• Title/Summary/Keyword: 미래예측

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How is Scientific and Technological Knowledge Linked in Technological Innovation in Korea? (우려나라 기술혁신에서의 과학-기술 지식연계 특성분석)

  • Park, Hyun-Woo;Son, Jong-Ku;You, Yeon-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2011
  • Technical change and technological innovation have become major drivers of economic progress in the knowledge oriented economies where growth, productivity, and competitiveness are increasingly based on improved technologies, novel products, upgraded processes or customized services. The creation of new knowledge, modifying or improving existent knowledge, or imitation of others, has become central to economic development. New discoveries, state-of-the-art information gathering procedures, or successful problem solving routines are often at he core of these innovations. Despite the generally acknowledged importance of science in many high-tech areas of major economic relevance, there is few science-related statistics to be found in high-profile international benchmarking reports. This paper aims to provide an answer by advancing our understanding of the possibilities of indicators quantifying linkages between science and technology. Central are the concepts of innovation capability and science/technology interface, which are used to assemble a wide range of empirical studies and quantitative indicators to summarize their possibilities and limitations for producing comparative statistics. For the purpose of the study, we extracted the US patents by Korean assignees or inventors, scientific papers cited in the patents in order to analyze the characteristics of linkage of scientific knowledge flows. The review focuses on indicators dealing with flows of written or codified information, and indicators of inventiveness that capture the non-codifiable tacit knowledge dimension. General conclusions will be drawn with a view towards further developments in the foreseeable future, suggesting new avenues for the design and implementation of patent-based and inventor-based relationships between scientific research and technical development within the context of regional or national systems of innovation.

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The Utilization of Big Data's Disaster Management in Korea (국내 재난관리 분야의 빅 데이터 활용 정책방안)

  • Shin, Dong-Hee;Kim, Yong-Moon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.377-392
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    • 2015
  • In today's data-driven society, we've been hearing a great deal about the power of Big Data over the last couple of years. At the same time, it has become the most important issue that the problems is caused by the data collection, management and utilization. Moreover, Big Data has a wide applications ranging from situation awareness, decision-making to the area to enable for the foreseeable future with man-made and analysis of data. It is necessary to process data into meaningful information given that the huge amount of structured and unstructured data being created in the private and the public sector, even in disaster management. This data should be public and private sector at the same time for the appropriate linkage analysis for effective disaster management. In this paper, we conducted a literature review and case study efficient Big Data to derive the revitalization of national disaster management. The study obtained data on the role and responsibility of the public sector and the private sector to leverage Big Data for promotion of national disaster management plan. Both public and private sectors should promote common development challenges related to the openness and sharing of Big Data, technology and expansion of infrastructure, legal and institutional maintenance. The implications of the finding were discussed.

A Study on the Improvement of Evaluation System for Implementation of National Forest Management (국유림경영계획 실행평가 제도 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Damin;Lim, Chul-Hee;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Song, Cholho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.4
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    • pp.640-648
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    • 2015
  • National forests have been assumed to do a leading role in carbon sequestration and creating forest resources since society demanded it due to climate change. Therefore, it is needed to check whether a national forest management plan and its evaluation are implemented effectively. As an effective planning and management is to be ensured on the basis of proper evaluation system, this research suggests to improve the evaluation system by analyzing it theoretically. Improvements for national forest management plan and its evaluation are as follows: (1) adjusting evaluation goal and time; (2) giving weighting to each work when planning; (3) writing details of change in planning and its grounds; (4) using the national forest management information systems to integrate these evaluation methods and result. Since to predict future changes in forests and achieve sustainable forest management begins at the reliable evaluation for overall process of the implemented project, the significance of this study is in proposing the improvement of evaluation system for national forest.

Modeling and Analysis of Cooperative Engagements with Manned-Unmanned Ground Combat Systems (무인 지상 전투 체계의 협동 교전 모델링 및 분석)

  • Han, Sang Woo;Pyun, Jai Jeong
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.105-117
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    • 2020
  • Analysis of combat effectiveness is required to consider the concept of tactical cooperative engagement between manned-unmanned weapon systems, in order to predict the required operational capabilities of future weapon systems that meets the concept of 'effect-based synchronized operations.' However, analytical methods such as mathematical and statistical models make it difficult to analyze the effects of complex systems under nonlinear warfare. In this paper, we propose a combat simulation model that can simulate the concept of cooperative engagement between manned-unmanned combat entities based on wireless communications. First, we model unmanned combat entities, e.g., unmanned ground vehicles and drones, and manned combat entities, e.g., combatants and artillery, considering the capabilities required by the future ground system. We also simulate tactical behavior in which all entities perform their mission while sharing battlefield situation information through wireless communications. Finally we explore the feasibility of the proposed model by analyzing combat effectiveness such as target acquisition rate, remote control success rate, reconnaissance lead time, survival rate, and enemy's loss rate under a small-unit armor reconnaissance scenario. The proposed model is expected to be used in war-game combat experiments as well as analysis of the effects of manned-unmanned ground weapons.

A Case Study of Infographics for National Defense - Focusing on the Datajournalism of Afghanistan War in Guardian (국방분야에서 인포그래픽 적용사례 연구 - 영(英) 가디언지 아프가니스탄전 데이터저널리즘을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Dong Hwan
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2014
  • Recently, Big Data is a buzzword in the creative economy generation. The organizations related to spatial information society focus on building the spatial big data systems. As spatial big data is a combination of spatial information and big data, the data visualization is essential in order to utilize them efficiently. One of the great methodologies for data visualization is infographics. Nationally, Chousn.com initiated the infographics news in 2010. Korean Administration Branches also recognized the importance of infographic and they adopted infographics for their briefings from 2013. Internationally, Visual.ly is leading company in the infographics market and they produced noticeable interactive infographics for Egypt Parliamentary Elections results. In the defense part, Guardian's datajournalism of Afghanistan war log was a good example of utilizing infographics. Throughout the research, five requirements are extracted. First source data should have precision and accuracy in terms of time and space manner. Second, infographics images have a compressibility. Third, the infographics is properly processed for military commanders. Fourth, sharing, openness and communication are essential for high quality infographic. Lastly, infographics should be an analytic tool for predicting future event based on the past data. Infographics is not a direct representation of data but an analytic tool for helping user's choice and decision in critical moments.

Comparison on Influencing Factors on Consciousness of Biomedical Ethics in Nursing Students and General Students (간호대학생과 일반대학생의 생명의료윤리의식 영향요인 비교)

  • Lee, Keum Jae;Lee, Eliza;Park, Yeon-Suk
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.377-388
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    • 2016
  • This study was done to compare consciousness of biomedical ethics in nursing and general students. Participants were 382 nursing and general students at a college in S city. Mean score of consciousness of biomedical ethics(range:1~4) in nursing students was 3.04 and general students, 3.12. Thus, mean score of consciousness of biomedical ethics of two group were above the average and general students significantly higher than nursing students. Life-respect consciousness, perceived ethical values in nursing students were shown as significant predictors on consciousness of biomedical ethics and life-respect consciousness, sexual attitude, value regarding child rearing in general students. The most influential predictor of two groups was life-respect consciousness. To establish desirable biomedical ethics of nursing students, it is necessary that subjects related to biomedical ethics should be mandatory, and it is necessary to raise the proportion of credit for the curriculum.

Correlation Analysis of Forest Fire Occurrences by Change of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI 변화에 따른 산불발생과의 관계 분석)

  • YOON, Suk-Hee;WON, Myoung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.14-26
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed the correlation between the standardized precipitation index(SPI) and forest fire occurrences using monthly accumulative rainfall data since 1970 and regional fire occurrence data since 1991. To understand the relationship between the SPI and forest fire occurrences, the correlations among the SPI of nine main observatory weather stations including Seoul, number of fire occurrences, and log of fire occurrences were analyzed. We analyzed the correlation of SPI with fire occurrences in the 1990s and 2000s and found that in the 1990s, the SPI of 3 months showed high correlation in Gyeonggi, Gangwon, and Chungnam, while the SPI of 6 months showed high correlation in Chungbuk, and the SPI of 12 months showed high correlation in Gyeongnam, Gyenongbuk, Jeonnam, and Jeonbuk. In the 2000s, the SPI of 6 months showed high correlation with the fire frequency in Gyeonggi, Chungnam, Chungbuk, Jeonnam, and Jeonbuk, whereas the fire frequency in western Gangwon was highly correlated with the SPI of 3 months and, in eastern Gangwon, Gyeongnam, and Gyenongbuk, with the SPI of 1 month. In the 1990s, distinct differences in the drought condition between the SPI of 3 months and 12 months in the northern and southern regions of Korean Peninsula were found, whereas the differences in both the SPI of 1 month and 6 months were found in the Baekdudaegan region except western Gangwon since the 2000s. Therefore, this study suggests that we can develop a model to predict forest fire occurrences by applying the SPI of 1-month and 6-month data in the future.

Identification of yearly variation in Hwacheon dam inflow using trend analysis and hydrological sensitivity method (경향성 분석과 수문학적 민감도 기법을 이용한 화천댐 유입량의 연별 변동량 규명)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.425-438
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    • 2018
  • Existing studies that analyze the causes and effects of water circulation use mostly rainfall - runoff models, which requires much effort in model development, calibration and verification. In this study, hydrological sensitivity analysis which can separate quantitatively the impacts by natural factors and anthropogenic factor was applied to the Hwacheon dam upper basin from 1967 to 2017. As a result of using various variable change point detection methods, 1999 was detected as a statistically significant change point. Especially, based on the hydrological sensitivity analysis using 5 Budyko based functions, it was estimated that the average inflow reduction amount by Imnam dam construction was $1.890\;billion\;m^3/year$. This results in this study was slightly larger than the those by existing researchers due to increase of rainfall and decrease of Hwacheon dam inflow. In future, it was suggested that effective water management measures were needed to resolve theses problems. Especially, it can be suggested that the monthly or seasonal analysis should be performed and also the prediction of discharge for future climate change should be considered to establish resonable measures.

Eligibility Analysis of Land on a Reforestation CDM Project in Goseong District, South Korea (청정개발체제하 재 조림 사업의 토지적격성에 대한 사례 분석 -고성군 재조림 사업을 중심으로-)

  • Guishan, Cui;Kwon, Tae-Hyub;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Kwak, Hanbin;Nam, Kijun;Song, Yongho;Hangnan, Yu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.102 no.2
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 2013
  • For reducing greenhouse gases, many countries carried out a series of activities not only at home but abroad. Particularly, after the release of the Kyoto Protocol, either nation or companies' participation was intensified, due to endow to responsibility of emission limits. This study focused on reforestation CDM work in Goseong Gun based on clean development system. Obstacle factors of land eligibility could be distinguished to three periods: before December 31th 1989, present and future. The obstacle before December 31th 1989 was that land cover of study area hardly illustrated by Landsat image, due to the low resolution, which were confirmed by a document of Grassland Composition Permission instead. The problem of current land eligibility is that the area of trees presence are difficult to be determined as forest or not. The boundary of forest in strata was identified, using 3-Dimensional Cartography Machine and aerial photograph. Land eligibility would still have obstacle whether the study area with trees presence has potentiality to be forest in the future at situation in absence of reforestation project. This was resolved by prediction of tree growth using stem analysis during execution of the project at study area.

Assessment of Local Social Vulnerability in Facing Merapi Volcanic Hazard (메라피 화산재해에 대한 지역단위의 사회적 취약성 평가)

  • Lee, Sungsu;Maharani, Yohana Noradika;Yi, Waon-Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.485-492
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    • 2014
  • In regards to natural disasters, vulnerability analysis is a component of the disaster risk analysis with one of its objectives as a basis for planning priority setting activities. The volcano eruption raises many casualties and property in the surrounding area, especially when the volcano located in densely populated areas. Volcanic eruptions cannot be prevented, but the risk and vulnerability can be reduced which involve careful planning and preparations that anticipate a future crisis. The social vulnerability as social inequalities with those social factors can influence the susceptibility of various groups to harm and govern their ability to respond. This study carried out the methods of Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) to measure the socially created vulnerability of the people living in Merapi proximal hamlets in Central Java, Indonesia that refers to the socioeconomic and demographic factors that affect the resilience of communities in order to describe and understand the social burdens of risk. Social vulnerability captured here, using a qualitative survey based-data such as interviews to local people with random ages and background to capture the answer vary, also interviews to stakeholders to help define social vulnerability variables. The paper concludes that by constructing the vulnerability index for the hamlets, the study reveals information about the distribution and causes of social vulnerability. The analysis using SoVI confirms that this method works well in ensuring that positive values indicating high social vulnerability and vice versa.