• 제목/요약/키워드: 사고 빈도

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A Study on Failure Frequency Model for Risk Analysis of Natural Gas Pipeline with Comparison of Overseas Failure Data (국외 천연가스 배관 사고 빈도 비교 및 분석 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Shin-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.60-66
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the overseas failure frequency data of the high-pressure gas pipeline were investigated to apply QRA of high-pressure gas pipeline. The typical overseas failure frequency data of high-pressure gas pipeline are DOT of United States, EGIG of Europe, and UKOPA of United Kingdom (UK). Comparative analysis of these data was shown that EGIG data was suitable for the situation in Korea. In order to apply QRA of high-pressure gas pipeline, non-linear regression analysis using the failure frequency data in the report of EGIG 8th was performed. In the future, intensive researches are required for the external interference because about 50% of the failure frequency of all incidents is the external interference, and for combining of domestic and overseas data.

Freeway Crash Frequency Model Development Based on the Classification of Geometric Alignment Type (선형유형 구분을 통한 고속도로 사고빈도모형 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Youp;Choi, Jai-Sung;Lee, Soo-Beom;Kim, Seong-Min;Cho, Won-Bum;Kim, Yong-Seok
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents how one can investigate the effects on crash occurrence of freeway geometric design elements including the horizontal, vertical alignment and road environment. At present, the available research results for the most part involve geometric data analysis that are obtained along a relatively long section of freeway, and, because of the long section's diverse geometric conditions, the results tend to miss the specific local geometric impacts on vehicle crashes. In this regard, this research attempts to establish vehicle crash models based on a set of freeway geometric patterns whose crash generating characteristics are identical because they are homogeneous in terms of producing the same vehicle operating speeds, and subsequently their actual relationships are described by providing statistical analysis made in this research. Also each standard is comprised of part of straight, curve and continuous curve. This research has revealed that each type of model has different relation between accident and geometry structure. This research results should be useful for doing more reasonable highway designs and safety audit analysis.

Risk Analysis and Selection of the Main Factors in Fishing Vessel Accidents Through a Risk Matrix (위험도 매트릭스를 이용한 어선의 사고 위험도 분석과 사고 주요 요인 도출에 관한 연구)

  • WON, Yoo-Kyung;KIM, Dong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.139-150
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    • 2019
  • Though, fishing vessel accidents account for 70 % of all maritime accidents in Korean waters, most research has focused on identifying causes and developing mitigation policies in an attempt to reduce this rate. However, predicting and evaluating accident risk needs to be done before the implementation of such reduction measures. For this reasons, we havve performed a risk analysis to calculate the risk of accidents and propose a risk criteria matrix with 4 quadrants, within one of which forecasted risk is plotted for the relative comparison of risks. For this research, we considered 9 types of fishing vessel accidents as reported by Korea Maritime Safety Tribunal (KMST). Given that no risk evaluation criteria have been established in Korea, we established a two-dimensional frequency-consequence grid consisting of four quadrants into which paired frequency and consequence for each type of accident are presented. With the simple structure of the evaluation model, one can easily verify the effect of frequency and consequence on the resulting risk within each quadrant. Consequently, these risk evaluation results will help a decision maker employ more realistic risk mitigation measures for accident types situated in different quadrants. As an application of the risk evaluation matrix, accident types were further analyzed using accident causes including human error (factor) and appropriate risk reduction options may be established by comparing the relative frequency and consequence of each accident cause.

산업시설의 사고빈도분석을 위한 Easy-Tree 개발

  • 임동연;고재욱;김윤화;서재민
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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    • 1999.06a
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    • pp.121-124
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    • 1999
  • 항공 산업분야의 사고빈도분석을 위해 개발된 이상트리분석(Fault Tree Analysis) 방법은 최근 들어 넓은 분야에 거쳐 광범위하게 사용되고 있다. 특히 화학공장의 위험성을 평가하는 방법 중 크게 각광받고 있는 정량적 위험성평가의 사고의 빈도를 분석하는 방법으로 그 중요성이 증가되고 있다. 하지만 아직까지 국내 현실은 인식과 데이터의 부족으로 업체 스스로가 시설물의 안전가동을 위해 이러한 분석방법을 수행하기에는 상당히 어려운 점이 많은 실정이다. (중략)

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The Risk Analysis for the Rail Transport of Explosives (폭약류의 철도수송에 따른 리스크 평가)

  • Lee, Jae-Hean;Song, Dong-Woo;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2011
  • This study presented quantitative risk analysis in case of transporting explosive materials by railway. Accident types were classified into accidents of in station and in transit. And the study presented an initial value of accident frequency through derailment accident and crushing one according to each type, and drew the results of accident frequency through event tree analysis. Damage impact evaluation used TNT equivalent method and probit analysis method. As the result of risk evaluation, railway transportation of explosive materials passing through areas which are high in population density is appeared to be able to cause a large number of personnel injury when occurring accidents. Specially, the accident of explosive transportation combined with petroleum was forecasted as easily resulting in large explosive accident. Consequently, there is a necessity to reduce consequences by decreasing passage through areas where are high in population density, and take measures for lessening the risks in case of transporting dangerous explosive materials.

Development of Traffic Accident Forecasting Models Considering Urban-Transportation System Characteristics (토지이용 및 교통특성을 반영한 교통사고 예측모형 개발 연구)

  • Park, Jun-Tae;Jang, Il-Jun;Son, Ui-Yeong;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.39-56
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    • 2011
  • This study proposed a traffic accident prediction model developed based on administrative districts of Seoul. The model was to find the relationship between accident rates and the representative land usage of the districts (development density) - the higher the development density (building floor area) is, the higher the traffic accident rate is. The findings showed that traffic accident statistics differ from (1) residential building floor area, (2) commercial building floor area and (3) business building floor area.

Analysis of Relative Risk by Accident Types at Intersections, Crosswalk and Tunnel Sections (교차로, 횡단보도, 터널 구간에서 사고유형에 따른 상대적 위험도 분석)

  • Lee, Hyunmi;Jeon, Gyoseok;Kim, Hyung Jun;Jang, Jeong Ah
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.841-851
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    • 2019
  • This study presents risk ranking by accident types at intersections, crosswalk and tunnel sections. An ordered logit model was used to estimate the accident severity of traffic accidents based on 58,868 accident records that have occurred on the Seoul and Gyeonggi-do over the period 2014-2017. The factors affecting the injury severity were identified by the estimated model first, and risk ranking was proposed according to conditions of accident occurrence using relative ratio analysis later. The analysis results showed that the injury severity dramatically depends on the location and time of the accident. The analysis results showed that the injury severity dramatically depends on the location and time of the accident. Furthermore, there are severe injury cases in terms of the injury severity despite the small number of occurrence of traffic accident, or there are severe injury cases in terms of the injury severity despite the high frequency of occurrence of traffic accident.

어선의 해양사고 방지방안에 대한 고찰

  • Jeong, Dae-Yul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2012.06a
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    • pp.551-555
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    • 2012
  • 최근 10년간 해양사고를 분석한 결과 어선은 전체 해양사고의 70퍼센트를 차지하고 있으며, 상선의 경우 충돌 및 좌초 등 운항과실에 의한 발생빈도가 높은 반면에 어선은 조업 중 및 기관구역 사고의 발생빈도가 높다. 또한 해양사고의 총톤수별 분석 결과 총톤수 100톤 미만의 소형선박이 72퍼센트를 차지하였다. 이에 이 글은 다음 7가지를 고려한 어선의 해양사고 방지방안을 제시하고자 한다. 1)충돌사고, 2)어선의 구조 및 설비에 따른 사고, 3) 어선의 전복사고, 4)어선의 기관, 화재, 폭발사고, 5)혼승선박의 비상대응능력, 6)어선의 출항통제기준, 7)동해안의 특성.

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Identifying Seafarer's Behavioral Error by Marine Accident Type (해양사고 종류별 선원의 행동오류 식별)

  • Park, Deuk-Jin;Yang, Hyeong-Seon;Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 2018
  • The identification of behavioral errors by seafarers that have caused marine accidents may provide important clues for the reduction or prevention of marine accidents. The purpose of this study is to identify the behavioral errors of seafarers by the type of marine accident using the theory of Skill-, Rule-, and Knowledge-Based Behavior (SRKBB). In order to identify behavioral errors, we collected the information related to 1,744 cases of maritime accidents over a 9 year period (2008 ~ 2016). The behavior errors of the seafarers who caused the marine accidents were classified as SBBE (Skill-Based Behavioral Error), RBBE (Rule-Based Behavioral Error), and KBBE (Knowledge-Based Behavioral Error). After analyzing the frequency of behavioral errors according to the type of marine accident, results showed SBBE had the highest frequency of errors, followed by RBBE. Additionally, the frequency of occurrence of accidents such as stranding, overturning, and sinking was high in KBBE. This study showed it is possible to identify behavioral errors of seafarers according to the type of marine accidents.

Analysis of Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Traffic Accidents in Jinju (진주시 교통사고의 시계열적 공간분포특성 분석)

  • Sung, Byeong Jun;Bae, Gyu Han;Yoo, Hwan Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.3-9
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    • 2015
  • Since changes in land use in urban space cause traffic volume and it is closely related to traffic accidents. Therefore, an analysis on the causes of traffic accidents is judged to be an essential factor to establish the measure to reduce traffic accidents. In this regard, the analysis was conducted on the clustering by using the nearest neighbor indexes with regard to the occurrence frequencies of commercial and residential zone based on traffic accident data of the past five years (2009-2013) with the target of local small-medium sized city, Jinju-si. The analysis results, obtained in this study, are as follows: the occurrence frequency of traffic accidents was the highest in spring and the lowest in winter respectively. The clustering of traffic accident occurrence at nighttime was stronger than at daytime. In addition, terms of the analysis on the clustering of traffic accident according to land use, changes according to the seasons was not significant in commercial areas, while clustering density in winter tended to become significantly lower in residential areas. The analysis results of traffic accident types showed that the side-right angle collision of cars was the highest in frequency occurrence, and widespread in both commercial areas and residential areas. These results can provide us with important information to identify the occurrence pattern of traffic accidents in the structure of urban space, and it is expected that they will be appropriately utilized to establish measures to reduce traffic accidents.