• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사업위험관리

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Estimation of future probabilistic precipitation in urban watersheds and river flooding simulation considering IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) (IPCC 6차 평가 보고서(AR6)를 고려한 도시 유역 확률 강우량 산정과 하천 침수 모의)

  • Jun Seo Yoon;Im Gook Jung;Da Hong Kim;Jae Pil Cho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.88-88
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    • 2023
  • 지난 100년 동안 전 지구의 기상 이변이 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 기후 변화는 도시 홍수 피해에 큰 영향을 끼치는데 급속한 도시화와 이상 기후로 인한 돌발 강우 패턴의 증가는 도시 침수의 취약성을 가중시킨다. 또한 급격한 도시 발전으로 인한 도심지의 불투수율 또한 꾸준히 증가하였다. 특히 2022년 8월 8일에 강남역과 도림천 일대에 내린 기록적인 강우는 기후 변화를 실감하게 하는 사회적 이슈가 되었으며 도심지 미래 수방 대책 변화를 상기시키는 계기가 되었다. 이로 인한 재해 피해에 최소화하기 위해 미래 기후 변화를 고려한 도심지의 새로운 방재 목표강우량 설정이 필요하다. 하지만 전 지구 모형(GCM)의 기후 변화 시나리오는 일 단위(Daily) 상세화 자료를 보편적으로 사용하고 있다. 하지만 이는 단기 강우 자료를 필요로 하는 도시 홍수 모의에서 제대로 활용할 수 없는 한계를 가지고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 2019년에 발간된 IPCC 6차 평가 보고서(AR6)가 제안하는 SSP(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, 공통사회경제경로) 시나리오를 기반하여 상세화된 일 단위(Daily) 강우 데이터를 비모수적 통계 기법을 사용하여 시간 단위(Hourly)로 상세화하였다. 또한 지속 시간별 연 최대치 강우를 추출하여 빈도 해석을 통해 도시 유역의 미래 확률 강우량을 제시하였으며, 서울시 상습적인 침수 취약 지역인 도림천 유역에 강우-유출 모형(XP-SWMM)을 사용하여 미래전망 기후 자료인 SSP2-4.5와 SSP5-8.5에 따른 미래 확률 강우 침수 모의를 실시하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 최신 기후 변화 시나리오를 고려한 서울시 방재 성능 목표 강우량 산정에 활용 가능할 것으로 사료되며 미래 강우량 침수 모의를 통해 침수 취약 구역인 도림천 일대 홍수피해의 근거 자료가 되는 것에 의의를 둔다. 또한 치수 분야에서 기후 변화를 고려하기 위해서는 기후 변화 시나리오에 따른 시간 단위 자료의 상세화가 필요함을 시사한다.

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Analysis of Flooding Effect by Sediment Inflow (토사 유입에 의한 홍수 영향 분석)

  • Han, Man-Shin;Choi., Gye-Woon;Lee, So-Young;Cho, Hyung-Gun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.414-414
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    • 2012
  • 하천에 산사태, 하천 주변 개발, 제방 및 댐 붕괴 등으로 인하여 다량의 토사가 돌발적으로 유입될 경우 유입된 토사가 하천의 거동에 미치는 영향은 막대하다. 또한 하도 내에 설치되어 있는 교량, 보와 같은 수공 구조물로 인하여 단면형태가 갑작스럽게 변화하는 경우나, 구조물로 인하여 토사가 퇴적되는 경우 하천의 수위 변화를 크게 유발하여 하천 범람과 제방 침식 등을 발생시키며 하천의 안전에 큰 위험 요인으로 작용하게 된다. 현재 다량의 토사가 하천에 돌발적으로 유입되는 위험으로부터 안전하게 보호하기 위해서 토사 유입 방지 대책에 대하여 많은 연구와 사업이 실시되고 있지만 이러한 치수대책이 완전하다고 하기에는 다소 어려운 상황이다. 따라서 홍수 조절 및 방재를 위한 수방대책 수립 및 수자원의 집중적인 관리가 무엇보다 절실히 요구되며, 이와 같은 토사에 의한 방재대책 수립을 위해서 수리학적 특성을 정확히 파악할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 2011년 7월에 발생한 강우에 의하여 침수피해가 발생된 경기도 이천의 오천천을 대상으로 수치해석을 통한 침수 범람 원인을 분석하였으며, 하류부에 위치하고 있는 공장의 경우 내부가 1m이상 침수됨에 따라 흔적수위 및 현장 상황을 조사하였고, 당일 강우를 통한 홍수위를 산정하여 여러 가지 원인별 홍수 원인을 분석하였다. 2011년 7월에 발생된 강우는 복하천 하천정비기본계획에 제시되어 있는 설계빈도로 30년 빈도에 못 미치는 것으로 나타나 강우에 의한 영향보다는 외부 영향으로 판단되며, 상류로부터 순간적으로 유입된 토사의 과다 퇴적에 의한 수위 상승에 의하여 교량 및 보 등의 수공구조물과 연계된 통수 단면적의 부족 등의 영향으로 홍수 범람이 발생된 것으로 분석되었다. 홍수 범람에 의한 영향을 분석하기 위하여는 단순히 강우에 대한 영향을 고려하는 것 보다 하천의 전반적인 특성을 고려하여 정확한 원인 규명을 통한 대처방안이 수립되어야 하며, 지속적인 모니터링을 통하여 하천에 의한 피해를 최소화 할 필요가 있다.

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A Study on the Safety Monitoring of Bridge Facilities based on Smart Sensors (스마트 센서 기반의 교량 시설물 안전 모니터링 기법 연구)

  • YEON, Sang-Ho;KIM, Joon-Soo;YEON, Chun-Hum
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2019
  • Today, many smart sensor's measurement instruments are used to check the safety situation of various medium and large bridge structures that should be maintained in the construction facilities, but most of them use the method of measuring and confirming the displacement behavior of the bridge at regular intervals. In order to continuously check the safety situation, various measuring instruments are used, but most of them are not able to measure and measure the displacement and behavior of main construction structures at regular intervals. In this study, GNSS and environment smart sensors and drone's image data are transmitted to wireless network so that risk of many bridge's structures can be detected beforehand. As a result, by diagnosing the fine displacement of the bridge in real time and its condition, reinforcement, repair and disaster prevention measures for the structural parts of the bridges, which are expected to be dangerous, and various disasters and accidents can be prevented, and disaster can be prevented could suggest a new alternative.

The Effect of Health Behavior Practice and Jab Characteristics on Periodontal Disease of Employees (근로자의 건강행위실천과 직업특성이 치주질환에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Byung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.11
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to reveal association between health behavior practice and jab characteristics on periodontal disease of employees. The analysis was conducted on 1,737 of above the age of nineteen in employees by using raw data from the 2015 National Health and Nutrition Survey. The data were analyzed using SPSS for windows version 24.0. Smoking, BMI and aerobic exercise in health behavior practice had statistically significant difference. Occupation, work status and regular work in jab characteristics had statistically significant difference. In conclusion, business owners need active management to health behavior practice their employees and the government needs to resolve the polarization of medical services through the development of oral health care policies for low-income people.

Economic Analysis and Evaluation of Flood Damage in Gyeongan Watershed by Using Improved Spatial Analysis Data (개선된 공간분석 자료를 활용한 경안천 유역 홍수피해의 경제성 분석 및 평가)

  • Kang, Yu Jin;Wang, Won-Joon;Kim, Sam Eun;Eom, Junghyun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.177-177
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    • 2021
  • 우리나라는 최근 이상기후로 유발되는 여름철 태풍과 집중호우로 인해 매년 심각한 홍수피해가 발생되고 있다. 또한, 도시화에 따른 자산 및 인구의 집중화로 인해 홍수피해 규모도 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 이와 같은 재난 발생 시 위험도를 저감하기 위해서는 재난에 대한 예방이 선행되어야 한다. 한정된 예산에서 효율적인 재난관리의 일환으로 경제성 분석이 있는데, 이는 경제성이 높은 사업을 우선적으로 순위에 두고 시행하는 것이다. 다차원 홍수피해 산정법(이하 다차원법)은 2004년에 개발된 경제성 평가모형으로서, 예상피해액 산정 결과가 개선법에 비해 정확하다고 평가되고 있다. 하지만 다차원법에 적용되는 토지피복도는 동일한 구역에 있는 군집으로 나누어진 자료로 건물피해액 산정 시 도로면적까지 포함되는 경우가 있어 실제 피해액이 과대평가되는 문제가 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 도로명주소 전자지도를 활용해 다차원법을 보완하고자 하였다. 여기서 도로명주소 전자지도는 폴리곤 객체 단위로 건물이 구현되는 공간분석 자료로 건물피해액 산정 방법을 개선할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 경안천 유역의 홍수위험지도를 사용하여 도로명주소 전자지도와 토지피복도를 각각 적용했을 때 나타나는 경제성 분석 결과를 비교분석 하였다. 분석 결과, 기존의 토지피복도를 사용한 피해액 산정결과보다 개선된 공간분석 자료를 적용했을 때 더 정확한 예측피해액 산정결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 본 연구에서는 다차원법의 일반자산 피해항목 중 건물피해 산정방법만을 개선시켰는데, 향후 연구에서 농업지역, 산업지역, 공공시설물 피해 등의 산정방법의 보완이 필요할 것으로 사료된다.

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A Case Study on the Success Factors of Overseas Agricultural Startup: Focusing on the Case of Banana Farm in Cote d'Ivoire (해외 농업스타트업(Agricultural Startup) 성공요인에 관한 사례연구: 'C사'의 제2창업기(바나나 팜 개발사례)를 중심으로)

  • Jin hwan Park;Sang soon Kim
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.61-79
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    • 2023
  • This study is a case study of overseas banana farms as a global agricultural startup that has hardly been attempted so far in terms of paradigm shift in the industry, beyond regional limitations. It was researched for the purpose of revealing the success factors of 'global agricultural startup' in terms of business process, entrepreneurship, and management dimensions learned through direct participation and observation at the local level. In order to study global agricultural startups, this study also conducted a comparative analysis of global startups (global startups) and global agricultural startups(global agricultural startups). In fact, the analysis consists of 'definition', 'components', and 'success factors', and we want to confirm the difference between the two concepts that can be distinguished. The case analysis tried to maximize the advantages of 'participatory action research' by directly observing and experiencing banana farms. In the case of banana farm cases, by dividing them into preparation process for farm development and farm development and management process, various variables considered in farm management were explained through the whole process of farm management. Through the process of overcoming and responding to specific failure cases, we tried to secure the reliability and validity of the research, and the case studies related to entrepreneurship, management, and organization analyzed by applying them by subdividing them into theoretical areas belonging to components and management that were theorized in existing preceding studies. This study is almost the first study on the process of creating a local entry business by directly moving the head office overseas rather than entering overseas agriculture as a subsidiary, joint venture or overseas corporation. In particular, it is a unique case that corresponds to agriculture in terms of region(Africa), scale(startup), and industry that have not been introduced so far as a global agricultural startup. In terms of entrepreneurship, it also concretely exemplified how entrepreneurship components such as innovativeness, risk-taking propensity, proactiveness, vision sharing, social contribution, leadership, etc., which have not been attempted so far in agricultural cases, are manifested and effective. The management and cultural aspects also went beyond the argument that only cultural aspects are important in overseas business, and also confirmed individual failure cases and their responses in recruitment, job, wage, retirement, development, organizational structure management, etc. As a result, there is significance and implications of this study in that it provides theoretical confirmation as well as practical and responsive basis for 'entrepreneurship', 'farming management', and 'management' aspects in overseas agricultural startup business operation.

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Present Status of Domestic Air Transport Industry and Policy Proposal for National Carrier's Sustainable Development (국내 항공운송산업의 현황 및 지속발전을 위한 정책제언)

  • Choi, Doo-Hwan;Hwang, Ho-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.3-34
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    • 2018
  • Korea's air transport industry has a 70-year history since Korea National Airline was establishment in October 1948. Korea has 9 airlines which have international air transport business licenses, and as of 2017, air transport performance(Domestic & International) is ranked 8th in the world. Through analysis of Korea's air transport industry, this paper examines the essential problems of the domestic air transport industry and what policies and laws should be supplemented, and presents an "Policy Directions for the Air Transport Industry" that can continue to grow into a global aviation leading country in the future. Analysis of aviation statistics shows that the nation's air transport industry has a very high growth rate, and national airlines continue to invest in sustainable growth. Furthermore, new companies are also trying to enter the market. As of November 2018, four companies applied for licenses for international air transport business, one for international air transport business (cargo) license, and the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport is expected to decide whether to issue the license by first quarter of 2019. While some expect price reductions and consumer benefits through competition promotion, others worry about worsening airline financial structures and reducing safety investment due to competition. To sum up the problems of the nation's air transport industry, first, low-cost airlines focus only on attracting domestic demand, and thus have a weak foundation for continued growth. Second, the rapid growth in recent years has led to the lack of aviation professionals such as pilots and technicians and the saturation of slots at major airports. Third, since the financial soundness of airlines is not systematically managed, the financial situation of airlines can quickly deteriorate and the damage can be attributed to consumers. In order for the national airlines to continue to develop, the first is to focus on the endless demand of the global aviation market and to secure international competitiveness. Second, the government should support the airline infrastructure according to the size of the air transport industry, third, we will systematically nurture aviation experts who will lead the future of the nation's air transport industry, and finally, the government will have to continuously manage the financial status of airlines to prevent consumer damage in advance. Nowadays the air transport industry has become very competitive. Not only do airlines have to work hard for the sustainable development of national airlines, but all government agencies must support our airline companies in policy to win international competition.

The data transparency of RPS using blockchain method

  • Kang, Dae-Ho;Cho, Kyu-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2020
  • The Renewable Portfolio Standard(RPS) which is in operated by country for many years is eco-friendly energy business. Although a variety of institute are accessing the RPS, it consists of a centralized system. Also, it shows opacity of data access in user's point of view. And each institutes is possessing their own data collected by themselves. Therefore decentralization and integrated control is demanded. Also, when institutes are attacked, the interruption of RPS can be existed. For resolving this issue, this study proposes the RPS using blockchain. Using the consortium method of blockchain, every institutes has possessing same data inserting REC data in block data, it is resolvable that transparency and security issue as transaction through verification of certain block. Furthermore, in case of one institute is paused by external attack, the role can be replaced by other institutes. This study tried the processing of putting data through ethereum network, therefore it presents the possibility of introducing the blockchain method in RPS.

Cost-benefit Analysis of a Farmstead-specific Early Warning Service for Agrometeorological Disaster Risk Management (농업기상재해 위험 관리를 위한 농장별 조기경보서비스의 비용편익 분석)

  • Shim, Kyo-Moon;Jeong, Hak-Kyun;Lim, Young-Ah;Shin, Yong-Soon;Kim, Yong-Seok;Choi, In-tae;Jung, Myung-Pyo;Kim, Hojung
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to suggest the basics for the implementation of the farmstead-specific early warning system (FEWS) for weather risk management nationwide. A survey by questionnaire was conducted to examine farmer's response, and a cost-benefit analysis was made to examine the effect of the FEWS on the economy. The farmers who volunteered to participate in this survey responded that they were generally satisfied with the FEWS, and that they used it well for farming. Willingness to pay (WTP) for the early warning service was estimated to be 8,833 KRW per month by survey respondents. If the early warning service is extended to nationwide and 50% of farmers use it for six months, then the ratio of benefit to cost will be 2.2, indicating that nationwide expansion of the FEWS is very feasible.

A Framework to Determine the Loan Rate of the Government Loan Program based on Rationales of the Government Loan Program (정책자금 정당성에 근거한 정책자금의 대출금리 결정 방안)

  • Yoon, Byung-Seop;Yoo, Shi-Yong
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.81-109
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    • 2007
  • The loan rate of the government loan program offered by the Small Business Corporation(SBC) can be determined as a sum of three factors such as a reference interest rate, a policy aim spread, and a credit risk spread. However the loan rate has been lower than the loan rate in the banking sector. The profit has continually run in the red figures and hence the stability the fund managed by the SBC has been damaged. Even though a policy aim spread could be emphasized, the stability and profitability of the fund should be prioritized. This means that the loan rate of the SBC should be determined such that the loss might not be occurred. This requires the policy aim spread to change from relatively large negative to near zero.

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