• Title/Summary/Keyword: 미기상 수치 모델

Search Result 19, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Simulations of Changes in Wind Field Over Mountainous Terrains Using WRF and ENVI-met Numerical Models (WRF와 ENVI-met 수치 모델을 이용한 산악지형의 바람장 변화 모사)

  • Won, Myoungsoo;Han, Seonho
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.17-25
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper we interpreted the changes in wind field over complex mountainous terrains. The results of our study can be applied for predicting the direction of fire spread and for establishing strategies for fire prevention. The study area is bounded by $12{\times}12$ km domains of the Samcheok's long-term ecological research (LTER) site located in the east coast, in which a large-fire had occurred from 7 to 13 April 2000. Because of the area's complex topography, we compared the result of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale model with those observed by four automated weather stations. The WRF simulation overestimated the wind speed by 5 to 8 m/s (~200%) in comparison with those from four automated weather stations. The wind directions observed by the AWSs were from various directions whereas those from WRF model were mostly west wind at all stations. Overall, the simulations by the WRF mesoscale models were not appropriate for the estimation of microscale wind fields over complex mountainous areas. To overcome such inadequacy of reproducing the wind fields, we employed the ENVI-met model over Samcheok's LTER site. In order to test the model's sensitivity with the terrain effects, experimental simulations were conducted with various initial conditions. The simulation results of the ENVI-met model showed a reasonable agreement in wind speeds (about 70% accuracy) with those of the four AWSs. Also, that the variations in wind directions agreed reasonably well with changes in terrain effect. We concluded that the ENVI-met model is more appropriate in representing the microscale wind field over complex mountain terrains, which is required to predict fire spread and to establish strategies for forest fire prevention.

Study on the Change of Wind Field and Temperature According to Location of High-rise Building Using Micrometeorology Numerical Model (미기상 수치 모델을 이용한 고층아파트 입지에 따른 바람장 및 기온 변화 연구)

  • Seo, Houng-Seok;Kim, Yoo-Gon;Young, Go-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
    • /
    • v.33 no.5
    • /
    • pp.340-352
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study was carried out to analyze the change of wind filed and heat island according to the location of the high rise building using micrometeorology numerical model Envi-met3.0. In this study, the real urban planning of Jeonju city was used as input for the location and height of buildings. Modeling was performed for two conditions as input data. Case 1 is that wind direction is SSE and case 2 is W. To analyse the change of wind filed, wind speed results were used. To analyze the change of heat island, temperature results were used. Below the building height, wind speed increased 0.2~2.5 m/s at the inflow area and decreased 0.5~2.0 m/s at the area between the buildings. Above the building height, wind speed decreased 0.1~0.8 m/s near the building complex. On the other hand, wind speed increased 0.2~0.4 m/s in the outside area of the building complex. In the case of temperature, below the building height, temperatures increased $0.01{\sim}0.1^{\circ}C$ in the building complex and leeward area. On the other hand, temperature decreased $0.01{\sim}0.005^{\circ}C$ in the outside area of the building complex. Above the buildings height, temperatures decreased $0.05{\sim}0.2^{\circ}C$ in most of the area.

Development of the Korean wind map using WRF-FDDA-LES (WRF-FDDA-LES를 이용한 풍력-기상자원지도 개발)

  • Byon, Jae-Young;Choi, Young-Jean;Seo, Beom-Keun;Kim, Su-Na
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2010.11a
    • /
    • pp.181.1-181.1
    • /
    • 2010
  • 기후변화의 주요인이 되는 온실가스 감축을 목표로 화석연료를 대체하기 위한 대체 에너지 개발을 위한 많은 노력이 진행되고 있다. 풍력 에너지와 같은 신재생에너지는 이러한 하나의 해결 수단이 될 수 있으며 풍력 에너지 사업의 활성화를 위해서는 정확한 풍력 정보 제공이 우선이다. 풍력-기상자원지도는 풍력 발전에 유용한 정보 제공을 위한 목적으로 중규모 수치 모델을 이용하여 작성된다. 본 연구에서는 중규모 수치 모델의 정확도 향상을 위한 자료동화 방법으로써 Four-Dimensional Data Assimilation (FDDA) 방법을 이용한다. 풍력-기상자원지도는 공간분해능 1 km 해상도로 개발된다. 풍력-기상자원지도는 1998-2008년까지의 평균적인 상태에 대하여 모의를 하기 위하여 통계적인 방법으로 11년 기간의 평균과 유사한 기간을 선정하였다. 풍력-기상자원지도는 연 평균, 월 평균 풍속과 주 풍향, 주풍향 발생 비율 등의 정보를 제공한다. 우리나라 풍속의 평균 분포는 내륙 산악지역, 남해안, 제주도에서 강풍이 발생하며 주 풍향은 대체로 북서풍이다. 주 풍향의 발생비율은 산악 지역과 남 동해안에서 높아 풍력 발전의 최적지 정보를 제공한다. 1 km 해상도의 모델과 관측의 오차는 서해안 등의 해안지역보다 강원 산악지역에서 오차가 더욱 증가하였다. 이러한 산악 지역의 오차는 복잡한 지형에서는 1km 미만의 수 백 m 해상도 수치모의가 필요함을 지시한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 WRF-LES 모형을 이용하여 333m 해상도의 기상자원지도를 개발한다. 333m 해상도의 자원지도 영역은 강원도 지역에 대하여 모의되었다. 333m 해상도의 풍속 분포는 1km 해상도의 풍속 분포와 비교하였을 때 풍속의 분포가 보다 세밀하게 표현되었다. 정량적인 검증을 하였을 때 관측소에 따라 차이는 있었으나 1km 해상도에서 과대 모의된 풍속의 분포가 현저히 개선이 되었으며, 시간적인 경향도 잘 일치함을 보였다.

  • PDF

Development of Meso-scale Short Range NWP System for the Cheju Regional Meteorological Office, Korea (제주 지역에 적합한 중규모 단시간 예측 시스템의 개발)

  • Kim, Yong-Sang;Choi, Jun-Tae;Lee, Yong-Hee;Oh, Jai-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.186-194
    • /
    • 2001
  • The operational meso-scale short range NWP system was developed for Cheju Regional Meteorological Office located at Cheju island, Korea. The Central Meteorological Service Center, KMA has reported the information on numerical weather prediction every 12 hours. But this information is not enough to determine the detail forecast for the regional meteorological office because the terrain of the Korean peninsula is very complex and the resolution of the numerical model provided by KMA headquarter is too coarse to resolve the local severe weather system such as heavy rainfall. LAPS and MM5 models were chosen for three-dimentional data assimilation and numerical weather prediction tools respectively. LAPS was designed to provide the initial data to all regional numerical prediction models including MM5. Synoptic observational data from GTS, satellite brightness temperature data from GMS-5 and the composite reflectivity data from 5 radar sites were used in the LAPS data assimilation for producing the initial data. MM5 was performed on PC-cluster based on 16 pentium CPUs which was one of the cheapest distributed parallel computer in these days. We named this system as Halla Short Range Prediction System (HSRPS). HSRPS was verified by heavy rainfall case in July 9, 1999, it showed that HSRPS well resolved local severe weather which was not simulated by 30 km MM5/KMA. Especially, the structure of rainfall amount was very close to the corresponding observation. HSRPS will be operating every 6 hours in the Cheju Regional Meteorological Office from April 2000.

  • PDF

A Study on the HDF5 Data Model Design for Gridded Marine Weather Information Based on S-100 (S-100 기반의 격자형 해양기상정보 데이터 모델 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Donghun;Eom, Dae-Yong
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.46 no.3
    • /
    • pp.158-167
    • /
    • 2022
  • The International Maritime Organization's e-Navigation strategy introduces new technologies to ships to support easier and safer navigation. To implement the e-Navigation strategy, it was necessary to develop a common data model, that could meet various requirements across all aspects of the maritime information service. The International Hydrographic Organization's S-100 Universal Hydrographic Data Model was selected, as the basis for the standardization of maritime data products. Three S-100 based product specifications for weather information, collectively called "S-41X", are currently under development by the NOAA's Ocean Prediction Center, for use in the Electronic Chart Display and Information System (ECDIS). This paper describes a design of a grid based S-413 data model out of three S-41X product specifications. Other S-100 data products, which support the gridded data format, were considered. To verify the data model, an encoding test was conducted, using the Korean Meteorological Adminstration's numerical prediction model results.

Application of machine learning technique for runoff prediction in watershed with limited data (자료 과소 유역 유출 모의을 위한 머신러닝 기법 적용)

  • Jeung, Minhyuk;Beom, Jina;Park, Minkyeong;Jeong, Jiyeon;Yoon, Kwangsik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2021.06a
    • /
    • pp.254-254
    • /
    • 2021
  • 기후변화로 인한 자연재해는 해마다 크게 증가하고있으며, 홍수 및 가뭄의 강도와 빈도 증가, 지구온난화로 인한 하천 건천화 등 많은 문제들이 대두되고 있다. 특히, 물 순환과정의 핵심요소로 설명되는 유출량의 변동은 용수 공급과 홍수 대응 및 관리, 하천생태계 유지를 위한 환경에 영향을 미치고 있다. 따라서, 갈수량, 풍수량 등을 산정하여 하천별 유황특성을 결정하는 방법을 사용하고 있으나, 이와같은 지표는 계측자료가 과소한 경우 하천의 유황특성을 세부적으로 이해하고 정량적으로 제시하는데에 한계가있다. 따라서, 미계측 유역에서 Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)과 같은 수리해석모델이 광범위하게 이용되고있으며, SWAT 모델은 유역의 수치표고모형, 토양 특성, 토지이용 현황, 기상 현황, 유역의 매개변수 등을 반영하여 모델이 구동되고 있다. 하지만, 광범위하게 이용되고 적용성이 입증된 모델임에도 불구하고 입력자료의 불확실성 및 조사되지 않은 영농활동 등으로 인해 결과에 불확실성이 내포되어있으며, 불확실성을 줄이기 위해 실측된 하천의 유량 자료를 이용하여 검정 및 보정작업을 거치고 있다. 모델의 보정 방법으로는 SWAT-CUP과 같은 프로그램 이용되고 있지만, 모델에서 이용되는 매개변수로는 보정할수 있는 범위가 한정적이기 때문에 모델의 정확성을 높이는데에 한계가 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 선암천 유역을 대상으로 모델의 매개변수를 보정하지 않고도 머신러닝 기법을 이용하여 모델의 결과를 향상시켰다. 보정 결과, 유량의 경우 R2가 0.42에서 0.91으로 향상되었으며, 특히 고유량 구간에서의 정확성이 매우 향상되었다. 본 연구에서 평가된 SWAT+머신러닝 결합 모형은 향후 모델 구동에 필요한 입력자료가 부족한 경우와 빠른 검정 및 보정 작업이 필요할 경우 활용될수 있을것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Temporal and Spatial Wind Information Production and Correction Algorithm Development by Land Cover Type over the Republic of Korea (한반도 시공간적 바람정보 생산과 토지피복별 보정 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, Do Yong;Han, Kyung Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.19-27
    • /
    • 2012
  • Wind is an important variable for various scientific communities such as meteorology, climatology, and renewable energy. In this study, numerical simulations using WRF mesoscale model were performed to produce temporal and spatial wind information over the Republic of Korea during 2006. Although the spatial features and monthly variations of the near-surface wind speed were well simulated in the model, the simulated results overestimated the observed values as a whole. To correct these simulated wind speeds, a regression-based statistical algorithm with different constants and coefficients by land cover type was developed using the satellite-derived LST and NDWI. The corrected wind speeds for the algorithm validation showed strong correlation and close agreement with the observed values for each land cover type, with nearly zero mean bias and less than 0.4 m/s RMSE. Therefore, the proposed algorithm using remotely sensed surface observations may be useful for correcting simulated near-surface wind speeds and producing more accurate wind information over the Republic of Korea.

A Model to Forecast Rice Blast Disease Based on Weather Indexing (기상지수에 의한 벼도열병 예찰의 한 모델)

  • Kim Choong-Hoe;MacKenzie D. R.;Rush M. C.
    • Korean Journal Plant Pathology
    • /
    • v.3 no.3
    • /
    • pp.210-216
    • /
    • 1987
  • A computer program written to predict blast occurrence based on micro climatic events was developed and tested as an on-site microcomputer in field plots in 1984 and 1985. A microcomputer unit operating on alkaline batteries; continuously monitored air temperature, leaf wetness, and relative humidity; interpreted the microclimate information in relation to rice blast development and displayed daily values (0-8) of blast units of severity (BUS). Cumulative daily BUS values (CBUS) were highly correlated with blast development on the two susceptible cultivars, M-201 and Brazos grown in field plots. When CBUS values were used to predict the logit of disease proportions, the average coefficients of determination $(R^2)$ between these two factors were 71 to $91\%$, depending on cultivar and year. This was a significant improvement when compared to 61 to $79\%$ when days were used as a predictor of logit disease severity. The ability of CBUS to predict logit disease severity was slightly less with Brazos than M-201. This is significant inasmuch as Brazos showed field resistance at mid-sea­son. The results in this study indicate that the model has the potential for future use and that the model could be improved by incorporating other variables associated with host plants and pathogen races in addition to the key environmental variables.

  • PDF

The effect of vegetation parameter characteristics of the multi-layer vegetation model on wind for numerical simulation of micro-meteorology (미기상 수치모의를 위한 다층식생모델의 식생 팍라메타가 바람에 미치는 영향)

  • 오은주;이화운;정용현
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.12 no.6
    • /
    • pp.605-613
    • /
    • 2003
  • In order to make use of the protection effect against wind by the vegetation, it examined whether it should make what vegetation form and arrangement using the 2-dimensional non-hydrostatic model. When the foliage shielding factor increases, it becomes hard to take in protection effect against wind in a residential section. When it makes height of vegetation high, it becomes hard to take in protection effect against wind with height. In the comparison in the case where vegetation high is gradually made low toward wind-stream from a vegetation, and the case of making it low gradually, although former tends to receive the protection effect against wind by the vegetation, attenuation of wind velicity becomes large. In the comparison in the case where foliage shielding factor and distribution of density of leaf are gathered gradually toward wind-stream from a vegetation. It has been understood to evaluate to height the influence that the vegetation multi-layer model by which the heat revenue and expenditure in the direction of the vegetation height is considered is used, and to characterize the vegetation group by the parameter setting.