• Title/Summary/Keyword: 반복정체발생시점

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A Statistical Method for Predicting Recurrent Congestion Time in Urban Freeway (도시고속도로 반복정체 시점의 통계학적 분석방법)

  • Han, Yeong-Jun;Son, Bong-Su;Kim, Won-Gil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.3 s.89
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2006
  • As a recurrent congestion of urban freeway occurs in almost same time and section, it is possible to manage the congestion effectively by the expectation and advance correspondence. In the existing traffic management system. we have used pattern data to manage a recurrent congestion. But it is not applicable to an urban freeway which kas various traffic circumstance. In this study, the probability by travel speed using a statistical distribution method will be used to predict the probability of recurrent congestion. It is expected that we can get the point of time and the duration of recurrent congestion, and we can devise an effective advance correspondence and a transportation operation.

Longitudinal Control of Acceleration Lanes and its Impact on Congestion Alleviation (가속차로의 길이 제어와 고속도로 접속부 혼잡저감 효과)

  • Shin, Chi-Hyun;Kim, Kyu-Ok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.5 s.83
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    • pp.169-176
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    • 2005
  • This paper introduces the dynamic control of acceleration lanes at freeway-ramp junctions. The feasibility of operation with flexible length of acceleration lane was tested with most possible traffic conditions. The operational qualify was also evaluated using average speed and total thru-put at both ramp section and freeway section. A CORSIM microscopic simulation model was used to evaluate the operation quality with a variety or volume conditions and three acceleration lanes, each representing different length categories. In addition, tollgate O-D data including travel times were obtained for two sections on the Gyeong-bu Freeway where an effective merging distance has been largely reduced. Its effect was analyzed and compared to the simulation results. Finally, the effects of acceleration lane are discussed and operational improvement at junctions is presented as research findings.

Development of Freeway Incident Duration Prediction Models (고속도로 돌발상황 지속시간 예측모형 개발)

  • 신치현;김정훈
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.17-30
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    • 2002
  • Incident duration prediction is one of the most important steps of the overall incident management process. An accurate and reliable estimate of the incident duration can be the main difference between an effective incident management operation and an unacceptable one since, without the knowledge of such time durations, traffic impact can not be estimated or calculated. This research presents several multiple linear regression models for incident duration prediction using data consisting of 384 incident cases. The main source of various incident cases was the Traffic Incident Reports filled out by the Motorist Assistant Units of the Korea Highway Corporation. The models were proposed separately according to the time of day(daytime vs. nighttime) and the fatality/injury incurred (fatality/injury vs. property damage only). Two models using an integrated dataset, one with an intercept and the other without it, were also calibrated and proposed for the generality of model application. Some findings are as follows ; ?Variables such as vehicle turnover, load spills, the number of heavy vehicles involved and the number of blocked lanes were found to significantly affect incident duration times. ?Models, however, tend to overestimate the duration times when a dummy variable, load spill, is used. It was simply because several of load spill incidents had excessively long clearance times. The precision was improved when load spills were further categorized into "small spills" and "large spills" based on the size of vehicles involved. ?Variables such as the number of vehicles involved and the number of blocked lanes found not significant when a regression model was calibrated with an intercept. whereas excluding the intercept from the model structure signifies those variables in a statistical sense.