• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사업화 모형

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Development of Systematic Process for Estimating Commercialization Duration and Cost of R&D Performance (기술가치 평가를 위한 기술사업화 기간 및 비용 추정체계 개발)

  • Jun, Seoung-Pyo;Choi, Daeheon;Park, Hyun-Woo;Seo, Bong-Goon;Park, Do-Hyung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.139-160
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    • 2017
  • Technology commercialization creates effective economic value by linking the company's R & D processes and outputs to the market. This technology commercialization is important in that a company can retain and maintain a sustained competitive advantage. In order for a specific technology to be commercialized, it goes through the stage of technical planning, technology research and development, and commercialization. This process involves a lot of time and money. Therefore, the duration and cost of technology commercialization are important decision information for determining the market entry strategy. In addition, it is more important information for a technology investor to rationally evaluate the technology value. In this way, it is very important to scientifically estimate the duration and cost of the technology commercialization. However, research on technology commercialization is insufficient and related methodology are lacking. In this study, we propose an evaluation model that can estimate the duration and cost of R & D technology commercialization for small and medium-sized enterprises. To accomplish this, this study collected the public data of the National Science & Technology Information Service (NTIS) and the survey data provided by the Small and Medium Business Administration. Also this study will develop the estimation model of commercialization duration and cost of R&D performance on using these data based on the market approach, one of the technology valuation methods. Specifically, this study defined the process of commercialization as consisting of development planning, development progress, and commercialization. We collected the data from the NTIS database and the survey of SMEs technical statistics of the Small and Medium Business Administration. We derived the key variables such as stage-wise R&D costs and duration, the factors of the technology itself, the factors of the technology development, and the environmental factors. At first, given data, we estimates the costs and duration in each technology readiness level (basic research, applied research, development research, prototype production, commercialization), for each industry classification. Then, we developed and verified the research model of each industry classification. The results of this study can be summarized as follows. Firstly, it is reflected in the technology valuation model and can be used to estimate the objective economic value of technology. The duration and the cost from the technology development stage to the commercialization stage is a critical factor that has a great influence on the amount of money to discount the future sales from the technology. The results of this study can contribute to more reliable technology valuation because it estimates the commercialization duration and cost scientifically based on past data. Secondly, we have verified models of various fields such as statistical model and data mining model. The statistical model helps us to find the important factors to estimate the duration and cost of technology Commercialization, and the data mining model gives us the rules or algorithms to be applied to an advanced technology valuation system. Finally, this study reaffirms the importance of commercialization costs and durations, which has not been actively studied in previous studies. The results confirm the significant factors to affect the commercialization costs and duration, furthermore the factors are different depending on industry classification. Practically, the results of this study can be reflected in the technology valuation system, which can be provided by national research institutes and R & D staff to provide sophisticated technology valuation. The relevant logic or algorithm of the research result can be implemented independently so that it can be directly reflected in the system, so researchers can use it practically immediately. In conclusion, the results of this study can be a great contribution not only to the theoretical contributions but also to the practical ones.

An Analysis of Distributed Lag Effects of Expenditure by Type of R&D on Scientific Production: Focusing on the National Research Development Program (연구개발단계별 연구개발투자와 논문 성과 간의 시차효과 분석: 국가연구개발사업을 중심으로)

  • Pak, Cheol-Min;Ku, Bon-Chul
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.687-710
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to empirically estimate distributed lag effects of expenditure by type of R&D on scientific publication in the national R&D program. To analyze the lag structure between them, we used a dataset comprised of panel data from 104 technologies categorized by 6T (IT, BT, NT, ST, ET, CT) from 2007 to 2014, and employed multiple regression analysis based on the polynomial distributed lag model. This is because it is highly likely to emerge multicollinearity, if a distributed lag model without special restrictions is applied to multiple regression analysis. The main results are as follows. In the case of basic research, its lag effects are relatively evenly distributed during four years. On the other hand, the applied research and experimental development have distributed lag effects for three years and two years respectively. Therefore, when it comes to analyzing performance of scientific publication, it is necessary to be performed with characteristics of the time lag by type of R&D.

A Valuation for Gas Hydrate R&D Project Using Fuzzy Real Options Model (퍼지실물옵션모형을 이용한 가스하이드레이트 R&D 사업의 가치평가)

  • Yun, Ga-Hye;Heo, Eunnyeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.217-239
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    • 2009
  • As gas hydrate is recently emerging as a new energy source to solve environmental and exhaustion problems caused by fossil energy, Korea is working on a gas hydrate development project under a 10-year plan from 2005 to 2014. Gas hydrate is expected to have a big effect on the economy and society of Korea, which is largely depending on energy imports besides water energy and atomic energy. However, it is uncertain whether the project will produce successful results. Thus, it is very important to improve its validity and to propose effective execution strategies by evaluating the value of the project in advance. Thus, this study intended to include new information, which had not been evaluated in existing methods, and to reduce biases or errors in value evaluation results by applying a fuzzy risk analysis to the real option model in order to evaluate the value of a gas hydrate development project. It is advantageous that the real option model based on the fuzzy risk analysis modelizes the vagueness and inexactness of intangible element judgment into an appropriate language scale so as to evaluate these elements clearly and integrate them with estimated financial performance results. The application of the fuzzy risk analysis makes it possible to conduct an analysis by dissolving a decision-making issue with complicated and various attributes into several simplified problems. With the continuing high oil prices and today's demand of clean energy, the necessity of energy resources and technology development projects keeps growing. Amid this situation, it is expected that these study results will contribute to proposing a guideline not only for gas hydrate projects but also for policy decision-making related to future energy industries.

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A Study on Adaptive Process from River Dredging Using the Numerical Model in the Gamcheon (수치모의를 이용한 하천준설에 따른 교란하천의 적응과정 분석 (감천을 중심으로))

  • Yun, La-Young;Jang, Chang-Lae;Kim, Joon-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1589-1593
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    • 2008
  • 하천의 골재는 도로, 항만, 주택건설 등 다양한 건설재료로 이용되어 왔으며 급속한 산업화와 더불어 국가건설사업, 지방자치단체의 수익사업으로 인해 골재 수요가 급격히 증가해 왔다. 그러나 체계적인 조사 및 연구가 없이 무분별하게 행해진 하천준설은 하상저하, 하천의 불안정, 하상의 장갑화 등 물리적 영향뿐만 아니라 주변 하천의 식생, 저서생물의 서식처 등 수서생태계의 파괴, 하천정화능력 저하, 교각의 노출 등 생물적 경제적인 측면에서 악영향을 미치고 있다. 본 연구에서는 하천준설사업이 꾸준히 진행 중에 있는 감천을 연구대상지역으로 선정하여, 1차원 수치모형인 Hec-ras4.0을 이용하여 준설량에 따른 흐름특성 및 교란된 하천의 적응과정을 분석하였다. 지형자료는 수치지도 및 실측자료를 토대로 하여 구축하였으며 장 단기 하상변동을 모의해 비교 분석하였다. 그 결과, 준설구간의 흐름특성은 준설전에 비해 수위가 감소되었고 하상변동은 준설구간의 상류부에서는 하상저하가 발생하였으며 하류부에서는 하상상승이 발생되었다. 본 연구의 결과는 하천준설에 따른 하천환경 및 물리적 영향을 최소화하고, 하천공사 실시와 수공구조물의 설계 및 유지관리 등에도 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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An Analysis of Economic Effects on the ICT based New Growth Engine Industry - Based on Technology Rating System - (ICT기반 신성장동력 산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석 - 기술평가모형을 기반으로 -)

  • Park, Joo Yeon;Sung, Chang Soo;Park, Myung Il;Sung, Hyung Suk
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.93-111
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to examine economic effects and success factors of ICT based growth engine industry for forth generation industrial revolution. KTRS(kibo Technology Rating System) provided by KIBO is used for an analysis of this study. Specifically, the economic effects of growth engine industy are classified with financial(productivity, growth rate, etc) and non-financial(R&D investment and employment) effects. Moreover, the impacts of KTRS factors including CEO capability, technology ability, commercialization and marketability on the economic effects are investigated. The result of this study would raise management issues on technology innovation and provide implications on industrial policies for ICT based growth engine industry.

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The Relationships between Resource, Product and Process Innovation Capability, Technology Commercialization Competence and Performance of Firms in Daedeok Innopolis (기업의 자원과 성과간의 관계에서 제품 및 공정혁신능력과 기술사업화역량의 역할 분석: 대덕연구개발특구내 기업을 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Kyung-Yun;Sung, Eul-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.137-160
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    • 2016
  • This study assesses the structure relationships between resource, product and process innovation capability, technology commercialization competence and performance of firms in Daedeok Innopolis. In particular, this study attempts to analyze technology commercialization competence that may be influenced by product and process capabilities. The development of the research model is based on the literature of resource-based view and the empirical studies of technology commercialization competence. The survey of 109 firms was conducted from January 5, 2015 through February 4, 2015. We investigate the role of a firm's technology commercialization competence in determining its performance by performing Partial Least Squares analysis. The results indicate that a firm's human resources and intangible resources lead to a higher level of its product and process innovation capabilities. This study, however, finds that a firm's tangible resources do not have significant effects on its product and process innovation capabilities. And the study finds evidence that firm's product and process capabilities have positive effects on its technology commercialization competence. The study also finds that a firm's technology commercialization competence is a driving force behind its performance, showing that its technology commercialization competence positively involves its performance. In addition the study finds that technology commercialization competence mediates the relationship between a firm's innovation capability and performance, indicating that the technology commercialization used as mediating variable positively affects its innovation performance.

A New Environmental Technology Certification System(NETCS) System Dynamics Modeling for the Operational Improvement of Companies Possessing New Environmental Technology (환경신기술 보유 기업의 운영개선을 위한 환경신기술 인증제도 시스템다이내믹스 모델링)

  • Kim, Tae Young;Park, Su Wan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.399-399
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 시스템다이내믹스(System Dynamics, SD) 방법론에 입각하여 국내의 신기술인증제도(New Technology Certification System, NTCS)의 운영에 내재된 요소들 간의 상호관계를 신기술 개발투자, 신기술의 사업화 및 신기술에 의한 매출과 연관하여 피드백루프 메카니즘을 내포하고 있는 인과지도로 규명하였다. 이렇게 개념화된 인과지도는 국내의 여러 신기술인증제도 중 환경부에서 운영중인 '환경신기술인증 및 기술검증제도(New Excellent Technology and Environmental Technology Verification, NET & ETV)'에 적용되었으며 NET & ETV의 운영 성과를 신기술에 의한 매출액(수주금액)의 관점에서 분석 및 예측할 수 있는 SD 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션 모델이 개발되었다. 개발된 SD 모형은 NET & ETV 운영의 주요 지표에 관한 기존 통계자료를 적절히 모사하였으며 모형의 검증과정에서 시행착오를 통하여 산정된 값들은 NET & ETV의 일반적인 과거 상태를 합리적인 범위 내에서 적절하게 나타내고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 개발된 SD모형을 이용하여 기본시나리오에 대한 NET & ETV의 미래 운영 상태를 예측하였으며, 환경신기술의 적용 현장 당 수주금액에 대한 시간 추세선식의 민감도를 발견하였다.

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The Effect of Government Intership Program on Accumulation of the Human Capital (미취업 이공계 석·박사 지원정책의 경제적 효과분석 : 인적자본 투자수익률을 중심으로)

  • Hong, Sung-Pyo;Lee, Sung-Kyu
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.29-47
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    • 2003
  • The study analyzes how effective the Government Internship Program has been on accumulation of the human capital. The Program was designed under the foreign exchange crisis to support the new, but unemployed graduates with MA or Ph.D degree in the science and the engineering fields. The survey data is collected from the participants in the Program. The Tobit model is estimated to find the economic effects of the Program in terms of the rate of return of investment in the human capitals of the intern researchers. Considering that the Program is tentative and that the human capitals of the participants are easily obsolescent, the rate of return is observed to be substantially large. These results imply that the Internship Program has been successful in terms of providing not only the researchers with the opportunity to accumulate the human capital by means of the on-the-job-training, but also the institutes or the firms with the opportunity to utilize the high-quality researchers at the low cost.

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망세분화(unbundling)가 통신망 하부구조 구축에 미치는 영향

  • 정충영
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 1999.05a
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 1999
  • 최근 시내경쟁의 활성화를 위한 상호접속규칙제정과 그 실행을 놓고 이해당사자간의 열면 논쟁이 한창 진행중이다. 미국의 통신법개정으로 망세분화와, 재판매를 허용함으로써 자체적으로 망설비를 갖추지 않는 사업자라도 서비스 제공자로서 사업을 할 수 있는 길이 열리게 되었다. 그러나 이면에는 자체설비를 반드시 보유하지 않고서도 서비스를 제공할 수 있기 때문에 통신망 고도화를 통한 고도서비스 제공이라는 사회적 목표와 배치될 수 있는 문제점 또한 존재한다. 인터넷 등을 비롯한 데이터 서비스가 최근 몇 년 동안 급격하게 통신서비스 시장에 있어서 많은 부분을 차지하면서 기존 음성중심의 공중전화망에 대한 고도화 요구가 거세게 일고 있다. 본 고에서는 망세분화와 재판매 허용이 기술이 급격하게 변화하고 있는 이 때에 기존사업자와 신규진입사업자의 투자의사결정에 어떻게 영향을 줄 것인가를 분석한다. 이것을 위해 망세분화와 재판매 허용으로 인한 선택가치를 고려한 간단한 투자모형을 기술한다. 그리고 사업자의 의사결정이 사회적으로 최적인가를 살펴 본 다음 정책적 시사점을 살펴본다.

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대학 현장실습 고도화를 위한 선순환 프로그램에 관한 연구

  • Hong, Eun-Yeong;Choe, Jong-In
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2018.04a
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2018
  • 현장실습은 이론 위주의 대학교육과 실무 역량을 중요시하는 산업체 수요를 매칭시켜 취업률을 제고할 수 있는 중요한 수단으로 최근 청년 일자리 창출 및 취업 역량 제고를 위해 현장실습이 중요하게 인식되면서, 정부의 현장실습 관련 재정지원 프로그램들이 다양하게 추진중이다. 하지만, 정부지원의 현장실습 사업들은 서로 다른 운영기준을 제시하여 참여학생 뿐만 아니라, 산업체와 대학에서도 혼란이 가중되고 있으며, 사업 추진 상의 각종 문제들이 발생하고 있다. 특히 이러한 다양한 프로그램이 유기적 연계가 미흡하여 그 고유의 목적을 달성하는 데에 어려움이 예상된다. 이에, 국내의 현장실습 프로그램을 조사하고 산업체, 대학, 학생의 애로사항 뿐만 아니라, 제도적 문제점을 파악한다. 또한 이러한 문제점을 분류하고 통합하여 개선해야 할 사항에 대해 문제제기를 통해 국내 현장실습 프로그램의 고도화를 위한 유기적인 선순환 프로그램 모형을 제시하고 이의 실현을 위한 산학관 주체의 정책 및 시사점을 제언한다.

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