• Korea journal of population studies
• /
• v.29 no.1
• /
• pp.209-239
• /
• 2006

본 연구는 총부양비를 최소화하는 적정인구성장률을 인구학적 부양비와 경제적 부양비로 나누어 계산하구 그것이 무엇을 의미하가를 연구하는 것이 목적이다. 이 연구를 위하여 연구모형을 제시하고, 합계출산율과 적정인구성장률의 관계를 명시하며, 그것이 궁극적으로 적정인구 규모에 어떤 의미를 갖는가를 탐색한다. 인구학적 부양비를 최소화하는 인구성장률은 $-0.03%{\sim}0.15%$의 범위에 있으며, 그것은 합계 출산율로는 $2.1{\sim}2.2$명에 해당한다. 경제적 부양비를 최소화하는 인구성장률은 유년층과 노년층의 상대적 개인 소비비중에 따라 인구성장률과 그것이 함의하는 합계출산율은 달라진다. 예컨대, $u_1:u_3=2:1$일 때 적정인구성장률은 $-1.17{\sim}-0.93%$, 그것이 함의하는 합계출산율은 $1.5{\sim}1.6$명이다. 한편 유년층 대비 노년층의 상대적 소비비중이 증가하는 경우에는 적정인구성장율이 높아져야 한다. 예컨대 $u_1:u_2=1:1.2$일 때 적정인구성장률은 $0.42{\sim}0.45%$이고, 그것이 함의하는 합계출산율은 $2.3{\sim}2.4$명이다. 본 연구에서 적정인구추계를 위한 기초 여론조사에 따라 진행된 상대적 소비비중을 계산한 결과에 따르면, 유년층과 노년층의 상대적 개인 소비비중은 $u_1:u_2=1.25:1$이며, 이에 따른 현재의 상황에서 한국의 적정출산율은 $1.9{\sim}2.0$명 수준으로, 이에 해당하는 적정인구성장률은 대략 약간의 네거티브 성장을 하는 경우라고 할 수 있을 것이다.

• Journal of Teachers' Pension
• /
• v.4
• /
• pp.303-335
• /
• 2019

본 연구는 사학연금기금의 재정건전성 강화를 위한 한 방편으로 연금액 조정방식의 개선과 그 재정효과를 분석한다. 매년 수급자의 연금액 조정에 사용되는 물가상승률에 부양률의 증가를 반영하여 적용할 물가상승률의 폭을 다소 낮추는 것이다. 분석결과 이러한 연금액 조정방식의 변경은 연금기금의 고갈의 막을 수 있는 근본적인 대책이 될 수 없음이 확인된다. 그러나 세대간의 부양을 기반으로 운영되는 사학연금의 경우 그간의 개혁이 후세대의 더 큰 고통 감내를 요구했던 바, 본 연구는 수익비의 분석을 통해 향후 재정안정화를 위한 조치는 세대간의 형평성을 제고하기 위한 노력이 포함되어야 함을 주장한다.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
• /
• v.23 no.2
• /
• pp.143-170
• /
• 2006

We explore how stock returns and volatility have been impacted by securities market stimulating and controlling plans during the 1980-2004 period, using return analysis, event study, and BFL tests. First, we examine effectiveness of the stimulating plans for a depressed market and the controlling plans for an overheated market with respect to different firm sizes and industries as well as the whole market. KOSPI, large-sized, finance, and manufacturing company stock prices significantly rise following stimulating plans, implying that the plans are quite effective. Controlling plans also seem effective as stock prices stop rising and tend to decline following the plans. Second, we test whether securities market plans have any further impact with respect to fun sizes and industries in addition to the impact on the entire market. Only large-sized stocks show additional response to stimulating plans, while small-sized, electrical-electronic equipment, distribution, and manufacturing industries are further impacted by controlling plans. Third, the results of BFL tests show that volatility does not change around the announcement dates of stimulating and controlling plans. It appears that securities market plans have no impact on volatility. Only stock returns respond to the plans.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
• /
• v.19 no.2
• /
• pp.61-69
• /
• 2021

The military pension deficit is increasing due to an increase in the average life expectancy and pension option rate, and a significant reason for this is estimated to be a continued increase in the number of military pension recipients. In terms of the soundness of military pension finances, this paper uses the Markov chain model to validate the stability of the military group, suggesting the direction of future military pension system in terms of the ratio of pension receipts to employees, and verifying the feasibility of the method applied through verification. Through this paper, we have confirmed that the initial 45,270 military personnel converge to 43,141 after a certain period of time and reach a stable state, which is expected to help us to estimate the long term size of military pension recipients to confirm the direction of national financial support. Military man who are eligible for pensions for more than 20 years have a relatively low rate of turnover or retirement compared to ordinary private groups, making it easier to define their status and simplify state transition probabilities. Therefore, it is expected that the sustainability of the military pension will be confirmed from a long term perspective by viewing the military group as a system and applying it to the Markov chain model by checking the probability of transfer of status such as promotion, maintaining the current grade, and retirement during the period.

• 한국노년학
• /
• v.29 no.3
• /
• pp.851-865
• /
• 2009

The purpose of this study is to explore Women University students' supporting awareness, knowledge and attitude toward the elderly. After obtaining the participants' consent form, survey was performed with structured questionnaire about characteristics, supporting awareness, knowledge and attitude toward the elderly. Collected data were analyzed with SPSS 13.0 program, which was used for frequency, percentage, mean, standard deviation, t-test, ANOVA and Pearson correlation coefficients. The result of this study were as follows. 1) Supporting awareness of participants was 115.50±13.19. Participants' knowledge was 10.21±2.90 and attitude was 84.19±12.19. 2) More knowledge and more positive attitude toward elderly were significant related to higher supporting awareness. 3) Supporting awareness of participants was significantly different by religion, monthly pocket money, religious service, supporting parents in the future, living with parents-in-law, though of ideal support system, father-grandmother(paternal) relationship, mother-grandfather(paternal) relationship, mother-grandmother(paternal) relationship and mother-grandfather(maternal). The finding of this study gives useful information for developing an educational management program for women.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
• /
• v.13 no.6
• /
• pp.236-245
• /
• 2013

This study analyzed the relationship between elderly suicide rates and socio-economic factors from the macroscopic perspectives. As certain theoretical background of elderly suicide, sociological and economic perspectives are applied. The economic factors of elderly suicide rates consisted of economic growth and unemployment rate, economic activity rate of the aged, and relative poverty rate (income inequality rate). The sociological factors included social welfare spending, divorce rate, growth rate of population aging, and elderly dependency ratio. According to research findings, first, the more economic activity of the aged is low, the more elderly suicide rate is high. Second, the more social welfare spending rate goes flat, the more elderly suicide rate is growing. Third, the more relative poverty rate (income inequality), increasing population aging rate, and elderly dependency ratio are high, elderly suicide rate goes high at the same time. Finally, this study proposed several socio-economic policy alternatives for preventing continuous growth of Korean elderly suicide rate.

• Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
• /
• v.23 no.3
• /
• pp.409-449
• /
• 2017

The main purpose of this research is to investigate the qualitative nature of Korean adolescents and their parent's perception of elderly parents care. In addition, this research exams the quantitative differences between the two generations in term of their elderly parents care self-efficacy and attitude towards caring for their elderly parents. Further, an examination of the parental influence upon their children's elderly parents care self-efficacy and attitude towards caring for their elderly parents. There were 2,460 participants in this study, with 820 adolescents, and 820 fathers and 820 mothers. The results of the study were as follows: First, in terms the participants perceptions of "the most difficult aspect of caring for elderly parents", the most representative response for adolescents was financial difficulties, while for parents differences in opinions. When it came to "the best aspect of caring for elderly parents" the most representative response for adolescents was harmonious family, while for parents good for children's upbringing. When it came to "actual acts (behavior) of elderly parents care" the most representative response for adolescents was living together with their elderly parents, while for parents looking after their elderly parents. When it came to "the best method of caring for their elderly parents" the most representative response for both adolescents and parents was providing a peace-of-mind for their elderly parents, followed by the second most frequent response of adolescents living together with their elderly parents, and for parents talking with their elderly parents. When it came to "how one feels when not caring for their elderly parents" the most representative response for both groups was a feeling of indebtedness. Second, for the quantitative analyses of the differences between the two generations, the parents showed a lower level of elderly parents care self-efficacy and a higher level of negative attitude towards caring for their elderly parents, when compared to the adolescents. Third, for the parental influence upon the adolescents' elderly parents care self-efficacy and attitude towards caring for their elderly parents, the only significant influence found was the mothers' elderly parents care self-efficacy.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
• /
• v.14 no.2
• /
• pp.137-144
• /
• 2010

Up to now, common studies of top base have concentrated upon bearing capacity and settlement by in-situ loading test in Japan and Korea. But most of all preceding study for top base must analyze how to deliver overburden loading on bottom of foundation. Therefore, in this study, the stress delivery mechanism of Top-Base Foundation developed in Japan and Floating Top Base developed in Korea is investigated through numerical analysis and laboratory model test. Analyzing the load delivery mechanism of top base, it was found that the division rate of load reduction of top base for overburden load was largest in peripheral skin friction between the top base and the crushed stone. Further, total stress dispersion angle of Top-Base Foundation including internal stress dispersion effect of top base was $41.8^{\circ}$ and total stress dispersion angle of Floating Top Base was $44.5^{\circ}$.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.16 no.4
• /
• pp.557-572
• /
• 2009

This article examines the financial soundness of the government employee pension system(GEPS). We use a model that simplifies the existing GEPS considering survival probability distribution of the life of employees. Two approaches were selected for the research: One is the expected net value of pension for an individual employee and the other is the default probability of the system from Monte-carlo simulation. The outcome reveals following three possibilities. First of all, the individual expected net value presents unfairness between the retiree's premium and the benefit he/she receives. Secondly, the Monte-carlo simulation suggests that the default is highly likely to happen in less than 30 years. Thirdly, the governmental reserve and subsidy for GEPS should be required to a certain degree in order to alleviate the probability of default less than 5 percent for the next 30 years.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
• /
• 2006.11a
• /
• pp.665-668
• /
• 2006

After foreign exchange trouble, Korean government became effective an economy-invigorating policy that to raise the housing demand and transaction. In result, the rate economic growth kept up a high growth rate and the market recovered. But an economy-invigorating policy of continuance caused an excessive boom of housing market in the second half of 2001. Therefore Korean government enforced a speculation-restraint policy. But it caused a instability of economics. This study is to analyze the effect between the housing policy and the housing cost and is to apply the basis data of the next housing policy.