• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모수 방법

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비모수 퍼지회귀모형

  • Choe, Seung-Hoe;Kim, Hae-Gyeong;Seong, Na-Yeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.199-201
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 크리스프자료(crisp data)인 독립변수와 퍼지자료(fuzzy data)인 종속변수 사이의 관계가 특정한 함수로 표현되지 않는 비모수 퍼지회귀모형을 분석하기위하여 퍼지수 순위와 퍼지순위변환방법을 소개하고, 모의실험을 통하여 퍼지순위변환방법의 효율성을 조사한다.

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Nonparametric multiple comparison method using aligned method and joint placement in randomized block design with replications (반복이 있는 랜덤화 블록 모형에서 정렬방법과 결합위치를 이용한 비모수 다중비교법)

  • Hwang, Juwon;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.599-610
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    • 2018
  • The method of Mack and Skillings (Technometrics, 23, 171-177, 1981) is a nonparametric multiple comparison method in a randomized block design with replications. This method is likely to result in loss of information because each block is ranked using the average of observations instead of repeated observations. In this paper, we proposed a new nonparametric multiple comparison method in the randomized block model with replications using an alignment method proposed by Hodges and Lehmann (The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 33, 482-497, 1962) that extend the joint placement method proposed by Chung and Kim (Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods, 14, 551-560, 2007). In addition, Monte Carlo simulation compared the family wise error rate and power with the parametric method and the nonparametric method.

Comparison of Control Methods for Estimation Bias in Unmatched Analysis of Matched Data (짝을 이룬 자료분석시 야기되는 Estimation Bias의 Control Methods)

  • Yoo, Keun-Young
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.23 no.3 s.31
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 1990
  • 짝짓기 방법은 교란변수를 통제하기 가장 좋은 방법으로 알려져 있으나, 모수추정시 그 계산방법이 복잡하고, 포함된 모든 정보를 이용할 수 없다는 단점을 갖고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고, conditional 모델을 이용한 matched 분석법은 짝지은 자료 분석시 가장 좋은 방법으로 인정되고 있다. 그러나 명확한 confounding 현상을 통제할 목적이 아닌 상태에서 짝지워진 자료를 matched 분석법으로 모수추정하는 경우나, 올바로 짝지워진 자료를 분석법의 편이성 때문에 unmatched 분석을 시도하는 경우, 오히려 estimation bias가 야기될 수 있다. 이러한 estimation bias의 통제능력을 몇 가지 분석방법을 이용하여 비교하고자, 1:2로 대응된 한 환자-대조군 자료를 이용하여 Mantel-Haenszel 분석법, 두가지의 unconditional model을 이용한 다변량분석법의 결과를 conditional model을 이용한 matched 분석법의 결과와 비교하였다. 1. Matched 분석법의 대용방법으로 사용된 세 가지 방법들은 모수추정면에서나 가설검정능력면에서 차이를 서로 보이지 않았다. 2. 짝짓기에 사용된 변수가 분석자료내에서 confounder나 effect modifier로 작용되지 않았음이 명백한 경우에는 이들 세 가지 통제 방법과 matched 분석법간에 차이가 없었다. 3. 짝짓기에 사용된 변수가 분석자료내에서 effect modifier로 작용하지는 않았으나, Confounder로 작용한 것으로 추정되는 경우, unmatched 분석법으로 인해 야기된 estimation bias의 통제능력이 이들 세 가지 대용방안 모두에서 인정되었다. 4. 짝짓기에 사용된 변수가 분석자료내에서 effect modifier로 작용하고 있음을 직접 확인할 수 있는 경우에는, overmatching에 의한 estimation bias를 의심할 수 있었으며, 이들 세 가지 통제방법은 오히려 unmatched 분석 방법에 가까운 모수를 추정하였다.

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Nonparametric procedures based on aligned method and placement for ordered alternatives in randomized block design (랜덤화 블록 모형에서 정렬방법과 위치를 이용한 순서형 대립가설에 대한 비모수 검정법)

  • Kim, Hyosook;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.707-717
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    • 2016
  • Nonparametric procedures in a randomized block design was proposed by Friedman (1937) as a general alternative as well as suggested as a test for ordered alternatives by Page (1963). These methods are used for the rank of treatments in each block. In this paper, we proposed nonparametric procedures using aligned method proposed by Hodges and Lehmann (1962) to reduce among block information and based on placement suggested by Kim (1999) in a randomized block design. We also perform a Monte Carlo study to compare the empirical powers of the proposed procedures and established method.

Sample size determination based on placements for non-inferiority trials (비열등성 시험에서 위치 방법에 기초한 표본 수 결정)

  • Kim, Jiyeon;Kim, Dongjae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1349-1357
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    • 2013
  • In clinical research, sample size determination is one of the most important things. There are parametric method using t-test and non-parametric method suggested by Kim and Kim (2007) based on Wilcoxon's rank sum test for determining sample size in non-inferiority trials. In this paper, we propose sample size calculation method based on placements method suggested by Orban and Wolfe (1982) and using the power calculated by Kim (1994) in non-inferiority trials. We also compare proposed sample size with that using Kim and Kim (2007)'s formula and that of t-test for parametric methods. As the result, sample size calculated by proposed method based on placements is the smallest. Therefore, proposed method based on placements is better than parametric methods in case that it's hard to assume specific distribution function for population and also more efficient in terms of time and cost than method based on Wilcoxon's rank sum test.

A Study of the Small Sample Warranty Data Analysis Using the Bayesian Approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 소표본 보증데이터 분석 방법 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Gurl;Sung, Ki-Woo;Song, Jung-Moo
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2013.04a
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    • pp.517-531
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    • 2013
  • 보증 데이터를 통해 제품의 수명 및 형상모수를 추정할 때 최우추정법과 같은 전통적인 통계 분석방법(Classical Statistical Method)을 많이 사용하였다. 그러나 전통적인 통계 분석방법을 통해 수명과 형상모수의 추정 시 표본의 크기가 작거나 불완전한 경우 추정량의 신뢰성이 떨어진다는 단점이 있고 또 누적된 경험과 과거자료를 충분히 이용하지 못하는 단점도 있다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 모수의 사전분포를 가정하는 베이지안(Bayesian) 기법의 적용이 필요하다. 하지만 보증 데이터분석에 있어서 베이지안 기법을 이용한 연구는 아직 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 수명분포가 와이블 분포를 갖는 보증데이터를 활용하여 모수 추정의 효율성을 비교 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 와이블 분포의 모수가 대수정규분포를 따르는 사전분포를 갖는 베이지안 기법과 전통적 통계기법인 생명표법(Actuarial method)을 활용하여 추정량을 도출하고 비교 분석하였다. 이를 통해 충분한 관측 데이터를 확보할 수 없는 경우에 베이지안 기법을 이용한 보증 데이터 분석방법의 성능을 확인하고자 한다.

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A Simulation study of EWMA control using dynamic control parameter (동적 모수를 사용한 EWMA 제어의 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Kang, Seok-Chan;Hwang, Ji-Bin;Kim, Sung-Shick;Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2007
  • EWMA is one of the most popular controller method used in Run-to-Run control system for semiconductor manufacturing. The value of the control parameter in EWMA has major effect on the result. Therefore, it is important to use control parameter value fitting for the process state. When the process is unstable, it is more efficient to change EWMA control parameter dynamically to compensate for the changing process state than using fixed control parameter. In this paper, we review previous studies using dynamic EWMA control parameter and propose a new algorithm complementing the weaknesses of the previous studies. The performance of the proposed algorithm is validated using simulation.

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Model Parameter Based Fault Detection for Time-series Data (시계열을 따르는 공정데이터의 모델 모수기반 이상탐지)

  • Park, Si-Jeo;Park, Cheong-Sool;Kim, Sung-Shick;Baek, Jun-Geol
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2011
  • The statistical process control (SPC) assumes that observations follow the particular statistical distribution and they are independent to each other. However, the time-series data do not always follow the particular distribution, and most of cases are autocorrelated, therefore, it has limit to adopt the general SPC in tim series process. In this study, we propose a MPBC (Model Parameter Based Control-chart) method for fault detection in time-series processes. The MPBC builds up the process as a time-series model, and it can determine the faults by detecting changes parameters in the model. The process we analyze in the study assumes that the data follow the ARMA (p,q) model. The MPBC estimates model parameters using RLS (Recursive Least Square), and $K^2$-control chart is used for detecting out-of control process. The results of simulations support the idea that our proposed method performs better in time-series process.

A numerical study of adjusted parameter estimation in normal inverse Gaussian distribution (Normal inverse Gaussian 분포에서 모수추정의 보정 방법 연구)

  • Yoon, Jeongyoen;Song, Seongjoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.741-752
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    • 2016
  • Numerous studies have shown that normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) distribution adequately fits the empirical return distribution of financial securities. The estimation of parameters can also be done relatively easily, which makes the NIG distribution more useful in financial markets. The maximum likelihood estimation and the method of moments estimation are easy to implement; however, we may encounter a problem in practice when a relationship among the moments is violated. In this paper, we investigate this problem in the parameter estimation and try to find a simple solution through simulations. We examine the effect of our adjusted estimation method with real data: daily log returns of KOSPI, S&P500, FTSE and HANG SENG. We also checked the performance of our method by computing the value at risk of daily log return data. The results show that our method improves the stability of parameter estimation, while it retains a comparable performance in goodness-of-fit.

Nonparametric method using linear statistics in analysis of covariance model (공분산분석에서 선형위치통계량을 이용한 비모수 검정법)

  • Choi, Yoonjung;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.427-439
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    • 2017
  • Quade (1967) proposed RANK ANCOVA, which is a nonparametric method to test differences between treatments when there are covariates. Hwang and Kim (2012) also proposed a joint placement test on covariate-adjusted residuals. In this paper, we proposed a new nonparametric method to control the effect of covariate on a response variable that uses linear statistics on covariate adjusted-residuals. The score function used in the linear statistics was proposed by Jeon and Kim (2016). Monte Carlo simulation is also conducted to compare the empirical powers of the proposed method with previous methods.