• Title/Summary/Keyword: 불완전모형

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Improving the Basinwide Water Balance Assessment (유역 물수급 평가 개선방안에 대한 연구)

  • Jang, Ock-Jae;Ahn, Kook-Hyun;Kim, Young-Oh;Lee, Woo-Seok;Lee, Kil-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1339-1343
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    • 2008
  • 오래전부터 물은 천부(天賦)의 자원으로 인식되어 왔으나 근래 들어 수자원의 한정성과 용도의 다양성등으로 무한자원이 아닌 유한자원으로서 확고한 경제적 위치를 점하게 되었다. 이러한 경제재로서의 물을 가장 이상적이고 합리적으로 이용하기 위해서는 용수 수요에 대응하여 적기에 적량의 물을 공급할 수 있는 효율적인 물관리가 필요하다. 효율적인 물관리를 위해 현재까지 우리나라에서는 매 10년 마다 수자원장기종합계획을 세우고, 5년에 한번씩 보완하도록 하고 있으며 이를 장기적인 국가 수자원관리의 지침으로 사용하고 있다. 그동안 국내에서도 컴퓨터 모형의 발달과 자료의 축척으로 어느 정도 정확한 물수급 평가(water balance assessment)는 가능해졌으나 아직 가용한 자료의 부족으로 장기 물수급 전망에 왜곡이 발생되고 있는 게 현실이다. 그 중 대표적 문제점을 살펴보면, 지하수 공급량 자료가 전무한 점, 농업용 중소규모 저수지의 공급가능량을 유효저수량으로 제한한 점, 행정구역 및 유역별 분석 결과 제시가 동시에 자유롭지 못한 점 등이 있다. 이러한 문제점은 근본적으로 모형의 불완전성과 자료의 부족으로부터 기인하며, 이를 해결하기 위하여 좀 더 정확한 물수급 평가방안의 제시가 필요하다 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 앞서 제시된 물수급 평가모형의 문제점을 보완할 수 있는 방법을 제안하였다. 이를 위해 먼저 기존의 물수급 평가의 문제점을 파악하였고, 다음으로 파악된 문제점의 개선방안을 금강유역에 적용하여 기존 방법의 결과와 비교를 실시하였다. 개선방안을 시범유역에 적용한 결과 K-WEAP과 K-MODSIM 모두 큰 결과의 차이는 발생하지 않았다. 또한 개선방안 적용 결과와 비교하여 기존 모의방법의 결과가 농업용수 물부족량을 과소평가하는 것으로 나타났다.

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Effects of Number of Incomplete Data in Latest Generation on the Breeding Value Estimated by Random Regression Model (임의회귀 모형 사용시 마지막 세대의 불완전한 기록이 추정육종가에 미치는 효과)

  • ;;;;;;;;Salces, A.J.
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2006
  • The data were collected in the dairy herd improvement program from January 2000 to July 2005. Test data included 825,157 records of first parity and animals with both parents known were included. This study aimed to describe the effect of incomplete lactation records of latest generation to the change in sire's breeding value using Random Regression model (RRM) in genetic evaluation. Estimation of genetic parameter and breeding value for sire used REMLF90 and BLUPF90 program. The phenotypic value on the number of test day records between group TD11, TD8, TD5, TD2 showed no large differences. For all the group heritability of test day milk yield range from 0.30 to 0.36. However TD2 group showed low heritability the least test day recode on the latest generation. The correlation of above 50% between test day and TD11(0.610), TD8(0.616), TD5(0.661) and TD2(0.682) with different records in latest generation. Sire's rank of breeding value varied widely depending on the records on the number of lactation from start to the latest generation. Study showed that change in breeding value ranked if daughter's test recode more so it should have at least 5 test day records. The use of RRM in dairy cattle genetic evaluation would be desirable if complete lactation records for latest generation daughters of young bulls when selection for proven bulls. Random Regression model (RRM) require at least 5 test-day lactation recode.

An Inquiry into the Triple Helix as a New Regional Innovation Model (새로운 지역혁신 모형으로서 트리플 힐릭스에 대한 이론적 고찰)

  • Lee, Chul-Woo;Lee, Jong-Ho;Park, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.335-353
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    • 2010
  • Following the emergence of a knowledge-based economy, the triple helix model has been recognized as a new - regional and national - innovation model. This model seeks to understand the innovation process that is centered upon the university-industry-government interactions. The governance of the triple helix innovation system can be divided into three models according to the structure and depth of university-industry-government interactions. In the context of evolution, the triple helix can be established through the following three processes of development; i) internal transformation of each helix, ii) impacts of one helix on another helix, and iii) horizontal interactions among three helices. In theory, the triple helix model can be covered as part of the innovation system perspective. Compared to the innovation system perspective, the triple helix model tends to pay, however, more attention to the incompleteness of innovation system and the role of university in the process of knowledge creation. In view of regional innovation, the triple helix can be sustained when the triple helix spaces, including knowledge space, consensus space and innovation space, are created and the three triple helix spaces interact with one another. The existing literature on the triple helix model tends to make selectively use of only a single method between the qualitative method and the quantitative method, although both have shortcomings to reveal the dynamic characteristics of university-industry-government relations. Therefore, research on the triple helix is required to reconcile with two research methods, which are distinct but complementary in nature.

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Drainage Network Analysis System for Estuarine Urban Areas (하구부 도시유역 배수위 해석 시스템)

  • Ahn, Byung-Chan;Ahn, Sang-Dae;Kim, Won-Il;Ahn, Won-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.129-135
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    • 2008
  • USWMM was developed as a drainage analysis system for estuarine urban areas by adding sluice gates on existing EPA SWMM5 through this study. For the purpose of reviewing, Ansungchon river was modeled with USWMM and calibration and verification were attempted at three observation stations. In comparison, another approach using HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS was applied to the area under the same condition. It turned out that USWMM resulting values were closer to the observed values than those of the HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS approach. USWMM's flow simulation through sluices were more realistic to sluice operation fields by adding incomplete submerged orifice flow equation and maintenance water level. In sum, USWMM can be seen as a general purpose tool for estuarine urban drainage analysis system.

Hydraulic Characteristic Analysis of Final Closing considering Non-Darcy Flow (Non-Darcy 흐름특성을 고려한 최종체절 수리특성분석)

  • Choi, Hung-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.8
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    • pp.613-622
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    • 2004
  • The simulation results of final closing by the developed model considering the flows through tide embankment of non-Darcy and through sluice gate agree well to the observed data which shows the model applicability. In comparative analysis with observed data, the simulation results by Homma(1958) are more accurate than those by Na(1987). The free flow equation with discharge coefficient, regardless of free or submerged flows, by Na based on the submergence ratio is applicable to the engineering practices. Because two simulated discharges are greater than the actual one, the correction of discharge coefficients reflecting the irregular section of actual closing gap situation is necessary. In the hydraulic analysis of final closing, the flow through tide embankment has been generally analysed by Darcy. Hydraulic analysis by the correct discharge through tide embankment of non-Darcy flow is necessary, because the ratio between flows through tide embankment and closing gap is relatively great at final closing.

Analysis of runoff characteristics in subwatershed under climate change (기후변화에 따른 소유역 유출특성 분석)

  • Kwak, Jihye;Hwang, Soonho;Jun, Sang Min;Choi, Soon Kun;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.324-324
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    • 2020
  • 기후변화에 따른 기상 요소별 추세 변화는 유역유출량의 변동성을 증가시켜 안정적인 수자원 확보 및 홍수 대비에 어려움을 줄 수 있다. 따라서 기후변화에 따른 유역 유출량 변화를 평가하기 위한 많은 연구가 이루어져 왔다. 기존에는 기후변화 자료의 공간적 해상도의 한계로 인해 중대유역을 중심으로 연구가 다수 이루어져 왔으나, 최근 들어, 기후변화 자료의 공간적 상세화 기법이 발달함에 따라 소유역별 유역 유출량 평가에 관한 연구가 증가하고 있다. 특히, 소유역의 경우 유역 특성에 따라 기후변화에 따른 유출량 변화 민감도가 높을 수 있으며, 유출 성분별 변화가 상이할 수 있다. 하지만 기존의 연구에서는 소유역을 대상으로 기후변화에 따른 유출 성분별, 예를 들어 직접유출량과 기저유출량을 구분하여 변화를 평가하는 연구가 부족한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 소유역의 유출 성분별 특성을 분석하기 위하여, RCP 4.5, 8.5 시나리오별 기후모델 10개에 대하여 모의한 유출량을 직접유출량과 기저유출량으로 구분하고 결과를 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구의 대상지역은 유역면적이 112.9 ㎢이며, 토지이용이 단순하고, 농경지의 비율(약 50%)이 높은 농업 소유역을 대상으로 하였다. 유출량을 모의하기 위한 모형으로는 농업 소유역 유출량 모의 연구에 다수 사용된 바 있는 SWAT 모형을 이용하였으며, 직접유출량과 기저유출량의 분리는 Recursive Digital Filter 방법을 이용하였다. 기후변화 자료는 기후모델의 연산능력의 한계나 복잡한 자연조건의 불완전한 반영 등의 이유로 지역 기후변화 예측 과정에서 발생하는 불확실성을 지니고 있으므로 RCP 4.5, 8.5 시나리오별 각각 10개 기후모델의 결과를 이용하여 유출 특성 분석에 활용하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 소유역의 미래 유량특성을 파악하기 위한 기초 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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RCGA-Based State Feedback Control for Seesaw Systems (시소 시스템을 위한 RCGA 기반의 상태피드백 제어)

  • Ryu, Ki-Tak;So, Myung-Ok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2007.12a
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    • pp.307-308
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    • 2007
  • In general, most physical systems are complex, highly non-linearity, affected by disturbance, incomplete knowledge, and even interactive change with the operating points. To solve this problem, the research of modem control theory and controller is proceeding. Before appling the proposed controller to the real system, however, it needs an apparatus which can verify the proposed controller for being not damaged the plant. In this paper, therefore, a RCGA-based PI-type state feedback controller using reduced-order observer is implemented and applied to the seesaw system and a series of simulation are carried out to verify the effectiveness of the control system.

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Effects of Additional Constraints on Performance of Portfolio Selection Models with Incomplete Information : Case Study of Group Stocks in the Korean Stock Market (불완전 정보 하에서 추가적인 제약조건들이 포트폴리오 선정 모형의 성과에 미치는 영향 : 한국 주식시장의 그룹주 사례들을 중심으로)

  • Park, Kyungchan;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.15-33
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    • 2015
  • Under complete information, introducing additional constraints to a portfolio will have a negative impact on performance. However, real-life investments inevitably involve use of error-prone estimations, such as expected stock returns. In addition to the reality of incomplete data, investments of most Korean domestic equity funds are regulated externally by the government, as well as internally, resulting in limited maximum investment allocation to single stocks and risk free assets. This paper presents an investment framework, which takes such real-life situations into account, based on a newly developed portfolio selection model considering realistic constraints under incomplete information. Additionally, we examined the effects of additional constraints on portfolio's performance under incomplete information, taking the well-known Samsung and SK group stocks as performance benchmarks during the period beginning from the launch of each commercial fund, 2005 and 2007 respectively, up to 2013. The empirical study shows that an investment model, built under incomplete information with additional constraints, outperformed a model built without any constraints, and benchmarks, in terms of rate of return, standard deviation of returns, and Sharpe ratio.

The Convergence Study of the Cinematic Gaze Represented in Seojong MA-Residence (서종 MA주택에 구현된 영화적 시선에 대한 융합적 연구)

  • Moon, Guen-Jong
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.9
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    • pp.293-300
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the various cinematic gaze and its realization through Seojong MA-Residence in Yangpyeong-gun, completed in 2016. This paper will focus on what kinds of cinematic concepts and design ideas were selected and considered in the stage of concept design, then how the site plan, floor plan, elevation and section design were developed in the stage of schematic design, and finally how much of the design intentions were successfully realized to the residential building. Architectural sketches, physical models and drawings at the concept & schematic design stage were reviewed. After the construction, some important issues were successfully realized such as interesting cinematic views to outside, visual openness and inflow of sunlight.

Evolution of the National Pension Scheme in Korea: Uniqueness and Sustainability of the Korean Model (국민연금제도 전개의 한국적 특징과 지속가능성)

  • Kim, Yong-Hha;Seok, Jae-Eun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.37
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    • pp.89-118
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    • 1999
  • The goal of this paper is to define the distinguishing characteristics of Korea's National Pension Scheme compared to the National Pension types of other countries and sees if those characteristics are significant enough in order to warrant calling these the "Korean Model". Also, another point to consider is, if this "Korean Model" does indeed exist, whether it is a 'sustainable' model or not. The National Pension Scheme, which was implemented in 1988, is similar to the public pension system formerly used in Japan. The National Pension Scheme broke away from this 'Japanese Model' in 1995 with implementation of the Farmers and Fishermen Pension, and the unique "Korean Model National Pension" was completed in 1998 with revision of the National Pension Law. The characteristics of the Korean National Pension can be defined as being balanced equally on ability and equality, possessing strong intergenerational income redistribution, having a nationally integrated structure, an incomplete funded method financial neutralism of the government and also as being a Monroe-oriented pension system. There are several limits to the sustainable development of this Korean Model National Pension, though. Even though the precondition of "the income determination problem of self-employed persons", which has strong intra-generational income redistribution. in actuality there are still many policy issues to be confronted such as the structure which 'transfers the burden to the future generation', the 'inter-generational inequity' of the incomplete funded system, persons excluded from coverage under the national integrated structure, 'compulsory loaning of the public sector by the National Pension Fund' under the government's principle of finance neutralism, the separate existence of the 'Monroe-oriented National Pension' from other pensions, etc.,. Therefore, it need to reform of NPS once again to sustainable development of KMNP.

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