• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모수 변화

Search Result 339, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Time Trends in Estimates of Genetic Parameters in a Population of Layer Breeders (난용종계 집단에서의 선발에 의한 유전모수 변화 양상)

  • 최연호;오봉국
    • Korean Journal of Poultry Science
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.255-268
    • /
    • 1990
  • This study was carried out to investigate the time-trends of genetic parameters of the dosed flock population which selected for improving egg production. Data for two layer pure lines, Line-W (Single Comb White Leghorn) and Line-B (brown layer) which have been maintained at the Mani Breeding Farm were collected from 1980 to 1985 during 5 generations. The effective number of parents per generation ranged from 148 to 366 in Line-W and 85 to 355 in Line-B, and the cumulative expected inbreeding coefficients during 5 generations of selection were 15% and 1.6%. So inbreeding could not be considered a critical factor on estimating the genetic parameters, heritabilities and genetic correlations Heritabilities of EN 300 and EN 400, primary two selected traits were significantly decreased during 5 generations but the estimates of the other 03its not showed the consistent decreasing pattern significantly. No time trends of probable consequence were evident in the genetic correlation coefficients of the traits studied. The reason for that situation was attributed to the fact that selection was conducted for multiple objectives and the relative importance of selection for the studied traits were not consistent by generations.

  • PDF

Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Prices by Industry (국제유가 충격이 산업별 주가에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Yun-Jung;Yoon, Seong-Min
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.233-260
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this paper, we analyzed how oil price fluctuations affect stock price by industry using the non-parametric quantile causality test method. We used weekly data of WTI spot price, KOSPI index, and 22 industrial stock indices from January 1998 to April 2021. The empirical results show that the effect of changes in oil prices on the KOSPI index was not significant, which can be attributed to mixed responses of diverse stock prices in several industries included in the KOSPI index. Looking at the stock price response to oil price by industry, the 9 of 18 industries, including Cloth, Paper, and Medicine show a causality with oil prices, while 9 industries, including Food, Chemical, and Non-metal do not show a causal relationship. Four industries including Medicine and Communication (0.45~0.85), Cloth (0.15~0.45), and Construction (0.5~0.6) show causality with oil prices more than three quantiles consecutively. However, the quantiles in which causality appeared were different for each industry. From the result, we find that the effects of oil price on the stock prices differ significantly by industry, and even in one industry, and the response to oil price changes is different depending on the market situation. This suggests that the government's macroeconomic policies, such as industrial and employment policies, should be performed in consideration of the differences in the effects of oil price fluctuations by industry and market conditions. It also shows that investors have to rebalance their portfolio by industry when oil prices fluctuate.

Zero-Inflated Poisson Model with a Change-point (변화시점이 있는 영과잉-포아송모형)

  • Kim, Kyung-Moo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 1998
  • In case of Zero-Inflated Poisson model with a change-point, likelihood ratio test statistic was used for testing hypothesis for a change-point. A change-point and several interesting parameters were estimated by using the method of moments and maximum likelihood. In order to compare the estimators, empirical mean-square-error was used. Real data for the Zero-Inflated Poisson model with a change-point and Poisson model without a change-point were examined.

  • PDF

Development of Moving Average Prediction Diagnostic Module for Vibration Parameter Influenced by Environmental Factors (환경적 요인과 연관된 진동 파라메터를 진단하기 위한 이동평균 예측 진단 모듈 개발)

  • Oh, Se-Do;Kim, Young-Jin;Lee, Tae-Hwi
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.37 no.6
    • /
    • pp.797-804
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this study, the authors develop a methodology for a diagnostic system with a vibration parameter that is influenced by environmental factors. The data tends to have a varying average over time. Often, these features are found in statistical data retrieved from a production line. If we utilize existing statistical techniques for these features, we could derive an incorrect diagnostic conclusion based on the different average values. To overcome the limitations of previous methods, the authors apply a function analyzed through regression analysis to predict the mean value and corresponding upper and lower limits at each stage. This technique also provides corresponding statistical parameters in varying dynamic means. To validate the proposed methods, we retrieve data from the engine assembly line of H Motors and verify the results.

Development of Sumulation Model for Breeding Schemes of Hanwoo(Korean Cattle) (한우의 개량 체계 모의실험을 위한 모형 개발)

  • Ju, J.C.;Kim, N.S.
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.44 no.5
    • /
    • pp.507-518
    • /
    • 2002
  • A multiple-trait stochastic computer simulation model was constructed to predict the breeding schemes and selection methods on Hanwoo(Korean cattle). The model could be used four kinds of selection criteria (random, phenotype and true or estimated breeding values). At the test run in various population size for 20 years, all estimated parameters of the each simulated populations were resulted similar to input parameters. The deviations between input and output values of parameter in the large population were smaller than in the small population. The simulated results obtained from ten small populations consisted with one sire and ten dams in each population for 500 years were as follows; Inbreeding coefficients of population were similar to theoretical estimating function. Mean values of each traits selected were randomly drifted by generation, but they were converged into a value when inbreeding coefficients came close to one. Additive genetic variances within each population were reduced by generation, and they were converged into zero when inbreeding coefficients came close to one. These results indicated that the simulated populations hold to statistical properties of input parameters.

Parameterization and Application of Regional Hydro-Ecologic Simulation System (RHESSys) for Integrating the Eco-hydrological Processes in the Gwangneung Headwater Catchment (광릉 원두부 유역 생태수문과정의 통합을 위한 지역 생태수문 모사 시스템(RHESSys)의 모수화와 적용)

  • Kim, Eun-Sook;Kang, Sin-Kyu;Lee, Bo-Ra;Kim, Kyong-Ha;Kim, Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.121-131
    • /
    • 2007
  • Despite the close linkage in changes between the ecological and hydrological processes in forest ecosystems, an integrative approach has not been incorporated successfully. In this study, based on the vegetation and hydrologic data of the Gwangneung headwater catchment with the Geographic Information System, we attempted such an integrated approach by employing the Regional Hydro-Ecologic Simulation System (RHESSys). To accomplish this, we have (1) constructed the input data for RHESSys, (2) developed an integrated calibration system that enables to consider both ecological and hydrological processes simultaneously, and (3) performed sensitivity analysis to estimate the optimum parameters. Our sensitivity analyses on six soil parameters that affect streamflow patterns and peak flow show that the decay parameter of horizontal saturated hydraulic conductivity $(s_1)$ and porosity decay by depth (PD) had the highest sensitivity. The optimization of these two parameters to estimate the optimum streamflow variation resulted in a prediction accuracy of 0.75 in terms of Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSec). These results provide an important basis for future evaluation and mapping of the watershed-scale soil moisture and evapotranspiration in forest ecosystems of Korea.

Comparison of Genetic Variation between Pre-practice Mature Trees and Post-practice One-year Old Seedlings in Pinus densiflora Natural Regeneration Stands (소나무 천연갱신림내 성목과 치수의 유전변이 비교)

  • Ahn, Ji Young;Lee, Jei Wan;Lee, Seok Woo;Baek, Seung Hoon;Lim, Hyo In;Kim, Hyun Seop
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.104 no.4
    • /
    • pp.543-548
    • /
    • 2015
  • We studied the genetic impact of natural regeneration practices, such as Single seed tree, Group seed tree, Patch clear cutting and Alternate strip clear cutting systems, by comparing the nuclear microsatellite(nSSR) variation of post-practice natural regeneration one-year old seedlings of Pinus densiflora to that of pre-practice mature trees. The levels of genetic diversity of seedlings (A=13.6, $A_e$=4.3, $H_o$=0.571, $H_e$=0.597) were similar to those of mature trees (A=13.4, $A_e$=4.3, $H_o$=0.596, $H_e$=0.598) and the differences in the level of genetic diversity between seedlings and mature trees for each of the practices were not statistically significant. The degree of genetic differentiation between seedlings and mature trees was very low ($F_{ST}$=0.002) and the pairwise $F_{ST}$ values between seedlings and mature trees for all practices were less than 0.01. Overall, the natural regeneration practices appeared to have only minor impacts on the genetic diversity and the genetic composition in the studied P. densiflora stands. For a better understanding of the genetic effects of natural regeneration practices, subsequent studies such as temporal genetic variation of seedlings formed by crossing among post-practice mature trees should be considered.

Bayesian Multiple Change-Point Estimation for Single Quantum Dot Luminescence Intensity Data (단일 양자점으로부터 발생한 발광세기 변화에 대한 베이지안 다중 변화점 추정)

  • Kima, Jaehee;Kimb, Hahkjoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.569-579
    • /
    • 2013
  • In the field of single-molecule spectroscopy, it is essential to analyze luminescence Intensity changes that result from a single molecule. With the CdSe/ZnS core-shell structured quantum dot photon emission data Bayesian multiple change-point estimation is done with the gamma prior for Poisson parameters and truncated Poisson distribution for the number of change-points.

Inferences for the Changepoint in Bivariate Zero-Inflated Poisson Model (이변량 영과잉-포아송모형에서 변화시점에 관한 추론)

  • Kim, Kyung-Moon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.319-327
    • /
    • 1999
  • Zero-Inflated Poisson distributions have been widely used for defect-free products in manufacturing processes. It is very interesting to check the shift after the unknown changepoint. If the detectives are caused by the two different types of factor, we should use bivariate zero-inflated model. In this paper, likelihood ratio tests were used to detect the shift of changes after the changepoint. Some inferences for the parameters in this model were made.

  • PDF

Variability Analysis of Extreme Precipitation Events in Korea affected by Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 우리나라 강수 극치사상의 변동특성 분석)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Kim, Jong-Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2010.05a
    • /
    • pp.1610-1614
    • /
    • 2010
  • 최근 기후변화로 인한 우리나라 호우일수(80mm이상/일)의 증가, 강우강도의 증가에 따른 개별 홍수에 의한 재해규모가 증가하고 있는 현실에서 전통적인 빈도해석기법을 이용한 설계 강우량 산정과 적용에는 한계가 있다. 그러나 우리나라에서는 아직도 비정상성을 고려한 빈도해석기법이 표준화되어 있지 않고 있으며, 전통적인 빈도해석기법에 의존하여 실무에 활용되고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 우리나라 강수 극치사상의 변동특성을 분석하고자 하였다. 연구 대상지역으로 기상청에서 운영하는 기상관측소 중에서 90년 이상의 장기 강수자료가 구축되어 있는 서울, 부산, 인천, 대구, 강릉, 목포 등 여섯 곳을 선정하였다. 선정된 6개 기상관측소의 강수자료를 이용하여, 비모수적 선형추세분석기법인 Mann-Kendall 검정을 수행하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 얻어진 결과는 우리나라의 전통적인 설계 강우량 산정기법 개선에 대한 필요성 인식과 설계 강우량 산정에 대한 새로운 접근방향 제시와 이에 따른 제도적 개선 요구에 대한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF