• Title/Summary/Keyword: 비모수 모형

Search Result 396, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

An Approach for the NHPP Software Reliability Model Using Erlang Distribution (어랑 분포를 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Hee-Cheul;Choi Yue-Soon;Park Jong-Goo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.7-14
    • /
    • 2006
  • The finite failure NHPP models proposed in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, we propose the Erlang reliability model, which can capture the increasing nature of the failure occurrence rate per fault. Equations to estimate the parameters of the Erlang finite failure NHPP model based on failure data collected in the form of inter-failure times are developed. For the sake of proposing shape parameter of the Erlang distribution, we used to the goodness-of-fit test of distribution. Data set, where the underlying failure process could not be adequately described by the existing models, which motivated the development of the Erlang model. Analysis of the failure data set which led us to the Erlang model, using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, goodness-of-fit test, bias tests is presented.

일반화혼합회귀 추정량과 베이지안 회귀추정량의 비교

  • 김주성;김영권
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.3 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 1996
  • 본 논문에서는 일반화 회귀모형의 회귀모수${\beta}$에 대한 사전정보의 형태에 따른 각 추정량들에 대하여 연구하였다. 먼저 사전정보가 ${\beta}$에 대한 사전분포로 주어지는 경우에 해당하는 베이지안 회귀추정량을 제시하였고, 다른 하나는 ${\beta}$에 대한 사전정보모형으로 선형회귀모형식이 주어진 경우의 일반화 혼합회귀추정량에 대하여 연구하였다. 두가지 경우로부터 얻어진 각 추정량의 정도를 알아보기 위하여 각 추정량의 공분산행렬을 이 용하여 서로 비교하여 보았다. 각 추정량의 분산비들을 이용하여 일반적으로 일반화 혼합회귀추정량이 베이지안 회귀추정량들보다 비교적 작은 분산값을 가진다는 결론을 얻었다.

  • PDF

비가법성에 대한 Tukey의 통계량에 관하여

  • Paik, U.B.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.9-17
    • /
    • 1975
  • A, B 두 요인의 영향을 받고 있다고 생각되는 rc개 측정치가 있고 이것이 다음과 같이 $r\timesc$ 이차분류표로 정리되었다고 하자. 여기에서 $$y_{ij} = \mu + \alpha_i + \beta_j + \epsilon_{ij}$$ 와 같은 가법모형을 생각한다. 그리고 $\epsilon_{ij}$는 잔여항으로써 평균이 0, 분산이 $\sigma^2$인 정규분포를 한다고 가정하는 것이 보통이다. 또 이것은 모수모형인 경우 $E(y_{ij}) = \mu + \alpha_i + \beta_i, v(y_{ij}) = \sigma^2$임을 의미하는 것으로 생각된다. 그러나 자료에 따라서는 위에서와 같은 가법적 모형을 적용한다는 것이 적당하지 못한 경우가 있다.

  • PDF

The Comparative Study of Software Optimal Release Time of Finite NHPP Model Considering Property of Nonlinear Intensity Function (비선형 강도함수 특성을 이용한 유한고장 NHPP모형에 근거한 소프트웨어 최적방출시기 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.11 no.9
    • /
    • pp.159-166
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper, make a study decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transfer it to the user. When correcting or modifying the software, finite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process model, presented and propose release policies of the life distribution, half-logistic property model which used to an area of reliability because of various shape and scale parameter. In this paper, discuss optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement. In a numerical example, the parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation of failure time data, make out estimating software optimal release time. Software release time is used as prior information, potential security damages should be reduced.

Nonparametric Detection Methods against DDoS Attack (비모수적 DDoS 공격 탐지)

  • Lee, J.L.;Hong, C.S.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.291-305
    • /
    • 2013
  • Collective traffic data (BPS, PPS etc.) for detection against the distributed denial of service attack on network is the time sequencing big data. The algorithm to detect the change point in the big data should be accurate and exceed in detection time and detection capability. In this work, the sliding window and discretization method is used to detect the change point in the big data, and propose five nonparametric test statistics using empirical distribution functions and ranks. With various distribution functions and their parameters, the detection time and capability including the detection delay time and the detection ratio for five test methods are explored and discussed via monte carlo simulation and illustrative examples.

Nonparametric method in randomized block design for umbrella alternatives based on aligned method and placement (랜덤화 블록 계획법에서 우산형 대립가설에 대한 정렬방법과 위치를 이용한 비모수 검정법)

  • Kim, Jeonghyun;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.29 no.7
    • /
    • pp.1399-1409
    • /
    • 2016
  • Nonparametric methods in randomized block design were suggested by Friedman (1937) for general alternatives and were also proposed by Page (1963) for ordered alternatives in one-way layout; in addition, K-sample rank tests for umbrella alternatives were suggested by Mack and Wolfe (1981). In this paper, we proposed a nonparametric method of umbrella alternatives for randomized block design using the aligned method proposed by Hodges and Lehmann (1962) to use block information and using placement suggested by Kim (1999). Monte Carlo simulation was also adapted to compare the power of the proposed procedure with previous methods.

Testing the Existence of a Discontinuity Point in the Variance Function

  • Huh, Jib
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.707-716
    • /
    • 2006
  • When the regression function is discontinuous at a point, the variance function is usually discontinuous at the point. In this case, we had better propose a test for the existence of a discontinuity point with the regression function rather than the variance function. In this paper we consider that the variance function only has a discontinuity point. We propose a nonparametric test for the existence of a discontinuity point with the second moment function since the variance function and the second moment function have the same location and jump size of the discontinuity point. The proposed method is based on the asymptotic distribution of the estimated jump size.

  • PDF

A Comparison of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Artificial Neural Network for Time Series Prediction (자기회귀누적이동평균모형과 신경망모형을 이용한 시계열예측의 비교)

  • Yoon, YeoChang
    • Annual Conference of KIPS
    • /
    • 2011.11a
    • /
    • pp.1516-1519
    • /
    • 2011
  • 예측에 필요한 중요한 자료에는 비선형 자료와 시계열과 같은 선형 자료 등이 있다. 이들 자료는 그 함축적인 관계가 매우 복잡하여 전통적인 통계분석 도구로 식별하는데 어려움이 많다. 신경망 분석은 비모수적 문제나 비선형 곡선 적합능력의 우수성 때문에 현실세계에서의 고유한 복잡성을 다루는 많은 경제 응용 분야에서 널리 이용되고 있다. 신경망은 또한 경제 시계열자료의 예측분야에서도 여러 연구에서 훌륭한 도구로서 적용되고 있다. 전통적으로 우리나라에서 시계열자료의 예측은 선형 자료적 분석을 중심으로 하는 분석도구인 자기회귀누적이동평균(ARIMA)모형을 이용한 시계열분석이 일반적이다. 이 연구에서는 신경망과 ARIMA 모형을 이용하여 한국의 주가변동 자료 및 자동차등록 현황 자료등과 같은 시계열자료를 이용한 예측결과를 비교한다. 연구의 결과는 신경망을 이용한 예측 방법들이 ARIMA 예측 결과보다 통계적으로 작은 오차를 주는 보다 효율적인 방법임을 보여주고 있다.

A Comparative Study for NHPP Software Reliability Model based on the Shape Parameter of Flexible Weibull Extension Distribution (유연한 와이블 확장분포의 형상모수를 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.141-147
    • /
    • 2016
  • NHPP software reliability models for failure analysis can have, in the literature, exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, infinite failures NHPP models that repairing software failure point in time reflects the situation, was presented for comparing property. Commonly used in the field of software reliability based on Flexible Weibull extension distribution software reliability of infinite failures was presented for comparison problem. The result is that a relatively small shaping parameter was effectively. The parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation was conducted and model selection was performed using the mean square error and the coefficient of determination.. In this research, software developers to identify software failure property follows shape parameter, some extent be able to help is considered.

A Study for NHPP Software Reliability Model of Lomax Distribution Based on Shape Parameter (Lomax 분포의 형상모수에 근거한 무한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
    • /
    • v.8 no.5
    • /
    • pp.412-418
    • /
    • 2015
  • NHPP software reliability models for failure analysis can have, in the literature, exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, infinite failures NHPP models that repairing software failure point in time reflects the situation, was presented for comparing property. Commonly used in business, economics, and actuarial modeling based on Lomax distribution, software reliability of infinite failures was presented for comparison problem. The result is that a relatively large shape parameter was effectively. The parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation was conducted and Model selection was performed using the mean square error and the coefficient of determination. In this research, software developers to identify software failure property follows shape parameter, some extent be able to help is considered.