• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사망자 예측

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Analysis of the Current Status and Correlation of Traffic Demand according to the COVID-19 Indicator (코로나 19 지표에 따른 교통수요 현황 및 상관관계 분석)

  • Han, Kyeung-hee;Kim, Do-kyeong;Kang, Wook;So, Jaehyun (Jason);Lee, Choul-Ki
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2021
  • In January 2020, the first COVID-19 confirmed patient occurred in Korea, and the pandemic continues to this day. In unprecedented situations, COVID-19 also affected the transportation sector, and there were no appropriate measures against changes in traffic volume and use of public transportation due to changes in citizens' lifestyles. Currently, each local government has not established separate measures for pandemic disease measures. In order to establish future disease countermeasures in the transportation sector, a predictive model was developed by analyzing the traffic volume and the number of public transportation uses, and conducting correlation analysis with the current status of COVID-19. As a result of the analysis, the traffic volume decreased, but the traffic volume decreased due to the increase in personal transportation, but it did not reach the number of public transportation uses. In addition, it was analyzed that the use of public transportation was initially affected by the number of confirmed cases, but over time, it was more sensitive to death and mortality than to the number of confirmed cases.

Comparative study on the role of the public sector in the health care system -Comparison of the United States and Korea in social risk situations- (의료보장 체계에서의 공공 부분의 역할 비교연구 -사회적 위험 상황 속의 미국과 한국의 비교-)

  • Kim Jong Hwi;Hyun-Seung Park
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to compare the role of the public sector in the U.S. and Korean medical security systems and study response measures in the social risk situation of the COVID-19 virus. The COVID-19 pandemic was a typical case of a 'disaster' that spread across the world across borders in a short period of time and caused serious social welfare losses by increasing the annual number of deaths by approximately 4% in 2020. Threats to health security, such as changes in social order, unpredictable endings, prolonged control of daily life, and deepening inequality, affected the economy, politics, and environment as a whole, and people had to experience anxiety and confusion due to mental and physical stress. Furthermore, developed countries failed to provide help to low-income countries in the face of global disasters. In this situation, the country's disaster management capacity to minimize harm and secure resilience, especially disaster response capacity in the health and medical field, is inevitably very important. Therefore, this study compares how the health insurance system, which is a system to guarantee citizens' right to life, differs from the United States, a liberal health care country, and raises the need to strengthen the role of the public sector.

A Study on the Emphasis of Human Tolerance in the Crash Event (추락과정에서의 인체 허용한도 중요성 연구)

  • Hwang, Jungsun;Lee, Sangmok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.41 no.9
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    • pp.740-746
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    • 2013
  • Design with crashworthiness concept has been emphasized for almost aircraft and motor vehicles. However, crashes accompanied serious injury and death have been continuously occurred, and will be occurred subsequently. What was worse, it is a well-known fact that there were a good many crashes classified as survivable accidents in which fatal injuries were reported. But we cannot say that fatal injuries were inevitable consequences of those crashes. If crashworthy design for seat, restraint systems, and cabin strength were adequate or right, survivability in a crash event could be maximized greatly. To substantiate the right crashworthiness, we must thoroughly understand the characteristics of human tolerance under abrupt acceleration change, and the cabin design should be combined with proper use of energy absorbing technologies that reduce accelerations experienced by the occupants. In this paper, the emphasis on the human tolerance under abrupt accelerations as well as the necessity of change in design requirements for crash environment will be stressed to widen the belt of consensus for the right crashworthy design.

A study on the factors to affect the career success among workers with disabilities (지체장애근로자의 직업성공 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dal-Yob
    • 한국사회복지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.185-216
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    • 2003
  • This study was aimed at investigating important factors influencing career success among regular workers. The current researcher scrutinized the degree to which variables and factors affect the career success and occupational turnover rates of the research participants. At the same tune, two hypothetical path models established by the researcher were examined using linear multiple regression methods and the LISREL. After examining the differences among the factors of career success, a comparison was made between the disabled worker group and the non-disabled worker group. A questionnaire using the 5-point Likert scale was distributed to a group of 374 workers with disabilities and 463 workers without disabilities. For the data analysis purpose, the structural equation model, factor analysis, correlation analysis, and multiple regression analysis were carried out. The results of this study ran be summarized as follows. First, the results of factor analysis showed important categories of conceptual themes of career success. The initial conceptual factor model did not accord with the empirical one. A three-factorial model revealed categories of personal, family, and organizational factor respectively. The personal factor was composed of the self-esteem and self-efficiency. The family factor was consisted of the multi-roles stress and the number of children. Finally, the organizational factor was composed of the capacity for utilizing resources, networking, and the frequency of mentoring. In addition, the total 10 sub areas of career success were divided by two important aspects; the subjective career success and the objective career success. Second, both research participant groups seemed to be influenced by their occupational types. However, all predictive variables excluding the wage rate and the average length of work years had significant impact on job success for the disabled work group, while all the variables excluding the frequency of advice and length of working years had significant impact on job success for the non-disabled worker group. Third, the turnover rate was significantly influenced by the age and the experience of turnover of the research participants. However, the number of co-workers was the strongest predictive variable for the worker group with disabilities, but the occupation choice variable for the worker group without disabilities. For the disabled worker group, the turnover rate was differently influenced by the type of occupation, the length of working years, while multi-role stress and the average working years at the time of turnover for the worker group without disabilities. Fifth, as a result of verifying the hypothetical path model, it showed that the first model was somewhat proper and could predict the career success on both research participant groups. In the second model, the Chi-square, the degree of freedom (($x^2=64.950$, df=61, P=0.341), and the adjusted Goodness of Fit Index (AGFI) were .964, and the Comparative Fit Index (CFI) were .997, and the Root Mean Squared Residual (RMR) was respectively. .038. The model was best fitted and could predict the career success more highly because the goodness of fit index in the whole models was within the allowed range. In conclusion, the following research implications can be suggested. First, the occupational type of research participants was one of the most important variables to predict the career success for both research participant groups. It means that people with disabilities require human development services including education. They need to improve themselves in this knowledge-based society. Furthermore, for maintaining the career success, people with disabilities should be approached by considering the subjective career success aspects including wages and the promotion opportunities than the objective career success aspects.

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A Study on analysis of severity-adjustment length of stay in hospital for community-acquired pneumonia (지역사회획득 폐렴 환자의 중증도 보정 재원일수 분석)

  • Kim, Yoo-Mi;Choi, Yun-Kyoung;Kang, Sung-Hong;Kim, Won-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1234-1243
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    • 2011
  • Our study was carried out to develop the severity-adjustment model for length of stay in hospital for community-acquired pneumonia so that we analysed the factors on the variation in length of stay(LOS). The subjects were 5,353 community-acquired pneumonia inpatients of the Korean National Hospital Discharge In-depth Injury Survey data from 2004 through 2006. The data were analyzed using t-test and ANOVA and the severity-adjustment model was developed using data mining technique. There are differences according to gender, age, type of insurance, type of admission, but there is no difference of whether patients died in hospital. After yielding the standardized value of the difference between crude and expected length of stay, we analysed the variation of length of stay for community-acquired pneumonia. There was variation of LOS in regional differences and insurance type, though there was no variation according whether patients receive their care in their residences. The variation of length of stay controlling the case mix or severity of illness can be explained the factors of provider. This supply factors in LOS variations should be more studied for individual practice style or patient management practices and healthcare resources or environment. We expect that the severity-adjustment model using administrative databases should be more adapted in other diseases in practical.

Analysis of the Correlation between Expressions of HSP90α, HSP90β, and GRP94, and the Clinicopathologic Characteristics in Tissues of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients (비소세포 폐암 환자 조직에서 Hsp90α, Hsp90β, GRP94의 발현과 임상병리학적 특성과의 상관관계 분석)

  • Kim, Mi Kyeong
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.460-469
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    • 2017
  • Heat shock proteins (HSPs) are induced as a self-defense mechanism of cells when exposed to various external stresses, such as high fever, infection, free radicals, and heavy metals. They affect the prognosis in the process of tumor formation. HSP is classified into four families: HSP27, HSP60, HSP90, and HSP100, depending on molecular weight. Heat shock protein 90 (HSP90), a molecular chaperone, plays an important role in the cellular protection against various stressful stimuli and in the regulation of cell cycle progression and apoptosis. In the present study, we assessed the differential expression of HSP90 family proteins in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), and the correlation of their expression levels with clinicopathologic factors and patient survival rates. The result of this study can be summarized as follows; $HSP90{\alpha}$ showed higher expression in patients with no lymphovascular invasion (p=0.014). $HSP90{\beta}$ showed a higher expression of squamous cell carcinoma (p=0.003), and an over expression of glucose-related protein (GRP94) was significantly associated with poor differentiation (p=0.048). However, none of the HSP90 proteins showed a significant association with the survival status in patients with NSCLC. This study also indicates that $HSP90{\alpha}$ might contribute more to the carcinogenesis of NSCLC than $HSP90{\beta}$, and GRP94 and isoform selectivity should be considered when HSP90 inhibitors are studied or utilized in the treatment of NSCLC.

Changes in atlas position with Class ll activator treatment in Class II malocclusion patients (II급 부정교합자에서 액티베이터 사용에 따른 atlas의 위치 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Moon-Ki;Cha, Kyung-Suk;Chung, Dong-Hwa;Lee, Jin-Woo
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.37 no.1 s.120
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    • pp.44-55
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    • 2007
  • Objective: Previous studies have reported that morphological features of the first cervical vertebra (atlas) have been associated with mandibular growth direction. The purpose of this study was to show the possible positional and morphological changes of the Atlas from activator treatment in Class II malocclusion patients. Methods: Lateral cephalometric radiograph tracings were made at initial, middle and final stages of treatment. Angular and linear measurements of skeletal and morphological features were measured on the anatomical landmarks and reference planes. Results: The skeletal effects of activator treatment on Class II malocclusion patients were evident on ramal height, body length, effective body length, ANB, and overjet. Clockwise rotation of the long axis of the Atlas was found in Group 1, but there was no inclination change of the Atlas in groups 2 and 3. There was no significant correlation between anterior and posterior positions of the atlas or morphological change in all groups. - except for posterior movements of the Atlas found in group 1. Conclusion: Clockwise rotation of the atlas axis resulted from activator treatment in Cl II malocclusion patients. Change in atlas axis can be thought of as an indicator for success of activator treatment.

A pilot study of neuroprotection with umbilical cord blood cell transplantation for preterm very low birth weight infants (극소 저 출생체중 미숙아에서 자가 제대혈 줄기세포 이식을 통한 신경 손상 방지 연구)

  • Chae, Kyu Young;Lee, Kyu Hyung;Eun, So Hee;Choi, Byung Min;Eun, Baik-Lin;Kang, Hoon-Chul;Chey, Myung Jae;Kim, Nam Keun;Oh, Doyeun
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.50 no.9
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    • pp.882-890
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    • 2007
  • Purpose : Preterm very low birth weight infant have high rate of adverse neurodevelopmental sequale. Recently, there have been lots of reports that human umbilical cord blood transplantation ameliorates functional deficits in animal models as hypoxic ischemic injury. This pilot study was undertaken to determine the clinical efficacy and safety of autologous umbilical cord blood cell transplantation for preventing neurodevelopmental sequale in perterm VLBW. Methods : Subjects were 26 preterm infants whose birth weight are less than 1,500 g and delivered under the intrauterine period 34 weeks. Autologous umbilical mononuclear cells (about $5.87{\times}10^7/kg$) were injected to neonate via the umbilical vein on the postnatal 24-48 hour. The therapeutic efficacy was assessed by numbers of nucleated RBC, urinary uric acid/creatinine ratio, concentration of neuron specific enolase (NSE), interleukin 6 (IL6), interleukin-$1{\beta}$ ($IL-1{\beta}$), and glial cell derived neurotrophic factor (GDNF) in serum and cerebrospinal fluid on day 1 and 7. Results : There were no significant differences in the numbers of the nucleated RBC, urinary uric acid/creatinine ratio, concentration of creatine kinase between the transplanted infants and controls. But the nucleated RBC is more likely to be rapidly discharged in the transplanted group. In the transplanted group, the concentrations of IL6, $IL-1{\beta}$, and GDNF were no significant difference between day 1 and 7, although GDNF seemed to be elevated. Serum NSE concentration was significantly elevated after transplantation, but not in CSF. Conclusion : It is suggested that autologous umbilical cord blood transplantation in preterm very low birth weight infant is safe to apply clinical practice. Long term follow up study should be needed to evaluate the potential therapeutic effect of umbilical cord blood transplantation for neuroprotection.

Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation with Microwave (Microwave를 이용한 심방세동의 치료)

  • 조광현;최강주;강도균;전희재;윤영철;이양행;황윤호
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.329-334
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    • 2003
  • Backgound: Cryoablation and radiofrequency ablation have been used to treat the atrial fibrillation. Some reports insisted that the microwave ablation Is a better method for a deep and extensive lesion. Material and Method: From December 2001 to July 2002, we peformed 8 microwave ablations in patients who needed mitral valve surgery (7 MVR, 1 MVR+AVR). There were 3 men and 5 women, and their mean age was 43.4$\pm$8.3 years and mean follow up period was 5.6$\pm$2.4 months respectively. The microwave was applied on endocardium or epicardium by Lynx (Afx, inc.) using a power of 45 watts for 25 seconds. We studied the left atrial dimension, the left atrial function and the sinus conversion with echocardiography and electro-cardiography at three times; 1) before the operation, 2) immediately after the operation, and 3) 6 months after the operation. Result: There was no complication and no mortality. The mean aortic clamping time was 104.6$\pm$25.0 minutes, and the mean total bypass time was 130.5$\pm$28.7 minutes. The rate of sinus conversion was 75%, A wave across the mitral valve was a mean of 77.0$\pm$24.8 cm/sec, and the AVE was a mean of 0.46$\pm$0.17 at 5.6 months postoperatively Conclusion: There was no difference in the early result of microwave ablation compared to other methods. The microwave ablation was an acceptable method due to its convenient application especially in beating heart.

N-terminal Pro-B-type Natriuretic Peptide as a Predictive Risk Factor in Fontan Operation (Fontan 수술시 위험 예측인자로서의 N-Terminal Pro-B-type Natriuretic Peptide의 유용성)

  • Jang, Gi Young;Lee, Jae Young;Kim, Soo Jin;Shim, Woo Sup
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.1362-1369
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    • 2005
  • Purpose : This study aimed to investigate the correlation between the plasma level of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide(pro-BNP) and several known risk factors influencing outcomes after Fontan operations, and to assess whether pro-BNP levels can be used as predictive risk factors in Fontan operations. Methods : Plasma pro-BNP concentrations were measured in 35 patients with complex cardiac anomalies before catheterization. Cardiac catheterization was performed in all subjects. Mean right atrium pressure, mean pulmonary artery pressure(PAP), and ventricular end-diastolic pressure(EDP) were obtained. Cardiac output and pulmonary vascular resistance were calculated by Fick method. Results : Plasma pro-BNP levels exhibited statistically significant positive correlations with mean PAP(r=0.70, P<0.001), pulmonary vascular resistance(r=0.57, P<0.001), RVEDP(r=0.63, P<0.001), LVEDP(r=0.74, P<0.001), and cardiothoracic ratio(r=0.71, P<0.001). The area under the ROC curve using pro-BNP level to differentiate risk groups in Fontan operations was high : 0.868(95 percent CI, 0.712-1.023, P<0.01). The cutoff value of pro-BNP concentrations for the detection of risk groups in Fontan operations was determined to be 332.4 pg/mL(sensitivity 83.3 percent, specificity 82.7 percent). Conclusion : These data suggest that plasma pro-BNP levels may be used as a predictive risk factor in Fontan operations, and as a guide to determine the mode of therapy during follow-up after Fontan operations.