• 한국지구과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2010.04a
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• pp.95-97
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• 2010

최근 겨울철 온난화 경향이 뚜렷해지면서 강수형태가 비로 내리는 경우가 잦아지고 있다. 또한 대륙고기압이 확장할 때는 기압골의 영향으로 강우에서 강설로 변하는 예가 종종 나타나고 있다. 강수유형의 판단은 겨울철 중요한 예보요소 중 하나로 본 연구는 중서부지방의 2010년 2월 4일부터 12일까지의 사례기간동안 일기도, AWS관측자료, 위성, KLAPS(층후, 빙결고도, 상당온위) 자료를 바탕으로 하여 강우에서 강설로 변하는 강수형태를 분석한 것이다.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.179-189
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• 2022

Ice and water droplets rise and fall above the freezing altitude under the effects of strong updrafts and downdrafts, grow into hail, and then fall to the ground in the form of balls or irregular lumps of ice. Although such hail, which occurs in a local area within a short period of time, causes great damage to the agricultural and forestry sector, there is a paucity of domestic research toward predicting hail. The objective of this study was to introduce Land-Atmosphere Modeling Package (LAMP) hail prediction and measure its performance for 50 hail events that occurred from January 2020 to July 2021. In the study period, the frequency of occurrence was high during the spring and during afternoon hours. The average duration of hail was 15 min, and the average diameter of the hail was 1 cm. The results showed that LAMP predicted hail events with a detection rate of 70%. The hail prediction performance of LAMP deteriorated as the hail prediction time increased. The radar reflectivity of actual cases of hail indicated that the average maximum reflectivity was greater than 40 dBZ regardless of altitude. Approximately 50% of the hail events occurred when the reflectivity ranged from 30~50 dBZ. These results can be used to improve the hail prediction performance of LAMP in the future. Improved hail prediction performance through LAMP should lead to reduced economic losses caused by hail in the agricultural and forestry sector through preemptive measures such as net coverings.