• Asia Marketing Journal
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• v.3 no.3
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• pp.46-70
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• 2001

본 연구는 첨단기술 제품들에서 볼 수 있는 지속적인 기술혁신으로 인하여 새롭게 시장에 진입하는 신규세대 제품과 이전세대 제품들의 동태적 판매량을 묘사하고 예측할 수 있는 모형들을 제시하고 비교·분석하는데 목적이 있다. 본 논문에서는 Bass(1969)의 내구성 소비재에 대한 최초구매 확산모형을 기반으로 하여 개발된 기술적 대체를 반영한 확산모형들, 즉 Norton and Bass(1987), Mahajan and Muller(1996), Jun and Park(1999)의 모형들의 이론적인 틀과 가정들을 비교·분석함으로써 기존 모형과는 변수와 계수의 의미가 다른 모형을 제시하고, 전세계 DRAM 반도체 출하량 자료를 사용하여 모형들 간의 경험적 비교를 행하였다. Jun and Park(1999)이 전세계 DRAM 반도체 출하량 자료에 적용하기 위하여 새롭게 개발한 타입 II 모형(즉 JP2)은 본 연구의 경험적 비교의 결과에 비추어 볼 때 그들의 타입 I 모형이 취한 가정들을 변화시켜서 모형을 구성하는 변수들과 계수들의 의미가 달라진 JPI 모형 또는 Norton and Bass(1987)의 모형(즉 NB1)보다 실제 적용에 있어서 열등할 수 있다는 것을 본 연구는 보여주었다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.234-247
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• 2016

As the necessity of the evaluation of environmentally-friendly traffic operations strategies becomes obvious, the characteristics of fuel consumption models should be comprehended in advance. This study selected three fuel consumption models developed in Korea and another three models widely used in North America, and compared their applicabilities. Specifically, the national institute of environmental research (NIER) drive modes and the VISSIM software were utilized to model various driving patterns, and their fuel consumptions were estimated using the fuel consumption models. Based on the results, all the models showed the similar results in the analysis of the most fuel efficient cruising speed. On the other hand, caution should be taken when using the KR-1 and KR-2 models in microscopic analyses because they are not sensitive to instantaneous power requirements of vehicles.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.419-457
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• 2011

This study aims at understanding the characteristics of global economic models, which are widely used for climate change policy analysis. A literature review study was conducted in order to derive general features of top-down models such as CGE and bottom-up/hybrid models such as GTEM. Furthermore, a structural analysis was carried out by applying parameter and structural components from other models to a particular model to observe the potential differences in outcomes. Literature review shows that bottom-up or hybrid models generally have higher level of reduction potentials than top-down models in the long run. This contradicts the conclusion presented by IPCC, and raises the need for more rigorous investigation through structural analysis. Structural analysis of EPPA model indicates that the structural component of the energy sector in a particular model is the most influential factor in predicting baseline emissions and reduction potentials. This includes the structure among energy, capital, and labor inputs, and the substitution elasticities within the energy bundle. Technology bundle can establish the conclusions from literature review, and change in Armington elasticities do not significantly affect the outcome in aggregate.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.101-109
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• 2011

In most of the urbanized cities, socio-economic attributes tend to cluster as patterns of similarity in space, namely spatial autocorrelation, by agglomeration forces. The classical linear regression model, the most frequently adopted in the trip generation step, cannot sufficiently represent this effect. In order to take into account the effect properly, we need a model which adequately deals with the spatial dependence patterns. In this study, the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model is adopted as an alternative method for the local analysis of relationships in multivariate data sets; that is GWR extends this traditional regression framework by estimating local rather than global parameters. This study shows the existence of spatial effects in the production and attraction of home base/non-home based trips through the GWR model using travel data collected in Daegu metropolitan area. Furthermore, LISA is employed to verify the fact that the local spatial autocorrelation exists.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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• v.52 no.4
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• pp.179-194
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to discuss the application of the Latent Growth Model to measure the outcomes of public library. For outcome measurements, library circulation data were collected to identify longitudinal changes of library users' reading habit. The latent growth model was applied to statistically test the changes over time. The circulation data of 95,962 users registered in some public libraries in Seoul, ranged between 2010 and 2015, were analyzed using unconditional model, conditional model, and growth mixture model which all are called the latent growth model. The results show that the intercept of the model is 4.19 and the slop is 0.24 in the linear growth model. The gender difference in two latent variables including intercept and slop was a shade difference. The result from the growth mixture model analysis, additionally indicates that the number of books checked out by children under age 10 is rapidly increased. The application of the latent growth model in library fields is expected to widely spread out for the longitudinal data analysis.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.668-672
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• 2009

상대오염도가 높은 초기유출수에 대한 1차 처리의 화학적인 효율성 증대에 대한 연구는 많이 진행되어온 반면 동수역학적 분석에 관한 연구는 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 수처리 시설에 대해서 수리모형 및 수치모의의 결과를 비교 분석하였다. 연구에 사용된 수처리 시설은 내부 격벽(baffle)의 배열에 변화를 주어 흐름제어를 유도하여 초기유출수의 처리 효율에 변화를 줄 수 있도록 시설을 고안하였다. 수리모형 및 수치모의 실험을 통해 구조물 내에 복잡한 난류흐름을 관찰하였고, 주입된 염수의 농도분포 양상을 시간변화에 따라 분석하였다. 수치모의를 위해서 3차원 수치모형 프로그램인 FLOW-3D를 사용하였으며 LES 난류모형과 질량생성(mass source)모형을 적용하여 수처리 시설 내에서의 동수역학적 거동분석 및 오염원(source)의 농도분포를 모의하였다. 실험 결과 수처리 시설의 3차원 난류흐름을 통해 오염원이 지체 및 확산되고 이에 따라 배출되는 농도가 현격하게 차이 냄을 확인하였다. 또한 추후 본 연구에서 제시된 바와 같이 다양한 내부구조에 대한 수치모의 결과를 분석하게 되면 초기 유출수 처리 효율을 증가시킬 수 있는 수처리 시설모형의 최적화 방안을 고려할 수 있을 것이다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.455-468
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• 2008

Based on the huge baseball game records, the steal plays an important role to affect the result of games. For the research about success or failure of the steal in baseball games, logistic regression models are developed based on 2007 Korean professional baseball games. The analyses of logistic regression models are compared of those of the discriminant models. It is found that the performance of the logistic regression analysis is more efficient than that of the discriminant analysis. Also, we consider an alternative logistic regression model based on categorical data which are transformed from uneasy obtainable continuous data.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.215-241
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• 1999

본 연구는 우리나라 상장기업중 금융 보험업을 제외하고 비교적 상장기업수가 많은 9개 산업에서 임의로 선정한 180개 표본기업을 분석대상으로 하였다. 1989년 1월부터 1996년 12월까지를 분석대상기간으로 설정하여 베타계수 예측능력을 향상시키기 위한 회계위험변수모형의 예측능력을 평가하고 위험수준별 예측능력에 차이가 있는지도 분석하였다. 아울러 베타계수 추정시 사용된 수익률 측정간격에 빠른 베타계수의 안정성과 회계위험변수모형의 예측능력을 분식하였다. 본 연구의 중요한 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 포트폴리오를 구성한 경우 수익률 측정기간에 관계없이 일관되게 예측오차가 유의적으로 적게 나타나 회계위험변수모형의 베타계수 예측능력이 우수하였으며 베타계수예측에 회계 변수의 유용성이 확인되었다. 둘째, 위험수준에 따른 베타계수의 안정성 분석에서는 중위험집단의 베타가 안정성이 높았으며 고위험집단에서 예측오차가 가장 크게 나타나 불안정하였다. 회계위험변수모형의 예측능력은 위험수준에 관계없이 단순모형보다 우수하여 베타예측에 회계정보의 유용성을 일반화시킬 수 있을 것이다. 셋째, 수익률 측정간격에 따른 베타계수의 안정성과 예측능력 분석에서는 월별수익률을 이용하는 경우보다 주별수익률을 이용하는 경우 추정베타의 안정성이 높고 베타계수 예측모형의 예측능력이 향상되는 것으로 나타났다. 넷째, OLS베타를 수정하지 않고 이용하는 경우보다 Bayesian 기법으로 수정한 Bayesian수정 베타를 이용할 경우 예측오차가 감소하여 Bayesian 수정기법의 유용성이 확인되었다.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.241-247
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• 2021

This study analyzed the changes in explanatory power of the modified Jones model(1995) for estimating the amount of accruals for Korean Stock Market listed companies from 1990 to 2019. We hypothesized that if the properties of financial variables used in the existing model change over time or change in discretionary ratios, the model's explanatory power will change. As the result of regression models, I found that the explanatory power of the modified Jones model(1995) gradually declined over time. The results may be derived from the increase in accruals itself and the changes in the distribution of variables contained in the model. The results of this research's chronological approach are expected to give important implications to both academic researchers and accounting information users.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.9 no.5
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• pp.253-263
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• 2011

In this study of the domestic high school and middle school students to use the online education-website to measure the quality of service between SERVPERF model and the KS-SQI model fits which were analyzed further. Analysis using AMOS 7, SERVPERF for measuring quality of service reliability, responsiveness, assurance, empathy and tangibility, was a measurement model. KS-SQI for primary needs fulfillment, unexpected benefit were performance dimensions, reliability, individual empathy, positive assistance, accessibility and media tangibility, consist of process dimension was measured. In comparison of two models, the KS-SQI model on a path analysis showed better in terms of model fit indexes.