaly detection and monitoring during operations, enabling safe and stable ESS operations.

Accelerated Life Testing and Validity Evaluation of Finger Strips Used for Electromagnetic Shielding Doors (전자파 차폐 도어용 핑거 스트립의 가속수명시험 및 유효성 평가)

  • Lee, Joo Hong;Kim, Do Sik;Chang, Mu Seong;Cho, Hae Yong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.39 no.9
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    • pp.831-837
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    • 2015
  • Many persons and electronic devices are exposed to electromagnetic (EM) waves generated from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) equipment, EM pulses (EMPs), and many other kinds of EM wave devices. Finger strips are used to provide shielding from these EM waves. Because of the high thermal conductivity of finger strips, they are used in the design of specialized doors that are installed in shielded rooms. In this study, we perform an accelerated life test using the load acceleration stress, which affects the main failure mode of finger strips. We predict the life of the finger strip under normal usage conditions based on the results of the accelerated life test. We compare the results with those predicted from the life test under normal usage conditions to evaluate the validity of accelerated life testing.

Life Estimation of Elevator Wire Ropes Using Accelerated Degradation Test Data (가속열화시험 데이터를 활용한 엘리베이터 와이어로프 수명 예측)

  • Kim, Seung Ho;Kim, Sang Boo;Kim, Sung Ho;Ham, Sung Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.997-1004
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    • 2017
  • The life of elevator wire ropes is one of the most important characteristics of an elevator, which is closely related to the safety of users and its maintenance policy. It is not cost effective to measure the lifetime of elevator wire ropes during their use. In this study, the life estimation of elevator wire ropes (8x19W-IWRC) is considered using accelerated degradation test data. A bending fatigue tester is used to perform the accelerated degradation tests, incorporating the acceleration factor of tensile force. Assuming that the life of wire ropes is log-normally distributed, two life estimation methods are suggested and their results are compared. The first method estimates the life of wire ropes utilizing the accelerated life model with pseudo lives obtained from a linear regression model. The second method estimates the life using a logistic model based on failure probability.

Evaluation of Fatigue Life of Welded Joint of Gear Box-Shank in Vibro Ripper Using P-S-N Curve (P-S-N선도를 이용한 진동리퍼 기어박스-생크 용접부의 피로수명 평가)

  • Oh, Kwang Keun;Kim, JaeHoon;Park, Jung Yeol;Yang, GyuSang;Park, JongWon;Kim, Sung Hyun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.39 no.12
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    • pp.1207-1212
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    • 2015
  • A vibro ripper utilizes high-frequency vibration for rock fragmentation. This concept is different from those used by other existing breakers. The gearbox-shank welded joint of a vibro ripper is a very important part. Because it delivers the vibromotive force to the tooth, it is important to predict its soundness. This study was conducted to predict the fatigue life under welding conditions. The shank materials were Hardox-Hituf and AR400, and the filler metals were CSF-71T and CSF-81T. Fatigue tests were conducted under each set of conditions. P-S-N curves are presented based on the statistical testing method recommended by JSME-S002, and a comparison is made of the results under each set of conditions. The life was estimated using a P-S-N curve.

High-temperature Low-cycle Fatigue Life prediction of a Liquid Rocket Turbopump Turbine (액체로켓 터보펌프 터빈의 고열 저주기 피로수명 예측)

  • Lee, Mu-Hyoung;Jang, Byung-Wook;Jeong, Eun-Hwan;Jeon, Seong-Min;Lee, Soo-Yong;Park, Jung-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.18-21
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    • 2009
  • The life of components under high thermal load is typically shorter than other components. The turbopump turbine of liquid rocket is operated under these environments like high temperature and high centrifugal dorce due to high rotating velocity during operating time. These conditions may often cause low-cycle fatigue problem in the turbopump turbine. First of all, to analyze heat stress, ABAQUS/CAE is used and Coffin-manson's equation is used to consider elasticity and plasticity strain. S.W.T's method is used to consider the mean stress effect, using strain history, low-cycle fatigue analysis is done for turbopump turbine which may have FCL(fracture critical location). In this paper, strain life method is applied to analyze low-cycle fatigue.

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A Study of Time Dependent Diffusion for Prediction Service Life in NPPs Safety Related Concrete Structures (원전 안전관련 콘크리트 구조물의 수명예측을 위한 재령계수에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Choon-Min;Yoon, Eui-Sik;Kim, Seung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.136-142
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    • 2019
  • Nuclear power plant concrete structures are in contact with the coast, and durability due to chloride attack is very important because it is used as cooling water by taking seawater. For this purpose, a 3-year long-term saltwater immersion test was carried out to evaluate chloride ion diffusion coefficient and age apponent (m) The m values of the foundation with 4,000 class was 0.35 ~ 0.39, similar to KCI or ACI suggested values. essential service water constructions and tunnels of 5,000 class were 0.44 ~ 0.53 and 6,000 class, and 0.62 of reactor containment buildings were similar to the proposed values of FIB. As a result of the prediction of the service life with the measured age coefficient, all the safety related concrete structures of the nuclear power plants satisfied the service life of more than 60 years.

A Proposal of Remaining Useful Life Prediction Model for Turbofan Engine based on k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN을 활용한 터보팬 엔진의 잔여 유효 수명 예측 모델 제안)

  • Kim, Jung-Tae;Seo, Yang-Woo;Lee, Seung-Sang;Kim, So-Jung;Kim, Yong-Geun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.611-620
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    • 2021
  • The maintenance industry is mainly progressing based on condition-based maintenance after corrective maintenance and preventive maintenance. In condition-based maintenance, maintenance is performed at the optimum time based on the condition of equipment. In order to find the optimal maintenance point, it is important to accurately understand the condition of the equipment, especially the remaining useful life. Thus, using simulation data (C-MAPSS), a prediction model is proposed to predict the remaining useful life of a turbofan engine. For the modeling process, a C-MAPSS dataset was preprocessed, transformed, and predicted. Data pre-processing was performed through piecewise RUL, moving average filters, and standardization. The remaining useful life was predicted using principal component analysis and the k-NN method. In order to derive the optimal performance, the number of principal components and the number of neighbor data for the k-NN method were determined through 5-fold cross validation. The validity of the prediction results was analyzed through a scoring function while considering the usefulness of prior prediction and the incompatibility of post prediction. In addition, the usefulness of the RUL prediction model was proven through comparison with the prediction performance of other neural network-based algorithms.