• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크분석

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Identification on Risk Factors of Outsourcing for Calculating Costs in Defense Industry Using AHP Technique (AHP 기법을 활용한 방위사업 원가산정 아웃소싱 수행간 리스크요인 식별)

  • Kim, Ki-taek;Shim, Sang-Ryul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.857-865
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    • 2016
  • It has been four years after outsouring to private outsourced institute about calculating the costs on defense industry was commenced. Although the objectivity and reliablity has been improved somewhat, there were also a negative view of spending more time and money such as a costing official re-calculates the costs on the results by out-sourced institute. Therefore I want to study on countermeasure about the risks according to the importance by analysing a priority with deriving susceptible risk factors from the outsourced institute's conduct of calculating the costs in defense industry through this study. The purpose of this study contributes to the reduction of defense budget, a guarantee of the reasonable profit for defense suppliers and the improvement the effective strength of an army with a smooth supply procurement by managing the risks in advance about the conduct regarding to the outsourcing for calculating costs on defense materials in the future.

Building credit scoring models with various types of target variables (목표변수의 형태에 따른 신용평점 모형 구축)

  • Woo, Hyun Seok;Lee, Seok Hyung;Cho, HyungJun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2013
  • As the financial market becomes larger, the loss increases due to the failure of the credit risk managements from the poor management of the customer information or poor decision-making. Thus, the credit risk management also becomes more important and it is essential to develop a credit scoring model, which is a fundamental tool used to minimize the credit risk. Credit scoring models have been studied and developed only for binary target variables. In this paper, we consider other types of target variables such as ordinal multinomial data or longitudinal binary data and suggest credit scoring models. We then apply our developed models to real data and random data, and investigate their performance through Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.

Evaluation of Tension of PSC Box Girder Bridges Using Risk Matrix (리스크 매트릭스를 활용한 PSC박스 거더교의 긴장재 평가)

  • Kim, Hyungjo;Ji, Seunggu;Kim, Hunkyom;Kim, Pilsoo;Kim, Hunkyom;Lee, Minjae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2018
  • In particular, the investigation of tendons in PSC Box Girder Bridge should be done in a systematic way. It is important to identify preventative maintenance activities that should be carried out in order to analyze the risk factors by type of representative tensions and to reduce risks in the long term. However, in the current maintenance system, various methodologies for investigating and repairing tensions have been studied, but it is difficult to investigate precisely tensions. Therefore, to apply the risk assessment for screening of tensions to the domestic PSC Box Bridge, we presented a risk matrix evaluation index that is consistent with the state assessment and maintenance system.

Standard Work Process to Reduce a Risk of Track Exchange Work for Railroad (철도 운행선 변경작업의 리스크 저감을 위한 표준작업 프로세스 도출)

  • Yoon, Chang Geun;Park, Su Yeul;Kim, Seok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2021
  • Since many resources are put into the work of changing the railway operation within limited time, it is important to have a specific work plan and safety management. For this reason, the work schedule is shared in advance, and parallel work is being carried out simultaneously by rail system, such as tracks, trolly wires, and signals. However, due to the nature of the transfer work, the work is carried out at night when the railway operation is finished, and many resources are put into the limited area of the operating line, so the risk of safety accidents and failure to change the operating line is recognized as high. Nevertheless, there is still not enough research done in korea regarding the operation line change construction. Therefore, this study is conducted a survey on the track exchange work of railroad for working people, and analyzed the results of the survey. Finally, a standard work process was suggested to reduce the risk of track exchange work.

A Study on the Multiple Spurious Operation Analysis in Fire Events Probabilistic Safety Assessment of Domestic Nuclear Power Plant (국내 원자력발전소의 화재사건 확률론적안전성평가에서 다중오동작 분석 연구)

  • Kang, Dae Il;Jung, Yong Hun;Choi, Sun Yeong;Hwang, Mee-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.136-143
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we conducted a pilot study on the multiple spurious operations (MSO) analysis in the fire probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of domestic nuclear power plant (NPP) to identify the degree of influence of the operator actions used in the MSO mitigation strategies. The MSO scenario of the domestic reference NPP selected for this study is refueling water tank (RWT) drain down event. It could be caused by spurious operations of the containment spray system (CSS) of the reference NPP. The RWT drain down event can be stopped by the main control room (MCR) operator actions for stopping the operation of CSS pump or closing the CSS motor operated valve if the containment spray actuation signal (CSAS) is spuriously actuated. Outside the MCR, it can be stopped by operator actions for closing the CSS manual valves or motor operated valve or stopping the operation of CSS pump. The quantification result of a fire PSA model that takes into account all recovery actions for the RWT drain down event lead to risk reduction by about 95%, compared with quantification result of fire PSA model without considering them. Among the various operator actions, the recovery action for the spurious CSAS operations and the operator action for the manual valve are identified as the most important operator actions. This study quantitatively showed the extent to which the operator actions used as MSO countermeasures have affected the fire PSA quantification results. In addition, we can see the rank of importance among the operator recovery actions in quantitative terms.

A Study on the Consumer Evaluation of CSR Activities, Risk Management, and Producing Ability of Entertain Companies on the Perception of Integrated Brand Assets : Focusing on SM, JYP, YG, and HYBE (국내 엔터테인먼트 기업의 CSR 활동, 리스크 관리, 프로듀싱 능력에 대한 소비자 평가가 통합 브랜드 자산 인식에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 : SM, JYP, YG, 하이브를 중심으로)

  • Park, Ji-Eun;Woo, Hyung-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates how domestic entertainment companies' CSR activities, risk management, and producing abilities affect consumers' perception of their integrated brand assets. A survey was conducted on college students enrolled in a four-year university, and a total of 423 data were used for analysis. The result indicates the following. First, consumer evaluation of economic activity and philanthropic activity showed a positive causal relationship with the perception of integrated brand assets. Second, the higher the risk management and producing ability on evaluation of entertainment companies, the more positive the perception of integrated brand assets. Third, the main effect of producing ability was found to be significant among the four companies. In addition, regardless of the evaluation level of CSR activities and risk management, the group with a high producing ability evaluation showed a higher perception of integrated brand assets than the group with a low level of evaluation.

Classification of Public Perceptions toward Smog Risks on Twitter Using Topic Modeling (Topic Modeling을 이용한 Twitter상에서 스모그 리스크에 관한 대중 인식 분류 연구)

  • Kim, Yun-Ki
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.53-79
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    • 2017
  • The main purpose of this study was to detect and classify public perceptions toward smog disasters on Twitter using topic modeling. To help achieve these objectives and to identify gaps in the literature, this research carried out a literature review on public opinions toward smog disasters and topic modeling. The literature review indicated that there are huge gaps in the related literature. In this research, this author formed five research questions to fill the gaps in the literature. And then this study performed research steps such as data extraction, word cloud analysis on the cleaned data, building the network of terms, correlation analysis, hierarchical cluster analysis, topic modeling with the LDA, and stream graphs to answer those research questions. The results of this research revealed that there exist huge differences in the most frequent terms, the shapes of terms network, types of correlation, and smog-related topics changing patterns between New York and London. Therefore, this author could find positive answers to the four of the five research questions and a partially positive answer to Research question 4. Finally, on the basis of the results, this author suggested policy implications and recommendations for future study.

Risk-based Profit Prediction Model for International Construction Projects (해외건설공사의 리스크 분석에 기초한 수익성 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seung-Heon;Kim, Du-Yon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4D
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    • pp.635-647
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    • 2006
  • Korean construction companies first advanced to the international markets in 1960's and so far have brought more than 4,900 projects which account for 193 billion dollars approximately. With the large increase of national employment and income being followed by the achievement, Korea's construction industry has made an enormous contribution to the improvement of domestic economy for the last 40 years. However, recently the increased risk in international markets as well as the sharpening competition with foreign companies promising in terms of advanced technologies and low labor cost have been driving Korean construction away from the market shares. According to ENR (Engineering News Record, 1994~2003), it is revealed that 15.1% of top 225 global contractors are suffering from loss in international construction markets. This phenomenon is largely due to the highly uncertain characteristics of international projects, which are inherently exposed to various and complicated risky situations. Furthermore, especially for Korean construction companies, it is often the case that the failure in an international construction project cannot be offset by even a sufficient number of successful domestic achievements. Therefore, not only the selective screening among the nominated projects which have strong possibility of collapse but the systematic strategies for controlling potential risk factors are also considered indispensable in international construction portfolio management. The purpose of this study is to first analyze the causal relationships of the profit-influencing variables and the project success, and develop the profitability forecasting model in international construction projects.

Probability of default validation in a corporate credit rating model (국내모회사와 해외자회사 신용평가모형의 적합성 검증 연구)

  • Lee, Woosik;Kim, Dong-Yung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.605-615
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    • 2017
  • Recently, financial supervisory authority of Korea and international credit rating agencies have been concerned about a stand-alone rating that is calculated without incorporating guaranteed support of parent companies. Guaranteed by parent companies, most foreign subsidiaries keeps good credit rate in spite of weak financial status. However, what if the parent companies stop supporting the foreign subsidiaries, they could have a probability to go bankrupt. In this paper, we have validated a credit rating model through statistical measurers such as performance, calibration, and stability for Korean companies owning foreign subsidiaries.

A Study on Disaster Recovery Planning and Automation Support System Implementation in a Data Consolidation Center of Multi-organizations (다기관 통합전산센터의 재해복구체계 및 자동화시스템 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Im, Seong-Muk;Lee, Yeong-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.215-219
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 다기관 통합전산센터의 다양한 운영모형 분석을 통한 효과적인 운영 대안을 수립하고, 최적 운영대안의 상시운영체계(BCP) 구성방향을 제시한다. 또한 현행 다기관 통합전산센터의 리스크 분석과 리스크 관리 특성을 모형화하여 다기관 통합전산센터의 상시운영계획 이행 절차의 자동화 시스템 구축 방안을 제시한다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 4가지 사항을 중점적으로 다루었다. 첫째, 통합전산센터와 관련한 다양한 용어에 대해 정리를 하고, 통합전산센터의 국내외 사례를 살펴봄으로써 통합전산센터의 중요요소를 도출하였다. 둘째, 다기관 통합전산센터의 논리적 운영모형을 분류하여 각 모형에 따른 장${\cdot}$단점과 실현가능성을 진단하고, 대표적인 모형에 대한 가상환경을 구성하여 운영비용 측면에서 비교하였다. 또한 AHP기법을 이용하여 관련 전문가 인터뷰를 통한 정성적인 측면에서의 비교도 실시하였다. 셋째, 운영모형분석을 통하여 도출된 최적대안에 대한 다기관 통합전산센터의 상시운영체계의 수립 방향에 대하여 기존의 정보시스템을 위한 방법론과의 비교를 통하여 설명하였다. 넷째, 다기관 통합전산센터의 상시운영체계의 구성방향을 반영한 자동화시스템의 기본적인 구축방안에 대하여 간략하게 정리하고 그 기대효과를 제시하였다.

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