• Title/Summary/Keyword: 변동시점

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Development of Quantity based Base Period Price Index(QBPPI) to calculate Construction Cost Index (건설공사비지수의 산정을 위한 수량기반 기준시점 가격지수의 개발)

  • Park, Sung-Chul;Koo, Kyo-Jin;Hyun, Chang-Taek
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2006
  • Indexes have played an important role as a economic indicator or performance indicator in many industries for a long time. In construction industry, indexes, or Construction Cost Index(CCI), have been used to compensate for the gap of time in Estimate Using the Historical Cost Data from Feb. 2004. CCI is composed of index formula and resources. Existing literatures had used Laspyeres Index as a index formula. And, Leontief table, the bills of quantities, and information of price surveyor were used as a resource. When applying Laspyeres formula and the resources to calculating the CCI, the problems such as double application of price fluctuation, calculating the incorrect weights, may be generated. This paper analyzed the existing economic relevant indexes as well as Laspyeres formula. Thus, feasibility of them was analyzed using three practical cases of apartments. And then, Quantity based Base Period Price Index(QBPPI) was developed to consider the characteristics of construction more accurately.

Reviews on the Conflicts Among Interest Groups in the Process of Railway Restructuring: Focusing on the ACF(Advocacy Coalition Framework) (철도구조개혁 과정에서의 이해집단간 갈등탐색에 관한 고찰: 옹호연합모형(ACF)을 중심으로)

  • LEE, Hyun-Jung;KIM, Jae-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.531-542
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    • 2015
  • The discussion about the structural reformation of Korean rail industry has been consistently conducted from the evaluation on Korean National Railroad's management in 1998, the foundation of KORAIL in 2005 to the approval of Suseo KTX corporation establishment in 2013 and the controversy over its privatization. This research explores the changes of government policies by applying to ACF in the assumption that those changes have been implemented due to the interaction of various external variables and main agents in policy which had existed for a long-term period that the rail industry's structural reformation has been practiced for more than 10 years. The unions failed to reach an agreement for the rail industry's structural reformation, the policies regarding the reformation have been led by superior political unions. And this research concludes that a mediator who can compromise unions' different policy preferences and means and bring up a compromised decision in conflicted situation plays a pivotal role to successfully practice these policies.

A study on early operation in pumping station of flood stage prediction using neural network (신경망을 이용한 수위예측에 따른 빗물펌프장 조기가동)

  • Song, Yang Ho;Park, Moo Jong;Lee, Jung Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.630-630
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    • 2015
  • 기존의 내배수시설에 대한 모의 및 시스템 운영과 관련하여 기존의 연구들은 강우의 설계빈도 및 제한적 호우 시나리오에 국한된 침수의 모의 및 대응에 기반을 하고 있다. 이러한 연구들의 경우 해석에 따른 모의결과에 기반하고 있기 때문에 도시지역에 실시간으로 발생하는 수문현상을 적절하게 반영하지 못하고 있으며, 이에 따른 내배수시설의 효율적 운영 및 침수발생 지점의 예측에 대한 불확실성이 크다고 볼 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 도시하천에서의 외수위 변화 예측에 따른 단기간 내 펌프 조기가동의 효과를 검토에 따른 향후 내수침수 위험성을 감소시키고자 한다. 인공신경망을 이용하여 보다 정확한 단기간 내 외수위 변동성에 대한 분석을 실시하였으며, 상하류 관측수위 기반 펌프 조기가동에 대한 운영 알고리즘을 개선하고자 한다. 이를 위해 최근 몇 년간의 하천의 홍수사상들 중 교차상관계수($R^2$) 값이 비교적 높은 다수의 수문 관측 사상들을 수집 및 적용이 필요하다고 판단되었으며 도림천 유역 내에 위치한 펌프장들에 대한 외수위 관측자료들을 수집하여 연구에 적용하였다. 인공신경망 구성을 위해 입력값으로는 상류지점의 관측 수위지점 자료를 지정하여 입력을 실시하였으며, 출력값으로는 하류단 수위지점 자료를 지정하여 수위 예측을 실시하였다. 다만 수위예측의 경우에 있어 수위를 가장 잘 대변할 수 있는 수위관측소를 선정하는 것이 매우 중요하다고 판단되었으며, 해당 연구에서는 주요 빗물펌프장들의 외수위 자료를 대표 적용하였다. 선정된 지점과 하류의 수위예측지점을 연계하여 운영할 경우 효율적인 수위 예측이 가능하기 때문이다. 결과적으로 수위관측소 지점이 빗물펌프장임을 감안하여 상류단 빗물펌프장의 유역특성이 반영된 유출특성 및 토출특성으로 인하여 하류의 수위 변동에 영향을 미치며 이는 펌프장의 방류수문 개폐시기 및 조기가동의 시점을 선정하는데 있어 밀접한 연관이 있다고 판단된다.

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Development of Longitudinal Algorithm to Improve Speed Control and Inter-vehicle Distance Control Acceptability (속도 제어와 차간거리 제어 수용성 개선을 위한 종방향 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, Jae-lee;Park, Man-bok
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2022
  • Driver acceptance of autonomous driving is very important. The autonomous driving longitudinal controller, which is one of the factors affecting acceptability, consists of a high-level controller and a low-level controller. The host controller decides the cruise control and the space control according to the situation and creates the required target speed. The sub-controller performs control by creating an acceleration signal to follow the target speed. In this paper, we propose an algorithm to improve the inter-vehicle distance fluctuations that occur in the cruise control and space control switching problems in the host controller. The proposed method is to add an approach algorithm to the cruise control at the time of switching from cruise control to space control so that it is switched to space control at the correct switching distance. Through this, the error was improved from 12m error to 4m, and actual vehicle verification was performed.

Industrial Path Changes in Shipbuilding Cities: Focusing on the Decline of the Shipbuilding Industry Since 2010s (조선업 특화 도시의 산업 경로 변화: 2010년대 이후 조선업 불황을 중심으로)

  • Byeungok Ko;Yangmi Koo
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.73-95
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the industrial structural changes and types of specialized in the shipbuilding cities, which are representative sectors of industrial city decline, and explore regional responses. Most cities designated as special areas for industrial crisis response in 2018 are specialized in shipbuilding. While the shift from prosperity to recession since the 2010s is the main factor, each city has responded differently to the industrial crisis. The analysis, targeting seven shipbuilding cities, shows that regions where large shipyards of major corporations with high industrial competitiveness are located have relatively less decline during business fluctuations, and there is a tendency for a decrease in industrial structural diversity during prosperous periods and an increase during recessionary periods. Based on the resistance and recoverability to industrial crises, the industrial paths of shipbuilding cities are classified into four types. Considering regional industrial structure and competitiveness, it is necessary to develop customized support strategies such as maintaining and declining shipbuilding industries and fostering new alternative industries.

Regional Characteristics of Global Warming: Linear Projection for the Timing of Unprecedented Climate (지구온난화의 지역적 특성: 전례 없는 기후 시기에 대한 선형 전망)

  • SHIN, HO-JEONG;JANG, CHAN JOO
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2016
  • Even if an external forcing that will drive a climate change is given uniformly over the globe, the corresponding climate change and the feedbacks by the climate system differ by region. Thus the detection of global warming signal has been made on a regional scale as well as on a global average against the internal variabilities and other noises involved in the climate change. The purpose of this study is to estimate a timing of unprecedented climate due to global warming and to analyze the regional differences in the estimated results. For this purpose, unlike previous studies that used climate simulation data, we used an observational dataset to estimate a magnitude of internal variability and a future temperature change. We calculated a linear trend in surface temperature using a historical temperature record from 1880 to 2014 and a magnitude of internal variability as the largest temperature displacement from the linear trend. A timing of unprecedented climate was defined as the first year when a predicted minimum temperature exceeds the maximum temperature record in a historical data and remains as such since then. Presumed that the linear trend and the maximum displacement will be maintained in the future, an unprecedented climate over the land would come within 200 years from now in the western area of Africa, the low latitudes including India and the southern part of Arabian Peninsula in Eurasia, the high latitudes including Greenland and the mid-western part of Canada in North America, the low latitudes including Amazon in South America, the areas surrounding the Ross Sea in Antarctica, and parts of East Asia including Korean Peninsula. On the other hand, an unprecedented climate would come later after 400 years in the high latitudes of Eurasia including the northern Europe, the middle and southern parts of North America including the U.S.A. and Mexico. For the ocean, an unprecedented climate would come within 200 years over the Indian Ocean, the middle latitudes of the North Atlantic and the South Atlantic, parts of the Southern Ocean, the Antarctic Ross Sea, and parts of the Arctic Sea. In the meantime, an unprecedented climate would come even after thousands of years over some other regions of ocean including the eastern tropical Pacific and the North Pacific middle latitudes where an internal variability is large. In summary, spatial pattern in timing of unprecedented climate are different for each continent. For the ocean, it is highly affected by large internal variability except for the high-latitude regions with a significant warming trend. As such, a timing of an unprecedented climate would not be uniform over the globe but considerably different by region. Our results suggest that it is necessary to consider an internal variability as well as a regional warming rate when planning a climate change mitigation and adaption policy.

Climate Change Impacts on Meteorological Drought and Flood (기후변화가 기상학적 가뭄과 홍수에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Dong-Ryul;Kim, Ung-Tae;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.315-328
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    • 2004
  • Recent increase of green house gases may increase the frequency of meteorological extremes. In this study, using the index and meteorological data generated by the Markov chain model under the condition of GCM predictions, the possible width of variability of flood and drought occurrences were predicted. As results, we could find that the frequency of both floods and droughts would be increased to make the water resources planning and management more difficult. Thus, it is recommended to include the effect of climate change on water resources in the related policy making.

Comparison of a Class of Nonlinear Time Series models (GARCH, IGARCH, EGARCH) (이분산성 시계열 모형(GARCH, IGARCH, EGARCH)들의 성능 비교)

  • Kim S.Y.;Lee Y.H.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we analyse the volatilities in financial data such as stock prices and exchange rates in term of a class of nonlinear time series models. We compare the performance of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscadastic(GARCH) , Integrated GARCH(IGARCH), Exponential GARCH(EGARCH) models by KOSPI (Korean stock Prices Index) data. The estimation for the parameters in the models was carried out by the ML methods.

Flywheel Energy Storage UPS with Voltage Compensation (플라이휠 저장 에너지를 이용한 무순단 전압보상 기능을 갖는 UPS)

  • Lee K. S.;Kim J. W.;Chun T. W.;Kim I. D.;Kim H. G.;Lee H. H.;Nho E. C.
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.241-247
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    • 2005
  • This paper deals with the operation of a flywheel energy storage UPS. The UPS has good features such as long life-time, improved efficiency, no environmental problems, reduced size and space, and low maintenance cost compared with the conventional UPS using battery. The operating principle of the UPS is analysed in each mode including voltage compensation as well as uninterruptible power supply. Especially, the tracking characteristic of the disturbed phase of the source voltage after outage is analysed. The usefulness of the system is proved through simulations and experiments.

A Method to reduce time of path planning optimization for AOI machines (AOI 검사기의 경로 계획 최척화 처리 시간 단축 방안)

  • Baek, Sunwoo
    • Annual Conference of KIPS
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    • 2016.10a
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    • pp.518-519
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    • 2016
  • AOI 검사기는 SMT 공정 상에서 PCB (printed Circuit Board) 상의 부품들을 카메라로 촬영하고 촬영된 영상을 2D 혹은 3D 형태의 이미지로 재구성하고 분석하여 이상 여무를 판단하는 장비다. 검사를 하고자 하는 PCB의 크기가 카메라가 촬영할 수 있는 영역 보다 큰 경우가 대부분이기 때문에 PCB 상에 마운트 되어 있는 부품들을 모두 촬영하기 위해서는 여러 차례 나누어 촬영해야 할 필요가 있으며 이 때문에 PCB 상에 촬영해야 하는 부품들을 가능한 FOV에 많이 포함될 수 있도록 여러 FOV 영역으로 나누고 이렇게 나누어진 FOV 영역들을 최적의 경로로 이동하며 촬영할 수 있도록 하기 위한 알고리즘이 필요하다. 기존 논문들은 대부분 이 문제를 해결하기 위한 알고리즘에 대해 다루어 왔다. 일반적으로 생산이 진행되는 시점에서는 검사해야 할 PCB에 대한 정보 (PCB의 크기, 부품의 위치, 크기, 종류 등)는 이미 정해져 있기 때문에 경로 계획 최적화 수행은 PCB 정보에 변동이 없다면 한차례만 하면 된다. 하지만 검사를 할 수 있도록 Teaching 하는 단계에서는 PCB 정보가 지속적으로 변경될 수 있으며 이에 따라 최적화를 여러 차례 수행해야 할 필요성이 있다. 최적화를 위한 처리 시간은 부품의 개수, PCB 상에서의 분포정도등에 따라 증가하기 때문에 PCB 정보가 변경될 때 마다 최적화를 수행하게 되면 비효율적으로 처리 시간이 증가하게 된다. 본 논문에서는 이 문제에 대해 연구하고 해결책을 제시하였다.