• Title/Summary/Keyword: 베이지안 확률기법

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Development of a Product Risk Assessment System using Injury Information in Korea Consumer Agency (한국소비자원 위해정보를 활용한 제품 리스크 평가시스템 개발)

  • Suh, Jungdae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.181-190
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    • 2017
  • Recently, safety accidents of daily necessities such as humidifier disinfectant, mobile phones, and infant diapers, have occurred frequently. To protect consumers from these accidents, product safety management is required, and a product risk assessment tool is needed to evaluate the degree of safety of the product. In this paper, we have constructed RAS, which is a system that can evaluate product risk based on injury information of product accident in Korea Consumer Agency. RAS consists of an injury information analysis system for analyzing accident-related information and a risk assessment system for assessing risk using information derived from the system. The Bayesian network - based probabilistic method is applied to reflect the causal relationships that affect product risk in the risk assessment process. We used RAS to evaluate 33 children's products and compared them with the results of EU RAPEX RAG. Subsequent tasks include reducing the subjectivity of the input of the accident impact scale, and linking the above two systems.

Automatic Estimation of Threshold Values for Change Detection of Multi-temporal Remote Sensing Images (다중시기 원격탐사 화상의 변화탐지를 위한 임계치 자동 추정)

  • 박노욱;지광훈;이광재;권병두
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.465-478
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents two methods for automatic estimation of threshold values in unsupervised change detection of multi-temporal remote sensing images. The proposed methods consist of two analytical steps. The first step is to compute the parameters of a 3-component Gaussian mixture model from difference or ratio images. The second step is to determine a threshold value using Bayesian rule for minimum error. The first method which is an extended version of Bruzzone and Prieto' method (2000) is to apply an Expectation-Maximization algorithm for estimation of the parameters of the Gaussian mixture model. The second method is based on an iterative thresholding algorithm that successively employs thresholding and estimation of the model parameters. The effectiveness and applicability of the methods proposed here were illustrated by two experiments and one case study including the synthetic data sets and KOMPSAT-1 EOC images. The experiments demonstrate that the proposed methods can effectively estimate the model parameters and the threshold value determined shows the minimum overall error.

Application of Bayesian Probability Rule to the Combination of Spectral and Temporal Contextual Information in Land-cover Classification (토지 피복 분류에서 분광 영상정보와 시간 문맥 정보의 결합을 위한 베이지안 확률 규칙의 적용)

  • Lee, Sang-Won;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.445-455
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    • 2011
  • A probabilistic classification framework is presented that can combine temporal contextual information derived from an existing land-cover map in order to improve the classification accuracy of land-cover classes that can not be discriminated well when using spectral information only. The transition probability is computed by using the existing land-cover map and training data, and considered as a priori probability. By combining the a priori probability with conditional probability computed from spectral information via a Bayesian combination rule, the a posteriori probability is finally computed and then the final land-cover types are determined. The method presented in this paper can be adopted to any probabilistic classification algorithms in a simple way, compared with conventional classification methods that require heavy computational loads to incorporate the temporal contextual information. A case study for crop classification using time-series MODIS data sets is carried out to illustrate the applicability of the presented method. The classification accuracies of the land-cover classes, which showed lower classification accuracies when using only spectral information due to the low resolution MODIS data, were much improved by combining the temporal contextual information. It is expected that the presented probabilistic method would be useful both for updating the existing past land-cover maps, and for improving the classification accuracy.

Evolutionary Learning of Hypernetwork Classifiers Based on Sequential Bayesian Sampling for High-dimensional Data (고차 데이터 분류를 위한 순차적 베이지안 샘플링을 기반으로 한 하이퍼네트워크 모델의 진화적 학습 기법)

  • Ha, Jung-Woo;Kim, Soo-Jin;Zhang, Byoung-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2012.06b
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    • pp.336-338
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 고차 데이터 분류를 위해 순차적 베이지만 샘플링 기반의 진화연산 기법을 이용한 하이퍼네트워크 모델의 학습 알고리즘을 제시한다. 제시하는 방법에서는 모델의 조건부 확률의 사후(posterior) 분포를 최대화하도록 학습이 진행된다. 이를 위해 사전(prior) 분포를 문제와 관련된 사전지식(prior knowledge) 및 모델 복잡도(model complexity)로 정의하고, 측정된 모델의 분류성능을 우도(likelihood)로 사 용하며, 측정된 사전분포와 우도를 이용하여 모델의 적합도(fitness)를 정의한다. 이를 통해 하이퍼네트워크 모델은 고차원 데이터를 효율적으로 학습 가능할 뿐이 아니라 모델의 학습시간 및 분류성능이 개선될 수 있다. 또한 학습 시에 파라미터로 주어지던 하이퍼에지의 구성 및 모델의 크기가 학습과정 중에 적응적으로 결정될 수 있다. 제안하는 학습방법의 검증을 위해 본 논문에서는 약 25,000개의 유전자 발현정보 데이터셋에 대한 분류문제에 모델을 적용한다. 실험 결과를 통해 제시하는 방법이 기존 하이퍼네트워크 학습 방법 뿐 아니라 다른 모델들에 비해 우수한 분류 성능을 보여주는 것을 확인할 수 있다. 또한 다양한 실험을 통해 사전분포로 사용된 사전지식이 모델 학습에 끼치는 영향을 분석한다.

Improvement of location positioning using KNN, Local Map Classification and Bayes Filter for indoor location recognition system

  • Oh, Seung-Hoon;Maeng, Ju-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose a method that combines KNN(K-Nearest Neighbor), Local Map Classification and Bayes Filter as a way to increase the accuracy of location positioning. First, in this technique, Local Map Classification divides the actual map into several clusters, and then classifies the clusters by KNN. And posterior probability is calculated through the probability of each cluster acquired by Bayes Filter. With this posterior probability, the cluster where the robot is located is searched. For performance evaluation, the results of location positioning obtained by applying KNN, Local Map Classification, and Bayes Filter were analyzed. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that even if the RSSI signal changes, the location information is fixed to one cluster, and the accuracy of location positioning increases.

Two-Layer Approach Using FTA and BBN for Reliability Analysis of Combat Systems (전투 시스템의 신뢰성 분석을 위한 FTA와 BBN을 이용한 2계층 접근에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Ji-Won;Lee, Jang-Se
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.333-340
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    • 2019
  • A combat system performs a given mission enduring various threats. It is important to analyze the reliability of combat systems in order to increase their ability to perform a given mission. Most of studies considered no threat or on threat and didn't analyze all the dependent relationships among the components. In this paper, we analyze the loss probability of the function of the combat system and use it to analyze the reliability. The proposed method is divided into two layers, A lower layer and a upper layer. In lower layer, the failure probability of each components is derived by using FTA to consider various threats. In the upper layer, The loss probability of function is analyzed using the failure probability of the component derived from lower layer and BBN in order to consider the dependent relationships among the components. Using the proposed method, it is possible to analyze considering various threats and the dependency between components.

Meteorological drought outlook with satellite precipitation data using Bayesian networks and decision-making model (베이지안 네트워크 및 의사결정 모형을 이용한 위성 강수자료 기반 기상학적 가뭄 전망)

  • Shin, Ji Yae;Kim, Ji-Eun;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2019
  • Unlike other natural disasters, drought is a reoccurring and region-wide phenomenon after being triggered by a prolonged precipitation deficiency. Considering that remote sensing products provide consistent temporal and spatial measurements of precipitation, this study developed a remote sensing data-based drought outlook model. The meteorological drought was defined by the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) achieved from PERSIANN_CDR, TRMM 3B42 and GPM IMERG images. Bayesian networks were employed in this study to combine the historical drought information and dynamical prediction products in advance of drought outlook. Drought outlook was determined through a decision-making model considering the current drought condition and forecasted condition from the Bayesian networks. Drought outlook condition was classified by four states such as no drought, drought occurrence, drought persistence, and drought removal. The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis were employed to measure the relative outlook performance with the dynamical prediction production, Multi-Model Ensemble (MME). The ROC analysis indicated that the proposed outlook model showed better performance than the MME, especially for drought occurrence and persistence of 2- and 3-month outlook.

The probabilistic estimation of inundation region using a multiple logistic regression analysis (다중 Logistic 회귀분석을 통한 침수지역의 확률적 도출)

  • Jung, Minkyu;Kim, Jin-Guk;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2020
  • The increase of impervious surface and development along the river due to urbanization not only causes an increase in the number of associated flood risk factors but also exacerbates flood damage, leading to difficulties in flood management. Flood control measures should be prioritized based on various geographical information in urban areas. In this study, a probabilistic flood hazard assessment was applied to flood-prone areas near an urban river. Flood hazard maps were alternatively considered and used to describe the expected inundation areas for a given set of predictors such as elevation, slope, runoff curve number, and distance to river. This study proposes a Bayesian logistic regression-based flood risk model that aims to provide a probabilistic risk metric such as population-at-risk (PAR). Finally, the logistic regression model demonstrates the probabilistic flood hazard maps for the entire area.

Segmentation Method of Overlapped nuclei in FISH Image (FISH 세포영상에서의 군집세포 분할 기법)

  • Jeong, Mi-Ra;Ko, Byoung-Chul;Nam, Jae-Yeal
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.16B no.2
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a new algorithm to the segmentation of the FISH images. First, for segmentation of the cell nuclei from background, a threshold is estimated by using the gaussian mixture model and maximizing the likelihood function of gray value of cell images. After nuclei segmentation, overlapped nuclei and isolated nuclei need to be classified for exact nuclei analysis. For nuclei classification, this paper extracted the morphological features of the nuclei such as compactness, smoothness and moments from training data. Three probability density functions are generated from these features and they are applied to the proposed Bayesian networks as evidences. After nuclei classification, segmenting of overlapped nuclei into isolated nuclei is necessary. This paper first performs intensity gradient transform and watershed algorithm to segment overlapped nuclei. Then proposed stepwise merging strategy is applied to merge several fragments in major nucleus. The experimental results using FISH images show that our system can indeed improve segmentation performance compared to previous researches, since we performed nuclei classification before separating overlapped nuclei.

Committee Learning Classifier based on Attribute Value Frequency (속성 값 빈도 기반의 전문가 다수결 분류기)

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan;Jung, In-Chul;Kwon, Young-S.
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2010
  • In these day, many data including sensor, delivery, credit and stock data are generated continuously in massive quantity. It is difficult to learn from these data because they are large in volume and changing fast in their concepts. To handle these problems, learning methods based in sliding window methods over time have been used. But these approaches have a problem of rebuilding models every time new data arrive, which requires a lot of time and cost. Therefore we need very simple incremental learning methods. Bayesian method is an example of these methods but it has a disadvantage which it requries the prior knowledge(probabiltiy) of data. In this study, we propose a learning method based on attribute values. In the proposed method, even though we don't know the prior knowledge(probability) of data, we can apply our new method to data. The main concept of this method is that each attribute value is regarded as an expert learner, summing up the expert learners lead to better results. Experimental results show our learning method learns from data very fast and performs well when compared to current learning methods(decision tree and bayesian).