• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.19 no.12
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• pp.2779-2784
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• 2015

The prediction of the accurate traffic information can provide an optimal route from the place of departure to a destination, therefore, this makes it possible to obtain a saving of time and money. To predict traffic information, we use a Bayesian network method based on probability model in this paper. Existing researches predicting the traffic information based on a Bayesian network generally used to study the data for all time. In this paper, however, only data corresponding to same time and day of the week to predict selectively will be used for learning. In fact, the experiment was carried out for 14 links zone in Seoul, also, the accuracy of the prediction results of the two different methods should be tested with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) which is commonly used. In view of MAPE, experimental results show that the proposed method may calculate traffic prediction value with a higher accuracy than the method used to learn the data for all time zones.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.515-523
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• 2015

This study reviewed 612 DP LOP(Loss of Position) incident reports which submitted to IMCA from 2001~2010 and identified 103 human error caused incidents and classified it through HFACS. And, this study analysis of conditional probability of human error on DP LOP incidents through application of bayesian network. As a result, all 103 human error related DP LOP incidents were caused by unsafe acts, and among unsafe acts 70 incidents(68.0 %) were related to skill based error which are the largest proportion of human error causes. Among skill based error, 60(58.3%) incidents were involved inadvertent use of controls and 8(7.8%) incidents were involved omitted step in procedure. Also, 21(20.8%) incidents were involved improper maneuver because of decision error. Also this study identified that unsafe supervision(68%) is effected as the largest latent causes of unsafe acts through application to bayesian network. As a results, it is identified that combined analysis of HFACS and bayesian network are useful tool for human error analysis. Based on these results, this study suggest 9 recommendations such as polices, interpersonal interaction, training etc. to prevent and mitigate human errors during DP operations.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.7
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• pp.523-534
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• 2021

Meteorological drought originates from a precipitation deficiency and propagates to agricultural and hydrological droughts through the hydrological cycle. Comparing with the meteorological drought, agricultural and hydrological droughts have more direct impacts on human society. Thus, understanding how meteorological drought evolves to agricultural and hydrological droughts is necessary for efficient drought preparedness and response. In this study, meteorological and hydrological droughts were defined based on the observed precipitation and the synthesized streamflow by the land surface model. The Bayesian network model was applied for probabilistic analysis of the propagation relationship between meteorological and hydrological droughts. The copula function was used to estimate the joint probability in the Bayesian network. The results indicated that the propagation probabilities from the moderate and extreme meteorological droughts were ranged from 0.41 to 0.63 and from 0.83 to 0.98, respectively. In addition, the propagation probabilities were highest in autumn (0.71 ~ 0.89) and lowest in winter (0.41 ~ 0.62). The propagation probability increases as the meteorological drought evolved from summer to autumn, and the severe hydrological drought could be prevented by appropriate mitigation during that time.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.46-48
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• 2003

본 논문에서는 실제환경에서와 같이 예측할 수 없는 상황에서 에이전트의 인지와 자동 행동 생성 방법을 제안한다. 전통적인 에이전트의 지능제어 방법은 환경에 대해 알고 있는 정보를 이용한다는 제약 때문에 다양하고 복잡한 환경에 적응할 수 없었다. 최근, 미리 알려지지 않은 환경에서 자동으로 행동을 생성할 수 있는 센서와 행동을 연결하는 행동 기반의 방법과 추론, 학습 및 계획 기능의 부여를 위한 하이브리드 방법이 연구되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 다양한 환경조건으로 움직이는 장애물을 인지하고 피할 수 있는 행동을 생성하기 위해 행동 네트워크에 Bayesian 네트워크를 결합한 방법을 제안한다. 행동 네트워크는 입력된 센서 정보와 미리 정의된 목적 정보를 가지고 다음에 수행할 가장 높은 우선순위의 행동을 선택한다. 그리고 Bayesian 네트워크는 센서 정보들로부터 상황을 미리 추론하고 이 확률 값을 행동 네트워크의 가중치로 주어 행동 선택을 조정하도록 한다. 로봇 시뮬레이터를 이용한 실험을 통해 제안한 행동 네트워크와 Bayesian 네트워크의 결합 방법으로 움직이는 장애물을 피하고 목적지를 찾아가는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2007.06d
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• pp.105-108
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• 2007

Bayesian learning network is employed for diverse applications. This paper discusses the Bayesian learning network algorithm structure which can be applied in the wireless sensor network environment for various online applications. First, this paper discusses Bayesian parameter learning, Bayesian DAG structure learning, characteristics of wireless sensor network, and data gathering in the wireless sensor network. Second, this paper discusses the important considerations about the online Bayesian learning network and the conceptual structure of the learning network algorithm.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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• v.43 no.6 s.312
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• pp.1-9
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• 2006

For the indoor positioning, wireless fingerprinting is most favorable because fingerprinting is most accurate among the techniques for wireless network based indoor positioning which does not require any special equipments dedicated for positioning. The deployment of a fingerprinting method consists of off-line phase and on-line phase. Off-line phase is not a time critical procedure, but on-line phase is indeed a time-critical procedure. If it is too slow then the user's location can be changed while it is calculating and the positioning method would never be accurate. Even so there is no research of improving efficiency of on-line phase of wireless fingerprinting. This paper proposes a decision-tree method for wireless fingerprinting and performs comparative analysis of the fingerprinting techniques including K-NN, Bayesian and our decision-tree.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2008.06a
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• pp.114-115
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• 2008

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2007.10a
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• pp.72-73
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• 2007

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2007.10a
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• pp.70-71
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• 2007

• 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2008.02a
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• pp.573-578
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• 2008

Recently, we should control various devices such as TV, audio, DVD player, video player, and set-top box simultaneously to manipulate home theater system. To execute the function the user want in this situation, user should know functions and positions of the buttons in several remote controllers. Normally, people feel difficult due to these realistic problems. Besides, the number of the devices that we can control shall increase, and people will confuse more if the ubiquitous home environment is realized. Therefore, user adaptive interface that provides the summarized functions is required. Moreover there can be a lot of mobile and stationary controller devices in ubiquitous computing environment, so user interface should be adaptive in selecting the functions that user wants and in adjusting the features of UI to fit in specific controller. To implement the user and controller adaptive interface, we modeled the ubiquitous home environment and used modeled context and device information. We have used Bayesian network to get the degree of necessity in each situation. Behavior selection network uses predicted user situation and the degree of necessity, and it selects necessary functions in current situation. Selected functions are used to construct adaptive interface for each controller using presentation template. For experiments, we have implemented ubiquitous home environment and generated controller usage log in this environment. We have confirmed the BN predicted user requirements effectively as evaluating the inferred results of controller necessity based on generated scenario. Finally, comparing the adaptive home UI with the fixed one to 14 subjects, we confirmed that the generated adaptive UI was more useful for general tasks than fixed UI.