• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로짓 분석

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An Analysis of Multiple-Vehicle Accidents on Freeways Using Multinomial Logit Model (다항로짓모형을 이용한 고속도로 다중추돌사고 특성 분석)

  • Jeon, Hyeonmyeong;Kim, Jinhee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study is to analyze effects of factors on the number of vehicles involved in traffic accidents on freeway sections. In previous studies about traffic accident severity, the analysis of accidents involving multiple vehicles was insufficient. However, multiple-vehicle accidents are likely to cause casualties and are the main reasons increasing accident duration and social costs. In this study, the number of vehicles involved in an accident was interpreted as the result of the accident, not as the cause of the accident, and the impacts of each accident factor were analyzed using a multinomial logit model. The results indicate that multiple-vehicle accidents are mainly related to following factors: nighttime, driver's faults, obstacles on the road, a downhill slope, heavy vehicles, and freeway mainline sections including tunnels and bridges.

A Bayesian Threshold Model for Ordered Categorical Traits (순서범주형자료 분석을 위한 베이지안 분계점 모형)

  • Choi Byangsu;Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.173-182
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    • 2005
  • A Bayesian threshold model is considered to analyze binary or ordered categorical traits. Gibbs sampler for making full Bayesian inferences about the category probability as well as the regression coefficients is described. The model can be regarded as an alternative to the ordered logit regression model. Numerical examples are shown to demonstrate the efficiency of the model.

Analysis of University Students' Modal Shift for Commuting Trip Due to the Introduction of New Urban Rail Transit in Gyeongsan City - Comparison between SP Model Before the Introduction and RP Model After the Introduction - (대구 도시철도 경산 연장에 따른 대구-경산 간 대학생 통학통행의 도시철도 전환수요 분석 - 개통 전 SP모형과 개통 후 RP모형의 비교 -)

  • Yun, Dae-Sic;Lee, Chan-Hwi
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2016
  • The main objective of this paper is to analyze university students' modal shift for commuting trip due to the introduction of new urban rail transit in a satellite city of metropolitan area. The paper uses SP(2011)/RP(2013) data collected from Yeungnam University in Gyeongsan City, which is a satellite city of Deagu Metropolitan City. So far few researches, especially using before-and-after individual SP/RP travel survey, have been conducted on analyzing university students' modal shift due to the introduction of new urban rail transit. For this research, some descriptive statistical analyses were conducted. Furthermore, some empirical logit models were estimated for analyzing factors affecting the modal shift. Finally, some important findings and policy implications are discussed. The significant findings from this research are summarized as follows. From the descriptive statistical analyses of SP and RP data, it is found that the rate of modal shift to rail transit is relatively high especially for bus travellers. Furthermore, from the empirical SP model estimation, it is found that time saving is the most important factor affecting the modal shift to urban rail transit. On the other hand, from the empirical RP model estimation, it is found that residential location is the most important factor affecting the modal shift to urban rail transit.

A Study on the Factors Concerning Non-Work Trip of the Elderly People : A case of Seoul Metropolitan Area (고령자의 비업무통행에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석: 수도권 사례를 중심으로)

  • Hahn, Jin-Seok;Oh, Sung-Ho;Park, Jong-Il;Kim, Joon-ki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2012
  • This research explores different non-work trip characteristics between the elderly group (65+) and the working age group (20-64) using heteroscadastic ordered logit model. The analysis is based on travel survey data of Seoul Metropolitan area in 2006. The results show that age induces heteroscadasticity and the model provides a better fit than ordered logit model. The factors increasing the number of non-work trip of the elderly were driver's license and household income. Conversely, the number of non-work trips decreased in those groups that were male, with a job, in aging, and with the number of preschool children. The factors having opposite effects (increased the number of non-work trips in the working age groups and decreased in the elderly group) between the elderly group and working age group were age and job.

Analysis of Participation Behavior and Factors of Urban Leisure Activity (도시 여가활동의 참여행태 및 요인분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Hwang;Yun, Dae-Sic;Kim, Kap-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.3 s.74
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2004
  • This research develops a model of participation and scheduling choice of urban leisure activity. A nested legit model was found to be an appropriate approach. Data collected from Deagu and Pohang City were used for empirical estimation of model parameters. The empirical results confirmed several behavioral aspects associated with participation and scheduling choice of urban leisure activity. The paper presents a discussion on implications that can be inferred from the empirical results. Finally, future potential research question are also discussed.

Estimation of Interregional Mode Choice Models and Value of Travel Time Accommodating Taste Variation of Individuals (개인의 선호다양성을 고려한 지역간 수단선택 모형 구축 및 시간가치 추정 연구)

  • Cho, Shin-hyung;Seo, Young-hyun;Kho, Seung-young;Rhee, Sung-mo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.288-298
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    • 2017
  • The system of high-speed and conventional railway vehicles is diversified, and significant technological development in performance has been achieved. This study analyzed the modal change characteristics; furthermore, it estimated the value of travel time by improving the travel time and cost for the passenger's perception of railway. In this study, we formulate a mode choice model for passengers and compare it with the mixed logit model which reflects individual taste variation. In addition, the validity of the analysis is presented through an estimation the value of travel time using the derived model. For this purpose, a stated preference survey was conducted with 510 people using public transportation. The benefits of time-saving can be accurately determined by estimating the value of time spent on the railway. Appropriate fares for public transportation can also be estimated.

Analysis on Acceptance Intention of Augmented Reality System - Using Logit Model (증강현실시스템의 수용 의도 분석 - 로짓모형 이용)

  • Kim, Mincheol
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.373-380
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    • 2013
  • Recently, AR(Augmented Reality) system as an information technology for the increased access of information has a potential possibility of next generation's system for tourism guide. In this regard, the objective of this study is to explore the technology acceptance factors of AR system on tourism destination. To achieve the objective of this study, logit regression model was used to analyze the influential level of the factors. This study was analyzed with the final 224 respondents and the results showed that if there will be assured with high trust and easy access via mobility device as smartphone, the AR system has the possibility of high acceptance level. The result of this study will be expected to be utilized as fundamental data from the viewpoint of the service providers and system developers that want to launch the appropriate service to users' needs of AR system.

A Study on the Determinants of Migration Types of the Youth in Non-metropolitan Areas by using a Hierarchical Logit Model (위계로짓모형을 활용한 비수도권 청년층의 이주유형별 결정요인 비교분석)

  • Hansoun Woo
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.421-442
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    • 2023
  • This research focuses on the fact that the characteristics of migration types of the youth in non-metropolitan areas vary by region and has the primary objective of comparing and analyzing the differences in determinants of each migration type. First, An exploratory analysis of the migration status and characteristics of the youth in non-metropolitan areas was conducted, and then a hierarchical logit model was used to estimate the determinants of migration types separately. The results showed that the characteristics of migration types vary by region, and each determinant of migration types is composed of different bundles of variables(individual and regional levels). In the future, policies aimed at securing young workforce in non-metropolitan areas will be more effective when they take into account various determinants of migration choices and reflect the regional context.

A Analysis on Preference of Funeral Type by Socioeconomic Characteristics using Nested Logit Model (네스티드로짓모형을 활용한 사회경제적 특성에 따른 장사유형 선호 분석)

  • Joo, Ho Sang;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.933-943
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to identify determinants for preferred funeral methods depending on socio-economic characteristics. In South Korea, the Act on Funeral Services, Etc. categorizes funeral methods into burial, inurnment, and natural burial. This study empirically analyzes how and what socio-economic characteristics affect choices among these three categories. Data is collected from Social Survey 2017 and funeral facilities in the country. The data to be analyzed is developed in terms of a hierarchy which puts the burial and cremation methods in an upper class and the inurnment and natural burial methods in a lower class. Based on this data, a nested logit model is employed to conduct empirical analysis. The analysis indicates that those characteristics that have a statistically significant influence on preferred methods include gender, age, householder, marriage, satisfaction with life, class awareness, monthly income, housing type, housing tenure type, and living in city area. Each variable's modulus of calculated direct and cross elasticity need to be used to analyze the outcome of a nested logit model. In this study, the modulus of direct and cross elasticity are determined for the significant variables. The calculated direct elasticity is applied to analyze the likelihood of choosing each funeral method when there are changes in the significant variables. When a particular method has been selected, on the other hand, the cross elasticity is utilized to analyze changes to the likelihood of choosing the other methods. One of the most notable results is related to natural burial. In order to meet the demand for natural burial, it is necessary to provide more burial sites and raise awareness of natural burial. This will facilitate the efficient use of national territorial space.

Analysis of Residential Environment Satisfaction and Residential Preference in Daegu Downtown (대구 도심의 주거환경만족도와 거주의향 분석)

  • Song, Heung-Soo;Im, Jun-Hong;Kim, Han-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2015
  • As an empirical study on Daegu Downtown showing decentralization phenomenon, the purpose of this study is, based on the residential satisfaction research targeting the Downtown residents, to analyze the residential environment satisfaction and residential preference. Considering the parameters of measurement, we used the Ordered Logit Model and Logistic Regression. The results are as follows: First, the comprehensive residential environment satisfaction is relatively lower than that in 2008 and the residential preference in Downtown is similar to that of the past. Second, among the 7 factors that constitute the Downtown residential environment, the house, the landscape, and the security have a relatively large influence on the comprehensive residential environment satisfaction. Third, the residential environment factors which affect those who are hoping continuous Downtown residence are the safety, the house and the complex.