• Title/Summary/Keyword: 비모수 모형

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The Determinants of the Efficiency of Korean Ports - Using Panel Analysis and Heteroscedastic Tobit Model - (국내항만의 효율성 결정요소 - 패널분석과 이분산 토빗모형을 이용하여 -)

  • Mo, Su-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.349-361
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    • 2008
  • There has been abundant empirical research undertaken on the technical efficiency of Korean ports. Most studies have focused on the use of parametric and non-parametric techniques to analyse overall technical efficiency. This paper utilizes data for the period 2000-07 to offer a heterogeneous perspective on the overall efficiency of Korean ports. The framework assumes that ports use one input to produce one output; the output and input include port export(import) and regional export(import). This paper also employs panel analysis and heteroscedastic Tobit model to show the effect of the explanatory variables on the port efficiencies. The panel analysis shows that the regional export/total export has negative effect on the export efficiency while the regional import/total import has not any relations with the import efficiency. The heteroskedastic Tobit model shows that both regional export ratio and regional import ratio have negative effects on the efficiency while the gross regional domestic product has not any significant relations with the import efficiency.

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Test of Model Specification in Box-Cox Transformed Regression Model with AR(1) Errors (오차항이 AR(1)을 따르는 Box-Cox 변환 회귀모형에서 모형 식별을 위한 검정)

  • Cheon, Soo-Young;Yoon, Seok-Jin;Hwang, Sun-Young;Song, Seuck-Heun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.327-340
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    • 2008
  • This paper derives joint and conditional Lagrange multiplier tests based on information matrix for testing functional form and/or the presence of autocorrelation in a regression model. Small sample properties of these tests are assessed by Monte Carlo study and comparisons are made with LM tests based on Hessian matrix. The results show that the proposed $LM_E$ tests have the most appropriate finite sample performance.

A Study on Development Cost Attributes Analysis of NHPP Software Reliability Model Based on Rayleigh Distribution and Inverse Rayleigh Distribution (레일리 분포와 역-레일리 분포에 근거한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형의 개발비용 속성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Tae-Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.554-560
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    • 2019
  • In this study, after applying the finite failure NHPP Rayleigh distribution model and NHPP Inverse Rayleigh distribution model which are widely used in the field of software reliability to the software development cost model, the attributes of development cost and optimal release time were compared and analyzed. To analyze the attributes of software development cost, software failure time data was used, parametric estimation was applied to the maximum likelihood estimation method, and nonlinear equations were calculated using the bisection method. As a result, it was confirmed that Rayleigh model is relatively superior to Inverse Rayleigh model because software development cost is relatively low and software release time is also fast. Through this study, the development cost attributes of the Rayleigh model and the Inverse Rayleigh model without the existing research examples were newly analyzed. In addition, we expect that software developers will be able to use this study as a basic guideline for exploring software reliability improvement method and development cost attributes.

Comparative Analysis on the Attributes of NHPP Software Development Cost Model Applying Gamma Family Distribution (감마족 분포을 적용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 개발비용 모형의 속성에 관한 비교 분석)

  • Hyo-Jeong Bae
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.867-876
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    • 2023
  • In this study, the attributes of the NHPP software development cost model applying the Gamma family distribution (Erlang, Log-Logistic, Rayleigh) were newly analyzed, and after comparing with the Goel-Okumoto basic model to verify the properties of the model, the optimal model was also presented based on this. To analyze software reliability, failure time data that occurred randomly during system operation was used, and the calculation of the parameters was solved using the maximum likelihood estimation. As a result of comprehensive evaluation through various attribute analysis (mean value function, development cost, optimal release time), it was confirmed that the Rayleigh model had the best performance. Through this study, the attributes of the software development cost model applying the Gamma family distribution, which has no previous research case, were newly identified. Also, basic design data could also be presented so that developers can efficiently utilize this research data at an early stage.

Performance Evaluation of Military Corps with Categorical Environmental Variables (범주형 환경변수를 고려한 부대성과평가 방법에 관한 연구 - DEA와 CCCA의 결합을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Kyung-Won;Park, Myung-Seop;Im, Jae-Poong
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.51-72
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    • 2006
  • There are many occasions that the performance of a corps is influenced not only by its own efforts but by the commander of the next higher unit in a vertical organizational structure. When the direction of the commander in the next higher organization is different from that of the actual evaluation agency, the unit under evaluation may get rated lower than what it should deserve. This study suggests an alternative method to evaluate the performance of military units in the situation that there exist critical environmental factors which affect the performance. This method employes DEA, a non parametric method, and Constrained Canonical Correlation Analysis(CCCA), a parametric method which is used to estimate a efficient frontier with multiple dependent variables and constraints. This article also exploits a set of categorical environmental variables in the CCCA to improve the fairness of performance evaluation. It is shown that the introduction of the categorical variables helps evaluating the true performance of individual units such as battalions subordinated to different next higher commanders.

Analyzing landslide data using Cauchy cluster process (코시 군집 과정을 이용한 산사태 자료 분석)

  • Lee, Kise;Kim, Jeonghwan;Park, No-wook;Lee, Woojoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.345-354
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    • 2016
  • Inhomogeneous Poisson process models are widely applied to landslide data to understand how environmental variables systematically influence the risk of landslides. However, those models cannot successfully explain the clustering phenomenon of landslide locations. In order to overcome this limitation, we propose to use a Cauchy cluster process model and show how it improves the goodness of fit to the landslide data in terms of K-function. In addition, a numerical study is performed to select the optimal estimation method for the Cauchy cluster process.

Robust Interpolation Method for Adapting to Sparse Design in Nonparametric Regression (선형보간법에 의한 자료 희소성 해결방안의 문제와 대안)

  • Park, Dong-Ryeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.561-571
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    • 2007
  • Local linear regression estimator is the most widely used nonparametric regression estimator which has a number of advantages over the traditional kernel estimators. It is well known that local linear estimator can produce erratic result in sparse regions in the realization of the design and the interpolation method of Hall and Turlach (1997) is the very efficient way to resolve this problem. However, it has been never pointed out that Hall and Turlach's interpolation method is very sensitive to outliers. In this paper, we propose the robust version of the interpolation method for adapting to sparse design. The finite sample properties of the method is compared with Hall and Turlach's method by the simulation study.

Nonparametric clustering of functional time series electricity consumption data (전기 사용량 시계열 함수 데이터에 대한 비모수적 군집화)

  • Kim, Jaehee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.149-160
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    • 2019
  • The electricity consumption time series data of 'A' University from July 2016 to June 2017 is analyzed via nonparametric functional data clustering since the time series data can be regarded as realization of continuous functions with dependency structure. We use a Bouveyron and Jacques (Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, 5, 4, 281-300, 2011) method based on model-based functional clustering with an FEM algorithm that assumes a Gaussian distribution on functional principal components. Clusterwise analysis is provided with cluster mean functions, densities and cluster profiles.

Volatilities in the Won-Dollar Exchange Markets and GARCH Option Valuation (원-달러 변동성 및 옵션 모형의 설명력에 대한 고찰)

  • Han, Sang-Il
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.369-378
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    • 2013
  • The Korean Won-Dollar exchange markets showed radical price movements in the late 1990s and 2008. Therefore it provides good sources for studying volatility phenomena. Using the GARCH option models, I analysed how the prices of foreign exchange options react volatilities in the foreign exchange spot prices. For this I compared the explanatory power of three option models(Black and Scholes, Duan, Heston and Nandi), using the Won-Dollar OTC option markets data from 2006 to 2013. I estimated the parameters using MLE and calculated the mean square pricing errors. According to the my empirical studies, the pricing errors of Duan, Black and Scholes models are 0.1%. And the pricing errors of the Heston and Nandi model is greatest among the three models. So I would like to recommend using Duan or Black and Scholes model for hedging the foreign exchange risks. Finally, the historical average of spot volatilities is about 14%, so trading the options around 5% may lead to serious losses to sellers.

A study on the estimation of the credibility in an extended Buhlmann-Straub model (확장된 뷸만-스트라웁 모형에서 신뢰도 추정 연구)

  • Yi, Min-Jeong;Go, Han-Na;Choi, Seung-Kyoung;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1181-1190
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    • 2010
  • When an insurer develops an insurance product, it is very critical to determine reasonable premiums, which is directly related to insurer's profits. There are three methods to determine premiums. Frist, the insurer utilizes premiums paid to the similar cases to the current one. Second, the insurer calculates premiums based on policyholder's past records. The last method is to combine the first with the second one. Based on the three methods, there are two major theories determining premiums, Limited Fluctuation Credibility Theory not based on statistical models and Greatest Accuracy Credibility Theory based on statistical models. There are well-known methods derived from Greatest Accuracy Credibility Theory, such as, Buhlmann model and Buhlmann-Straub model. In this paper, we extend the Buhlmann-Straub model to accommodate the fact that variability grows according to the number of data in practice and suggest a new non-parametric method to estimate the premiums. The suggested estimation method is also applied to the data gained from simulation and compared with the existing estimation method.