• Title/Summary/Keyword: 발생빈도값

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Selection of Climate Indices for Nonstationary Frequency Analysis and Estimation of Rainfall Quantile (비정상성 빈도해석을 위한 기상인자 선정 및 확률강우량 산정)

  • Jung, Tae-Ho;Kim, Hanbeen;Kim, Hyeonsik;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 2019
  • As a nonstationarity is observed in hydrological data, various studies on nonstationary frequency analysis for hydraulic structure design have been actively conducted. Although the inherent diversity in the atmosphere-ocean system is known to be related to the nonstationary phenomena, a nonstationary frequency analysis is generally performed based on the linear trend. In this study, a nonstationary frequency analysis was performed using climate indices as covariates to consider the climate variability and the long-term trend of the extreme rainfall. For 11 weather stations where the trend was detected, the long-term trend within the annual maximum rainfall data was extracted using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition. Then the correlation between the extracted data and various climate indices was analyzed. As a result, autumn-averaged AMM, autumn-averaged AMO, and summer-averaged NINO4 in the previous year significantly influenced the long-term trend of the annual maximum rainfall data at almost all stations. The selected seasonal climate indices were applied to the generalized extreme value (GEV) model and the best model was selected using the AIC. Using the model diagnosis for the selected model and the nonstationary GEV model with the linear trend, we identified that the selected model could compensate the underestimation of the rainfall quantiles.

A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF SOLAR WIND DYNAMIC PRESSURE PULSES DURING GEOMAGNETIC STORMS (지자기폭풍 기간 동안의 태양풍 동압력 펄스에 관한 통계적 분석)

  • Baek, J.H.;Lee, D.Y.;Kim, K.C.;Choi, C.R.;Moon, Y.J.;Cho, K.S.;Park, Y.D.
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.419-430
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    • 2005
  • We have carried out a statistical analysis on solar wind dynamic pressure pulses during geomagnetic storms. The Dst index was used to identify 111 geomagnetic storms that occurred in the time interval from 1997 through 2001. We have selected only the events having the minimum Dst value less than -50 nT. In order to identify the pressure impact precisely, we have used the horizontal component data of the magnetic field H (northward) at low latitudes as well as the solar wind pressure data themselves. Our analysis leads to the following results: (1) The enhancement of H due to a pressure pulse tends to be proportional to the magnitude of minimum Dst value; (2) The occurrence frequency of pressure pulses also increases with storm intensity. (3) For about $30\%$ of our storms, the occurrence frequency of pressure pulses is greater than $0.4\#/hr$, implying that to. those storms the pressure pulses occur more frequently than do periodic substorms with an average substorm duration of 2.5 hrs. In order to understand the origin of these pressure pulses, we have first examined responsible storm drivers. It turns out that $65\%$ of the studied storms we driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) while others are associated with corotating interaction regions $(6.3\%)$ or Type II bursts $(7.2\%)$. Out of the storms that are driven by CMEs, over $70\%$ show that the main phase interval overlaps with the sheath, namely, the region between CME body and the shock, and with the leading region of a CME. This suggests that the origin of the frequent pressure pulses is often due to density fluctuations in the sheath region and the leading edge of the CME body.

Hypothyroidism Following Surgery and Radiation Therapy for Head and Neck Cancer (두경부암 환자에서 수술 및 방사선치료 후 갑상선 기능 저하)

  • Park, In-Kyu;Kim, Jae-Cheol
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.225-231
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    • 1997
  • Purpose : Radiation therapy in combination with surgery has an important role in the therapy of the head and neck cancer We conducted a prospective study for patients with head and neck cancer treated with surgery and radiation to evaluate the effect of therapies on the thyroid gland, and to identify the factors that might influence the development of hypothyroidism. Materials and Methods : From September 1986 through December 1994, 71 patients with head and cancer treated with surgery and radiation were included in this prospective study. Patients' age ranged from 32 to 73 years with a median age of 58 years. There were 12 women and 59 men. The primary tumor sites were larynx in 34 patients, hypopharynx in 13 patients, oral cavity in 12 patients, unknown primary of the neck in 6 patients, salivary gland in 3 patients, maxillary sinus in 2 patients, and oropharynx in 1 patient. Total laryngectomy with neck dissection was carried out in 45 patients and neck dissection alone in 26 patients. All patients were serially monitored for thyroid function (T3, T4, free T4, TSH, antithyroglobulin antibody and antimicrosomal antibody) before and after radiation therapy. Radiation dose to the thyroid gland ranged from 40.6Gy to 60Gy with a median dose of 50Gy The follow-up duration was 3 to 80 months. Results :The overall incidence of hypothyroidism was 56.3\%$);7 out of 71 patients $(9.9\%)$ developed clinical hypothyroidism and 33 patients $(46.4\%)$ developed subclinical hypothyroidism. No thyroid nodules, thyroid cancers, or hyperthyroidism was detected. Hypothyroidism developed earlier in patients who underwent total laryngectomy with neck dissection than in patients with neck dissection alone (P<0.05). The risk factor that significantly influenced the incidence of hypothyroidism was a combination of surgery (total laryngectomy with neck dissection) and radiation therapy (P=0.0000), Four of 26 patients $(15.4\%)$ with neck dissection alone developed hypothyroidism while 36 of 45 patients $(80\%)$ with laryngectomy and neck dissection developed hypothyroidism. Conclusion : The hypothyroidism following surgery and radiation therapy was a relatively common complication. The factor that significantly influenced theincidence of hypothyroidism was combination of surgery and radiation therapy. Evaluation of thyroid function before and after radiation therapy with periodic thyroid function tests is recommended for an early detection of hypothyroidism and thyroid hormone replacement therapy is recommended whenever hypothyroidism develops.

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A Study on the Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Passage Frequency over the Western North Pacific using Empirical Orthogonal Function (경험적 직교함수를 이용한 북서태평양 열대저기압의 이동빈도 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Ki-Seon;Kang, Ki-Ryong;Kim, Do-Woo;Hwang, Ho-Seong;Lee, Sang-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.721-733
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    • 2009
  • A pattern of tropical cyclone (TC) movement in the western North Pacific area was studied using the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) and the best track data from 1951 to 2007. The independent variable used in this study was defined as the frequency of tropical cyclone passage in 5 by 5 degree grid. The $1^{st}$, $2^{nd}$ and $3^{rd}$ modes were the east-west, north-south and diagonal variation patterns. Based on the time series of each component, the signs of first and second mode changed in 1997 and 1991, respectively, which seems to be related to the fact that the passage frequency was higher in the South China Sea for 20 years before 1990s, and recent 20 years in the East Asian area. When the eigen vectors were negative values in the first and second modes and TC moves into the western North Pacific, TC was formed mainly at the east side relatively compared to the case of the positive eigen vectors. The first mode seems to relate to the pressure pattern at the south of Lake Baikal, the second mode the variation pattern around $30^{\circ}N$, and the third mode the pressure pattern around Japan. The first mode was also closely related to the ENSO and negatively related to the $Ni\tilde{n}o$-3.4 index in the correlation analysis with SST anomalies.

A Study on the Inspection of Termite-damaged Wooden Buildings through the Use of Detection Dogs and an Analysis of Environmental Factors (탐지견 반응 및 환경 인자 분석을 통한 목조 건축물의 흰개미 피해 조사)

  • Kim, Young Hee;Lim, Bo A;Lee, Jeung Min;Jo, Chang Wook;Kim, Soo Ji;Park, Ji Hee
    • Journal of Conservation Science
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.641-651
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    • 2019
  • This study investigates three buildings arranged alongside at the same level, namely, the Josadang, the Buljojeon, and the Palsangjeon. Their backside is blocked by an embankment with an environmental condition unsuitable for wooden buildings. The pillar behind the Josadang had termite damage for which termite damage and environmental investigations had been conducted for the past four years. The termite damage was monitored four times using the termite detection dogs, and the environmental factors were surveyed 27 times, except during the winter season. As a result, the locations of the columns with a high frequency of responses from the termite detection dogs were found and damage was confirmed. According to the surface moisture content investigations, the surface moisture content was highest in the Josadang and lowest in the Buljojeon. After a statistical analysis, the mean, the median, and the mode values were compared. The difference between the mean and the median was found to be less, however, the mode varied significantly. The mode values of the Josadang and the Palsangjeon were 14.5% and 10.8%, respectively, higher than the 6.1% mode value of the Buljojeon. It was concluded that the temperature and the water content affected the termite damage, which increases if the temperature and the water content remain constant owing to the environmental factors.

Flooding Risk Assessment Using Flooding Characteristic Values (침수특성치를 이용한 침수위험성 평가)

  • Ahn, Jeonghwan;Kim, Kunwoo;Cho, Woncheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.957-964
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    • 2013
  • This research is on the methodology of flood risk assessment using flooding characteristic values. Necessity of design magnitude for flood control considering floods was judged by plotting peak flow with respect to frequency and duration, and flooding magnitude was defined with 6 flooding characteristic values which were proposed to be significant factors when assessing flooding magnitude. Precipitation data used in the assessment modeling were applied by combining all the possible precipitation events. After overlapping the simulated results with precipitation matrix by flooding characteristic values, contour map was drawn, and Flooding characteristic contour graph for possible rainfall events were suggested in respect of all possible precipitation. Flooding characteristic contour graph for possible rainfall events was confirmed that reducing of damage magnitude of each flood characteristic value was figured out easily. The flood risk assessment methods suggested in this study would be a good reference for urban drainage system design, which only focuses on pipe conduit.

Prediction of water level in sewer pipes using LSTM algorithm (LSTM 알고리즘을 활용한 하수관로 수위 예측)

  • Lim, Heesung;An, Hyunuk;Lee, Hyojin;Song, Inhyeok;Lee, Yong-Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.117-117
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    • 2022
  • 범지구적인 기후변화로 인하여 도시유역의 국지성 집중호우가 빈번히 발생하고 기상이변 현상이 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 이로 인해 도시지역의 침수 등의 자연재해 증가로 인명 및 재산피해가 발생하고 있다. 이에 따라 하수도의 제 기능을 수행하고 있다면 문제가 없지만 이상기후로 인한 기록적인 폭우에 의해 침수가 발생하고 있다. 홍수 및 집중호우와 같은 극치사상의 발생빈도가 증가됨에 따라 강우사상의 변동에 따른 하수관로의 수위를 예측하고 침수에 대해 대처하기 위해 과거 수위에 따른 수위 예측은 중요할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구에서는 서울 열린데이터 광장에서 제공하는 서울시 하수관로 수위 현황 자료를 활용하여 하수관로 수위 예측을 확인해 보았다. 대상자료는 서울특별시 강동구에 위치한 하수관로 수위 자료로, 서울 열린데이터 광장에서 제공하고 있는 2012년 ~ 2020년 25개 구 데이터 중 가장 누락데이터가 적은 자료를 활용하여 연구를 진행하였다. 하수관로 수위 예측에는 딥러닝 알고리즘RNN-LSTM 알고리즘을 활용하였으며, RNN-LSTM 알고리즘은 하천의 수위 예측에 우수한 성능을 보여준 바 있다. 하수관로 수위 예측에 앞서 1분 단위로 수집된 수위 데이터를 5분 평균, 5분 스킵자료, 10분 평균, 10분 스킵 등 비교를 위해 데이터를 구분하여 학습에 활용하였으며, 데이터 분석을 위해 하수관로 수위값 변동이 심한 1주일을 선정하여 분석을 실시하였다. 연구에는Google에서 개발한 딥러닝 오픈소스 라이브러리인 텐서플로우를 활용하였으며, 하수관로 수위 고유번호 25-0001을 대상으로 예측을 하였다. 학습에는 2012년 ~ 2018년의 하수관로 수위 자료를 활용하였으며, 모형의 검증을 위해 결정계수(R square)를 이용하여 통계분석을 실시하였다.

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Evaluation of Wave Characteristics and JONSWAP Spectrum Model in the Northeastern Jeju Island on Fall and Winter (제주도 북동부 연안에서 추동계 파랑특성과 JONSWAP 스펙트럼의 적용성 평가)

  • Kang, Dong-Hyub;Lee, Byung-Gul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.63-69
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    • 2014
  • Analysis frequency spectrum through observed wave data in northeastern shore, jeju island, during winter and fall, and review wave characteristics. In order to compute maximum wave height, we calculate the ratio of significant wave height to maximum wave height using the linear regression equation. In addition, for calculating JONSWAP spectrum, we assumed ${\gamma}$ value using significant wave height and peak frequency in the observation area. Consequently, the highest frequency is below 1 m in the case of significant wave height and during the first observation, the mean of height was estimated at 0.523 m and during the scend observation, it was 0.423 m. Furthermore, in peak frequency, the highest frequency was 0.12 Hz~0.15 Hz (period is nearly 6.67s~8.33s), the results of ${\gamma}$ from using significant wave height and peak frequency is 2.72 and the significant wave height calculated by straight linear regression equation was $1.635H_s$.

Rectal Bleeding and Its Management after Irradiation for Cervix Cancer (자궁경부암 환자에서 방사선치료 후에 발생한 직장출혈과 치료)

  • Chun Mison;Kang Seunghee;Kil Hoon-Jong;Oh Young-Taek;Sohn Jeong-Hye;Jung Hye-Young;Ryu Hee Suk;Lee Kwang-Jae
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.343-352
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    • 2002
  • Purpose : Radiotherapy is the main treatment modality for uterine cervix cancer. Since the rectum is in the radiation target volume, rectal bleeding is a common late side effect. This study evaluates the risk factors of radiation induced rectal bleeding and discusses its optimal management. Materials and Methods : total of 213 patients who completed external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) and intracavitary radiation (ICR) between September 1994 and December 1999 were included in this study. No patient had undergone concurrent chemo-radiotherapy. Ninety patients received radiotherapy according to a modified hyperfractionated schedule. A midline block was placed at a pelvic dose of between 30.6 Gy to 39.6 Gy. The total parametrial dose from the EBRT was 51 to 59 Gy depending on the extent of their disease. The Point A dose from the HDR brachytherapy was 28 Gy to 30 Gy $(4\;Gy\times7,\;or\;5\;Gy\times6)$. The rectal point dose was calculated either by the ICRU 38 guideline, or by anterior rectal wall point seen on radiographs, with barium contrast. Rectal bleeding was scored by the LENT/SOMA criteria. For the management of rectal bleeding, we opted for observation, sucralfate enema or coagulation based on the frequency or amount of bleeding. The median follow-up period was 39 months $(12\~86\;months)$. Results : The incidence of rectal bleeding was $12.7\%$ (27/213); graded as 1 in 9 patients, grade 2 in 16 and grade 3 in 2. The overall moderate and severe rectal complication rate was $8.5\%$. Most complications $(92.6\%)$ developed within 2 years following completion of radiotherapy (median 16 months). No patient progressed to rectal fistula or obstruction during the follow-up period. In the univariate analysis, three factors correlated with a high incidence of bleeding an icruCRBED greater than 100 Gy $(19.7\%\;vs.\;4.2\%)$, an EBRT dose to the parametrium over 55 Gy $(22.1\%\;vs.\;5.1\%)$ and higher stages of III and IV $(31.8\%\;vs.\;10.5\%)$. In the multivariate analysis, the icruCRBED was the only significant factor (p>0.0432). The total parametrial dose from the EBRT had borderline significance (p=0.0546). Grade 1 bleeding was controlled without further management (3 patients), or with sucralfate enema 1 to 2 months after treatment. For grade 2 bleeding, sucralfate enema for 1 to 2 months reduced the frequency or amount of bleeding but for residual bleeding, additional coagulation was peformed, where immediate cessation of bleeding was achieved (symptom duration of 3 to 10 months). Grade 3 bleeding lasted for 1 year even with multiple transfusions and coagulations. Conclusion : Moderate and several rectal bleeding occurred in $8.5\%$ of patients, which is comparable with other reports. The most significant risk factor for rectal bleeding was the accumulated dose to the rectum (icruCRBED), which corrected with consideration to biological equivalence. Prompt management of rectal bleeding, with a combination of sucralfate enema and coagulation, reduced the duration of the symptom, and minimized the anxiety/discomfort of patients.

Reliability of a Questionnaire for Evaluation of Dry Mouth Symptoms (구강건조증 증상 평가를 위한 설문지의 신뢰도에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jeong-Yun;Lee, Young-Ok;Kho, Hong-Seop
    • Journal of Oral Medicine and Pain
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.383-389
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    • 2005
  • Xerostomia is defined as a subjective complaint of dry mouth that may be perceived when there is insufficient mucosal wetting. However, the diagnosis and treatment of xerostomia is not that simple because of the fact that the subjective awareness of dry mouth is not always correlated with a diminution in the flow of saliva and there is always a difference between individuals in salivary flow rates needed for normal oral function. In the present study, the aim was to develop a questionnaire to evaluate the dry mouth symptoms and to analyze its reliability and usability as a diagnostic and analytic tool for xerostomia. The questionnaire which consists of 6 Visual Analogue Scale(VAS) type questions to evaluate the subjective oral dryness and 4 questions to evaluate behavior to avoid oral dryness was developed and administered twice with 1 week's interval to the healthy 88 young adults without dry mouth symptoms(44 males and 44 females; mean age was $25.6{\pm}3.1$ years in male and $24.3{\pm}2.1$ years in female). The results were as follows. 1 The intraclass correlation coefficients of 6 questions to evaluate the subjective oral dryness were as significantly high as 0.767 for the degree of oral dryness at other times of the day, 0.850 for the amount of saliva in the mouth, and 0.791 for the degree of effect on daily life due to oral dryness and as high as 0.563 for the degree of oral dryness at night or on awakening, 0.674 for the degree of oral dryness during eating, and 0.641 for the degree of difficulty in swallowing foods. 2. Cronbach's alpha value of 6 questions was 0.982. It can be concluded that the series of questions to evaluate the subjective oral dryness has high internal consistency. 3. Cohen's kappa values of 4 questions to evaluate behavior to relieve oral dryness were as significantly high as 0.850 for the frequency of keeping a glass of water at the bedside and as high as 0.506 the frequency of awakening during sleeping due to oral dryness, 0.419 for the frequency of sipping liquids to aid in eating dry foods, and 0.407 for the frequency of using a candy or chewing gum due to oral dryness. From the results, it can be concluded that the questionnaire consisting of 6 VAS type questions to evaluate the subjective oral dryness and 4 questions to evaluate behavior to relieve oral dryness has reliability of good to excellent level, and that the series of 6 VAS type questions has significantly high internal consistency to evaluate the subjective oral dryness.