• Title/Summary/Keyword: 동태패널모형

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Determinants of Korea's Goods Balances with Japan: Evidence from Dynamic Panel Model (동태 패널모형을 이용한 대일 상품수지 결정요인 분석)

  • Kim, Jounggu;Hwang, Shinmo
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.331-350
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    • 2011
  • This paper analyzes balance of goods for a panel data of 56 industry classification in the MTI from 1980 to 2009. This study also develops the equilibrium adjustment process, which is a trade-off between the adjustment costs towards equilibrium costs for balance of goods and the cost of being in disequilibrium. In this framework, the GMM estimation procedure is used to estimate this dynamic panel model consistently. It is found that equilibrium balances of goods in Korean adjust to the speed is very slow to 0.0389. because of this is necessary to adjust the equilibrium goods balance as the cost of goods balance deficit is larger than by the cost. In addition, the real income elasticity for goods balance of resin in Japan and Korea, the real income elasticity 4.38168 and -0.835225, respectively, the marks were consistent with economic theory. The exchange rate elasticity of goods balance in japan to 0.478435 were found in the inelastic.

Dynamics of Consumer Preference in Binary Probit Model (이산프로빗모형에서 소비자선호의 동태성)

  • Joo, Young-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.210-219
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    • 2010
  • Consumers differ in both horizontally and vertically. Market segmentation aims to divide horizontally different (or heterogeneous) consumers into more similar (or homogeneous) small segments. A specific consumer, however, may differ in vertically. He (or she) may belong to a different market segment from another one where he (or she) belonged to before. In consumer panel data, the vertical difference can be observed by his (or her) choice among brand alternatives are changing over time. The consumer's vertical difference has been defined as 'dynamics'. In this research, we have developed a binary probit model with random-walk coefficients to capture the consumer's dynamics. With an application to a consumer panel data, we have examined how have the random-walk coefficients changed over time.

The Study of the Effect of Terms of Trade and its Volatility Using the Panel Model (패널모형을 이용한 교역조건과 변동성의 영향 분석)

  • Choi, Yong-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.19-39
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of terms of trade and its volatility on real GDP and inflation. I estimate the linear and dynamic panel model including variables such as real GDP, inflation, terms of trade, capital stock, employment and education. The sample countries consist of OECD 26 countries and panel data ranges from 1990 to 2015. The empirical results show that terms of trade and its volatility do not affect the real GDP significantly. Even if the terms of trade has a negative relationship with real GDP, the magnitude of the estimated coefficients was very small. This result seems to be related with the industry structure and domestic demand structure of the member countries. On the other hand, terms of trade and its volatility have the significant impact on inflation. When the terms of trade and its volatility increase, the inflation increases.

An Empirical Analysis on the Employment Effect of Korean Exporting using the DPD model (동태패널모형을 활용한 수출의 고용효과 분석)

  • Cin, Beom-Cheol
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.213-238
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    • 2009
  • This paper empirically examines effects of exporting on employment over the period 2000-2007 for Korean listed and non-listed manufacturing firms. The paper employs the dynamic panel model of labor demand and controls for simultaneity of the exports and real wages using a two step random effect Tobit-DPD (Dynamic Panel Data) procedure. Our empirical results suggest that surprisingly, there is no robust evidence for employment effects of exporting of Korea's large firms and small-medium sized firms during the sample period after Korean financial crisis. This implies that Korean exporting patterns have been changed in a way that exporting highly capital intensive goods leads to importing more intermediate goods and thus to countervailing the employment effects of exporting. This suggests that expansion of exporting by lowering exporting prices through the bilateral FTA might not be helpful to enhancing employment in Korea.

Analysis of Decoupling Phenomenon Between Economic Growth and GHG Emissions: Dynamic Panel Analysis of 63 Countries (1980~2014) (경제성장과 탄소배출량의 탈동조화 현상 분석: 63개국 동태패널분석(1980~2014년))

  • Lim, Hyungwoo;Jo, Ha-hyun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.497-526
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    • 2019
  • The importance of "decoupling" to maintain economic growth and reduce greenhouse gases is emerging as the world has been mandated to reduce greenhouse gases since the 2015 Paris Agreement. This study covered 63 countries from 1980 to 2014 and analyzed the main characteristics and causes of decoupling phenomenon between economic growth and carbon emissions. In this study, the degree of decoupling was measured every five years. The analysis found that the decoupling rate of OECD countries and countries with large incomes was high, and that the decoupling phenomenon has accelerated worldwide since the 2000s. However, the degree of decoupling was different depending on the national characteristics. According to the results of dynamic panel model, the growth rate of manufacturing and the proportion of exports hampered decoupling, while the proportion of human capital and renewable energy had a positive effect on decoupling. Also income had a inverse U-shape non-linear effect on decoupling.

Examining the Dynamic Effects of Eco-Innovation on the Exports of Environmentally-Friendly Products (환경혁신이 환경친화적 수출에 미치는 동태적 영향 분석)

  • Hyunju Jeong;Dong Hee Suh
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.481-503
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    • 2022
  • This study examines how eco-innovation contributes to the exports of environmentally-friendly products using the dynamic panel model. The results reveal that the adjustment in the exports exists to recover the long-run equilibrium with sluggish adjustment speed. In addition, the results show that environmental patent applications and environment-related R&D expenditures are beneficial for enhancing the environmentally-friendly exports. While the environmental patent applications are associated only with an increase in the exports of products for resource management, the environmental R&D expenditures contribute to the exports of pollution management products, cleaner technologies and products, and resource management products. Moreover, as the long-run effects of eco-innovation on the exports become greater than the short-run effects, it appears that public eco-innovation is more likely to support future exports than private eco-innovation.

The Effect of Non-regular and Female Employment Rate on Total Fertility Rate(TFR) in OECD Countries (비정규직 고용률과 여성 고용률이 출산율에 미치는 효과: OECD 국가를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jaehee;Park, Jinbaek
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2020
  • This study aimed to analyze effects of non-regular employment rate and female employment rate on fertility rate in OECD county. We adopted dynamic panel model after classifying OECD county to high and low fertility rate. The results of analysis showed that the higher non regular employment rate, the lower female employment rate, and the lower economy growth rate decrease fertility rate especially in low fertility rate country. While, only the higher house rental decrease in high fertility country. This results indicate that low fertility country including Korea should improve a labor policy such as strengthening employment security and encouraging female employment to increase fertility rate.

A Dynamic Panel Approach to Examining the Effects of Local Fiscal Expenditures on Water Quality (동태적 패널접근을 활용한 지방 재정지출의 수질개선 효과분석)

  • Hyonyong Kang;Dong Hee Suh
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.159-178
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to assess the direct and indirect impacts of local fiscal expenditures on water quality. Panel data spanning from 2010 to 2018 for 173 cities and districts in Korea are assembled, and a two-stage dynamic panel model is utilized for our estimation. The empirical findings reveal several key insights. Firstly, local fiscal expenditures on water quality are effective in ameliorating both Biological Oxygen Demand (BOD) and Total Phosphorus (T-P). Notably, the direct impact on T-P surpasses that on BOD in the short and long run. Secondly, expenditures dedicated to water quality improvement demonstrate a positive effect on local economic growth, and an inverted U-shaped relationship is observed between BOD and local economic growth. Due to the positive linkage, the indirect effect on BOD suggests, on average, a deterioration in water quality during local economic growth. Thirdly, concerning BOD, the direct effect of government expenditure on water quality improvement outweighs the indirect effect, but in the case of T-P, the indirect effect is not significant, and the total effect is solely determined by the direct impact. Despite local fiscal expenditures potentially exacerbating water quality through regional economic growth, the study finds that the direct enhancement of water quality remains a more substantial factor in the short and long run.

An Analysis of Balassa-Samuelson Effect by Panel Cointegration Test (패널공적분검정을 통한 발라사-사무엘슨 효과 분석)

  • Choi, Yong-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.67-84
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the Balassa-Samuelson effect that real exchange rate could deviate from its long-run equilibrium. To analyze this effect, I estimated the long-run relationship between real exchange and productivity using the dynamic panel ordinary least square(DOLS) and panel error correction model(ECM) after conducting the unit root and cointegration test. The results show that all variables except for the real exchange rate have the unit root. Then I conducted the cointegration test to find out whether there exist the stable long-run relationships. The results show that the variables are cointegrated and significant statistically. The DOLS and ECM methods are used to estimate the coefficient of the cointegrated variables. The major finding are that the estimates are statistically significant and that they show the same sign as the economic theory predicts.

An Analysis of the Effects of Political and Economic Forces on the Export of Renewable Energy Technologies (재생에너지 기술의 수출에 대한 정치·경제요인의 영향 분석)

  • Sung, Bong-Suk;Nian, Liu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.209-233
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    • 2018
  • This study investigates the question of how political and economic factors may affect the export of renewable energy technologies. The relationships are tested using panel data for 19 OECD member countries over the period 1992-2012. Before establishing the empirical model, the current study checks the characteristics of the panel data, which includes various panel framework analyses, such as tests for the presence of normality, structural breaks, first-order autocorrelation, heteroscedasticity, cross-sectional dependence, panel unit-root. From the panel framework analyses, a dynamic panel model is established to test the relationship between the variables examined in this study. In order to reduce the bias of the estimation of the dynamic panel model and obtain efficient parameters, this study uses the bias-corrected least square dummy variable(LSDVC) estimator to estimate the empirical model. The results of this study show that governmental policies expressed as coercive pressure and market size positively affect the export growth of renewable energy technologies. However, public pressure and traditional energy industry have no significant effects on export performance. Policy implications are presented based on the results of this study.