• Title/Summary/Keyword: 발전량 분석

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Inverter-Based Solar Power Prediction Algorithm Using Artificial Neural Network Regression Model (인공 신경망 회귀 모델을 활용한 인버터 기반 태양광 발전량 예측 알고리즘)

  • Gun-Ha Park;Su-Chang Lim;Jong-Chan Kim
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.383-388
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    • 2024
  • This paper is a study to derive the predicted value of power generation based on the photovoltaic power generation data measured in Jeollanam-do, South Korea. Multivariate variables such as direct current, alternating current, and environmental data were measured in the inverter to measure the amount of power generation, and pre-processing was performed to ensure the stability and reliability of the measured values. Correlation analysis used only data with high correlation with power generation in time series data for prediction using partial autocorrelation function (PACF). Deep learning models were used to measure the amount of power generation to predict the amount of photovoltaic power generation, and the results of correlation analysis of each multivariate variable were used to increase the prediction accuracy. Learning using refined data was more stable than when existing data were used as it was, and the solar power generation prediction algorithm was improved by using only highly correlated variables among multivariate variables by reflecting the correlation analysis results.

Economic Evaluation for Photovoltaic System using Insolation Data Analysis (일사량 데이터 분석을 통한 태양광발전 시스템 경제성 평가)

  • Kim, Yejin;Choi, Hyungcheol;Lee, SungHun
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.86.2-86.2
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    • 2010
  • 태양광발전 시스템에 있어 일사량의 높고 낮음은 경제성 평가를 결정하는 주요인자로 작용하며 일사량은 지역적, 지형적 환경 조건의 차이에 따라 달리 나타난다. 본 연구에서는 주암 저수지 수면에 설치된 수면태양광 일사량 계측자료와 지상에서의 주암댐 관리단 옥상에 설치된 일사량 계측자료를 비교하여 분석한 결과 수면태양광의 일사량이 지상에서의 일사량 보다 약간 상회하는 패턴을 보이며 풍속, 기온 등 기타 데이터 분석 시 수면이 태양광발전에 있어 지상보다 더 유리하다는 점을 검증 할 수 있었다. 또한 취득한 데이터를 가지고 경제성 분석 프로그램을 사용하여 분석한 결과 지상보다 수면태양광이 더 경제성 있다는 결과를 얻을 수 있었다.

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Study on Generation Volume of Floating Solar Power Using Historical Insolation Data (과거 일사량 자료를 활용한 수상태양광 발전량 예측 연구)

  • Na, Hyeji;Kim, Kyeongseok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.249-258
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    • 2023
  • Solar power has the largest proportion of power generation and facility capacity among renewable energy in South Korea. Floating solar power plant is a new way to resolve weakness of land solar power plant. This study analyzes the power generation of the 18.7 MW floating solar power project located in Saemangeum, Gunsan-si. Since the solar power generation has a characteristic that is greatly affected by the climate, various methods have been applied to predict solar power generation. In general, variables necessary for predicting power generation are solar insolation on inclined surfaces, solar generation efficiency, and panel installation area. This study analyzed solar power generation using the monthly solar insolation data from the KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) over the past 10 years. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) was applied to predict the solar power generation with the variables including solar panel efficiency and insolation. In the case of Saemangeum solar power project, the most solar power generation was in May, the least was in December, the average solar power generation simulated on MCS is 2.1 GWh per month, the minimum monthly power generation is 0.3 GWh, and the maximum is 5.0 GWh.

Change in Spatial Distribution of Photovoltaic Power Generation (태양광 발전의 분포 변화: 시군구 단위에서의 분석)

  • Chung Sup Lee;Kang-Won Lee;Sang-Hyun Chi
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.484-498
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the location, distribution and its change of photovoltaic power generation in the scale of municipality(Si-Gun-Gu). First the distribution of photovoltaic power generation was analyzed in 2020, and second, from 2017 to 2021, we tracked the increase in capacity of power generation facilities in each Si-Gun-Gu. As a result, the distribution and increase of photovoltaic power generation were concentrated in some regions and the unequal distribution of photovoltaic power generation has been identified through Gini coefficient.

The analysis of Photovoltaic Power using Terrain Data based on LiDAR Surveying and Weather Data Measurement System (LiDAR 측량 기반의 지형자료와 기상 데이터 관측시스템을 이용한 태양광 발전량 분석)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Lee, Jong-Jo
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we conducted a study to predict the photovoltaic power by constructing the sensor based meteorological data observation system and the accurate terrain data obtained by using LiDAR surveying. The average sunshine hours in 2018 is 4.53 hours and the photovoltaic power is 2,305 MWh. In order to analyze the effect of photovoltaic power on the installation angle of solar modules, we installed module installation angle at $10^{\circ}$ intervals. As a result, the generation time was 4.24 hours at the module arrangement angle of $30^{\circ}$, and the daily power generation and the monthly power generation were the highest, 3.37 MWh and 102.47 MWh, respectively. Therefore, when the module arrangement angle is set to $30^{\circ}$, the generation efficiency is increased by about 4.8% compared with the module angle of $50^{\circ}$. As a result of analyzing the influence of the seasonal photovoltaic power by the installation angle of the solar module, it was found that the photovoltaic power was high in the range of $40^{\circ}{\sim}50^{\circ}$, where the module angle was large from November to February when the weather was cold. From March to October, it was found that the photovoltaic power amount is $10^{\circ}{\sim}30^{\circ}$ with small module angle.

Analysis of prediction model for solar power generation (태양광 발전을 위한 발전량 예측 모델 분석)

  • Song, Jae-Ju;Jeong, Yoon-Su;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2014
  • Recently, solar energy is expanding to combination of computing in real time by tracking the position of the sun to estimate the angle of inclination and make up freshly correcting a part of the solar radiation. Solar power is need that reliably linked technology to power generation system renewable energy in order to efficient power production that is difficult to output predict based on the position of the sun rise. In this paper, we analysis of prediction model for solar power generation to estimate the predictive value of solar power generation in the development of real-time weather data. Photovoltaic power generation input the correction factor such as temperature, module characteristics by the solar generator module and the location of the local angle of inclination to analyze the predictive power generation algorithm for the prediction calculation to predict the final generation. In addition, the proposed model in real-time national weather service forecast for medium-term and real-time observations used as input data to perform the short-term prediction models.

Effect of Wake on the Energy Production of the Downstream Wind Turbine (후류가 하류 풍력발전기의 발전량에 미치는 영향)

  • Hong, Young-Jin;Yoo, Hoseon
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.32-38
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    • 2016
  • In this study, the effect of wake on the energy production of a downstream wind turbine was analyzed on the base of operation practices of wind farm in the coastal complex terrain which has 2 row array of wind turbines. And changes in the variation of wind speed and turbulence intensity was analyzed. In case wind turbines are spaced 4-rotor diameter-apart in the prevailing wind direction, reduction in energy production was confirmed due to the decrease of wind speed and the increase of turbulence intensity by wake. Especially a radical change of wind direction caused wind turbine a sudden stop and energy production significantly reduced. It is considered improvement of yaw brake can prevent the sudden stop and increase energy production.

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Analysis of solar power generation efficiency through spatiotemporal analysis of solar radiation on the Korean Peninsula using GK2A (천리안2위성을 활용한 한반도 일사량의 시공간적 분석을 통한 태양광 발전 효율 분석)

  • Hwang, Seunghyun;Baik, Jongjin;Kim, Hyeonjoon;Byun, Jongyun;Cha, Hoyoung;Jun, Changhyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.457-457
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    • 2022
  • 최근 기후변화로 인한 위기가 인류의 생존을 위협하면서 전 지구적으로 기후변화에 대응하기 위한 탄소 중립 대책을 모색하고 있으며, 지속가능한 신재생에너지에 대해 주목하고 있다. 산업통상자원부는 2034년까지 총 발전량 중 신재생에너지의 비율을 25.8%까지 증가시키는 것을 목표로 신재생에너지의 발전 비율을 증가시키기 위한 다양한 노력을 기울이고 있다. 특히, 신재생에너지 중 가장 많은 비중을 차지하고 있는 태양광 발전은 비교적 광범위한 부지를 필요로 하고 있으며, 환경 및 지형적 영향이 크게 작용하는 만큼 발전 시설 부지 선정 및 운용 계획을 위한 면밀한 분석이 필수적이다. 그러나, 태양광 발전 활용 계획을 수립하기 위해 고려할 수 있는 지상 관측 일사량 및 일조량 데이터는 상당히 제한적이며 관측 밀도가 조밀하지 않다는 한계점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 천리안위성의 후속으로 발사된 천리안2위성의 산출물인 일사량 데이터를 활용하여 한반도 영역에서의 일사량에 대한 시·공간적 분석을 수행하였으며, 이를 기반으로 각 지역적 특성을 파악하고, 토지 피복 유형에 따른 태양광 발전의 효율 정도를 분석·평가하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 계측 지역 및 미계측 지역에서의 시공간적인 태양광 에너지의 효율성에 대한 정보를 제공함에 따라 태양광 발전을 위한 관련 시설물들의 최적 설치 위치 및 규모 등에 대한 설계 기준 마련에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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The Study on the Usefulness of Short-run GDP Forecasting Using Generation (발전량을 이용한 단기 GDP 전망의 유용성 연구)

  • Paik, Kwang-Hyun;Kim, Kwon-Soo;Park, Jong-In
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.07a
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    • pp.808-809
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    • 2007
  • 전력수요는 경기변동과 밀접한 관련성을 가지고 동행적으로 움직이며, 전력자료는 경제자료에 비해 조기 관측되는 선행성이 있다. 본 연구에서는 GDP 전망을 위해 발전량이 유용하게 사용될 수 있는가를 살펴 보았다. 발전량과 GDP의 관련성은 그랜저 인과관계 검정을 통해서 검증해 보았으며, 발전량 자료 취득의 선행성은 선행차수를 변화시켜 보면서 관련성이 어떻게 변하는가를 살펴보았다. 실제 자료를 이용하여 분석하고, 2004년부터 2006년 기간의 전망치를 평가한 결과, 본 논문에서 살펴 보고자 했던 발전량과 GDP 사이에는 아주 높은 관련성이 있음을 확인할 수 있었고 또한 발전량 자료를 이용함으로써 실제로 GDP 전망의 예측력을 상당히 개선시킬 수 있음을 볼 수 있었다. 발전량과 GDP 사이의 관계는 시간변동계수를 가지는 공적분 및 오차수 정모형을 이용하여 모형화하였다.

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Correlation Analysis between solar power generation and weather variables (태양광 발전량과 기상변수간 상관관계 분석)

  • Yoo, Hyun-jae;Gong, Seung-jun;Kim, Jong-min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.704-706
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we analyzed the correlation between the amount of photovoltaic power generation and the factors of meteorological changes. A total of 52,561 data were used in the correlation analysis from January 2018 to January 2020, and the variables used in the correlation analysis were time, horizontal plane scattering solar radiation, direct solar radiation, wind velocity, and relative humidity. The temperature was used. Based on this data, we used the Google Colab platform to analyze the correlation, and the analysis revealed whether there was a correlation between solar power and meteorological change factors.

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