• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모형 매개변수 추정

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Estimation of Water Pollution Load Based on Watershed Unit in Bocheong Seream (보청천에 대한 유역단위의 오염부하량 산정)

  • Shin, Geun-Su;Kim, Hung-Soo;Kim, Gun-Hyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.961-965
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    • 2007
  • 현재 오염총량관리제를 시 군 단위의 기초자치 단체별로 시행하고 있는데 실제로 오염물질의 전달은 행정구역단위가 아닌 유역내에서 이루어지진다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기초자치 단체별이 아닌 유역단위로 오염부하량과 삭감량을 산정함으로써 유역 단위의 오염총량관리제 계획 수립을 위한 토대를 제공하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 보청천 유역을 대상으로 유역의 오염부하량을 산정하고자 하였다. 이를 위하여 지리정보시스템(GIS)인 WMS(Watershed Management System)와 ArcView를 이용하여 유역의 지형인자들을 추출하고, 각 소하천의 토지이용도와 생활계, 축산계, 양식계, 토지계를 바탕으로 원단위를 적용하여 발생부하량을 산정하였다. 그리고 각 소하천별 발생부하량 산정 결과를 토대로 각 수질관측점을 기준으로 하여 배출부하량을 산정하였으며, 배출부하량의 산정결과를 이용하여 유달부하량을 산정하였다. 이를 위해서 필요한 수질 데이터는 QUAL2E 모형을 이용하여 모의 하였으며, 수리 및 수질 매개변수를 추정하고 모형의 보정 및 검증을 수행하였다. 그 결과 유달부하량은 BOD는 2013.16kg/일, TN은 1091.34kg/일, TP은 235.16kg/일이 도출되었다. 따라서 장래에 수질이 악화될 경우를 고려하여 수질 항목별 오염량이 2배, 3배로 증가한다고 가정하였다. 오염량이 2배 증가하였을 경우, 오염부하량을 산정한 결과 보청천3 지점에서 BOD는 184.68kg/일이 삭감되어야 하고, 오염량이 3배 증가하였을 경우 BOD는 1775.69kg/일이 삭감되어야 한다는 결과를 도출할 수 있었다. 본 연구와 같이 유역단위로 오염부하량을 산정할 경우, 오염원을 줄이는데 효율적일 것으로 생각되며, 향후 오염총량관리제를 위해 유역단위의 오염부하량 산정을 고려하면 좋을 것으로 사료된다.는 지배적인 요인으로 남게 될 것이다. 본 연구에서는 현재 진행중인 승기천 오염하천 정화사업이 종료되는 시점을 기준으로 남동유수지에 대해 승기천과 연계한 유수지의 환경개선 방법을 제안하였다. 준설을 통해 유수지의 근본적인 오염원을 제거하고 남동유수지 유입부에 인공습지와 수처리설비를 설치하여 유수지의 수질을 개선하고 개선된 수질이 3급수로 유지하도록 하였으며, 설치된 인공습지에는 철새도래지를 조성하여 유수지 유입수인 철새가 날아드는 하천인 승기천의 테마와 연계하도록 하였다. 인공습지 주변으로 식생호안을 설치하고 유수지 주변에는 산책로를 설치하여 지역주민들의 친환경 수변공간으로 활용하도록 하였다. 1유수지와 연결된 2유수지는 BTL사업을 통해 주변공단으로부터의 오폐수를 원천적으로 차단하도록 하였으며 2유수지를 매립하여 지하는 강우시 유출수 저류가 가능한 화물차주차장으로 활용하고 지상은 녹지공간으로 조성하여 공단근로자 및 지역주민을 위한 휴식공간으로 활용될 수 있도록 제안하였다. 본 연구는 남동유수지 환경 개선 사업 실행을 위한 정책 연구로 연구결과를 인천시가 적극 수용하기로 결정함에 따라 인천시의 환경 현안 문제인 남동유수지의 수질개선을 통해 시민의 휴식 및 여가선용 공간으로 활용하기 위한 사업의 기초자료로 활용되며 이미 설계검토가 시작되었다. 본 연구결과는 유수지 및 저수지의 환경개선 사업의 선두적인 성공사례로 국내 타 지역의 유사한 사업에 있어 벤치마킹을 할 수 있는 훌륭한 사례가 될 것이다.요 생산이 증가하자 군신의 변별(辨別)과 사치를 이유로 강력하게 규제하여 백자의 확대와 발전에 걸림돌이 되었다. 둘째, 동기(銅器)의 대체품으로 자기를 만들어 충당해야할 강제성 당위성 상실로 인한 자기수요 감소를 초래하였을 것으로 사료된다. 셋째, 경기도 광주에서 백자관요가 운영되었으므로 지방인 상주

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Assessment of Probability Flood according to the Flow Regulation by Multi-purpose Dams in Han-River Basin (한강유역의 다목적댐 운영에 따른 빈도홍수량의 평가)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Lee, Jeong-Eun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the variation of probability flood according to the flow regulation by multi-purpose dams (Soyang and Chungju) in the Han-river basin, Korea. SWAT-K (Soil and Water Assessment Tool-Korea) was used in order to generate regulated and unregulated daily streamflows upstream of Paldang dam. Simulated flow regulated by the Soyang and Chungju dams was calibrated by comparison with the observed inflow data at Paldang reservoir. Generally the ratio of flood flows to daily streamflows is known to decrease with drainage area in a watershed. Regulated and unregulated flood flows were obtained from the relationship between flood flows and daily streamflows. Extreme Type-I distribution was applied for flood frequency analysis and L-moment method was used for parameter estimation. This is a novel approach capable of understanding the variation in flood frequency with dam operation for the relatively large watershed scale, and this will helps improve the applicability of daily stream flow data for use in flood control as well as in water utilization.

Identification of yearly variation in Hwacheon dam inflow using trend analysis and hydrological sensitivity method (경향성 분석과 수문학적 민감도 기법을 이용한 화천댐 유입량의 연별 변동량 규명)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.425-438
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    • 2018
  • Existing studies that analyze the causes and effects of water circulation use mostly rainfall - runoff models, which requires much effort in model development, calibration and verification. In this study, hydrological sensitivity analysis which can separate quantitatively the impacts by natural factors and anthropogenic factor was applied to the Hwacheon dam upper basin from 1967 to 2017. As a result of using various variable change point detection methods, 1999 was detected as a statistically significant change point. Especially, based on the hydrological sensitivity analysis using 5 Budyko based functions, it was estimated that the average inflow reduction amount by Imnam dam construction was $1.890\;billion\;m^3/year$. This results in this study was slightly larger than the those by existing researchers due to increase of rainfall and decrease of Hwacheon dam inflow. In future, it was suggested that effective water management measures were needed to resolve theses problems. Especially, it can be suggested that the monthly or seasonal analysis should be performed and also the prediction of discharge for future climate change should be considered to establish resonable measures.

Simulating Inflow to Busa Estuary Reservoir Considered Outflows from Boryeong Dam (보령호 방류량을 고려한 부사호 유입량 모의)

  • Noh, Jae-Kyoung;Lee, Jae-Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.368-368
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    • 2012
  • 부사호는 당초 유역면적이 $288km^2$로 이 중에서 상류 유역에 건설된 보령댐 유역면적 $163.6km^2$(57%)가 제외됨에 따라 부사호로 유입량이 급격히 줄어들어 약간의 가뭄에도 수질악화가 반복되고 있다. 부사호의 합리적인 용수 수급 관리를 위해 정확한 부사호 유입량의 추정은 절실하다. 부사호 유입량은 보령호 방류량과 부사호 지류 유역 유입량으로 구성되며, 보령호 방류량은 소수력 발전용수, 관개용수, 하천유지용수, 홍수조절 방류량, 월류량으로 구성된다. 부사호 지류 유역으로부터 자연유량에서 하천에서 취수한 공업용수를 공급하고, 웅천읍의 생활용수 $1,164m^3$/일로부터 회귀수가 유입되고, 보령댐 수혜답 1039.5 ha에 관개용수를 공급하고 회귀수가 유입되고, 부사호에서 양수하여 공급한 부사 유역 수혜답 1,141 ha의 회귀수가 유입되고, 6개 저수지 수혜답 396.5 ha의 회귀수가 유입되는 등 지류 유입량의 구성은 매우 복잡하다. 하천에서 취수하여 공급하는 공업용수는 서해화력 5천 $m^3$/일, 보령화력 15천 $m^3$/일로 구성된다. ONE (One parameter New Exponential) 모형을 근간으로 유입량 모형을 구성하였고, 보령댐 자료로 매개변수를 결정하여, 1966~2011년의 부사호 일 유입량을 모의한 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 유역면적 $124.4km^2$인 부사호의 지류 유입량과 보령댐 방류량을 고려한 부사호 유입량 자료로부터 유황을 분석한 결과는 연평균하여 풍수량은 2.1 mm/d, $3.083m^3/s$, 평수량은 0.89mm/d, $1.280m^3/s$, 저수량은 0.48 mm/d, $0.695m^3/s$, 갈수량은 0.30 mm/d, $0.428m^3/s$였으며, 연 유입량은 127.23백만 $m^3$에 이르렀다. 둘째, 유역면적 $288km^2$인 보령호 유역의 포함한 부사호의 자연 유입량 자료로부터 즉 보령댐이 없는 경우 유황을 분석한 결과는 연평균하여 풍수량은 1.4 mm/d, $4.599m^3/s$, 평수량은 0.51 mm/d, $1.689m^3/s$, 저수량은 0.20 mm/d, $0.664m^3/s$, 갈수량은 0.06 mm/d, $0.204m^3/s$, 연 유입량은 197.00백만 $m^3$에 이르렀다. 셋째, 보령호가 있는 경우와 없는 경우 유황을 비교하면 있는 경우에서 부사호의 유입량은 고수위의 유량은 감소하고, 저수위의 유량은 증가하는 전형적 상류에 위치한 댐의 저류효과 영향을 여실히 나타내고 있었다. 넷째, 한국하천 유황곡선식에 의한 유역면적 $288km^2$인 부사호 유입량의 풍수량은 1.29 mm/d, $4.292m^3/s$, 평수량은 0.59 mm/d, $1.964m^3/s$, 저수량은 0.33 mm/d, $1.093m^3/s$, 갈수량은 0.13mm/d, $0.424m^3$이르렀다. 결론하면, 보령댐이 있는 경우 연 유입량은 70백만 $m^3$ 감소하였으나, 평갈수기 유입량은 증가하였다.

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Flood Risk Estimation Using Regional Regression Analysis (지역회귀분석을 이용한 홍수피해위험도 산정)

  • Jang, Ock-Jae;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2009
  • Although desire for living without hazardous damages grows these days, threats from natural disasters which we are currently exposed to are quiet different from what we have experienced. To cope with this changing situation, it is necessary to assess the characteristics of the natural disasters. Therefore, the main purpose of this research is to suggest a methodology to estimate the potential property loss and assess the flood risk using a regional regression analysis. Since the flood damage mainly consists of loss of lives and property damages, it is reasonable to express the results of a flood risk assessment with the loss of lives and the property damages that are vulnerable to flood. The regional regression analysis has been commonly used to find relationships between regional characteristics of a watershed and parameters of rainfall-runoff models or probability distribution models. In our research, however, this model is applied to estimate the potential flood damage as follows; 1) a nonlinear model between the flood damage and the hourly rainfall is found in gauged regions which have sufficient damage and rainfall data, and 2) a regression model is developed from the relationship between the coefficients of the nonlinear models and socio-economic indicators in the gauged regions. This method enables us to quantitatively analyze the impact of the regional indicators on the flood damage and to estimate the damage through the application of the regional regression model to ungauged regions which do not have sufficient data. Moreover the flood risk map is developed by Flood Vulnerability Index (FVI) which is equal to the ratio of the estimated flood damage to the total regional property. Comparing the results of this research with Potential Flood Damage (PFD) reported in the Long-term Korea National Water Resources Plan, the exports' mistaken opinions could affect the weighting procedure of PFD, but the proposed approach based on the regional regression would overcome the drawback of PFD. It was found that FVI is highly correlated with the past damage, while PFD does not reflect the regional vulnerabilities.

Estimation of Genetic Parameters for Reproductive Traits in Yorkshire (요크셔종의 번식형질에 대한 유전모수 추정)

  • Song, Kwang-Lim;Kim, Byeong-Woo;Roh, Seung-Hee;Sun, Du-Won;Kim, Hyo-Sun;Lee, Deuk-Hwan;Jeon, Jin-Tae;Lee, Jung-Gyu
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2010
  • This study was conducted to estimate genetic parameters for reproductive traits using multivariate animal models in Yorkshire breed. For the study, 4,989 records for litter traits collected between the year 2001 and 2005 from Yorkshire pigs in K GGP were used. The effects of environmental factors such as farrowing year, parity, weaning to estrus interval (WEI), and suckling period were statistically significant (p<0.05), but farrowing season was not significant, for reproductive traits. The estimates genetic correlations and phenotypic correlations in total number of born and number of suckling, was shown to highly correlated. The genetic correlations were higher than phenotypic correlation. The estimates of heritabilities for reproductive traits, considering permanent environment effects (PE) were much lower than those obtained when permanent environment effects were not considered (NPE) in the model. The estimates of heritabilities were 0.240 and 0.076 for total number of born and 0.187 and 0.096 for number of suckling in NPE, and PE, respectively. These results itivcate that PE should be considered in the statistical mode to estimate more acco ate breeding values.

The Effects of Organization Characteristics and Relationship Characteristics on Relational Performance: Focused on Mediating Effects of the Dimensions of Trust and Commitment (조직특성과 관계특성이 관계성과에 미치는 영향: 신뢰 차원과 결속 차원의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Sung, Min;Oh, Se-Jo
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-31
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    • 2007
  • While trust and commitment are core mediating variables for the purpose of maintaining the long-term relationship, in the context of the characteristics of company and the relationship performance of its members, there have been limited studies which explore as to how each of the dimensions has affects differently. The basic purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between an automobile manufacturer and its agencies. The main purpose of this study is to examine how each different dimension of trust and commitment on the automobile manufacturer has different mediating effects between the characteristics of company(organization characteristics, relationship characteristics) and relationship performance perceived by its agents. Another purpose is to investigate the mechanism by which the relationship performance of the agencies is improved. An empirical study surveying 115 sales office managers at a leading automobile manufacturer in Korea was conducted. An analysis of the collected data indicates that while the characteristics of company have a positive influence on the agencies' relational performance through the mediating role of both trust of benevolence and commitment, agencies' trust of their headquarter's benevolence has a different influence on the dimensions of commitment. Finally, the authors discussed some theoretical contributions and managerial implications. And then, they presented limitations of this study and the future research directions.

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Computational Method for Rate of Overtopping Using Time Dependent Mild-Slope Equation (시간의존 완경사방정식을 이용한 월파량 산정 방법)

  • Kwak, Moon-Su;Lee, Hong-Gyu;Park, Sung-Yoon;Pyun, Chong-Kun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.372-382
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    • 2006
  • Most of the conventional breakwaters impermeable breakwaters which block seawater exchange between the outside and inside of the harbors. The blocking of seawater exchange may cause pollution of water in harbors. To solve the water pollution problem, various kinds of seawater exchange breakwaters have been proposed. Their types can be classified into the current type which uses tidal current, and the overtopping type which uses the wave energy. The overtopping type breakwaters require a discharge coefficient to calculate the rate of overtopping into the harbor. The present study is to compute the rate of overtopping with introduction of a correct discharge coefficient and to evaluate the effect of the overtopping type breakwater on the water qualify inside a harbor. The rate of overtopping was computed by using Forchheimer formula with time dependent mild-slope equation for various wave conditions. The formula has been generally used to calculate the overflow discharge in steady state river flows. The discharge coefficient, which is the key parameter of the calculation, was determined by a series of hydraulic model tests. The present scheme was applied to the seawater exchange section of the western breakwater of Jeju New Harbor's and the efficiency of that section was examined. The calculated results showed that the rate of overtopping into the harbor reached about $27.5m^3/s$ in the wave condition (wave height 3.7 m, wave period 8.5s, and wave direction NNW).

An Estimation of Probable Precipitation and an Analysis of Its Return Period and Distributions in Busan (부산지역 확률강수량 결정에 따른 재현기간 및 분포도 분석)

  • Lim, Yun-Kyu;Moon, Yun-Seob;Kim, Jin-Seog;Song, Sang-Keun;Hwang, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2012
  • In this study, a statistical estimation of probable precipitation and an analysis of its return period in Busan were performed using long-term precipitation data (1973-2007) collected from the Busan Regional Meteorological Administration. These analyses were based on the method of probability weighted moments for parameter estimation, the goodness-of-fit test of chi-square ($x^2$) and the probability plot correlation coefficient (PPCC), and the generalized logistics (GLO) for optimum probability distribution. Moreover, the spatial distributions with the determination of probable precipitation were also investigated using precipitation data observed at 15 Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) in the target area. The return periods for the probable precipitation of 245.2 and 280.6 mm/6 hr with GLO distributions in Busan were estimated to be about 100 and 200 years, respectively. In addition, the high probable precipitation for 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-hour durations was mostly distributed around Dongrae-gu site, all coastal sites in Busan, Busanjin and Yangsan sites, and the southeastern coastal and Ungsang sites, respectively.

Estimation of Erosion Damage of Armor Units of Rubble Mound Breakwaters Attacked by Typhoons (태풍에 의한 경사식 방파제의 피복재 침식 피해 산정)

  • Kim, Seung-Woo;Suh, Kyung-Duck
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.295-305
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    • 2010
  • Although the rubble mound breakwaters in Korea have been damaged by typhoons almost every year, quantification of erosion of armor block have seldomly been made. In this paper, the damage of armor units is standardized by the relative damage. In the case where the number of damaged units is reported, it is divided by the total number of units to calculate the relative damage. In the case where the rehabilitation cost is reported, the relative damage is calculated by using its relationship with the present value of the past rehabilitation cost. The relative damage is shown to have strong correlations with the typhoon parameters such as nearest central air pressure and maximum wind speed at each site. On the other hand, the existing numerical methods for calculating the cumulative damage are compared with hydraulic model tests. The method of Melby and Kobayashi (1998) is shown to give a reasonable result, and it is used to calculate the relative damage, which is compared with the measured damage. A good agreement is shown for the East Breakwater of Yeosu Harbor, while poor agreement is shown for other breakwaters. The poor agreement may be because waves of larger height than the design height occurred due to strong typhoons associated with climate change so that the relative damage increased during the last several decades.