• Title/Summary/Keyword: 배출량 추정

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Development of O/D Based Mobile Emission Estimation Model (기종점 기반의 도로이동오염원 배출량 추정모형)

  • Lee, Kyu Jin;Choi, Keechoo;Ryu, Sikyun;Baek, Seung Kirl
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.2D
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2012
  • This study presents O/D based emission estimation model and methodology under cold- and hot-start conditions. Contrasting with existing link-based model, new model is able to estimate cold-start emissions with actual traffic characteristics. The results of the case study with new model show similar amount of emission with existing model under hot-start conditions, but five times much more than existing model under cold-start conditions. The annual social benefit estimated by this model is 56.2 hundred million won, which is 48% higher than the result from existing model. It means current green transportation policies are undervalued in terms of air quality improvement. Therefore, New model is expected to improve the objectivity of air quality evaluation results regarding green transportation policies and be applied in various transportation-environment policies.

An Estimation and Decomposition of CO2 Emissions Change in Korea Industry, 1990~2000 Using a Hybrid Input-Output Model and Structural Decomposition Analysis (환경 혼합 산업연관모형을 이용한 산업별 이산화탄소 배출량 추정과 변화 요인 분석)

  • Choi, Han Joo;Lee, Kihoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.27-50
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    • 2006
  • We estimate $CO_2$ emissions in Korea industry, 1990 and 2000 using a commodity- by-industry IO model ($CO_2$ hybrid IO mode]). Estimated $CO_2$ emissions in industries include both $CO_2$ emissions from direct and indirect consumption. The results show that total $CO_2$ emissions has increased by 51.6 million TC (Tonne of Carbon) from 64.4 million TC in 1990 to 115.5 million TC in 2000. By applying the structural decomposition analysis technique, we decompose change of $CO_2$ emissions in Korea industry between the period 1990~2000. In the decomposition, we figure out two contributing factors, changes in $CO_2$ coefficient and changes in final demand. The latter is further decomposed as growth effects and structural effects. We also estimated each factor's contribution to the changes in $CO_2$ emissions in industries between 1990~2000. The analysis can be used as a useful resource for policy makers in improving the effectiveness of $CO_2$ emissions mitigation policy.

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Time-Varying Income Elasticity of CO2 emission Using Non-Linear Cointegration (비선형 공적분모형을 이용한 이산화탄소 배출량의 소득탄력성 추정)

  • Lee, Sungro;Kim, Hyo-Sun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.473-496
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    • 2014
  • This paper intends to test the non-linear relationship between $CO_2$ emissions and income by employing cointegration model of the time-varying income elasticity. We select France, UK, Italy, Japan, US, China, India, Mexico and Korea and use non-parametric time series analysis on each country in order to estimate its own effect of income on $CO_2$ emission. The main results indicate that the $CO_2$ emission-income elasticities vary over time and the income elasticities of the Annex I countries tend to be higher in absolute terms than those of developing countries. In addition, we find that emission-income elasticities decrease for Annex I countries over time, whereas those for developing countries increase.

Estimation of Greenhouse Gas Emission from Motorcycles in 2008 (이륜차의 온실가스 배출량 추정(2008))

  • Shin, Yong Il;Kim, Jeong;Kim, Pil Su;Jang, Young Kee
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2010
  • Recently the number of motorcycles has increased in urban area, and it is believed that motorcycle is one of the air pollution and greenhouse gas emission sources. But the greenhouse gas emission from motorcycle has been high uncertainty due investigation of a lack of activity data and emission factors in Korea. So in this study, the greenhouse gas emission from motorcycle is estimated by considering the population of moped and VKT(vehicle kilometers travelled) of motorcycle by recent other studies. And the emissions by IPCC Tier 2 and Tier 3 methodology are calculated and compared. As the results, the nationwide $CO_2$ equivalent emissions from motorcycles by Tier 2 and Tier 3 method are calculated as 2,758 kton/yr and 2,739 kton/yr in 2008. The contribution ratio of this emission is estimated as 2.7% in on-road transport sector.

Evaluating the Applicability of the DNDC Model for Estimation of CO2 Emissions from the Paddy Field in Korea (전국 논 토양 이산화탄소 배출량 추정을 위한 DNDC 모형의 국내 적용성 평가)

  • Hwang, Wonjae;Kim, Yong-Seong;Min, Hyungi;Kim, Jeong-Gyu;Cho, Kijong;Hyun, Seunghun
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2017
  • Greenhouse gas emission from agricultural land is recognized as an important factor influencing climatic change. In this study, the national $CO_2$ emission was estimated for paddy soils, using soil GHG emission model (DNDC) with $1km^2$ scale. To evaluate the applicability of the model in Korea, verification was carried out based on field measurement data using a closed chamber. The total national $CO_2$ emission in 2015 was estimated at $5,314kt\;CO_2-eq$, with the emission per unit area ranging from $2.2{\sim}10.0t\;CO_2-eq\;ha^{-1}$. Geographically, the emission of Jeju province was particularly high, and the emission from the southern region was generally high. The result of the model verification analysis with the field data collected in this study (n=16) indicates that the relation between the field measurement and the model prediction was statistically similar (RMSE=22.2, ME=0.28, and $r^2=0.53$). More field measurements under various climate conditions, and subsequent model verification with extended data sets, are further required.

A Green House Gas Emission Estimation Based on Gravity Model and Its Elasticity (중력모형을 이용한 온실가스 배출량추정 및 탄력성분석)

  • Im, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2011
  • Many policies, such as transit-oriented development, encouraged use of bicycle and pedestrian, reduction of green house gas (GHG) and etc., have been deployed to support transport sustainability. Although various studies regarding GHG were presented, no one has yet adequately explained the behavior of travelers. This paper proposes a GHG emission model by highlighting its sensitivity, elasticity with regard to such travel cost as travel time, travel fare, and GHG pricing, introduced to reduce the amount of GHG in transportation system. For better estimation of GHG, the proposed model adopts (1) a production-constrained gravity model and (2) the travel distance from the origin and the destination (OD). The gravity model has a merit that it considers travel pattern between OD pairs. The model was tested with an example, and the promising results confirmed its validation and applications.

A Study on the Improvement of Accuracy in Mapping the Distribution of the Emission Volume of Air Pollution Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 대기오염 배출량 분포도의 정확도 향상에 관한 연구)

  • 최진무
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 1998
  • Air contaminant density must be inferred exactly to manage air pollution. Each land use of air pollution source is duplicated in the existing air contaminant distribution because the resolution of the land use map is low. The purpose of this study is to understand how the land use map is used to determine effectively in the distribution calculation of the emission volume and the inference of air contaminant density, as it is made in a high resolution. The major findings are as follows : In this study, as to making a high resolution($28.5m{\times}28.5m$) map of land use with GIS, each air pollution source is not duplicated spatially and land use can be reflected effectively. In Seoul, each air contaminant density was inferred (using a TCM-2 model) with the existing distribution map of emission volume, whose resolution is $1km{\times}1km$, and the new distribution map of emission volume, whose resolution is $28.5km{\times}28.5km$. According to the result, the inference value of the new distribution map was more similar to the actual value of an automatic survey network.

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Estimation of Greenhouse Gas Emission from Off-road Transportation (비도로 수송에 의한 온실 가스 배출량 추정)

  • Choi, Min ae;Kim, Jeong;Lee, Ho Jin;Jang, Young Kee
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.211-217
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    • 2010
  • Off-road transportation sector including construction equipment, ground support equipment in airport, cargo handling equipment and agroforestry machinery have not calculated as emission source classification in 1A3e2. In this study, the statistics of oil consumption for construction, aviation, shipping and agroforestry are separated for this sector by oil type. And the greenhouse gas emission by off-road transportation emission factor in 1996 & 2006 IPCC Guidelines are calculated and compared with each other. As a result, the nationwide $CO_2$ equivalent emission from off-road transportations by the emission factor of 1996 & 2006 IPCC Guidelines are calculated as 4,919 kton/yr and 5,530 kton/yr in 2007. The contribution ratio of off-road transportation emission by this study is estimated as 5.5% to the subtotal emission from on-road transport sector.

한·중·일의 산업별 이산화탄소 배출구조와 배출요인 비교 분석 - 동북아지역 국제환경협력을 위한 모색 -

  • Jeong, Hyeon-Sik
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.85-117
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    • 1997
  • 이 논문에서는 이산화탄소 배출 감축을 위한 국제적 협력이 구체화 될 경우 동아시아에서 잠재적 상호 협력 대상국이 될 수 있는 한국, 중국, 일본을 대상으로 그리고 논의의 주요한 시기적 기점이 되는 1990년에 대해 이산화탄소 배출량을 추정하고 삼국간의 배출량의 차이를 산업별로 비교하고 그 차이를 발생시키는 요인에 대해 분석을 시도하고 있다. 여기서 중국은 지구온난화 가스 배출에 있어서도 세계에서 주요한 비중을 차지하고 있다는 점에서 그리고 한국은 새로운 OECD 회원국이 된 대표적인 신흥공업국으로서 지구 온난화 가스 감축을 위한 국제적 압력의 대상이 되고 있다는 점에서, 그리고 일본은 동아시아에서 환경문제에서도 유일한 선진국으로서 국제적 협력관계에서 지원국의 입장에 서게 될 것이라는 점에서 각각 중요한 의의가 있다. 한편 1990년은 1992년의 지구온난화 협약에서 논의의 기준연도이기도 하지만 한국과 일본에서 산업연관분석 통계가 이용 가능한 최근의 연도이기도 하다. 그러나 중국의 경우 이용 가능한 1987년도 산업연관분석 통계자료가 사용되었으며, 삼국에 대해 각각 에너지 및 이산화탄소 배출 원단위 통계 등을 이용하여 이산화탄소 배출량의 추정 및 배출 요인의 비교 분석이 이루어 졌다.

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The Effect of ADT(Average Daily Traffic) on the Silt Loading from Paved Road (일평균교통량(ADT)이 포장도로의 silt loading에 미치는 영향)

  • 장기원;원경호;허화영;전기준;홍지형;정용원
    • Proceedings of the Korea Air Pollution Research Association Conference
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    • 2003.05b
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    • pp.247-248
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    • 2003
  • 우리 나라의 도시ㆍ산업단지 지역의 대기오염은 심각한 수준으로, 특히 미세먼지로 인한 대기오염은 스모그 등 심미적인 문제뿐만 아니라 호흡성 분진으로 인한 건강 위해성 측면에서 철저한 오염원 관리가 필요하다. 현재 우리 나라의 먼지 배출량을 보면 비산먼지의 배출량이 연소과정에서 발생되는 미세먼지보다도 큰 것으로 추정되며, 특히 이 중에서 자동차의 도로주행시 발생되는 먼지가 비산먼지 발생량 중 90 %이상을 차지하고 있는 것으로 추정된다(국립환경연구원, 2002). 차량운행으로 인하여 포장도로에서 발생하는 비산먼지 배출량은 도로 표면의 단위면적 당 silt(75$\mu\textrm{m}$이하의 입자)량, 즉 silt loading에 의해 좌우되는데 silt loading은 도시ㆍ산업단지의 체계적인 개발계획 및 대기질 관리정책을 수립에 없어서는 안 될 중요한 자료이다. (중략)

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