• Korean Security Journal
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• no.36
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• pp.317-347
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• 2013

This study focuses on the characteristics of terrorist bombing incidents and causal factors on terrorist bombing incidents and number of casualty per incident in Afghanistan though statistical quantitative analysis. For doing so, the bombing data from GTD(Global Terrorism Database) of START program occurred from January 1st 2002 until December 31st 2011 was used. By using descriptive analysis, chi-square, and logistic regression analysis, characteristics of bombing incidents and causal factors on the frequency of incidents and the number of casualty were identified. According to the analysis results, a clear pattern was appeared in terrorist bombing incidents. This result suggests that terrorists rationally and strategically calculate bombing operations and therefore terrorist bombing incidents and number of casualty per incident are conditioned or affected by time, season, Pashtun tribal entity, production level of drugs, the characteristics of targets.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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• 2021.01a
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• pp.27-30
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• 2021

경제 성장과 함께 자동차의 수요가 늘어남에 따라 교통사고 발생 빈도는 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 이에, 본 연구에서는 교통사고를 야기하는 도로 및 기상환경과 같은 조건을 활용하여 기계학습 모델을 통해 서울시 교통사고 사상자 수를 예측하는 모형을 찾고자 한다. 활용한 데이터는 도로교통 공단에서 제공하는 교통사고 사상자 수 정보를 포함하는 데이터로 2015년부터 2018년도까지 데이터를 학습에 사용하였고 2019년도 데이터를 테스트 평가에 사용하였다. 실증연구를 통해 트리 기반의 모델 별 성능을 비교하였으며 본 연구에 대한 결과는 사고 발생 시 우선순위에 의한 구조활동이 가능하게 함과 도로상황 및 기상을 고려한 안전운전 가이드 지식으로 활용될 수 있다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.378-378
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• 2020

우리나라에서 발생하는 자연재해 중 대부분이 홍수와 관련되어, 주로 호우를 동반한 태풍이나 돌발적인 집중호우에 의해 홍수피해가 해마다 발생하고 있다. 따라서 홍수발생 시 예상되는 피해지역과 피해의 규모를 예측하는 사전예방적인 홍수관리대책이 필요하며, 이를 위해 지역별 홍수특성별 피해양상에 대한 파악과 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 여러 수문학적 요소 중 홍수재해에 가장 영향력이 높은 강우특성과 재해발생으로 인한 직접적인 피해특성인 인적피해와 물적피해의 상관관계 분석을 위해, 홍수발생 원인에 따라 시군구별 강우-피해특성에 대한 회귀분석을 수행하여 향후 시군구별 홍수로 인한 피해 예측 및 대응에 활용하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 연구방법은 행정안전부의 국민재난안전포털에서 제공하는 재해연보 자료로부터 시군구별 호우 및 태풍으로 인한 이재민수와 인명피해자수를 종합한 인적피해특성과 총 재산피해액을 종합한 물적피해특성 자료를 구축하고, 홍수발생기간 동안의 강우특성을 파악하고자 전국 권역 기상청 관측자료를 수집하여 홍수피해 사상별 강우량 자료를 구축한다. 회귀분석 과정에서는 분석 결과에 악영향을 미칠 가능성이 있는 이상치가 존재할 경우, 이를 제거하여 시군구별 3가지 재해원인별(호우, 태풍, 종합), 피해특성별(인적, 물적) 강우조건에 따른 피해특성 예측을 위한 최적 회귀식을 선정한다. 본 연구를 통해 시군구별 강우조건에 따른 홍수피해 규모의 예측이 가능하다면, 행정구역별 호우 및 태풍으로 인한 인적 및 물적 피해예측 및 저감대책 수립에 기초자료가 될 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.7-16
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• 2000

This paper is focused on verifying time-space repetition of the highway accident and finding the their causes and deterrents. We classify all months into several seasonal groups, develop the model for each seasonal group and analyze the results of these models for Joong-bu highway. The existence of seasonal effect is verified by the analysis or self-organizing map and the accident indices. Agglomerative hierarchical cluster analysis which is used to decide the seasonal groups in accordance with accident patterns, winter group, spring-fall group. and summer group. The accident features of winter group are that the accident rate is high but the severity rate is low. while those of summer group are that the accident rate is low but the severity rate is high. Also, the regression model which is developed to identify the accident Pattern or each seasonal group represents that the season-related factors, such as the amount of rainfall, the amount of snowfall, days of rainfall, days of snowfall etc. are strongly related to the accident pattern of evert seasonal group and among these factors the traffic volume, amount of rainfall. the amount of snowfall and days of freezing importantly affect the local accident Pattern. So, seasonal effect should be considered to the identification of high-risk road section. the development of descriptive and Predictive accident model, the resource allocation model of accident in order to make safety management plan efficient.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.57-67
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• 2004

The results of the risk assessing on general buses, consisting mainly of diesel-fueled buses, show that the frequency of the instantaneous release is 1.4${\times}$10$^{-3}$ /bus/year, from which the probability of the formation of fireball as a sub event becomes 1.7${\times}$104, and show that the leakage from the CNG-fueled buses is 0.002 event/year. Also, the frequency of gradual release due to a crack is estimated at 3.7${\times}$10$^{-3}$ /buses/year, and a subsequent probability at which this could lead to a jet flame as a sub event is 1.2${\times}$10$^{-3}$ This corresponds to 0.04event/year for the CNG-fueled buses. Dividing all the fired casualties by the running distance of diesel-fueled buses, the risk is 0.091 fire fatalities per 100-million miles. And the total fire risk fur CNG buses is approximately 0.17 per 100-million miles of travel. This means that CNG buses is twice or more dangerous than diesel buses. After all CNG buses are more susceptible to the major fires. In the aspect of the reliability of this study, generic models and the failure data used in assessing the risks of CNG buses are appropriate. However, more accurate physics-based models and databases should be supplemented with this study to provide the better results.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.19 no.11
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• pp.550-560
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• 2018

Many countries have provided support for research and development and implemented policies for Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) for enhancing the safety of vehicles. With such efforts, the toll of casualties due to traffic accidents has decreased gradually. Korea has exhibited the lowest toll of casualties due to traffic accidents and is ranked 32nd in mortality among the 35 OECD members. Traffic accidents typically fall into three categories depending on the cause of the accident: vehicle to vehicle (V2V), vehicle to pedestrian (V2P), and vehicle independent. Most accidents are caused by drivers' mistakes in recognition, judgment, or operation. ADAS has been proposed to prevent and reduce accidents from such human errors. Moreover, the global automobile industry has recently been developing various safety measures, but on-road tests are still limited and contain various risks. Therefore, this study investigated the international standards for evaluation tests with regard to the assessment techniques in braking capability to cope with the limitations of on-road tests. A theoretical formula for braking force and a control algorithm are proposed, which were validated by comparing the results with those from an on-road test. These results verified the braking force depending on the functions of ADAS. The risks of on-road tests can be reduced because the proposed theoretical formula allows a prediction of the tendencies.