• Title/Summary/Keyword: 배출모형

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An Estimation of Carbon Embodied in the Export Goods of Korea Using a Hybrid Input-output Approach (우리나라 수출상품에 체화된 이산화탄소 배출량의 추정)

  • Choi, Hanjoo;Lee, Kihoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.441-468
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    • 2004
  • We estimate carbon embodied in the export goods of Korea. A commodity-by-industry IO model ($CO_2$ hybrid IO model) is constructed for the estimation. In the model, all monetary units of energy commodities are converted to physical unit, carbon tons. Results show that total $CO_2$ embodied in the exports of non-energy goods of Korea equals 51.18 million carbon ton or 44% of total $CO_2$ emissions in Korea in 2000. Overall carbon intensity of export goods is estimated as 0.227 carbon ton per million Won. These findings suggest Korea's responsibility on global warming may be imputed to the countries who import and consume Korean goods. It is in accordance with the user pay principle. It is also argued that if UNFCCC impose the burden of $CO_2$ mitigation on importing countries rather than exporting countries, we can prevent '$CO_2$ emission leakages' effectively.

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Instantaneous GHG Emission Estimation Method Considering Vehicle Characteristics in Korea (국내 차량의 동적 주행 특성을 반영한 미시적 온실가스 배출량 산정방법론)

  • Hu, Hyejung;Yoon, Chunjoo;Lee, Taewoo;Yang, Inchul;Sung, Junggon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.90-105
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    • 2013
  • There are lots of variations on speed, acceleration and engine power during vehicle driving. It is well known that Green House Gas emissions by these dynamic driving properties are not precisely estimated by the average speed based emission estimation model which has been currently used in Korea. MOVES are selected as an appropriate transferable model among Micro-level emission estimation models. Based on MOVES, a novel emission estimation model can be used in Korea is developed. In this model, MOVES concept of emission estimation method and the MOVES method of estimating the Micro-level emission rate map is adopted. The results from the proposed model were compared with those from the average speed based emission model. The comparison results show the estimated base emission maps are good to be applied in Korea, but needed to be adjusted to consider the vehicle size differences between the two countries. Therefore, the factors for calibrating vehicle size difference were calculated and applied to acquired the micro-level emission maps for the Korean standard vehicle types.

Study on The Generation Expansion Planning Considering Emission Trading and LOLP (배출권거래와 공급신뢰도(LOLP)를 고려한 설비계획 방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Hye-Kyeong;Chung, Gu-Hyung;Hong, Hee-Jung;Han, Seoc-Man;Kang, Dong-Ju;Kim, Bal-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.11b
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    • pp.214-216
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    • 2007
  • Post 2012 기후변화협약 체제의 토래 및 강화되는 기후변화협약으로 인해 우리나라의 온실가스 의무감축이 확실하게 예견되고 있는 현 시점에서 우리나라의 온실가스 감축이행을 위한 대응책의 필요성이 증가하고 있다. 특히 발전부문은 우리나라의 온실가스 배출의 약 30%를 차지하고 있으며, 경제성장에 따라 온실가스 배출량이 빠른 속도로 증가하고 있으므로 Post 2012 기후변화협약 체제의 대응책이 보다 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 향후 발전부문에 온실가스 감축의무가 부담될 것을 고려하여 온실가스 배출량 제약 및 배출권거래제를 고려한 설비계획을 도출하고자 한다. 현재 우리나라의 전원 개발계획에서 사용되고 있는 전산모형(WASP, POWERSYM 등)은 온실가스 배출량 제약 및 배출권거래제를 고려하지 못하므로 MEFISET 모형을 이용하여 이를 고려하고자 한다. 그러나 MEFISET 모형은 설비예비력 제약조건을 통해 공급신뢰도를 만족하고 있다. 이러한 설비계획 결과는 공급신뢰도 기준 을 만족시키기 위해 과도한 설비계획 결과를 도출한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이를 보완하기 위해 Visual C를 통해 구현한 LOLP 프로그램을 통해 공급신뢰도 기준을 만족시키기 위한 적정 설비예비력을 추정하고자 한다.

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기술선택을 고려한 운송부문 이산화탄소 배출량 저감방안의 평가

  • Kim, Seung-U;Lee, Dong-Geun;Jeon, Seong-U
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.203-223
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    • 1996
  • 운송부문에서의 이산화탄소 배출량저감을 위한 정책대안을 통합적인 시뮬레이션 모형을 통하여 평가하였다. 분석에 이용된 시뮬레이션 모형은 일본의 국립환경연구소에 의해 개발된 AIM을 일부 수정한 AIM/KOREA이다. 분석의 결과는 다음의 3가지로 정리할 수 있다. 첫째, 기존차량에 비해 가격이 다소 비싸거나 동등한 에너지절약형 차량은 탄소세의 부과없이도 2005년에 가면 신규차량 전부를 대체할 것으로 전망된다. 둘째, 운송부문에서의 에너지 사용량은 앞으로 급격히 증가하고 이에 따라 이산화탄소의 배출량도 크게 증가할 것으로 예측된다. 그러나 이산화탄소의 배출량 감소를 목표로 하는 탄소세부과는 이산화탄소 배출저감에 기여하지 못하는 것으로 전망되었다. 반면에 승용차 10부제의 시행은 이산화탄소배출량의 급격한 증가를 크게 둔화시킬 수 있는 하나의 대안으로 제시되었다. 셋째, 에너지절약형 차량, 특히 전기자동차의 구입자에게 탄소세에 의해 확보된 재원을 이용하여 보조금을 지급하는 것이 운송부문에서 이산화탄소배출량을 줄일 수 있는 하나의 대안으로 평가되었다.

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A Note on Environmental Policy Measures in a Green Market (Green market과 환경정책수단의 오염감축효과에 대한 소고(小考))

  • Rhee, Hosaeng
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.119-131
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    • 2004
  • A green market refers to a market that consists of environmentally aware consumers. A few researches have been carried out on the effects of environmental policy measures in a green market. These existing researches were based on a vertical differentiation model with firms' price-setting behavior, and derived that unit emission standard and environmental product taxes could not reduce the amount of pollution emission. This note considers a vertical differentiation model with firms' quantity-setting behavior, and shows that, contrary to the previous result, the amount of pollution emission is reduced by the introduction of unit emission standard. This implies the importance of the nature of firms' interaction in figuring out the pollution abatement effect of environmental policy measures in a green market.

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A Study on the Nonlinear Relationship between CO2 Emissions and Economic Growth : Empirical Evidence with the STAR Model (비선형 STAR 모형을 이용한 이산화탄소 배출량과 경제성장 간의 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Seiwan;Lee, Kihoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.3-22
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    • 2008
  • We study nonlinearities of $CO_2$ emissions and economic growth m Korea using the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (or STAR) model. We find evidence for nonlinearities and cyclical regime changes of both time series. In the extended nonlinear empirical work, we characterize dynamic properties of the two time series and then find mutually significant Granger causality between $CO_2$ emissions and economic growth. All these empirical evidences together reinforce long standing concern that economy-wide restrictions on $CO_2$ emissions would hurt economic growth for Korean styled medium industrialized countries.

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A Study for Developing an Operating Mode-Based Emission Model for Korea (한국형 운행 모드 기반 배출량 산정 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • HU, Hyejung;FREY, Christopher;YOON, Chunjoo;YANG, Choongheon;KIM, Jinkook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.180-190
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    • 2016
  • Atmospheric pollutants such as Nitrogen Oxides(NOx), Carbon Monoxide(CO), Carbon Dioxide($CO_2$), Particulate Matter(PM) and Hydrocarbons(HC) come from vehicle exhaust gases. Emission curves based on average travel speeds have been employed for estimating on-road emissions as well as evaluating environmental impacts of transportation plans and policies in Korea. Recently, there is a growing interest in estimation methods of vehicle emissions considering relationship between vehicle dynamic driving characteristics and emissions, and incorporating such emission estimators into traffic simulation models. MOVES Lite, a simplified version of MOVES, is one of the estimation methods. In this study, the authors performed a study to develop an adaptable version of MOVES Lite for Korea, called MOVES Lite-K. Vehicle types, driving characteristics, emission rates, and emission standards of Korea were reflected in MOVES Lite-K. The characteristics of emission calculation of MOVES Lite-K and NIER emission curves were compared and the adaptability of MOVES Lite-K were examined.

Simulation of pumping effect in a watershed by using SWAT-MODFLOW model (SWAT-MODFLOW 모형을 이용한 유역내 양수효과 모의)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Won, Yoo-Seung;Chung, Il-Moon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.819-823
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 SWAT-MODFLOW에 포함된 양수모듈 (MODFLOW의 well package와 SWAT의 결합)을 경안천 유역에 시험적으로 적용한 것이다. SWAT-MODFLOW 모형에서 SWAT 모형의 대수층과 MODFLOW 모형의 Well Package의 연계는 함양우물과 배출우물 모두 사용이 가능하며 이 중 얕은 대수층에서의 배출우물에 관한 적용을 수행하였다. 물이동의 목적지는 하천, 저수지일 수도 유역외일 수도 있는데 양수된 물이 유역 밖으로 소비되는 경우로 국한하였다. 이를 위해서 소유역내 MODFLOW의 셀에 배출정을 위치시키고 두 가지 경우의 양수량에 대해 지하수위 변화와 물수지 변화를 살펴보았다. 양수 후 일정기간이 지난 시점에서 양수정 영향권내 유역 단면(남-북방향)에서의 지하수위 변화를 살펴본 바 개선된 양수모듈은 유역내 물이동을 효과적으로 묘사하고 있으며 지하수 유출량의 감소분은 하천으로 옮겨져 지표수 증가분으로 계산되고 있음을 물수지 변화를 통해 확인할 수 있었다.

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New Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of the Effects of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Policies (새로운 연산가능일반균형모형을 이용한 온실가스 감축정책의 영향 분석)

  • Han, Minsoo;Moon, Jin-Young
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.169-205
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    • 2021
  • This study quantitatively analyzes the impact of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction policies on the global economy. To this end, we develop a multi-national and multi-industry static computational general equilibrium model that includes three components-GHG emissions from production, disutility due to GHG emissions, and governments' GHG emissions reduction policies. Then we calibrate the model with the relevant data and solve for the equlibrium using the most recent methodology (exact hat algebra). We find that the strengthening of unilateral GHG emissions reduction policies for each country reduces carbon emissions from domestic producers, but does not necessarily reduce global carbon emissions as production is relocated to other countries. On the other hand, we can reduce GHG emissions when all major countries simultaneously implement the strengthened reduction policies proposed by the OECD (2016). Our results imply that aligned reduction efforts of major countries are necessary to reduce global GHG emissions.

An Estimation and Decomposition of CO2 Emissions Change in Korea Industry, 1990~2000 Using a Hybrid Input-Output Model and Structural Decomposition Analysis (환경 혼합 산업연관모형을 이용한 산업별 이산화탄소 배출량 추정과 변화 요인 분석)

  • Choi, Han Joo;Lee, Kihoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.27-50
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    • 2006
  • We estimate $CO_2$ emissions in Korea industry, 1990 and 2000 using a commodity- by-industry IO model ($CO_2$ hybrid IO mode]). Estimated $CO_2$ emissions in industries include both $CO_2$ emissions from direct and indirect consumption. The results show that total $CO_2$ emissions has increased by 51.6 million TC (Tonne of Carbon) from 64.4 million TC in 1990 to 115.5 million TC in 2000. By applying the structural decomposition analysis technique, we decompose change of $CO_2$ emissions in Korea industry between the period 1990~2000. In the decomposition, we figure out two contributing factors, changes in $CO_2$ coefficient and changes in final demand. The latter is further decomposed as growth effects and structural effects. We also estimated each factor's contribution to the changes in $CO_2$ emissions in industries between 1990~2000. The analysis can be used as a useful resource for policy makers in improving the effectiveness of $CO_2$ emissions mitigation policy.

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