• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모수적 추정방법

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Objective Bayesian Estimation of Two-Parameter Pareto Distribution (2-모수 파레토분포의 객관적 베이지안 추정)

  • Son, Young Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.713-723
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    • 2013
  • An objective Bayesian estimation procedure of the two-parameter Pareto distribution is presented under the reference prior and the noninformative prior. Bayesian estimators are obtained by Gibbs sampling. The steps to generate parameters in the Gibbs sampler are from the shape parameter of the gamma distribution and then the scale parameter by the adaptive rejection sampling algorism. A numerical study shows that the proposed objective Bayesian estimation outperforms other estimations in simulated bias and mean squared error.

반복측정된 포아송 자료의 GEE 분석에서 산포모수의 역할에 관한 연구

  • 박태성;신민웅
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 1995
  • 반복측정자료의 분석을 위해 제안된 Liang and Zeger(1986)의 회귀모형은 일반화추정식(generalized estimationg equations, GEE)을 이용하여 모형의 모수를 추정한다. 이 모형은 반복측정된 반응변수와 설명변수들과의 관계를 추정하는 것이 주된 목적이기 때문에 회귀모수는 중요한 모수로 간주되나 산포모수는 중요하지 않은 장애모수(nuisance parameters)로 간주된다. 일반적으로 GEE 분석에서 회귀모수의 추정량은 산포모수에 상관없이 일치적(consistent)으로 얻어진다고 알려져 있다. 그러나 본 논문에서는 포아송분포를 따르는 반복측정자료에 대한 사례연구와 모의 실험을 통해서 일반적으로 믿어져왔던 것과는 달리 GEE 방법이 산포모수에 민감하게 영향을 받고 있음을 보였다. 특히 산포모수의 값이 일정하지 않은 경우에는 GEE 방법이 산포모수에 민감 하게 영향을 받고 있음을 보였다. 특히 산포모수의 값이 일정하지 않은 경우에는 GEE 방법에서 밝혀진 회귀모수 추정량의 일치성에도 문제가 발생할 수 있음을 보였다.

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깁스표본기법을 이용한 와이블분포의 모수추정

  • 이우동;이창순;강상길
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 1998
  • 와이블분포의 척도모수와 형상모수를 베이지안 방법을 이용하여 추정한다. 깁스표본법을 사용하여 모수들에 대한 추정, 결합사후확률분포와 주변사후확률분포를 구한다. 9개의 열 전달기기자료와 10개의 인위적인 자료를 이용하여 제안된 방법을 적용하여 사례를 연구한다.

An Estimation of Parameters in Weibull Distribution using Gibbs Sampler (깁스표본기법을 이용한 와이블분포의 모수추정)

  • 이우동;이창순;강상길
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 1997.11a
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    • pp.521-533
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    • 1997
  • 와이블분포에서 척도모수와 형상모수를 베이지안 방법을 이용하여 추정한다. 깁스표본법을 사용하여 모수들에 대한 추정, 결합사후확률분포 와 주변사후확률분포를 구한다. 9개의 열 전달기기자료와 10개의 인위적인 자료를 이용하여 제안된 방법을 적용하여 사례를 연구한다.

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A comparison on coefficient estimation methods in single index models (단일지표모형에서 계수 추정방법의 비교)

  • Choi, Young-Woong;Kang, Kee-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1171-1180
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    • 2010
  • It is well known that the asymptotic convergence rates of nonparametric regression estimator gets worse as the dimension of covariates gets larger. One possible way to overcome this problem is reducing the dimension of covariates by using single index models. Two coefficient estimation methods in single index models are introduced. One is semiparametric least square estimation method, which tries to find approximate solution by using iterative computation. The other one is weighted average derivative estimation method, which is non-iterative method. Both of these methods offer the parametric convergence rate to normal distribution. However, practical comparison of these two methods has not been done yet. In this article, we compare these methods by examining the variances of estimators in various models.

The Development of an easy a simple of Parameter Estimation Method for Reliability Evaluation of Application Software System (응용 소프트웨어 시스템의 신뢰성 평가를 위한 간편한 모수추정방법 개발)

  • Kim, Suk-Hee;Kim, Jong-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.540-549
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    • 2010
  • The existing reliability evaluation models which have already developed by the corporations are so various because of using Maximum Likelihood Method. The existing models are very complicated owing to using system designing methods. Therefore, it is very difficult to utilize the existing models in business fields of many corporations. The purposes of this paper are as follows: The first purpose is to study the simple estimated Parameter to be easily utilized in the business fields of the corporations. The second purpose is to testify the simplification of the developed Parameter of estimated method by comparing the developed reliability evaluation model with the existing reliability evaluation models which are used in the business fields of the corporations.

An Autoregressive Parameter Estimation from Noisy Speech Using the Adaptive Predictor (적응예측기를 이용하여 잡음섞인 음성신호로부터 autoregressive 계수를 추산하는 방법)

  • Koo, Bon-Eung
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.90-96
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    • 1995
  • A new method for autoregressive parameter estimation from noisy observation sequence is presented. This method, termed the AP method, is a result of an attempt to make use of the adaptive predictor which is a simple and reliable way of parameter estimation. It is shown theoretically that, for noisy input, the parameter vector computed from the prediction sequence is closer to that of the original sequence than the noisy input sequence is, under the spectral distortion criterion. Simulation results with the Kalman filter as a noise reduction filter and real speech data supported the theory. Roughly speaking, the performance of the parameter set obtained by the AP method is better than noisy one but worse than the EM iteration results. When the simplicity is considered, it could provide a useful alternative to more complicated parameter estimation methods in some applications.

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Estimable Functions of Fixed-Effects Model by Projections (사영을 이용한 고정효과모형의 추정가능함수)

  • Choi, Jaesung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.553-560
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    • 2014
  • This paper deals with estimable functions of parameters of less than full rank linear model. In general, the parameters of an overspecified model are not uniquely determined by least squares solutions. It discusses how to formulate linear estimable functions as functions of parameters in the model and shows how to use projection matrices to check out whether a parameter or function of the pamameters is estimable. It also presents a method to form a basis set of estimable functions using linearly independent characteristic vectors generating the row space of the model matrix.

Comparison Study of Parameter Estimation Methods for Some Extreme Value Distributions (Focused on the Regression Method) (극단치 분포의 모수 추정방법 비교 연구(회귀 분석법을 기준으로))

  • Woo, Ji-Yong;Kim, Myung-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.463-477
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    • 2009
  • Parameter estimation methods such as maximum likelihood estimation method, probability weighted moments method, regression method have been popularly applied to various extreme value models in numerous literature. Among three methods above, the performance of regression method has not been rigorously investigated yet. In this paper the regression method is compared with the other methods via Monte Carlo simulation studies for estimation of parameters of the Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) distribution and the Generalized Pareto(GP) distribution. Our simulation results indicate that the regression method tends to outperform other methods under small samples by providing smaller biases and root mean square errors for estimation of location parameter of the GEV model. For the scale parameter estimation of the GP model under small samples, the regression method tends to report smaller biases than the other methods. The regression method tends to be superior to other methods for the shape parameter estimation of the GEV model and GP model when the shape parameter is -0.4 under small and moderately large samples.

Semiparametric and Nonparametric Mixed Effects Models for Small Area Estimation (비모수와 준모수 혼합모형을 이용한 소지역 추정)

  • Jeong, Seok-Oh;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2013
  • Semiparametric and nonparametric small area estimations have been studied to overcome a large variance due to a small sample size allocated in a small area. In this study, we investigate semiparametric and nonparametric mixed effect small area estimators using penalized spline and kernel smoothing methods respectively and compare their performances using labor statistics.