• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모수 변화

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Investigating the Effect of Planting Density on Parameter Estimation of Stand Growth Models (식재(植栽) 밀도(密度)가 임분생장(林分生長)모델 모수(母數) 추정(推定)에 미치는 효과(效果)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Li, Fengri;Kwon, Soonduk;Chung, Joosang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.88 no.4
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    • pp.446-453
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    • 1999
  • In this study, the effects of stand planting density on parameters of stand height and basal area growth models were investigated. We used the Korf equation as the base model in estimating the parameters of the growth models for cryptomeria plantation forest stands. Then, in order to investigate the effects of the change in plantation density on the parameter estimates, the "extra sums of square" principle, which provided a reasonable statistical procedure for a performance test, was used. The results of the test coincide with the understandings that stand height growth is not affected significantly by the planting density and the growth curves of stand basal area approaches a common asymptote regardless of the stand density for a given site. However, the shapes of the basal area growth curves were affected significantly by the planting density. Based on the results of the test, we developed a basal area growth model to account for the effects of initial planting density in cryptomeria plantation forest stands.

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A study comparison of mortality projection using parametric and non-parametric model (모수와 비모수 모형을 활용한 사망률 예측 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Soon-Young;Oh, Jinho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.701-717
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    • 2017
  • The interest of Korean society and government on future demographic structures is increasing due to rapid aging. Korea's mortality rate is decreasing, but the declined gap is variable. In this study, we compare the Lee-Carter, Lee-Miller, Booth-Maindonald-Smith model and functional data model (FDM) as well as Coherent FDM using non-parametric smoothing technique. We are then examine a reasonable model for projecting on mortality declined rate trend in terms of accuracy of mortality rate by ages and life expectancy. The possibility of using non-parametric techniques for the prediction of mortality in Korea was also examined. Based on the analysis results, FDM and Coherent FDM, which uses the non-parametric technique and reflects the trend of recent data, are excellent. As a result, FDM and Coherent FDM are good fit, and predictability is also excellent assuming no significant future changes.

Power study for 4 × 4 graeco-latin square design (4 × 4 그레코라틴방격모형의 검정력 연구)

  • Choi, Young-Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.683-691
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    • 2012
  • In $4{\times}4$ graeco-latin square design, powers of rank transformed statistic for testing the main effect are superior to powers of parametric statistic without regard to the effect structure with equally or unequally spaced effect levels as well as the type of population distributions such as exponential, double exponential, normal and uniform distribution. As numbers of block effect or effect sizes are decreased, powers of rank transformed statistic are much higher than powers of parametric statistic. In case that block effects are smaller than a main effect or one block effect is higher than other block effects, powers of rank transformed statistic are much higher than powers of parametric statistic in $4{\times}4$ graeco-latin square design with three block effects and one main effect.

변량가중치를 이용한 EWMA 관리도

  • Lee, Jae-Heon;Han, Jeong-Hui
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2005
  • 이 논문은 표본크기와 표본추출간격 이외의 관리모수인 EWMA 관리도의 가중치를 이전 시점의 관리통계량 값에 기초하여 변화시키는 VW(variable weight) 방법에 대한 것이다. 이 방법을 VSR(variable sampling rate)과 병행하는 절차를 제안하고, 절차의 효율에 대하여 알아보았다.

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Quantifying the Spatial Heterogeneity of the Land Surface Parameters at the Two Contrasting KoFlux Sites by Semivariogram (세미베리오그램을 이용한 KoFlux 광릉(산림) 및 해남(농경지) 관측지 지면모수의 공간 비균질성 정량화)

  • Moon, Sang-Ki;Ryu, Young-Ryel;Lee, Dong-Ho;Kim, Joon;Lim, Jong-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.140-148
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    • 2007
  • The remote sensing observations of land surface properties are inevitably influenced by the landscape heterogeneity. In this paper, we introduce a geostatistical technique to provide a quantitative interpretation of landscape heterogeneity in terms of key land surface parameters. The study areas consist of the two KoFlux sites: (1) the Gwangneung site, covered with temperate mixed forests on a complex terrain, and (2) the Haenam site with mixed croplands on a relatively flat terrain. The semivariogram and fractal analyses were performed for both sites to characterize the spatial heterogeneity of two radiation parameters, i.e., land surface temperature (LST) and albedo. These parameters are the main factors affecting the reflected longwave and shortwave radiation components from the two study sites. We derived them from the high-resolution Landsat ETM+ satellite images collected on 23 Sep. 2001 and 14 Feb. 2002. The results of our analysis show that the characteristic scales of albedo was >1 km at the Gwangneung site and approximately 0.3 km at the Haenam site. For LST, the scale of heterogeneity was also >1 km at the Gwangneung site and >0.6 to 1.0 km at the Haenam site. At both sites, there was little change in the characteristic scales of the two parameters between the two different seasons.

A Study on the Measurement of Industry Agglomeration for the Census on Basic Characteristics of Establishments (사업체 기초통계조사에서 산업활동의 공간집적도 측정 연구)

  • 김윤수;정연수;김병천
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2004
  • According to economic growth theory, location configuration of business enterprises engaged in specific industries has spatial affinity. In this research we defined industrial concentration index to measure industry agglomeration using the characteristics of dispersion parameter of negative binomial distribution, and used the industrial concentration index to examine aspect of spatial configuration change. We utilized Census on Basic Characteristics of Establishments of 1995 and 2000 to deduce industrral concentration indices of 7 knowledge-based industries and 9 strategy-based industries of Choongbuk Province and analyzed the aspect of spatial configuration change.

A GLR Chart for Monitoring a Zero-Inflated Poisson Process (ZIP 공정을 관리하는 GLR 관리도)

  • Choi, Mi Lim;Lee, Jaeheon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.345-355
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    • 2014
  • The number of nonconformities in a unit is commonly modeled by a Poisson distribution. As an extension of a Poisson distribution, a zero-inflated Poisson(ZIP) process can be used to fit count data with an excessive number of zeroes. In this paper, we propose a generalized likelihood ratio(GLR) chart to monitor shifts in the two parameters of the ZIP process. We also compare the proposed GLR chart with the combined cumulative sum(CUSUM) chart and the single CUSUM chart. It is shown that the overall performance of the GLR chart is comparable with CUSUM charts and is significantly better in some cases where the actual directions of the shifts are different from the pre-specified directions in CUSUM charts.

Stochastic Volatility Model vs. GARCH Model : A Comparative Study (확률적 변동성 모형과 자기회귀이분산 모형의 비교분석)

  • 이용흔;김삼용;황선영
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.217-224
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    • 2003
  • The volatility in the financial data is usually measured by conditional variance. Two main streams for gauging conditional variance are stochastic volatility (SV) model and autoregressive type approach (GARCH). This article is conducting comparative study between SV and GARCH through the Korean Stock Prices Index (KOSPI) data. It is seen that SV model is slightly better than GARCH(1,1) in analyzing KOSPI data.

A Study on The Optimal Design of Combined CUSUM Control Chart for Low Cost (저비용을 위한 Combined CUSUM 관리도의 최적설계 조사연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Geol;Eom, Sang-Jun;Kim, Hyeong-Man;Choe, Seong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2013.11a
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    • pp.147-160
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    • 2013
  • 이 논문은 공정변화를 보다 잘 감지할 수 있는 관리도의 개발동향에 주안점을 두고 있으며, 경제적 접근법으로 관리모수를 설정하여 공정관리 메카니즘을 사용하는데 있어서 최소의 비용을 가지도록 하여 품질 향상 비용을 절감시킬 수 있는 설계 접근방법을 조사 연구했다. 또한 CUSUM 관리도를 기존의 다양한 관리도와 결합하여 개발된 새로운 관리도를 비교했다. 비교된 관리도의 경제적 모형설계를 통하여 공정 품질에서의 경제적인 영향의 최적화를 위한 관리모수를 제시했다. 이는 공정평균의 이동을 감지하기 위한 결합 관리도를 개발하는 경제적설계 절차를 제시했다.

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Calibration of crop growth model CERES-MAIZE with yield trial data (지역적응 시험 자료를 활용한 옥수수 작물모형 CERES-MAIZE의 품종모수 추정시의 문제점)

  • Kim, Junhwan;Sang, Wangyu;Shin, Pyeong;Cho, Hyeounsuk;Seo, Myungchul
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.277-283
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    • 2018
  • The crop growth model has been widely used for climate change impact assessment. Crop growth model require genetic coefficients for simulating growth and yield. In order to determine the genetic coefficients, regional growth monitoring data or yield trial data of crops has been used to calibrate crop growth model. The aim of this study is to verify that yield trial data of corn is appropriate to calibrate genetic coefficients of CERES-MAIZE. Field experiment sites were Suwon, Jinju, Daegu and Changwon. The distance from the weather station to the experimental field were from 1.3km to 27km. Genetic coefficients calibrated by yield trial data showed good performance in silking day. The genetic coefficients associated with silking are determined only by temperature. In CERES-MAIZE model, precipitation or irrigation does not have a significant effect on phenology related genetic coefficients. Although the effective distance of the temperature could vary depending on the terrain, reliable genetic coefficients were obtained in this study even when a weather observation site was within a maximum of 27 km. Therefore, it is possible to estimate the genetic coefficients by yield trial data in study area. However, the yield-related genetic coefficients did not show good results. These results were caused by simulating the water stress without accurate information on irrigation or rainfall. The yield trial reports have not had accurate information on irrigation timing and volume. In order to obtain significant precipitation data, the distance between experimental field and weather station should be closer to that of the temperature measurement. However, the experimental fields in this study was not close enough to the weather station. Therefore, When determining the genetic coefficients of regional corn yield trial data, it may be appropriate to calibrate only genetic coefficients related to phenology.