• Title/Summary/Keyword: 변수추정법

Search Result 589, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Rainfall Analysis using Spatial Data Analysis Technique (공간분석기법에 의한 강우분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Joon-Hak;Jung, Young-Hun;Oh, Kyoung-Doo;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2010.05a
    • /
    • pp.1520-1524
    • /
    • 2010
  • 지상에 설치된 우량관측소를 통해서 자료가 수집되는 강우자료는 공간적으로 분포하고 있는 공간자료(spatial data)이며, 지점자료(point data)이다. 공간자료(spatial data)는 공간적으로 분포되지 않는 일반 데이터와는 다른 속성을 가지고 있으며 공간적인 위치가 데이터 발생의 중요한 변수로 적용될 수 있고, 인접 데이터와의 상관관계가 고려되어야 한다. 본 연구는 공간분석기법을 이용하여 보다 효과적인 강우분석을 하기 위한 것으로서, 우리나라 총 679개 우량관측소의 2008년 강우자료를 바탕으로 티센(Thiessen) 기법, IDW(Inverse Distance Weighted), 스플라인(Spline) 등과 공간통계학적 방법인 크리깅(Kriging)을 이용하여 주요 유역별 면적 강우량 산정 및 미계측 지역의 강우량 추정을 모의하였다. 본 연구결과 유역별 면적강우량 추정시 티센 및 경향면 분석법, Natural Neighbor 방법은 일부 과다 추정되는 것으로 나타났고, IDW, RBF, 크리깅의 방법은 큰 차이를 보이지 않았으나, 미계측 지역의 강우량 추정에는 일반크리깅의 정확도가 비교적 높은 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

A study on selection of tensor spline models (텐서 스플라인 모형 선택에 관한 연구)

  • 구자용
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.181-192
    • /
    • 1992
  • We consider the estimation of the regression surface in generalized linear models based on tensor-product B-splines in a data-dependent way. Our approach is to use maximum likelihood method to estimate the regression function by a function from a space of tensor-product B-splines that have a finite number of knots and are linear in the tails. The knots are placed at selected order statistics of each coordinate of the sample data. The number of knots is determined by minimizing a variant of AIC. A numerical example is used to illustrate the performance of the tensor spline estimates.

  • PDF

Categorical Variable Selection in Naïve Bayes Classification (단순 베이즈 분류에서의 범주형 변수의 선택)

  • Kim, Min-Sun;Choi, Hosik;Park, Changyi
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.28 no.3
    • /
    • pp.407-415
    • /
    • 2015
  • $Na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayes Classification is based on input variables that are a conditionally independent given output variable. The $Na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayes assumption is unrealistic but simplifies the problem of high dimensional joint probability estimation into a series of univariate probability estimations. Thus $Na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayes classier is often adopted in the analysis of massive data sets such as in spam e-mail filtering and recommendation systems. In this paper, we propose a variable selection method based on ${\chi}^2$ statistic on input and output variables. The proposed method retains the simplicity of $Na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayes classier in terms of data processing and computation; however, it can select relevant variables. It is expected that our method can be useful in classification problems for ultra-high dimensional or big data such as the classification of diseases based on single nucleotide polymorphisms(SNPs).

Determination of Optimal Accelerometer Locations for Bridges using Frequency-Domain Hankel Matrix (주파수영역 Hankel matrix를 사용한 교량의 가속도센서 최적위치 결정)

  • Kang, Sungheon;Shin, Soobong
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.27-34
    • /
    • 2016
  • A new algorithm for determining optimal accelerometer locations is proposed by using a frequency-domain Hankel matrix which is much simpler to construct than a time-domain Hankel matrix. The algorithm was examined through simulation studies by comparing the outcomes with those from other available methods. To compare and analyze the results from different methods, a dynamic analysis was carried out under seismic excitation and acceleration data were obtained at the selected optimal sensor locations. Vibrational amplitudes at the selected sensor locations were determined and those of all the other degrees of freedom were determined by using a spline function. MAC index of each method was calculated and compared to look at which method could determine more effective locations of accelerometers. The proposed frequency-domain Hankel matrix could determine reasonable selection of accelerometer locations compared with the others.

Modeling and Parameter Estimation of an Electrohydraulic Servo System by the Least Square Method (최소자승법에 의한 전기유압식 서보시스템의 모델링 및 파라미터 평가)

  • Roh, Hyoung-Woo;Song, Chang-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
    • /
    • v.17 no.10
    • /
    • pp.125-131
    • /
    • 2000
  • By using the test of signal error, model structure of an electrohydraulic servo system is determined. For determining parameter of the electrohydraulic servo system, using time discrete model of parametric method, parameters in time discrete model are searched by the least square method. By bilinear transform, we have found the model of electrohydraulic servo system in s domain. Afterwards, we have compared experimental data with simulation data by MATLAB having the identified parameter. As the result, experimental data is agreed with simulation data very well.

  • PDF

Natural Frequencies of Simply Supported Tapered Beams (단순지지된 변단면 보의 고유진동수)

  • 김준희;김순철;이수곤
    • Journal of KSNVE
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.607-612
    • /
    • 1999
  • Natural frequencies of non-symmetrically tapered beams with simply supported ends were determined by solving the frequency equations. In the case of symmetrically tapered beams. the finite element method was adopted for frequency computation. Computed frequencies of tapered beams were expressed as functions of taper ratio. a. and sectional properties. ( m, n).

  • PDF

Modeling and Parameter estimation of Antilock Braking System (최소자승법에 의한 ABS(Antilock Braking System)의 모델링 및 파라미터 평가)

  • Song, Chang-Sub;Rho, Hyoung-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.87-92
    • /
    • 2002
  • By using the signal error test, model structure of total antilock braking system consisting of electromagnetic system and hydraulic system is determined as 9th order system. For determining parameters of the ABS, using time discrete model of parametric method, parameters in time discrete model are searched by least square method. By bilinear transform, we have found the model of ABS in s domain. Afterward, experimental output data is compared with simulated output data by MATLAB haying identified parameter. As the result, experimental data is agreed with simulated data very well.

Modeling and Parameter Estimation of Solenoid Valve in Automatic Transmission by the Least Square Method (최소자승법에 의한 A/T용 솔레노이드 밸브의 모델링 및 파라미터 평가)

  • 노형우;박상훈;송창섭
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
    • /
    • v.20 no.10
    • /
    • pp.98-104
    • /
    • 2003
  • Model structure of solenoid valve in the automatic transmission is determined as 5th order system by the signal error test. For determining parameter of the solenoid valve, parameters in time discrete model are searched by the least square method. By bilinear transform, we have found the model of solenoid valve in s domain. Afterward, experimental output data is compared with simulated output data by MATLAB having identified parameter. As the result, experimental data is agreed with simulated data very well.

Frequency Analysis of Rainfall Data Using Advanced GEV Distribution (개선된 GEV 분포를 이용한 강우량 빈도분석)

  • Lee, Kil-Seong;Kang, Won-Gu;Park, Kyung-Shin;Sung, Jin-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.1321-1326
    • /
    • 2009
  • 강우는 수자원 확보 측면에서 근원이 되는 요소이다. 그러므로 정확한 확률강우량 산정은 미래의 가용 수자원량을 예측하는데 있어 중요한 사항중 하나이며 무엇보다 신중한 결정이 요구된다. 또한 하천의 범람에 의한 침수를 예방하는 수공구조물 등의 설계에 있어서는 신뢰할 수 있는 확률강우량 산정이 선행되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 최근 우리나라 극치강우확률분포로서 많은 연구가 이루어지고 있는 GEV 분포(GEV-O)를 기반으로 위치 매개변수에 시간의 함수를 고려한 개선된 GEV 분포(GEV-A)를 이용하여 서울지점에 적용함으로서 GEV-O 분포에 의한 확률강우량과 GEV-A 분포로 산정된 확률강우량을 비교 검토하였다. 먼저 임의의 난수 발생을 통해 최우도추정법과 확률가중모멘트법으로 매개변수를 추정한 GEV-O 분포와 최우도추정법으로 매개변수를 추정한 GEV-A 분포의 상대평균제곱근오차 (R-RMSE)를 계산하여 비교함으로서 GEV-A 분포의 효율성을 판단하였다. 사례연구는 1961년부터 2008년까지 서울강우관측소에서 측정된 연최대 1일 강우량으로 하였으며 $X^2$-검정, PPCC-검정으로 적합도 검정을 실시하였다. 강우빈도분석 결과 GEV-A 분포가 GEV-O 분포로 산정된 결과 보다 대체로 재현기간 200년 이상일 경우, 과다 산정되는 경향을 보였다. 추후 개선된 GEV 분포를 서울 인근 지점에 적용함으로서 지역빈도해석(Regional Frequency Analysis)을 실행하기 위한 연구가 진행되어야 할 것이다. 또한 확률홍수량 산정 등에도 개선된 GEV 분포를 이용함으로서 보다 정확하고 신뢰성 있는 확률수문량을 예측하여야 할 것이다.

  • PDF

A Study on the Minimum Production Cost of Welded Built-up Beams (용접 조립보의 최소 생산 비용에 관한 연구)

  • Chang-Doo Jang;Seung-Il Seo
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
    • /
    • v.31 no.3
    • /
    • pp.154-164
    • /
    • 1994
  • In this study, to find an economical production method which yields welded built-up beams with high quality, simulation techniques and optimization method are used. At first, fabrication variables such as welding current, voltage and speed and heated depth and breadth are selected and fabrication cost of a built-up beam is expressed by these parameters, which is optimized under the constraints. As advanced studies, total production cost including the fabrication cost and the material cost of the beam is expressed by the fabrication and design variables, and optimized with the design constraints by the class rules. In addition, assuming that heating for straightening is impossible. the optimization method of multi-objective functions based on the weighting method is applied to obtain the compromised optimal solutions of the total production cost and the welding deformation.

  • PDF