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Evaluating the quality of baseball pitch using PITCHf/x (PITCHf/x를 이용한 투구의 질 평가)

  • Park, Sungmin;Jang, Woncheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.171-184
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    • 2020
  • Major League Baseball (MLB) records and releases the trajectory data for every baseball pitch, called the PITCHf/x, using three high-speed cameras installed in every stadium. In a previous study, the quality of the pitch was assessed as the expected number of bases yielded using PITCHf/x data. However, the number of bases yielded does not always lead to baseball scores, or runs. In this paper, we assess the quality of a pitch by combining baseball analytics metric Run Expectancy and Run Value using a Random Forests model. We compare the quality of pitches evaluated with Run Value to the quality of pitches evaluated with the expected number of bases yielded.