• Title/Summary/Keyword: 변동시점

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Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Nighttime Light Brightness of Seoul Metropolitan Area using VIIRS-DNB Data (VIIRS-DNB 데이터를 이용한 수도권 야간 빛 강도의 시·공간 패턴 분석)

  • Zhu, Lei;Cho, Daeheon;Lee, Soyoung
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.19-37
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    • 2017
  • Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite Day-Night Band (VIIRS-DNB) data provides a much higher capability for observing and quantifying nighttime light (NTL) brightness in comparison with Defense Meteorological Satellite-Operational Linescan System (DMSP-OLS) data. In South Korea, there is little research on the detection of NTL brightness change using VIIRS-DNB data. This study analyzed the spatial distribution and change of NTL brightness between 2013 and 2016 using VIIRS-DNB data, and detected its spatial relation with possible influencing factors using regression models. The intra-year seasonality of NTL brightness in 2016 was also studied by analyzing the deviation and change clusters, as well as the influencing factors. Results are as follows: 1) The higher value of NTL brightness in 2013 and 2016 is concentrated in Seoul and its surrounding cities, which positively correlated with population density and residential areas, economic land use, and other factors; 2) There is a decreasing trend of NTL brightness from 2013 to 2016, which is obvious in Seoul, with the change of population density and area of industrial buildings as the main influencing factors; 3) Areas in Seoul, and some surrounding areas have high deviation of the intra-year NTL brightness, and 71% of the total areas have their highest NTL brightness in January, February, October, November and December; and 4) Change of NTL brightness between summer and winter demonstrated a significantly positive relation with snow cover area change, and a slightly and significantly negative relation with albedo change.

새 천년의 주거생활 문화

  • 박선희
    • Proceedings of the SOHE Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.85-101
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    • 1999
  • 새천년에 대한 미래를 생각해보면 우리에게 회망과 동시에 웬지 모를 불안올 주기도 한다. 발전지향적으로 살아 온 우리 인간의 지혜로 말미암아 현대에 살고 있는 우리는 과 거 우리 조상 어느 시대 못지 않게 첨단 과학 기술의 혜택으로 물질적 풍요와 함께 사 상적으로도 신분계급이나 남녀문제나 이데올로기의 극심한 차별이 사라져가는 그야말 로 자유스러운 생활올 맛보고 있다. 그러나 한편으로는 이러한 혜택과 이익을 얻는 대 신 지나친 물질의 생산과 사용의 과다는 우리 환경을 파괴하고 나아가 정신적으로도 물질의 지배를 받게 되는 즉, 물질의 소유와 사용에 따른 삶과 사람의 평가가 횡행하 는 기이한 구조에 우리 자신도 모르는 사이에 말려 들어가 피폐된 정신환경의 진행을 우려하지 않올 수 없다. 누구든지 공감하는 이러한 부분이 아마도 다가올 21세기에 대 한 불안이 아닐까 생각한다. 우리의 주거생활도 반세기도 채 안되는 이 시점에 그동안 놀라운 변모를 거듭하여 비교적 선진국과 가까운 수준에 육박하고 있다. 그렇다면 지금 이 시점에서 다가올 주 생활에 대한 이야기는 잘못되어지는 불안을 막고 더 멋지고 쾌적한 주거환경올 창출하 여 주거의 질을 높히기 위한 선도적 쟁점이 되어야 할 것이다. 이러한 의미에서 본고 에서는 새천년의 주거생활문화에 대한 주제를 거시적이고 개념적인 정책적 내용보다는 생활과학의 한 맥락에서 미시적이고 구체적이며 실천지향적인 뜩변에서 나아가야 할 쟁점이 무엇인지를 함께 생각해 보고자 하며 학술 이론적 내용보다는 평이한 사례를 중심으로 함께 생각해 보고자 한다. 밝혀졌다. 그러나, 생산계획시스템에서 1주 간격으로 계획오더를 이송할 때는 Order Release 방법을 적용하여 작업현장에서의 평균 리드타임과 리드타임의 변동, 공정중재고가 줄어드는 결과를 보였고, 가동률 수준이 높을수록 ORR 방법간의 차이가 크게 나타났다. 그리고 부하평준화 기능은 Order Release 정책의 유효성에 별 영향을 주지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 결론적으로, Order Release 방법은 우선순위규칙간의 성능차이를 줄이거나, 대체할 수 통제 기법이라기보다는 우선순위규칙을 보완하여 공정중재고와 작업현장에서의 리드타임, 리드타임의 편차를 줄여주는 역할을 한다고 볼 수 있다. 그리고, 계획시스템이 존재하여 계획오더가 일정기간간격으로 이송되는 환경에서 특히 유용하다는 결론을 얻었다. 알 수 있었다. 것인데, 제조업에서의 심각한 고비용, 저효율 문제 를 해결하기 위해 필수적으로 도입해야만 하는 실정이다. 또한 소비자의 다양한 요구로 인 하여 제품의 종류와 사양면에서 심한 변동을 보이는 시장 수요에, 신속한 정보처리로 대응 하는데도 크게 기여하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는, 자동차 Job Shop의 동기화 생산방식을 지원하는 동기화 생산시스템의 구축 모델을 제시하고자 한다.과로 여겨지며, 또한 혈청중의 ALT, ALP 및 LDH활성을 유의성있게 감소시키므로서 감잎 phenolic compounds가 에탄올에 의한 간세포 손상에 대한 해독 및 보호작용이 있는 것으로 사료된다.반적으로 홍삼 제조시 내공의 발생은 제조공정에서 나타나는 경우가 많으며, 내백의 경

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Synchronization Phenomenon between Export Weight & Control Volume, Inland Cargo, Export Cargo, Ship Departure (수출중량과 관제탑관제량, 내항화물입항, 수출화물수송 그리고 선박출항과의 동조화현상)

  • Kim, Shin-Joong;Choi, Soo-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to look for the relationship between export weight and control volume, inland cargo, export cargo transport, ship departure. The analysis period were used for a total of 113 monthly data from January 2011 to May 2020. Data were retrieved from the Korean Statistical Information Service of the Statistics Korea. The data used in this study were performed numerical analysis, index analysis and model analysis using the rate of change from the same month of the previous year. In the trend of the increase rate, the amount of control has plummeted from 150% to 60% due to the influence of Corona 19 in the beginning of 2020. At the same time, export weight and export cargo transport also decreased. As a result of the analysis, export weight showed relatively high synchronization with export cargo transport and control volume. On the other hand, export weight and inland cargo showed relatively low synchronization. Export weight is expected to continue in 2020 after the fluctuation rate began to decrease after 2019. If we can find the point of rebound in control volume or export cargo transport in the future, we can predict the point of increase in export weight. We expect to see an increase in export weight as soon as possible.

Modelling The Population Dynamics of Laodelphax striatellus Fallén on Rice (벼에서 애멸구(Laodelphax striatellus Fallén) 개체군 밀도 변동 예측 모델 구축)

  • Kwon, Deok Ho;Jeong, In-Hong;Seo, Bo Yoon;Kim, Hey-Kyung;Park, Chang-Gyu
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.347-354
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    • 2019
  • Temperature-dependent traits of Laodelphax striatellus, rice stripe virus vector, were investigated at 10 constant temperatures (12.5, 15.0, 17.5, 20.0, 22.5, 25.0, 27.5, 30.0, 32.5, and 35.0 ± 1℃) under a fixed photoperiod (14/10-hr light/dark cycle). Unit functions for the oviposition model were estimated and implemented into a population dynamics model using DYMEX. The longevity of L. striatellus adults decreased with increasing temperature (56.0 days at 15.0℃ and 17.7 days at 35.0℃). The highest total fecundity (515.9 eggs/female) was observed at 22.5℃, while the lowest (18.6 eggs/female) was observed at 35.0℃. Adult developmental rates, temperature-dependent fecundity, age-specific mortality rates, and age-specific cumulative oviposition rates were estimated. All unit equations described adult performances of L. striatellus accurately (r2 =0.94~0.97). After inoculating adults, the constructed model was tested under pot and field conditions using the rice-plant hopper system. The model output and observed data were similar up to 30 days after inoculation; however, there were large discrepancies between observed and estimated population density after 30 days, especially for 1st and 2nd instar nymph densities. Model estimates were one or two nymphal stages faster than was observed. Further refinement of the model created in this study could provide realistic forecasting of this important rice pest.

증거금변경(證據金變更)이 시장활동(市場活動)에 미치는 영향(影響) - 금융선물시장(金融先物市場)을 중심(中心)으로 -

  • Jeong, Gi-Man
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.199-229
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    • 1993
  • 본 연구(硏究)는 선물거래의 선진국이라고 할 수 있는 미국(美國), 영국(英國), 일본(日本)등을 대상으로 선물계약(先物契約)의 증거금변경(證據金變更)이 시장활동(市場活動) 즉 거래량(去來量), 미결제포지션(open interest), 가격변동성(價格變動性)에 미치는 영향(影響)을 만기별(滿期別)로 구분하고 또한 시계열(時系列) 현상(現狀)을 제거한 후 비교분석(比較分析)함으로써 이러한 분석결과를 토대로 우리나라가 주가지수선물을 도입하는데 있어서 차후의 증거금관리(證據金管理)에 대한 하나의 정책적(政策的) 방향(方向)을 제시(提示)하고자 하였다. 연구결과(硏究結果)를 요약(要約)하면 증거금(證據金)은 시장활동(市場活動)인 거래량(去來量)과 선물계약(先物契約)의 수요(需要) 즉 미결제포지션에는 상당한 영향(影響)을 미치나 가격변동(價格變動)에 미치는 영향은 미약하며 그러한 효과는 비교적 단기적(短期的)인 것으로 밝혀졌다. 아울러 그러한 효과는 국가간(國家間) 및 상품간(商品間)에 큰 차이 없이 거의 공통적(共通的)인 현상(現狀)임이 밝혀졌다. 구체적으로 본 연구가 시사하는 바는 연구결과(硏究結果) 중 증거금변경(證據金變更)에 따른 미결제포지션의 움직임을 거래량(去來量)과 연관(聯關)시켜 생각해 볼 때 증거금인하시(證據金引下時) 단기에 거래량이 유의적으로 증가하면서 동시에 미결제포지션이 유의적으로 증가하는 것으로 보아 증가되는 많은 거래량은 선물시장 참여자들이 새로운 포지션을 취하기 때문인 것으로 보여진다. 이러한 사실은 거래소가 증거금인하(證據金引下)를 통하여 잠재적인 시장참여자들의 비용(費用)을 낮춤으로써 시장유동성(市場流動性) 제고(提高)를 유도하는 경우 이러한 시도는 단기적(短期的)으로는 어느 정도 효과(效果)를 거둘 수 있음을 시준(示晙) 한다. 또한 증거금변경이 가격변동성(價格變動性)에 미치는 영향은 크지 않은 것으로 밝혀져 일반적으로 선물거래소들이 취하고 있는 증거금정책으로써 가격변동성을 관리하기 위한 증거금(證據金) 운용정책(運用政策)은 적어도 단기에 있어서는 어느 정도 효과를 보나 그 효과는 크지 않은 것으로 판단된다. 이러한 사실들은 증거금변경이 이루어지는 시점이 일반적으로 시장활동(市場活動)의 변화(變化)가 나타나기 시작한 후 1개윌 이내에 이루어져 왔다는 사실을 고려한다면 많은 선물거래소들이 취하고 있는 증거금관리정책은 비교적 단기적인 효과를 위한 것이며 그러한 정책(政策)들은 나름대로 소기의 목적(目的)으로 달성하고 있는 것으로 보인다. 끝으로 증거금변경이 선물시장활동에 미치는 효과의 국가간(國家間)의 차이(差異)가 없고 또한 상품간(商品間)에도 사실상 차이(差異)가 없다는 사실은 앞으로 선물시장을 개설할 우리나라의 입장에서 볼 때 선물증거금(先物證據金) 운용(運用)에 관한 정책수립시(政策樹立時) 금융선진국(金融先進國)의 증거금(證據金) 정책운용(政策運用)을 통한 시장관리(市場管理) 경험(經驗)을 어느 정도 참고할 수 있음을 시사한다고 할 것이다.

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Comparison of Synchronization Phenomenon & the Changing Rate of the Charter Rates by major cities - Korea, Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Gwangju, Daejeon - (주요 도시별 전세가율의 동조화 현상과 변동률 비교 - 전국, 서울, 부산, 대구, 광주, 대전 -)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il;Lee, Ok-Dong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.197-204
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to find the direction by analyzing the synchronization phenomenon and the change rate of apartment charter rate in Korea, Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Gwangju and Daejeon. For this purpose, this study used a total of 239 monthly data from January 2000 to November 2019 in Kookmin Bank housing statistics. In the correlation analysis, Korea showed the highest relationship in order of Seoul, Busan, Incheon and Daegu. Seoul showed a low figure of 0.3 without any distinctive features from other cities. On the other hand, Busan, Daejeon and Daegu showed high correlations. As a result of the regression analysis, Korea and 5 major cities were all moving in the same direction with positive(+) values. And Busan and Seoul responded significantly to Korea. In the shock response, Korea is most shocked by the change in Seoul. Daegu is relatively shocked by Busan and Daejeon. Seoul's charter rate has declined most strongly in the last three years. Therefore, it is time to be careful not to incur losses due to gap investment. If we look at the relationship between the charter rate and the sale price in future studies, we can better understand the Korean apartment market.

Time-Varying Effects of Oil Shocks on the Korean Economy (한국경제에 미치는 유가충격의 시간-가변적 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Cha, Kyungsoo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.495-520
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    • 2018
  • Because of structural changes in the international oil market and the economy, it is widely recognized that the impact of oil shocks on the economy has weaken since the mid-1980s. This study tries to examine the validity of the recent perception about the relationship between oils shocks and the economy, estimating the time-varying effects of oil shocks on the Korean economy. The results show that the dynamic effects of oil shocks normalized to a one standard deviation has been relatively constant, in contrast to the recent perception and a number of existing studies. In addition, because the shape of impulse response functions at each point in time spanning from 1984:II to 2017:IV has not been changed significantly, it seems that the propagation mechanism of oil shocks also has not been substantially altered. These findings indicate that even though structural changes of the economy, such as the reduction in the share of oil consumption and the spread of high-efficiency energy technologies, have been rapidly progressed, it is not still enough to offset the negative effects of oil shocks. Rather, it seems that the recent perception about the shrinking effects of oil shocks is mainly due to the assumptions that do not reflect changes in the size of oil shocks. In particular, this problem appears more pronounced in the case of the typical a one standard deviation increase oil shock under homoskedasticity assumption, which is widely adopted in the most VAR analyses. Therefore, in estimating the effects of oil shocks on the economy, it is important to specify the correct model and normalization method, to reflect changes in the size of oil shocks.

A Study on Development of Bus Arrival Time Prediction Algorithm by using Travel Time Pattern Recognition (통행시간 패턴인식형 버스도착시간 예측 알고리즘 개발 연구)

  • Chang, Hyunho;Yoon, Byoungjo;Lee, Jinsoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.833-839
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    • 2019
  • Bus Information System (BIS) collects information related to the operation of buses and provides information to users through predictive algorithms. Method of predicting through recent information in same section reflects the traffic situation of the section, but cannot reflect the characteristics of the target line. The method of predicting the historical data at the same time zone is limited in forecasting peak time with high volatility of traffic flow. Therefore, we developed a pattern recognition bus arrival time prediction algorithm which could be overcome previous limitation. This method recognize the traffic pattern of target flow and select the most similar past traffic pattern. The results of this study were compared with the BIS arrival forecast information history of Seoul. RMSE of travel time between estimated and observed was approximately 35 seconds (40 seconds in BIS) at the off-peak time and 40 seconds (60 seconds in BIS) at the peak time. This means that there is data that can represent the current traffic situation in other time zones except for the same past time zone.

Visualization and Optimization of Construction Schedule Considering the Geological Conditions in the Complicated Underground Cavern (지하비축기지 건설시 지질조건을 고려한 건설공정의 가시화와 최적화 사례)

  • Choi, Yong-Kun;Park, Joon-Young;Lee, Sung-Am;Kim, Ho-Yeong;Lee, Hee-Suk;Lee, Seung-Cheol
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 2009
  • Underground storage cavern is known as the most complicated underground project because of the complexity of construction schedule, tunnel size, and geological problems. In order to optimize the construction schedule of underground storage cavern, two up-to-date technologies were applied. The first technology was 3 dimensional visualization of complicated underground structures, and the second was 4 dimensional simulation considering construction resources, geological conditions and construction schedule. This application case shows that we can achieve optimized construction schedule in the ways to optimize the number of work teams, fleets, the sequence of tunnel excavation, the commencement time of excavation and the hauling route of materials and excavated rocks. 3 dimensional modeling can help designer being able to understand the status of complicated underground structures and to investigate the geological data in the exact 3 dimensional space. Moreover, using 4 dimensional simulation, designer is able to determine the bottle neck point which appear during hauling of excavated rocks and to investigate the daily fluctuation in cost.

An Analysis for the Structural Variation in the Unemployment Rate and the Test for the Turning Point (실업률 변동구조의 분석과 전환점 진단)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Hwang, Sung-Hye;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.253-269
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    • 2005
  • One of the basic assumptions of the regression models is that the parameter vector does not vary across sample observations. If the parameter vector is not constant for all observations in the sample, the statistical model is changed and the usual least squares estimators do not yield unbiased, consistent and efficient estimates. This study investigates the regression model with some or all parameters vary across partitions of the whole sample data when the model permits different response coefficients during unusual time periods. Since the usual test for overall homogeneity of regressions across partitions of the sample data does not explicitly identify the break points between the partitions, the testing the equality between subsets of coefficients in two or more linear regressions is generalized and combined with the test procedure to search the break point. The method is applied to find the possibility and the turning point of the structural change in the long-run unemployment rate in the usual static framework by using the regression model. The relationships between the variables included in the model are reexamined in the dynamic framework by using Vector Autoregression.